Weekly structural research ยท NSI ยท Basic Materials

PLASTIBLEN Stage Analysis

Plastiblends India Limited

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close INR 202.99Tenure NewBenchmark ^NSEI
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Deceleration ยท Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
Direction 69โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 42/100directional strength
Maturity 55/100lifecycle context
Confidence 61/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance +33.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -8.1%INR 220.83 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-09-25202.99170.7528.06280062Deceleration6942
2026-09-18186.63168.8817.1156686Upward Expansion4230
2026-09-11192.78167.7220.81168644Upward Expansion6244
2026-09-04187.91166.4515.44125831Upward Expansion5849
2026-08-28189.56165.3915.11110486Upward Expansion6361
2026-08-21191.54164.0615.9829163Upward Expansion6478
2026-08-14196.17162.6218.3144465Upward Expansion7885
2026-08-07194.71161.2816.5840091Upward Expansion7984
2026-07-31183.34160.0310.6521690Upward Expansion6678
2026-07-24186.01159.4515.1375608Upward Expansion6670
2026-07-17195.58158.7018.23110376Upward Expansion8578
2026-07-10182.77157.5811.0726062Upward Expansion7361
2026-07-03176.02156.936.4736346Upward Expansion6450
2026-06-26176.34156.527.320Upward Expansion6755
2026-06-19173.52156.295.578290Upward Expansion6352
2026-06-12174.20156.107.4632926Rotation Up6652
2026-06-05172.92156.027.607383Rotation Up3840
2026-05-29172.02156.095.83146512Rotation Up3957
2026-05-22169.81156.383.33109888Rotation Up3052
2026-05-15163.02156.69-0.66196940Rotation Up2542
2026-05-08177.52157.165.56290608Downward Expansion4345
2026-05-01167.22157.370.191277496Downward Expansion423
2026-04-24152.63158.07-8.3029866Downward Expansion-2621
2026-04-17153.36159.17-9.9635764Downward Expansion-3932
2026-04-10141.49160.53-16.2239696Downward Expansion-6456
2026-04-03129.52162.35-19.1842005Downward Expansion-7180
2026-03-27126.51164.53-21.89104369Downward Expansion-8390
2026-03-20133.82166.60-18.88114749Downward Expansion-7683
2026-03-13134.56168.50-19.1148880Downward Expansion-8180
2026-03-06138.00170.29-21.9363070Downward Expansion-8160
2026-02-27146.80172.04-19.9834956Downward Expansion-7150
2026-02-20152.01173.41-18.9824031Downward Expansion-6248
2026-02-13154.57174.82-17.9255214Downward Expansion-6252
2026-02-06156.07176.35-18.4330830Downward Expansion-6361
2026-01-30149.71178.09-21.3321702Downward Expansion-7375
2026-01-23148.42180.09-21.9137012Downward Expansion-8166
2026-01-16156.03182.05-20.7043625Downward Expansion-7357
2026-01-09157.14183.65-20.8658602Downward Expansion-7557
2026-01-02166.03185.14-19.2632055Downward Expansion-6352
2025-12-26163.42186.85-20.4119644Downward Expansion-6662
2025-12-19161.88188.55-21.6616834Downward Expansion-7265
2025-12-12163.26189.60-21.9839001Downward Expansion-7371
2025-12-05163.76190.59-22.9327584Downward Expansion-7575
2025-11-28169.62190.96-21.1426025Downward Expansion-6871
2025-11-21167.72191.38-22.2927744Downward Expansion-7775
2025-11-14171.79192.12-20.5132789Downward Expansion-7370
2025-11-07174.94192.57-18.4138791Downward Expansion-7172
2025-10-31180.85192.53-17.1332473Downward Expansion-6268
2025-10-24179.09192.53-18.7725499Balance-6769
2025-10-17177.15192.49-19.9386438Balance-4657
2025-10-10183.62193.05-16.3551667Balance-3538
2025-10-03188.41192.98-13.6534032Balance-2617
2025-09-26185.54193.19-14.9042255Balance-139
2025-09-19194.25193.26-14.0267837Balance25
2025-09-12196.00193.51-13.2962921Balance-16
2025-09-05194.84193.73-13.4875434Balance-1522
2025-08-29188.62194.81-16.1719186Balance-2033
2025-08-22190.95196.10-17.7460443Balance-2531
2025-08-15188.20197.12-18.9822256Balance-2729
2025-08-08190.47198.48-17.7676976Balance-3125
2025-08-01187.99200.14-20.2289244Balance-1515
2025-07-25194.29201.98-19.2280487Balance-04
2025-07-18200.40203.51-17.84167854Balance1212
2025-07-11208.27204.85-15.91127349Balance1617
2025-07-04209.77206.52-17.0390313Balance1818
2025-06-27207.10208.73-19.2480626Balance-325
2025-06-20204.09209.99-19.1879736Balance-221
2025-06-13201.87210.88-19.28136962Balance-422
2025-06-06217.45212.19-14.53230106Balance823
2025-05-30214.33213.55-15.21304582Downward Expansion-1013
2025-05-23193.32214.73-24.1550022Downward Expansion-4027
2025-05-16193.06216.31-25.1961655Downward Expansion-4431
2025-05-09174.91218.89-29.8743051Downward Expansion-6644
2025-05-02182.10222.71-28.5559174Downward Expansion-6145
2025-04-25189.95226.31-25.1372678Downward Expansion-5947
2025-04-18185.16230.05-26.9642351Downward Expansion-6354
2025-04-11173.95234.11-28.7972164Downward Expansion-7158
