Weekly structural research · NSI · Consumer Cyclical

PRECAM Stage Analysis

Precision Camshafts Limited

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close INR 109.90Tenure NewBenchmark ^NSEI

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction -84−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 89/100directional strength

Maturity 23/100lifecycle context

Confidence 81/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -45.0%INR 199.93 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	109.90	138.66	-19.03	696675	Downward Expansion	-84	89
2026-09-25	120.66	139.25	-14.74	1823584	Downward Expansion	-67	85
2026-09-18	116.41	139.77	-19.18	583908	Downward Expansion	-83	93
2026-09-11	116.81	140.69	-19.91	615138	Rotation Down	-88	94
2026-09-04	124.02	141.91	-17.78	734566	Rotation Down	-55	79
2026-08-28	126.33	142.75	-17.76	182688	Rotation Down	-57	74
2026-08-21	130.58	143.44	-15.71	98311	Rotation Down	-43	61
2026-08-14	135.00	143.59	-13.77	70647	Rotation Down	-32	47
2026-08-07	143.29	144.08	-9.58	62856	Rotation Down	-18	36
2026-07-31	140.29	144.47	-11.14	235984	Balance	-19	34
2026-07-24	138.65	145.46	-10.28	49216	Balance	-21	24
2026-07-17	140.53	146.29	-11.63	77892	Balance	-19	14
2026-07-10	145.62	147.17	-8.56	165422	Balance	-6	6
2026-07-03	151.48	147.51	-5.76	271192	Balance	-1	7
2026-06-26	149.72	147.82	-6.60	0	Balance	-1	10
2026-06-19	151.24	148.65	-5.94	226756	Balance	1	9
2026-06-12	144.03	149.60	-9.38	169801	Balance	1	5
2026-06-05	147.05	151.05	-7.04	218688	Rotation Up	3	10
2026-05-29	153.89	152.13	-4.21	1844799	Rotation Up	21	26
2026-05-22	165.20	153.22	1.74	8171468	Rotation Up	29	48
2026-05-15	155.31	154.08	-4.04	2042236	Rotation Up	24	45
2026-05-08	168.26	155.16	1.58	1538096	Rotation Up	37	44
2026-05-01	158.77	156.02	-3.29	1753962	Downward Expansion	7	29
2026-04-24	156.60	157.48	-4.14	1315172	Downward Expansion	-8	20
2026-04-17	155.65	158.83	-6.59	3544048	Downward Expansion	-25	17
2026-04-10	143.25	160.65	-13.12	6660984	Downward Expansion	-60	46
2026-04-03	119.67	163.48	-23.30	1432083	Downward Expansion	-66	77
2026-03-27	113.44	165.59	-28.06	23989701	Downward Expansion	-77	86
2026-03-20	117.45	167.50	-26.94	1016887	Downward Expansion	-77	85
2026-03-13	120.56	169.64	-25.66	974252	Downward Expansion	-77	75
2026-03-06	127.89	171.23	-25.68	1001436	Downward Expansion	-72	53
2026-02-27	136.00	172.76	-23.77	882207	Downward Expansion	-67	44
2026-02-20	144.13	174.09	-20.89	1006261	Downward Expansion	-60	41
2026-02-13	153.47	175.56	-16.28	3749545	Downward Expansion	-58	45
2026-02-06	149.27	177.12	-20.00	1107269	Downward Expansion	-60	58
2026-01-30	147.04	179.11	-21.34	13087042	Downward Expansion	-61	64
2026-01-23	134.99	181.29	-28.25	1052885	Downward Expansion	-81	71
2026-01-16	149.60	183.56	-23.92	802506	Downward Expansion	-71	50
2026-01-09	155.00	185.26	-22.90	1034754	Downward Expansion	-69	47
2026-01-02	169.97	186.89	-19.28	4214700	Downward Expansion	-59	59
2025-12-26	163.56	188.77	-23.08	1271852	Downward Expansion	-63	72
2025-12-19	166.98	189.69	-22.70	3891065	Downward Expansion	-62	71
2025-12-12	155.74	189.87	-29.41	924673	Downward Expansion	-79	77
2025-12-05	160.94	190.43	-28.74	681887	Balance	-70	57
2025-11-28	174.65	190.20	-23.91	497770	Balance	-59	45
2025-11-21	179.51	189.53	-22.59	924164	Balance	-28	28
2025-11-14	187.73	189.06	-19.51	1610665	Balance	-20	18
