Weekly structural research ยท SHH ยท Utilities

600905 Stage Analysis

China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co.,Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close CNY 3.55Tenure EstablishedBenchmark 000001.SS
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction -77โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 90/100directional strength
Maturity 40/100lifecycle context
Confidence 94/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -100.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -16.7%CNY 4.26 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-093.553.92-8.21122280565Downward Expansion-7790
2026-10-023.523.95-9.94219941678Downward Expansion-8993
2026-09-253.613.97-9.08206432570Downward Expansion-8089
2026-09-183.653.99-8.94325829661Downward Expansion-7276
2026-09-113.664.01-8.44326379570Downward Expansion-7278
2026-09-043.684.02-9.2362994299Downward Expansion-7178
2026-08-283.724.03-9.0355003666Downward Expansion-6669
2026-08-213.694.05-8.9836657099Downward Expansion-7255
2026-08-143.734.06-8.8476223800Downward Expansion-6948
2026-08-073.774.08-8.5382387999Downward Expansion-6647
2026-07-313.904.09-3.13103188061Downward Expansion-6151
2026-07-243.864.10-3.99113861782Downward Expansion-6581
2026-07-173.764.11-5.54185647426Downward Expansion-6586
2026-07-103.704.12-12.77105177774Downward Expansion-7990
2026-07-033.734.13-13.5782961900Downward Expansion-8285
2026-06-263.744.15-13.46146027014Downward Expansion-7864
2026-06-194.074.16-7.82757183476Balance-3916
2026-06-124.184.17-4.36418030551Balance35
2026-06-054.214.18-3.94243682733Balance-157
2026-05-294.174.18-6.16871609005Downward Expansion-3516
2026-05-224.114.18-8.90785279889Downward Expansion-5126
2026-05-154.114.19-9.821146358646Downward Expansion-5228
2026-05-084.164.20-10.12543276163Downward Expansion-5239
2026-05-014.094.20-10.62465704022Downward Expansion-5539
2026-04-244.114.20-9.92706215091Balance-4436
2026-04-174.104.21-9.94524520589Balance-2420
2026-04-104.114.22-8.71503337756Rotation Up-178
2026-04-034.094.22-7.051288517972Rotation Up123
2026-03-274.444.23-0.292248765092Rotation Up3956
2026-03-204.334.22-4.001499942505Rotation Up2841
2026-03-134.434.22-5.312413224868Rotation Up4341
2026-03-064.274.21-9.581206476886Downward Expansion-89
2026-02-274.164.21-13.03513503443Downward Expansion-5643
2026-02-134.084.22-13.37424202196Downward Expansion-6852
2026-02-064.104.22-12.96581284613Downward Expansion-6543
2026-01-304.114.23-14.23882636216Downward Expansion-6339
2026-01-234.164.23-13.96700338500Downward Expansion-5638
2026-01-164.144.23-14.03710589348Downward Expansion-6047
2026-01-094.154.23-14.59413873410Downward Expansion-6263
2026-01-024.094.23-13.01181084959Downward Expansion-7576
2025-12-264.134.24-12.43316746187Downward Expansion-6870
2025-12-194.134.24-11.14373287468Rotation Down-7071
2025-12-124.144.24-11.25412155320Rotation Down-4257
2025-12-054.204.25-10.64323941286Rotation Down-2034
2025-11-284.184.25-11.10405419833Upward Expansion-2327
2025-11-214.194.25-10.03690005527Upward Expansion99
2025-11-144.284.25-12.09583485616Upward Expansion4520
2025-11-074.324.25-11.85724214582Upward Expansion5427
2025-10-314.254.25-12.751250271986Upward Expansion4426
2025-10-244.304.25-12.12638602202Upward Expansion5237
2025-10-174.304.24-10.03862998148Upward Expansion5233
2025-10-104.324.24-11.27452898893Upward Expansion5828
2025-10-034.254.24-12.79226952027Upward Expansion4421
2025-09-264.284.23-11.38621673123Upward Expansion5128
2025-09-194.254.23-12.23642465077Upward Expansion4422
2025-09-124.294.22-13.04771141657Upward Expansion5234
2025-09-054.274.22-12.62732392523Upward Expansion4621
2025-08-294.254.22-14.52870130169Upward Expansion3315
2025-08-224.284.21-13.81697181755Upward Expansion5123
2025-08-154.214.21-12.82566649214Upward Expansion3921
2025-08-084.254.21-11.14440203879Upward Expansion4937
2025-08-014.244.20-10.05666183775Upward Expansion5046
2025-07-254.314.20-9.99995775181Balance6352
2025-07-184.234.20-10.72586887580Balance4229
2025-07-114.264.21-9.89573677039Balance4927
2025-07-044.244.21-9.63453422931Balance-2413
2025-06-274.194.22-9.75411205289Balance-3420
2025-06-204.184.23-8.49401696909Balance-2717
2025-06-134.184.25-9.14461844384Balance-2613
2025-06-064.214.26-9.06324295006Balance-138
2025-05-304.224.28-8.13317144414Balance-119
2025-05-234.244.29-7.99571290580Balance-119
2025-05-164.274.31-8.11538259319Balance-56
2025-05-094.234.31-8.47362786972Balance-1810
2025-05-024.194.32-7.82369846362Balance-2011
2025-04-254.224.34-7.86399563680Balance-1815
