Weekly structural research ยท SHH ยท Utilities

600635 Stage Analysis

Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co.,Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close CNY 4.49Tenure NewBenchmark 000001.SS
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: moderate and expanding.
Direction -56โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 51/100directional strength
Maturity 10/100lifecycle context
Confidence 91/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation
Price acceptance -50.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +6.0%CNY 4.24 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-094.494.88-17.7155608672Downward Expansion-5651
2026-10-024.454.94-19.4154964968Downward Expansion-5240
2026-09-254.435.02-20.9296456141Deceleration-5535
2026-09-184.525.08-19.99122888429Downward Expansion-3721
2026-09-114.705.14-16.25150816263Downward Expansion-3521
2026-09-044.725.19-16.6445097284Downward Expansion-3825
2026-08-284.725.24-16.9734444699Downward Expansion-3927
2026-08-214.495.31-19.9722329528Downward Expansion-4429
2026-08-144.625.38-18.0727201185Downward Expansion-4332
2026-08-074.715.47-16.6943172930Downward Expansion-4841
2026-07-314.705.53-14.4653086443Downward Expansion-6355
2026-07-244.365.59-20.1741510849Downward Expansion-6765
2026-07-174.295.66-20.5951271632Downward Expansion-7385
2026-07-104.305.75-24.9043565684Downward Expansion-7690
2026-07-034.495.85-22.6060305754Downward Expansion-7188
2026-06-264.255.98-26.5136010129Downward Expansion-8793
2026-06-194.606.08-21.76123880215Downward Expansion-8284
2026-06-124.786.16-17.5145326956Downward Expansion-7858
2026-06-055.016.22-13.4041420303Downward Expansion-7250
2026-05-295.256.30-10.04800517466Downward Expansion-6241
2026-05-225.646.37-4.18447646842Downward Expansion-5041
2026-05-155.206.39-11.84229148158Downward Expansion-7058
2026-05-085.386.45-9.61122427277Downward Expansion-6570
2026-05-015.296.47-9.44182193883Downward Expansion-6977
2026-04-245.336.46-7.80225032940Downward Expansion-7082
2026-04-175.386.45-5.98140491931Downward Expansion-7181
2026-04-105.426.42-3.41164017278Rotation Down-7279
2026-04-035.246.37-3.76234477669Rotation Down-5667
2026-03-275.866.347.03299501729Rotation Down-4039
2026-03-205.886.286.73335759976Deceleration-4229
2026-03-136.286.2210.65622372453Deceleration-212
2026-03-066.686.1517.451240804056Deceleration414
2026-02-276.306.0610.39182436934Deceleration021
2026-02-136.216.0011.41155761655Deceleration112
2026-02-066.275.9313.48203627344Deceleration59
2026-01-306.415.8615.11454604918Deceleration1812
2026-01-236.785.7721.95414941743Deceleration2315
2026-01-166.635.6821.10565380053Deceleration3217
2026-01-097.065.5829.19601353132Deceleration3522
2026-01-026.545.4725.27369801249Deceleration3223
2025-12-266.635.3828.03462602733Deceleration3922
2025-12-196.425.2927.01499605096Upward Expansion4434
2025-12-126.925.2037.74816658595Upward Expansion5847
2025-12-057.425.1048.201409473623Upward Expansion6152
2025-11-288.234.9866.391689691205Upward Expansion7860
2025-11-217.474.8255.161559221498Upward Expansion7260
2025-11-146.914.6939.401008763960Upward Expansion6561
2025-11-076.604.5833.861221740561Upward Expansion6766
2025-10-317.474.4853.941535503877Upward Expansion8491
2025-10-247.204.3549.581881827539Upward Expansion8895
2025-10-176.244.2434.821865769684Upward Expansion7289
2025-10-107.114.1652.79351483616Upward Expansion9799
2025-10-035.874.0628.23717213473Upward Expansion9395
2025-09-265.153.9914.931648932022Upward Expansion8683
2025-09-195.013.9512.58978111941Upward Expansion9181
2025-09-124.333.92-3.53285410396Upward Expansion7045
2025-09-054.103.91-7.14222697302Upward Expansion5335
2025-08-294.163.91-7.11244487594Upward Expansion5739
2025-08-224.213.89-5.16205685834Upward Expansion6443
2025-08-154.113.88-4.09183420705Upward Expansion5951
2025-08-084.083.87-3.12138371948Upward Expansion6266
2025-08-014.093.85-0.81179094945Upward Expansion6473
2025-07-254.303.843.26315026385Rotation Up8179
2025-07-184.083.85-0.34172422330Rotation Up4058
2025-07-114.163.852.64250238103Balance4050
2025-07-043.933.86-1.76179135069Balance1815
2025-06-273.893.88-0.99156038385Balance-48
2025-06-203.783.89-1.52269277363Balance-1511
2025-06-133.803.90-1.11122412646Balance-2416
2025-06-063.843.920.0885663074Balance-2218
2025-05-303.823.941.07149189882Downward Expansion-2821
2025-05-233.763.97-0.15117583535Downward Expansion-3419
2025-05-163.793.970.40111452518Downward Expansion-3822
2025-05-093.793.961.51174085349Downward Expansion-5436
2025-05-023.653.940.0391509910Downward Expansion-6063