2025-11-07	179.42	188.43	-22.69	492285	Balance	-19	18
2025-10-31	186.64	187.55	-21.39	648261	Balance	16	14
2025-10-24	190.82	186.94	-20.76	1496517	Balance	25	13
2025-10-17	187.94	186.31	-22.28	784030	Balance	27	12
2025-10-10	193.87	186.06	-19.31	790380	Upward Expansion	48	33
2025-10-03	202.66	184.75	-14.64	1362415	Upward Expansion	52	43
2025-09-26	197.05	183.77	-16.37	3778982	Upward Expansion	41	36
2025-09-19	210.32	182.71	-13.24	4408743	Rotation Up	48	38
2025-09-12	227.94	182.82	-5.44	70956803	Rotation Up	56	31
2025-09-05	183.02	182.40	-23.14	633915	Balance	-17	27
2025-08-29	170.91	185.79	-27.71	394553	Balance	-34	46
2025-08-22	181.43	189.90	-25.02	1107257	Balance	-46	41
2025-08-15	168.46	193.66	-30.05	403238	Balance	-54	42
2025-08-08	173.65	199.59	-27.20	642471	Balance	-38	31
2025-08-01	176.06	205.42	-26.88	835906	Balance	-34	22
2025-07-25	188.12	211.68	-22.84	786161	Balance	-21	14
2025-07-18	200.21	216.76	-18.30	779772	Balance	-2	14
2025-07-11	209.04	221.32	-15.20	1149958	Balance	3	17
2025-07-04	212.48	225.89	-14.73	2679805	Balance	5	21
2025-06-27	202.95	229.67	-19.05	1461365	Balance	-1	25
2025-06-20	200.72	233.95	-18.24	1900918	Downward Expansion	-3	26
2025-06-13	204.01	237.12	-15.65	2130874	Downward Expansion	-7	25
2025-06-06	226.16	240.21	-7.61	8762920	Downward Expansion	1	21
2025-05-30	191.16	243.60	-21.01	9643260	Downward Expansion	-44	37
2025-05-23	172.39	247.54	-29.08	998133	Downward Expansion	-50	49
2025-05-16	172.61	250.71	-29.64	1174208	Downward Expansion	-61	58
2025-05-09	154.00	255.17	-34.82	860656	Downward Expansion	-67	60
2025-05-02	154.57	257.92	-35.78	975408	Downward Expansion	-68	61
2025-04-25	165.52	260.41	-30.74	1396479	Downward Expansion	-61	59
2025-04-18	168.74	262.55	-29.17	956838	Downward Expansion	-62	59
2025-04-11	153.04	265.24	-33.17	1282787	Downward Expansion	-72	64
2025-04-04	168.41	268.94	-27.06	629344	Downward Expansion	-66	74
2025-03-28	171.75	271.83	-27.88	1325119	Downward Expansion	-66	82
2025-03-21	180.43	274.21	-23.90	1333488	Downward Expansion	-68	87
2025-03-14	154.54	276.29	-32.19	1446424	Rotation Down	-80	92
2025-03-07	173.43	277.28	-24.61	1942309	Rotation Down	-52	80
2025-02-28	165.26	277.78	-26.99	1690644	Rotation Down	-54	77
2025-02-21	213.71	278.77	-8.75	925348	Rotation Down	-44	64
2025-02-14	215.26	277.85	-8.66	1767386	Upward Expansion	-45	43
2025-02-07	284.55	276.69	17.33	1255826	Upward Expansion	9	18
2025-01-31	294.20	273.35	21.99	1034614	Upward Expansion	26	18
2025-01-24	294.25	269.96	24.64	849421	Upward Expansion	38	28
2025-01-17	346.44	266.40	46.51	1592603	Upward Expansion	59	45
2025-01-10	348.63	261.44	47.04	1756947	Upward Expansion	61	46
2025-01-03	363.90	256.53	50.69	2551054	Upward Expansion	72	53
2024-12-27	340.42	250.88	42.92	1027333	Upward Expansion	63	49
2024-12-20	337.04	245.49	43.66	2892863	Upward Expansion	63	51
2024-12-13	346.24	240.53	41.40	9177654	Upward Expansion	71	53
2024-12-06	325.69	235.56	34.09	1597877	Upward Expansion	65	50
2024-11-29	331.37	231.15	40.03	2742845	Upward Expansion	72	62
2024-11-22	295.85	226.97	26.79	1181560	Upward Expansion	62	63
2024-11-15	296.59	224.12	29.16	1521793	Upward Expansion	62	63
2024-11-08	328.03	221.08	39.38	5462693	Upward Expansion	77	79
2024-11-01	309.28	217.13	30.96	2698601	Upward Expansion	74	64
2024-10-25	267.54	214.07	13.78	4385841	Upward Expansion	58	42
