Weekly structural research · KSC · Consumer Defensive

101530 Stage Analysis

Haitai Confectionery&Foods Co.,ltd.

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close KRW 5,530.00Tenure EstablishedBenchmark ^KS11

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction -60−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 52/100directional strength

Maturity 44/100lifecycle context

Confidence 89/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -6.8%KRW 5,932.45 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	5,530.00	6,026.33	-32.36	0	Downward Expansion	-60	52
2026-09-18	5,530.00	6,069.33	-31.78	61175	Downward Expansion	-58	40
2026-09-11	5,580.00	6,122.67	-32.58	114366	Downward Expansion	-54	33
2026-09-04	5,600.00	6,169.33	-31.35	105466	Downward Expansion	-42	25
2026-08-28	5,670.00	6,211.00	-32.79	114436	Downward Expansion	-39	23
2026-08-21	5,580.00	6,251.67	-36.21	36071	Downward Expansion	-45	27
2026-08-14	5,880.00	6,299.67	-34.58	1595761	Downward Expansion	-41	28
2026-08-07	5,670.00	6,325.67	-30.91	34570	Downward Expansion	-56	40
2026-07-31	5,610.00	6,361.00	-36.28	15586	Downward Expansion	-59	44
2026-07-24	5,520.00	6,404.33	-39.35	37908	Downward Expansion	-64	49
2026-07-17	5,550.00	6,449.67	-41.33	285950	Downward Expansion	-65	54
2026-07-10	5,690.00	6,488.85	-46.21	146264	Downward Expansion	-64	64
2026-07-03	5,590.00	6,523.70	-52.21	92399	Downward Expansion	-67	75
2026-06-26	5,470.00	6,558.33	-56.04	1226464	Downward Expansion	-76	80
2026-06-19	5,630.00	6,593.75	-58.76	573423	Downward Expansion	-73	76
2026-06-12	5,850.00	6,611.62	-53.21	37728	Downward Expansion	-71	73
2026-06-05	5,790.00	6,622.47	-54.80	26744	Balance	-75	64
2026-05-29	6,200.00	6,632.11	-54.40	314970	Balance	-33	26
2026-05-22	6,490.00	6,628.72	-49.52	398159	Balance	-20	10
2026-05-15	6,740.00	6,620.17	-46.14	669344	Balance	-1	3
2026-05-08	6,590.00	6,603.29	-48.29	278551	Balance	-9	8
2026-05-01	6,500.00	6,594.62	-43.14	177946	Balance	-14	9
2026-04-24	6,490.00	6,593.78	-43.20	646141	Balance	-15	10
2026-04-17	6,690.00	6,590.37	-39.87	209647	Balance	7	9
2026-04-10	6,710.00	6,590.60	-37.34	117258	Balance	-13	15
2026-04-03	6,510.00	6,587.90	-34.79	99447	Balance	-16	22
2026-03-27	6,360.00	6,587.05	-37.92	209009	Balance	-22	22
2026-03-20	6,650.00	6,589.58	-39.76	90052	Balance	12	14
2026-03-13	6,620.00	6,577.95	-37.57	162446	Upward Expansion	24	13
2026-03-06	6,500.00	6,577.61	-40.42	299606	Upward Expansion	25	14
2026-02-27	6,820.00	6,589.31	-44.76	287085	Upward Expansion	52	31
2026-02-20	7,130.00	6,587.78	-38.64	107433	Upward Expansion	62	43
2026-02-13	6,980.00	6,584.91	-37.28	291100	Upward Expansion	56	38
2026-02-06	6,850.00	6,593.80	-34.01	280935	Upward Expansion	51	30
2026-01-30	6,890.00	6,617.96	-35.90	239732	Rotation Up	27	22
2026-01-23	7,020.00	6,635.32	-32.20	270178	Rotation Up	37	27
2026-01-16	6,660.00	6,619.39	-34.18	381878	Rotation Up	27	24
2026-01-09	6,730.00	6,620.94	-30.35	179717	Rotation Up	23	39
2026-01-02	6,910.00	6,621.11	-24.48	147305	Rotation Up	32	50
2025-12-26	6,880.00	6,624.94	-22.10	327849	Rotation Up	33	42
2025-12-19	6,725.61	6,620.43	-22.29	159985	Downward Expansion	24	31
2025-12-12	6,735.26	6,610.78	-25.39	194488	Downward Expansion	5	18
2025-12-05	6,629.12	6,599.53	-25.80	368772	Downward Expansion	-18	15
2025-11-28	6,532.62	6,600.49	-24.02	329733	Downward Expansion	-37	27
2025-11-21	6,165.95	6,609.17	-27.23	171084	Downward Expansion	-60	52
2025-11-14	6,175.60	6,631.05	-30.33	179194	Downward Expansion	-63	64