2025-04-253.603.94-1.4893803890Downward Expansion-6269
2025-04-183.513.93-3.10108117494Rotation Down-7272
2025-04-113.523.91-1.43203152885Rotation Down-4656
2025-04-043.773.882.4480416269Deceleration-2936
2025-03-283.783.872.76117993981Deceleration-611
2025-03-213.873.845.12146511518Deceleration208
2025-03-143.963.816.19169738707Deceleration3017
2025-03-073.973.798.61196988251Deceleration2919
2025-02-283.973.7610.78304397781Deceleration2819
2025-02-214.153.7414.27440144472Deceleration3217
2025-02-143.973.7210.69325063573Deceleration710
2025-02-073.943.6811.66196938028Deceleration413
2025-01-313.693.656.7433012740Deceleration-019
2025-01-243.753.618.63152353128Deceleration517
2025-01-173.813.5711.02203668005Deceleration2118
2025-01-103.653.539.16243467045Deceleration2317
2025-01-033.803.5012.40436519867Upward Expansion3824
2024-12-274.413.4723.76427120688Upward Expansion5841
2024-12-204.243.4220.80235208457Upward Expansion5641
2024-12-134.463.3726.61514685388Upward Expansion6346
2024-12-064.553.3229.39784260695Upward Expansion6849
2024-11-294.173.2622.20420256867Upward Expansion6050
2024-11-224.123.2223.52353829564Upward Expansion6578
2024-11-154.243.1825.22734399978Upward Expansion6681
2024-11-084.553.1330.25892172702Upward Expansion8488
2024-11-014.743.0844.031396268387Upward Expansion9285
2024-10-253.773.0214.41217744081Upward Expansion7167
2024-10-183.382.994.09227467835Upward Expansion5351
2024-10-113.342.974.33393289092Upward Expansion5238
2024-10-043.582.957.80132502965Balance6330
2024-09-273.262.936.24266973532Balance4118
2024-09-202.842.924.1985766738Balance1812
2024-09-132.812.924.36374300493Balance2012
2024-09-063.372.9222.60374192012Upward Expansion5326
2024-08-302.982.905.90174878607Upward Expansion3718
2024-08-232.972.905.06272934388Upward Expansion5538
2024-08-163.102.898.66372951320Upward Expansion6065
2024-08-093.172.8911.82694742803Upward Expansion5957
2024-08-023.492.8821.46976024461Rotation Up8061
2024-07-263.472.8621.74328860775Rotation Up4543
2024-07-192.852.84-2.63121998499Downward Expansion-3324
2024-07-122.792.85-4.7296069005Downward Expansion-6159
2024-07-052.632.86-9.5636683315Downward Expansion-7280
2024-06-282.632.87-10.2350270655Downward Expansion-7880
2024-06-212.662.89-10.3049847505Downward Expansion-7574
2024-06-142.702.90-10.1843084339Balance-7062
2024-06-072.782.91-8.3575173730Balance-5938
2024-05-312.832.92-7.9751185788Balance-4217
2024-05-242.872.93-6.5781386941Balance-219
2024-05-172.922.94-7.12147626082Balance-127
2024-05-102.902.94-7.8299494822Downward Expansion-3116
2024-05-032.852.95-7.8537254777Downward Expansion-3617
2024-04-262.852.97-7.2969732731Downward Expansion-4419
2024-04-192.852.98-6.50104547519Downward Expansion-3516
2024-04-122.932.99-2.39121276191Downward Expansion-3013
2024-04-052.883.00-5.4442765651Downward Expansion-3417
2024-03-292.843.02-5.8565223755Downward Expansion-3920
2024-03-222.903.03-4.1174164749Downward Expansion-3519
2024-03-152.893.05-4.5971614182Downward Expansion-3823
2024-03-082.843.07-5.9157784434Downward Expansion-5031
2024-03-012.863.09-4.6784442825Downward Expansion-5439
2024-02-232.863.10-3.9582989125Downward Expansion-5641
2024-02-092.863.110.73115901871Downward Expansion-5844
2024-02-022.683.13-1.0182015450Downward Expansion-8267
2024-01-262.953.142.5094911819Downward Expansion-5946
2024-01-192.843.151.3459892925Downward Expansion-7364
2024-01-122.953.163.9052813992Downward Expansion-6156
2024-01-052.933.171.7344508475Downward Expansion-6552
2023-12-292.963.181.2954606268Downward Expansion-6448
2023-12-222.953.193.13100882940Downward Expansion-6746
2023-12-153.083.206.72165061043Downward Expansion-5434
2023-12-083.033.214.2587014611Downward Expansion-6036
2023-12-013.043.212.5781319266Downward Expansion-5736
2023-11-243.053.212.70163667187Downward Expansion-5845
2023-11-173.133.204.98149105188Rotation Down-5641
2023-11-103.023.202.04110334007Rotation Down-3953
2023-11-032.983.201.04142762780Rotation Down-4656
2023-10-273.183.198.2081842462Rotation Down-1836
2023-10-203.073.195.9173917275Deceleration-3240
2023-10-133.113.193.7666314436Deceleration-815
2023-09-293.213.186.3347220078Deceleration611
Price vs TrendBelow-8.1%
Trend directionFalling-11.6%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+6.0%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+1.8%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-17.7%
Relative strength directionImproving+7.2%
Price momentumNegative-17.2%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.60ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-56 / ยฑ100