2024-10-18	306.37	211.66	26.19	18120242	Upward Expansion	79	48
2024-10-11	236.59	207.98	-3.27	931794	Upward Expansion	42	27
2024-10-04	229.25	206.13	-7.25	1384866	Upward Expansion	57	42
2024-09-27	229.57	205.41	-12.04	862889	Upward Expansion	63	66
2024-09-20	249.54	205.02	-3.93	947252	Upward Expansion	64	80
2024-09-13	264.09	203.79	2.60	1975022	Upward Expansion	79	87
2024-09-06	255.14	202.47	0.56	2849920	Rotation Up	80	83
2024-08-30	243.12	201.45	-6.38	3751891	Rotation Up	50	60
2024-08-23	242.91	201.09	-5.55	10779809	Rotation Up	37	30
2024-08-16	184.02	200.88	-27.92	518186	Downward Expansion	-51	25
2024-08-09	188.66	202.80	-26.22	1440754	Downward Expansion	-48	26
2024-08-02	194.80	205.13	-25.46	1261273	Downward Expansion	-51	31
2024-07-26	185.99	207.45	-29.72	966663	Downward Expansion	-55	42
2024-07-19	180.62	209.47	-31.47	518600	Downward Expansion	-64	49
2024-07-12	184.42	211.42	-30.56	690632	Downward Expansion	-60	36
2024-07-05	192.44	213.65	-27.46	873367	Downward Expansion	-40	23
2024-06-28	187.28	215.12	-28.62	730509	Downward Expansion	-49	27
2024-06-21	197.76	216.54	-23.24	693348	Downward Expansion	-51	32
2024-06-14	201.33	218.03	-21.91	985376	Downward Expansion	-55	39
2024-06-07	194.41	219.21	-24.19	818931	Downward Expansion	-57	53
2024-05-31	178.87	220.55	-28.00	638425	Downward Expansion	-70	64
2024-05-24	188.03	222.97	-25.77	3003780	Downward Expansion	-62	45
2024-05-17	197.08	225.21	-20.54	293866	Downward Expansion	-55	34
2024-05-10	193.67	227.65	-20.57	416244	Downward Expansion	-58	33
2024-05-03	205.84	230.29	-17.10	383303	Downward Expansion	-37	21
2024-04-26	210.19	232.47	-14.97	489449	Downward Expansion	-37	20
2024-04-19	205.64	234.63	-15.52	486543	Downward Expansion	-42	26
2024-04-12	209.55	236.86	-15.14	372330	Downward Expansion	-55	35
2024-04-05	217.22	238.93	-11.48	1515390	Downward Expansion	-61	46
2024-03-29	195.50	241.24	-19.10	703140	Downward Expansion	-65	67
2024-03-22	195.99	243.31	-17.56	2466921	Downward Expansion	-67	68
2024-03-15	181.05	244.52	-23.15	1420451	Downward Expansion	-83	76
2024-03-08	207.57	246.32	-13.26	517125	Downward Expansion	-69	61
2024-03-01	217.91	247.09	-7.69	1428803	Downward Expansion	-63	63
2024-02-23	212.47	247.77	-8.78	399351	Downward Expansion	-72	68
2024-02-16	224.69	248.58	-2.06	577723	Downward Expansion	-61	60
2024-02-09	224.34	249.20	-0.19	716966	Balance	-62	54
2024-02-02	232.46	248.92	3.98	613822	Balance	-53	34
2024-01-26	236.47	246.97	9.30	440557	Balance	-13	9
2024-01-19	241.86	245.26	11.54	690457	Deceleration	15	13
2024-01-12	258.39	243.18	18.89	780106	Deceleration	36	22
2024-01-05	264.37	240.73	24.10	1657011	Deceleration	40	23
2023-12-29	246.71	237.60	17.06	634855	Deceleration	20	11
2023-12-22	239.14	234.54	16.88	509591	Deceleration	5	9
2023-12-15	251.21	231.82	23.69	1319718	Deceleration	6	11
2023-12-08	236.61	229.23	20.71	512333	Deceleration	3	17
2023-12-01	229.98	226.44	22.83	339341	Deceleration	-2	17
2023-11-24	242.31	223.64	34.06	616420	Deceleration	9	17
2023-11-17	236.76	220.12	33.22	512724	Deceleration	8	15
2023-11-10	234.73	216.90	36.00	482538	Deceleration	24	17
2023-11-03	251.36	212.57	49.13	374624	Deceleration	39	25
2023-10-27	255.27	207.53	55.38	879891	Upward Expansion	45	33
2023-10-20	270.36	202.15	63.15	656095	Upward Expansion	60	46
2023-10-13	272.74	196.30	65.84	801855	Upward Expansion	62	50