2025-04-184.224.35-7.61522200689Downward Expansion-2015
2025-04-114.234.34-6.581063612928Downward Expansion-3219
2025-04-044.264.33-9.13523535326Downward Expansion-3821
2025-03-284.164.33-11.73478658950Downward Expansion-5436
2025-03-214.194.34-11.76502131388Downward Expansion-4536
2025-03-144.184.35-13.64421734451Downward Expansion-5642
2025-03-074.114.37-14.20398685554Downward Expansion-6546
2025-02-284.134.39-12.84449255699Downward Expansion-5340
2025-02-214.204.40-13.21501697736Downward Expansion-4840
2025-02-144.194.42-12.87407534165Downward Expansion-6054
2025-02-074.204.43-11.87294676944Downward Expansion-6371
2025-01-314.134.44-12.2389859800Downward Expansion-6681
2025-01-244.114.44-12.95351674035Downward Expansion-7281
2025-01-174.154.45-12.04474887361Rotation Down-7177
2025-01-104.104.45-11.50413832329Rotation Down-5266
2025-01-034.184.46-10.96451422723Balance-4343
2024-12-274.384.47-12.08449170740Balance-1616
2024-12-204.404.48-11.03475806509Balance-410
2024-12-134.474.48-10.44568359799Balance2214
2024-12-064.544.48-9.54437393463Balance3115
2024-11-294.494.48-8.60448545223Balance3518
2024-11-224.524.49-6.49535856200Balance5029
2024-11-154.604.49-6.81649933869Balance5443
2024-11-084.764.49-6.98876757904Balance6451
2024-11-014.694.49-3.66960776016Balance3134
2024-10-254.644.48-5.60836373195Balance1022
2024-10-184.444.48-8.70686672086Balance-217
2024-10-114.544.48-5.571360624214Balance-2015
2024-10-044.774.48-4.28433271515Downward Expansion-2319
2024-09-274.424.48-4.29677851207Downward Expansion-6273
2024-09-204.034.48-1.73222428300Downward Expansion-7784
2024-09-134.014.50-1.07408318260Balance-7968
2024-09-064.114.51-0.95699107694Balance-5933
2024-08-304.504.525.53371433169Upward Expansion3520
2024-08-234.594.517.14290135032Upward Expansion4543
2024-08-164.664.507.83421851514Upward Expansion4949
2024-08-094.614.487.42410312437Balance4540
2024-08-024.674.477.22685598929Balance4134
2024-07-264.734.459.34915530351Balance2620
2024-07-194.534.441.51519998628Rotation Down-1117
2024-07-124.314.43-3.22411655356Rotation Down-3055
2024-07-054.354.43-1.83406781446Rotation Down-1948
2024-06-284.224.43-5.36507502249Rotation Down-3352
2024-06-214.174.44-7.56855368334Balance-3536
2024-06-144.554.45-0.62703233864Balance2211
2024-06-074.534.45-1.77587539640Balance1913
2024-05-314.524.46-3.26734716841Upward Expansion3116
2024-05-244.494.46-4.08446885740Upward Expansion3318
2024-05-174.514.46-5.83554597309Upward Expansion3920
2024-05-104.594.47-4.39574550358Upward Expansion5330
2024-05-034.544.47-4.01301265774Upward Expansion5332
2024-04-264.614.47-2.21382956597Rotation Up2826
2024-04-194.624.47-1.38521497207Rotation Up2924
2024-04-124.634.480.25551623485Rotation Up3122
2024-04-054.574.48-2.70236428745Rotation Up1718
2024-03-294.544.49-2.58300072687Rotation Up1932
2024-03-224.484.50-4.18436938627Rotation Up2134
2024-03-154.584.52-2.53536345363Rotation Up2334
2024-03-084.724.540.67635662031Downward Expansion4040
2024-03-014.524.55-3.15475525512Downward Expansion-819
2024-02-234.504.57-3.04484857258Downward Expansion-1820
2024-02-094.434.59-0.09640406363Downward Expansion-4128
2024-02-024.254.620.39463721873Downward Expansion-6047
2024-01-264.314.64-4.70561678320Downward Expansion-6455
2024-01-194.114.67-6.79453483632Downward Expansion-7968
2024-01-124.224.70-6.43289763876Downward Expansion-6866
2024-01-054.214.73-8.46269932680Downward Expansion-7284
2023-12-294.234.77-9.76304964662Downward Expansion-7489
2023-12-224.204.80-8.84318149834Downward Expansion-8592
2023-12-154.284.83-8.32265837921Downward Expansion-8491
2023-12-084.304.86-9.06353278952Downward Expansion-8786
2023-12-014.474.89-7.66266599233Downward Expansion-7264
2023-11-244.504.92-7.64231131065Downward Expansion-7154
2023-11-174.574.94-6.97228364669Downward Expansion-6550
2023-11-104.584.96-6.61240665482Downward Expansion-6653
2023-11-034.634.99-5.76253601677Downward Expansion-6253
2023-10-274.645.01-5.55362221607Downward Expansion-6558
2023-10-204.585.03-5.96375715083Downward Expansion-7367
2023-10-134.625.05-8.65276761671Downward Expansion-7182
2023-09-294.635.07-9.37186095428Downward Expansion-7389
Price vs TrendBelow-9.4%
Trend directionFalling-4.2%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-16.7%
Fair Value directionMoving away-1.5%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-8.2%
Relative strength directionImproving+4.6%
Price momentumNegative-13.6%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.43ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-77 / ยฑ100