-21.0 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

51 /100

+29.9 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance34
Rotation Up17
Upward Expansion8
Deceleration44
Rotation Down58
Downward Expansion79

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 10%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 25%Deceleration 19%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 39%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-10-022026-10-09New+0.9%
Deceleration2026-09-252026-09-25New+0.0%
Downward Expansion2026-04-172026-09-18Established-16.0%
Rotation Down2026-03-272026-04-10New-7.5%
Deceleration2025-12-262026-03-20Developing-11.3%
Upward Expansion2025-08-012025-12-19Established+57.0%
Rotation Up2025-07-182025-07-25New+5.3%
Balance2025-06-062025-07-11Developing+8.5%
Downward Expansion2025-04-252025-05-30Developing+6.1%
Rotation Down2025-04-112025-04-18New-0.3%
Deceleration2025-01-102025-04-04Established+3.3%
Upward Expansion2024-10-112025-01-03Established+13.6%
Balance2024-09-132024-10-04New+27.6%
Upward Expansion2024-08-092024-09-06Developing+6.2%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing55
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution18
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
94/100
Current Relative Strength
-17.71
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-17.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-12.8%
Utilities regime cohort
70th percentile43 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.57ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.60ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+37.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 4.49falling
Slow Activity CNY 4.67falling
Trend Reference CNY 4.88-8.1% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 4.24+6.0% close margin
Structural low CNY 4.17shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +4.4%
Annualized volatility +28.5%
From structural high -46.5%
From structural low +7.8%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 000001.SS Regime survived Read
Near term28-0.5%-9.9% to +19.8%+50.0%+50.0%-1.0%+78.6%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate10-2.5%-20.3% to +19.6%+40.0%+60.0%-3.0%+40.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended6+2.6%-14.7% to +100.1%+50.0%+50.0%+0.9%+0.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4+22.9%-5.2% to +47.0%+75.0%+25.0%+15.3%+50.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context