Price vs TrendBelow-20.7%

Trend directionFalling-4.7%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-45.0%

Fair Value directionMoving away-17.1%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-19.0%

Relative strength directionWeakening-13.3%

Price momentumNegative-8.2%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.65×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-84 / ±100

-28.9 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

89 /100

+10.0 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

PRECAM Directional State ↗ PRECAM Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance11

Rotation Up10

Upward Expansion20

Deceleration38

Rotation Down82

Downward Expansion96

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 19%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 19%Deceleration 8%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 42%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-09-18	2026-10-02	New	-5.6%
Rotation Down	2026-08-07	2026-09-11	Developing	-18.5%
Balance	2026-06-12	2026-07-31	Developing	-2.6%
Rotation Up	2026-05-08	2026-06-05	Developing	-12.6%
Downward Expansion	2025-12-12	2026-05-01	Established	+1.9%
Balance	2025-10-17	2025-12-05	Developing	-14.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-09-26	2025-10-10	New	-1.6%
Rotation Up	2025-09-12	2025-09-19	New	-7.7%
Balance	2025-06-27	2025-09-05	Developing	-9.8%
Downward Expansion	2025-03-21	2025-06-20	Established	+11.2%
Rotation Down	2025-02-21	2025-03-14	New	-27.7%
Upward Expansion	2024-09-13	2025-02-14	Established	-18.5%
Rotation Up	2024-08-23	2024-09-06	New	+5.0%
Downward Expansion	2024-02-16	2024-08-16	Extended	-18.1%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing51

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution24

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^NSEI

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 93/100
Current Relative Strength: -19.03
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -8.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -6.9%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 78th percentile113 in cohort

Test PRECAM trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.85×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.65×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore PRECAM Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity INR 115.93falling

Slow Activity INR 135.66falling

Trend Reference INR 138.66-20.7% close margin

Current Fair Value INR 199.93-45.0% close margin

Structural low INR 108.35shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +7.4%

Annualized volatility +41.5%

From structural high -46.6%

From structural low +5.7%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^NSEI	Regime survived	Read
Near term	26	-0.0%-19.4% to +45.7%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-0.6%	+76.9%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	+8.0%-22.6% to +61.2%	+60.0%	+40.0%	+3.8%	+50.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	+10.2%-18.1% to +81.2%	+66.7%	+33.3%	+4.9%	+16.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	-4.2%-34.9% to +48.8%	+33.3%	+66.7%	-8.2%	+33.3%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

PRECAM Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map