-4.6 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

90 /100

+11.8 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance0
Rotation Up18
Upward Expansion22
Deceleration37
Rotation Down75
Downward Expansion100

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 26%Rotation Up 8%Upward Expansion 17%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 44%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-06-262026-10-09Established-5.1%
Balance2026-06-052026-06-19New-3.3%
Downward Expansion2026-05-012026-05-29Developing+2.0%
Balance2026-04-172026-04-24New+0.2%
Rotation Up2026-03-132026-04-10Developing-7.2%
Downward Expansion2025-12-262026-03-06Developing+3.4%
Rotation Down2025-12-052025-12-19New-1.7%
Upward Expansion2025-08-012025-11-28Established-1.5%
Balance2025-04-252025-07-25Established+2.1%
Downward Expansion2025-01-242025-04-18Established+2.6%
Rotation Down2025-01-102025-01-17New+1.4%
Balance2024-10-112025-01-03Established-7.8%
Downward Expansion2024-09-202024-10-04New+18.6%
Balance2024-09-062024-09-13New-2.4%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing67
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution12
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
90/100
Current Relative Strength
-8.21
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-13.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-9.3%
Utilities regime cohort
100th percentile43 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.54ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.43ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 3.57falling
Slow Activity CNY 3.79falling
Trend Reference CNY 3.92-9.4% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 4.26-16.7% close margin
Structural low CNY 3.51shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +2.1%
Annualized volatility +15.1%
From structural high -24.0%
From structural low +1.1%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 000001.SS Regime survived Read
Near term27-0.2%-10.3% to +10.3%+44.4%+51.9%-1.6%+81.5%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate9-2.4%-9.6% to +9.4%+33.3%+66.7%+1.1%+55.6%Usable descriptive sample
Extended6-2.0%-17.3% to +7.3%+50.0%+50.0%-10.2%+66.7%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3-1.6%-21.7% to +1.1%+33.3%+66.7%-15.0%+66.7%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context