2025-11-07	6,079.10	6,648.42	-30.78	208346	Downward Expansion	-72	76
2025-10-31	6,098.40	6,659.35	-33.51	176983	Downward Expansion	-75	76
2025-10-24	6,233.49	6,671.90	-29.64	107732	Downward Expansion	-67	68
2025-10-17	6,233.49	6,678.01	-26.30	172160	Downward Expansion	-68	64
2025-10-10	6,329.99	6,677.69	-22.53	48131	Deceleration	-33	32
2025-10-03	6,474.73	6,662.57	-19.60	128876	Deceleration	-25	17
2025-09-26	6,387.88	6,651.95	-17.03	166263	Deceleration	-27	16
2025-09-19	6,696.66	6,633.94	-14.65	162720	Deceleration	-11	12
2025-09-12	6,629.12	6,612.71	-14.34	239768	Deceleration	-15	25
2025-09-05	6,484.38	6,585.69	-11.28	128944	Deceleration	-16	25
2025-08-29	6,436.13	6,559.96	-11.38	99919	Balance	-18	23
2025-08-22	6,301.04	6,532.94	-12.75	189629	Balance	-3	16
2025-08-15	6,609.82	6,509.14	-10.17	160750	Upward Expansion	22	16
2025-08-08	6,851.05	6,477.30	-6.53	198627	Upward Expansion	37	19
2025-08-01	6,773.86	6,442.56	-5.03	295041	Upward Expansion	52	34
2025-07-25	7,044.04	6,413.61	-3.74	305722	Upward Expansion	58	56
2025-07-18	7,246.68	6,369.87	-0.77	445037	Upward Expansion	58	52
2025-07-11	7,574.75	6,319.54	4.14	1480572	Upward Expansion	74	57
2025-07-04	7,410.72	6,256.11	5.98	4449724	Upward Expansion	72	42
2025-06-27	6,542.27	6,184.86	-6.34	187344	Upward Expansion	51	33
2025-06-20	6,706.31	6,143.18	-3.18	156368	Upward Expansion	54	40
2025-06-13	6,735.26	6,099.43	1.04	253150	Upward Expansion	53	38
2025-06-06	7,024.74	6,046.68	7.75	114188	Upward Expansion	70	42
2025-05-30	6,744.91	5,996.95	8.25	255748	Upward Expansion	50	30
2025-05-23	6,436.13	5,962.41	7.87	181865	Upward Expansion	44	31
2025-05-16	6,397.53	5,922.11	6.15	194895	Upward Expansion	59	44
2025-05-09	6,658.06	5,883.09	13.02	119532	Upward Expansion	64	56
2025-05-02	6,793.16	5,840.33	16.83	109272	Upward Expansion	71	61
2025-04-25	6,822.10	5,790.90	18.77	222640	Upward Expansion	77	69
2025-04-18	6,696.66	5,747.00	20.38	250519	Upward Expansion	77	75
2025-04-11	6,407.18	5,699.24	18.43	330528	Upward Expansion	67	73
2025-04-04	6,474.73	5,659.29	18.95	484041	Upward Expansion	75	75
2025-03-28	6,416.83	5,611.52	14.45	347522	Upward Expansion	79	77
2025-03-21	6,223.84	5,575.56	8.09	351479	Upward Expansion	72	68
2025-03-14	5,876.47	5,556.23	5.59	401653	Upward Expansion	57	58
2025-03-07	6,156.30	5,554.97	11.11	192156	Upward Expansion	68	63
2025-02-28	5,847.52	5,548.71	7.32	177688	Balance	53	49
2025-02-21	6,059.80	5,561.39	6.49	255894	Balance	61	43
2025-02-14	5,818.57	5,564.83	5.12	130289	Balance	41	19
2025-02-07	5,712.43	5,580.94	6.34	169999	Balance	8	6
2025-01-31	5,625.58	5,613.88	5.23	25039	Balance	8	6
2025-01-24	5,586.98	5,639.82	3.99	105551	Balance	20	14
2025-01-17	5,654.53	5,683.43	6.05	151404	Balance	14	19
2025-01-10	5,808.92	5,753.51	9.56	129198	Balance	15	22
2025-01-03	5,905.41	5,847.49	15.09	103217	Balance	-1	13
2024-12-27	5,731.73	5,836.61	13.93	230647	Balance	-8	10
2024-12-20	5,736.69	5,828.75	14.58	1735918	Balance	-12	8
2024-12-13	5,671.81	5,825.04	9.68	527072	Balance	-19	10
2024-12-06	5,273.30	5,817.32	5.13	370525	Downward Expansion	-49	28
2024-11-29	5,291.84	5,808.36	4.53	3153593	Downward Expansion	-49	25
2024-11-22	5,393.78	5,796.62	4.84	269071	Downward Expansion	-37	18
2024-11-15	5,152.82	5,781.48	3.89	211125	Downward Expansion	-49	25
2024-11-08	5,532.80	5,769.43	5.50	484455	Downward Expansion	-38	21
2024-11-01	5,708.88	5,746.57	9.91	1571455	Downward Expansion	-41	24
2024-10-25	5,226.97	5,717.84	-0.66	861094	Deceleration	-29	25