2025-04-04180.66239.37-26.82118968Downward Expansion-6858
2025-03-28178.08244.55-30.27252919Downward Expansion-7362
2025-03-21193.79250.45-23.9192322Downward Expansion-6570
2025-03-14181.69254.52-25.95149712Downward Expansion-7781
2025-03-07194.47257.92-21.6082950Downward Expansion-7078
2025-02-28187.76261.44-23.2134768Downward Expansion-8077
2025-02-21201.68265.39-20.3737607Downward Expansion-7463
2025-02-14202.74268.85-20.8642100Downward Expansion-7865
2025-02-07227.18271.98-14.2536367Downward Expansion-6252
2025-01-31227.18274.66-14.6051085Downward Expansion-6356
2025-01-24221.61276.81-15.7553177Downward Expansion-7262
2025-01-17229.09278.11-13.98106425Downward Expansion-6752
2025-01-10240.27279.38-11.1867209Downward Expansion-6048
2025-01-03243.24280.11-12.7591889Downward Expansion-5738
2024-12-27240.10280.25-13.8635269Downward Expansion-5131
2024-12-20240.70280.38-13.2652328Downward Expansion-5231
2024-12-13258.42280.69-11.7673122Downward Expansion-4431
2024-12-06275.87280.75-5.9463132Downward Expansion-5741
2024-11-29245.07279.94-14.9849054Rotation Down-6159
2024-11-22230.67280.72-19.8922639Rotation Down-4558
2024-11-15241.20281.87-15.7024626Rotation Down-4159
2024-11-08258.21282.30-12.6344923Rotation Down-2653
2024-11-01249.87282.45-16.6328504Rotation Down-3254
2024-10-25240.77283.16-19.7145042Balance-3945
2024-10-18270.27282.67-12.80145477Balance-619
2024-10-11289.55281.60-7.3486828Upward Expansion1919
2024-10-04290.24279.56-7.4853794Upward Expansion2917
2024-09-27302.00278.42-7.97106529Upward Expansion5130
2024-09-20306.84276.96-5.1298255Upward Expansion5845
2024-09-13331.80275.654.42151073Upward Expansion6164
2024-09-06336.05273.878.212294240Upward Expansion6854
2024-08-30355.03272.3512.971511860Upward Expansion8456
2024-08-23316.04270.402.57522937Upward Expansion7145
2024-08-16283.62269.88-6.75119162Upward Expansion5942
2024-08-09300.12270.09-0.60253333Upward Expansion6365
2024-08-02306.25270.170.15204729Rotation Up6876
2024-07-26305.41270.75-0.41169756Rotation Up4568
2024-07-19296.67270.12-1.81621568Rotation Up4162
2024-07-12307.58269.662.13523559Rotation Up4359
2024-07-05291.74269.15-1.96326219Balance3431
2024-06-28260.60269.44-10.9667264Balance-1811
2024-06-21267.18271.07-6.59116537Balance-1510
2024-06-14262.31272.44-7.90123567Downward Expansion-4728
2024-06-07247.20273.21-12.3276881Downward Expansion-5335
2024-05-31244.08275.04-10.3549538Downward Expansion-5936
2024-05-24249.98275.78-9.6653282Downward Expansion-5226
2024-05-17260.36276.07-3.5351137Downward Expansion-3216
2024-05-10251.54276.05-4.6661822Downward Expansion-3919
2024-05-03268.45276.100.24160787Downward Expansion-3122
2024-04-26265.28274.56-0.26107720Downward Expansion-3426
2024-04-19254.12273.41-2.7976849Rotation Down-4327
2024-04-12262.50272.48-0.79115574Rotation Down-3028
2024-04-05271.27271.313.04232882Rotation Down-3548
2024-03-29226.09269.73-12.92129981Rotation Down-4970
2024-03-22238.08269.92-7.0797289Rotation Down-4466
2024-03-15228.48269.55-10.17188358Rotation Down-4462
2024-03-08256.07269.29-1.15110082Deceleration-2943
2024-03-01257.92268.040.69116132Deceleration-921
2024-02-23267.67266.755.58116660Deceleration-010
2024-02-16278.44264.7911.33116067Deceleration2814
2024-02-09290.48262.6018.29178449Deceleration3821
2024-02-02296.52259.1421.29182408Upward Expansion5029
2024-01-26300.52255.5426.90539399Upward Expansion5437
2024-01-19289.94251.8222.10311126Upward Expansion5337
2024-01-12302.52248.1426.831029257Deceleration5539
2024-01-05323.47244.0337.86821189Deceleration7245
2023-12-29286.68239.1423.19156466Upward Expansion4534
2023-12-22282.63235.2824.47274551Upward Expansion5948
2023-12-15292.43231.2929.12139046Upward Expansion6458
2023-12-08300.32226.9636.68250842Upward Expansion6667
2023-12-01309.68222.4347.15318356Upward Expansion7785
2023-11-24308.27217.6951.58321717Upward Expansion8285
2023-11-17285.21212.6542.18296892Upward Expansion7276
2023-11-10302.08208.2454.241358774Upward Expansion8887
2023-11-03266.30203.3738.69567805Upward Expansion7478
2023-10-27258.65199.6036.82279870Upward Expansion7167
2023-10-20259.97195.7834.76835421Upward Expansion7864
2023-10-13253.00191.8830.381409436Upward Expansion7550
2023-10-06222.20188.4015.18120733Upward Expansion5640
Price vs TrendAbove+18.9%
Trend directionRising+7.6%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-8.1%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+12.9%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+28.1%
Relative strength directionImproving+20.7%
Price momentumPositive+60.5%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.47ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