2024-10-18	5,226.97	5,709.81	-1.00	106778	Deceleration	-22	22
2024-10-11	5,375.25	5,704.87	1.78	85977	Rotation Down	-27	24
2024-10-04	5,310.37	5,695.60	1.77	82130	Rotation Down	-30	37
2024-09-27	5,505.00	5,686.02	2.42	719854	Rotation Down	-23	44
2024-09-20	5,264.04	5,671.20	0.19	58356	Rotation Down	-25	52
2024-09-13	5,208.43	5,664.71	-0.05	119848	Rotation Down	-26	49
2024-09-06	5,041.61	5,660.38	-1.96	200713	Deceleration	-26	32
2024-08-30	5,338.18	5,661.62	-1.23	370168	Deceleration	-3	15
2024-08-23	5,644.01	5,652.04	3.38	231837	Deceleration	5	12
2024-08-16	5,838.63	5,624.24	7.22	295072	Deceleration	22	16
2024-08-09	5,968.38	5,591.80	14.44	958736	Deceleration	29	19
2024-08-02	6,227.87	5,559.67	15.90	4347627	Deceleration	32	20
2024-07-26	6,163.00	5,518.90	12.82	235250	Deceleration	37	22
2024-07-19	6,302.01	5,480.28	13.17	276921	Upward Expansion	43	29
2024-07-12	6,700.52	5,434.57	18.01	811679	Upward Expansion	61	51
2024-07-05	6,403.96	5,372.60	12.91	558068	Upward Expansion	66	73
2024-06-28	6,895.15	5,322.60	24.52	1062322	Upward Expansion	68	87
2024-06-21	7,757.04	5,252.65	41.28	2519547	Upward Expansion	90	96
2024-06-14	8,628.20	5,153.38	59.64	8404951	Upward Expansion	99	99
2024-06-07	5,579.14	5,021.80	5.68	172078	Upward Expansion	73	82
2024-05-31	5,495.73	4,990.06	7.48	297971	Upward Expansion	71	79
2024-05-24	5,625.48	4,959.32	7.94	656005	Upward Expansion	83	79
2024-05-17	5,440.12	4,921.87	2.96	763441	Upward Expansion	74	46
2024-05-10	5,004.54	4,891.79	-5.48	33605	Balance	26	13
2024-05-03	4,939.67	4,881.58	-5.18	23767	Balance	5	17
2024-04-26	4,939.67	4,873.55	-4.68	42917	Balance	-14	22
2024-04-19	4,791.38	4,869.67	-5.42	60422	Balance	-22	26
2024-04-12	4,846.99	4,868.36	-7.75	58258	Balance	3	12
2024-04-05	4,846.99	4,871.45	-9.09	72193	Upward Expansion	18	11
2024-03-29	4,986.01	4,878.12	-7.93	90759	Upward Expansion	40	23
2024-03-22	5,078.68	4,881.34	-6.66	88777	Upward Expansion	55	34
2024-03-15	5,097.22	4,879.38	-3.82	111751	Upward Expansion	59	39
2024-03-08	5,023.08	4,872.05	-5.99	63132	Upward Expansion	55	43
2024-03-01	5,060.15	4,872.54	-4.37	82304	Upward Expansion	55	56
2024-02-23	5,069.42	4,868.52	-5.56	140328	Upward Expansion	58	58
2024-02-16	5,078.68	4,861.82	-5.26	123186	Upward Expansion	60	47
2024-02-09	5,078.68	4,867.31	-4.76	57037	Balance	35	22
2024-02-02	5,050.88	4,877.26	-5.60	212277	Balance	31	17
2024-01-26	4,809.92	4,886.95	-5.66	82637	Rotation Up	-0	6
2024-01-19	4,865.53	4,905.27	-4.82	27604	Rotation Up	18	23
2024-01-12	5,004.54	4,925.31	-4.62	35411	Rotation Up	23	36
2024-01-05	5,004.54	4,940.12	-7.06	23765	Balance	22	28
2023-12-29	5,004.54	4,954.93	-10.24	36973	Balance	4	17
2023-12-22	4,930.74	4,968.25	-10.28	59318	Balance	-2	13
2023-12-15	4,841.41	4,982.54	-11.16	76470	Balance	-21	18
2023-12-08	4,903.94	4,998.62	-8.85	81374	Downward Expansion	-21	18
2023-12-01	4,796.75	5,008.45	-10.69	43296	Downward Expansion	-35	19
2023-11-24	4,778.88	5,021.85	-11.02	49945	Downward Expansion	-41	27
2023-11-17	4,680.63	5,034.05	-12.18	87262	Downward Expansion	-56	39
2023-11-10	4,627.03	5,054.90	-11.23	485217	Downward Expansion	-59	45
2023-11-03	4,573.44	5,079.01	-10.89	33038	Downward Expansion	-63	66
2023-10-27	4,501.98	5,105.81	-10.02	33332	Downward Expansion	-74	74
2023-10-20	4,537.71	5,139.76	-12.31	47385	Downward Expansion	-73	66
2023-10-13	4,698.49	5,169.53	-12.49	23070	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2023-10-06	4,698.49	5,191.27	-11.07	17573	Downward Expansion	-67	61

Price vs TrendBelow-8.2%

Trend directionFalling-6.6%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-6.8%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+0.2%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-32.4%

Relative strength directionImproving+23.7%

Price momentumNegative-13.1%

Volume balanceDemand-led3.12×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-60 / ±100

-21.6 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

52 /100

+28.9 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

101530 Directional State ↗ 101530 Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance18

Rotation Up24

Upward Expansion10

Deceleration42

Rotation Down54

Downward Expansion86

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 24%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 31%Deceleration 10%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 27%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-06-12	2026-09-25	Established	-5.5%
Balance	2026-03-20	2026-06-05	Developing	-12.9%
Upward Expansion	2026-02-06	2026-03-13	Developing	-3.4%
Rotation Up	2025-12-26	2026-01-30	Developing	+0.1%
Downward Expansion	2025-10-17	2025-12-19	Developing	+7.9%
Deceleration	2025-09-05	2025-10-10	Developing	-2.4%
Balance	2025-08-22	2025-08-29	New	+2.1%
Upward Expansion	2025-03-07	2025-08-15	Established	+7.4%
Balance	2024-12-13	2025-02-28	Developing	+3.1%
Downward Expansion	2024-11-01	2024-12-06	Developing	-7.6%
Deceleration	2024-10-18	2024-10-25	New	+0.0%
Rotation Down	2024-09-13	2024-10-11	Developing	+3.2%
Deceleration	2024-07-26	2024-09-06	Developing	-18.2%
Upward Expansion	2024-05-17	2024-07-19	Developing	+15.8%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing62

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution13

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^KS11

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 71/100
Current Relative Strength: -32.36
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -13.1%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -43.2%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 50th percentile42 in cohort

Test 101530 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.00×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume3.12×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 101530 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity KRW 5,558.67falling

Slow Activity KRW 5,799.61falling

Trend Reference KRW 6,026.33-8.2% close margin

Current Fair Value KRW 5,932.45-6.8% close margin

Structural low KRW 5,360.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +4.6%

Annualized volatility +19.7%

From structural high -24.9%

From structural low +3.2%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^KS11	Regime survived	Read
Near term	27	-0.4%-12.6% to +9.1%	+44.4%	+55.6%	-0.9%	+77.8%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	-2.5%-11.9% to +8.5%	+40.0%	+60.0%	-1.6%	+50.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	+3.7%-12.1% to +19.0%	+66.7%	+33.3%	+1.5%	+16.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	-3.0%-23.1% to +13.0%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-9.7%	+75.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

101530 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map