69 / ยฑ100

+6.4 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

42 /100

-19.2 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance37
Rotation Up45
Upward Expansion74
Deceleration74
Rotation Down25
Downward Expansion5

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 17%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 26%Deceleration 5%Rotation Down 7%Downward Expansion 40%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Deceleration2026-09-252026-09-25New+0.0%
Upward Expansion2026-06-192026-09-18Established+7.6%
Rotation Up2026-05-152026-06-12Developing+6.9%
Downward Expansion2025-10-312026-05-08Extended-1.8%
Balance2025-06-062025-10-24Established-17.6%
Downward Expansion2024-12-062025-05-30Established-22.3%
Rotation Down2024-11-012024-11-29Developing-1.9%
Balance2024-10-182024-10-25New-10.9%
Upward Expansion2024-08-092024-10-11Developing-3.5%
Rotation Up2024-07-122024-08-02New-0.4%
Balance2024-06-212024-07-05New+9.2%
Downward Expansion2024-04-262024-06-14Developing-1.1%
Rotation Down2024-03-152024-04-19Developing+11.2%
Deceleration2024-02-092024-03-08Developing-11.8%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing40
Stage 2 ยท Advancing44
Stage 3 ยท Distribution31
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 1 ยท Stage 1C ยท Breakout watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^NSEI

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
92/100
Current Relative Strength
28.06
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+60.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+59.0%
Basic Materials regime cohort
98th percentile48 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume3.44ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.47ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity INR 193.68rising
Slow Activity INR 182.00rising
Trend Reference INR 170.75+18.9% close margin
Current Fair Value INR 220.83-8.1% close margin
Structural low INR 121.01shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +6.2%
Annualized volatility +31.5%
From structural high -3.2%
From structural low +67.7%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^NSEI Regime survived Read
Near term5-3.3%-11.8% to +5.9%+40.0%+40.0%-7.5%+20.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate3-16.1%-16.7% to -12.1%+0.0%+0.0%-19.3%+0.0%Too little matched history
Extended3-19.9%-21.7% to -9.8%+0.0%+0.0%-20.2%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle3-13.9%-24.8% to +36.1%+33.3%+33.3%-16.5%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context