Weekly structural research · MEX · Industrials

PASAB Stage Analysis

Promotora Ambiental, S.A.B. de C.V.

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close MXN 42.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^MXX

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and expanding.

Direction 93−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 83/100directional strength

Maturity 15/100lifecycle context

Confidence 70/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation

Price acceptance +33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +11.3%MXN 37.75 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	42.00	39.61	9.13	280	Upward Expansion	93	83
2026-09-18	40.00	39.50	6.71	0	Upward Expansion	58	51
2026-09-11	40.00	39.46	5.83	0	Upward Expansion	61	56
2026-09-04	40.00	39.42	4.33	0	Upward Expansion	64	79
2026-08-28	40.00	39.38	3.31	198	Upward Expansion	64	83
2026-08-21	40.00	39.34	2.80	0	Deceleration	73	66
2026-08-14	40.00	39.29	4.82	0	Deceleration	60	39
2026-08-07	40.00	39.25	0.74	0	Deceleration	53	31
2026-07-31	40.00	39.21	0.56	500	Rotation Down	53	33
2026-07-24	39.00	39.16	-1.42	0	Rotation Down	11	24
2026-07-17	40.00	39.15	0.43	0	Upward Expansion	65	67
2026-07-10	40.00	39.10	0.33	0	Upward Expansion	66	68
2026-07-03	40.00	39.05	-0.79	0	Upward Expansion	67	69
2026-06-26	40.00	39.00	-1.22	0	Upward Expansion	69	72
2026-06-19	40.00	38.97	-2.13	0	Upward Expansion	72	90
2026-06-12	40.00	38.88	-2.75	0	Upward Expansion	74	91
2026-06-05	40.00	38.84	-0.37	0	Upward Expansion	90	97
2026-05-29	40.00	38.81	-4.13	1500	Upward Expansion	96	98
2026-05-22	39.90	38.74	-4.29	0	Upward Expansion	95	98
2026-05-15	39.90	38.68	-4.04	176	Upward Expansion	93	97
2026-05-08	38.75	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2026-05-01	38.75	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2026-04-24	38.75	—	—	606	Not yet classified	—	—
2026-04-17	38.75	—	—	100	Not yet classified	—	—
2026-04-10	38.75	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2026-04-03	38.75	38.50	-11.01	0	Upward Expansion	57	85
2026-03-27	38.75	38.47	-7.34	0	Upward Expansion	57	85
2026-03-20	38.75	38.45	-4.00	110	Upward Expansion	57	85
2026-03-13	38.75	38.42	-6.48	0	Upward Expansion	57	85
2026-03-06	38.75	38.40	-9.11	0	Upward Expansion	63	87
2026-02-27	38.75	38.37	-14.63	100	Upward Expansion	64	86
2026-02-20	38.75	38.38	-15.08	0	Upward Expansion	60	67
2026-02-13	38.75	38.39	-15.55	0	Upward Expansion	57	43
2026-02-06	38.75	38.40	-15.16	0	Upward Expansion	60	53
2026-01-30	38.75	38.40	-11.59	100	Upward Expansion	61	50
2026-01-23	38.75	38.38	-12.80	0	Upward Expansion	62	51
2026-01-16	38.75	38.35	-11.88	0	Upward Expansion	65	59
2026-01-09	38.75	38.33	-10.92	182	Upward Expansion	68	56
2026-01-02	38.65	38.34	-8.96	0	Rotation Up	64	43
2025-12-26	38.65	38.35	-11.48	400	Rotation Up	35	30
2025-12-19	38.50	38.36	-10.00	0	Rotation Up	23	33
2025-12-12	38.50	38.38	-11.45	0	Rotation Up	17	12
2025-12-05	38.50	38.39	-9.95	100	Rotation Up	20	23
2025-11-28	38.86	38.41	-9.77	302	Rotation Up	45	41
2025-11-21	37.50	38.42	-10.94	906	Rotation Down	-37	34
2025-11-14	38.86	38.42	-8.81	0	Rotation Up	59	85
2025-11-07	38.86	38.29	-10.69	857	Rotation Up	51	62
2025-10-31	38.10	38.16	-11.93	400	Balance	-14	44
2025-10-24	38.05	38.06	-10.11	0	Balance	-18	54
2025-10-17	38.05	38.02	-11.28	0	Deceleration	-21	59
2025-10-10	38.05	37.98	-9.81	200	Deceleration	-6	62
2025-10-03	38.00	37.94	-12.22	0	Deceleration	-5	32
2025-09-26	38.00	37.90	-12.94	0	Deceleration	-7	41
2025-09-19	38.00	37.86	-11.63	0	Deceleration	-9	62
2025-09-12	38.00	37.86	-12.74	147	Deceleration	-8	44
2025-09-05	38.00	37.86	-11.11	0	Deceleration	-7	41
2025-08-29	38.00	37.86	-8.71	0	Deceleration	-11	43
2025-08-22	38.00	37.86	-9.68	202	Deceleration	-8	33
2025-08-15	38.00	37.86	-8.45	0	Upward Expansion	24	27
2025-08-08	38.00	37.86	-8.18	200	Upward Expansion	49	77
2025-08-01	39.00	37.86	-3.99	0	Upward Expansion	78	92
2025-07-25	39.00	37.83	-4.80	0	Deceleration	81	90
2025-07-18	39.00	37.80	-3.13	0	Deceleration	63	41
2025-07-11	39.00	37.76	-3.72	153	Deceleration	57	39
2025-07-04	38.00	37.73	-8.38	0	Deceleration	36	36
2025-06-27	38.00	37.73	-7.58	0	Deceleration	44	35
2025-06-20	38.00	37.76	-5.84	200	Rotation Up	51	49
2025-06-13	39.00	37.80	-5.40	0	Rotation Up	38	70
2025-06-06	39.00	37.80	-6.49	0	Rotation Up	40	78
2025-05-30	39.00	37.80	-6.20	199	Rotation Up	32	76
2025-05-23	39.00	37.79	-7.15	0	Rotation Up	35	57
2025-05-16	39.00	37.77	-6.51	0	Rotation Up	45	61
2025-05-09	39.00	37.74	-4.11	0	Rotation Up	37	49
2025-05-02	39.00	37.71	-2.76	2000	Rotation Up	-7	14
2025-04-25	37.50	37.67	-7.91	300	Rotation Down	-51	62
2025-04-18	35.00	37.69	-8.04	0	Rotation Down	-94	78
2025-04-11	35.00	37.79	-5.38	0	Rotation Down	-98	79
2025-04-04	35.00	37.88	-5.27	1200	Downward Expansion	-99	79
2025-03-28	37.00	37.98	-3.03	2360	Downward Expansion	-67	89
2025-03-21	36.86	38.01	-2.39	0	Downward Expansion	-86	95
2025-03-14	36.86	38.05	-1.97	0	Downward Expansion	-95	98
2025-03-07	36.86	38.09	-2.50	0	Downward Expansion	-95	98
2025-02-28	36.86	38.13	-1.51	416	Rotation Down	-93	94
2025-02-21	38.00	38.16	-1.07	0	Rotation Down	-26	45
2025-02-14	38.00	38.16	-1.59	0	Rotation Down	-27	66
2025-02-07	38.00	38.16	0.87	974	Rotation Down	-20	66
2025-01-31	38.00	38.13	4.25	0	Rotation Down	-25	51
2025-01-24	38.00	38.10	4.25	0	Rotation Down	-27	67
2025-01-17	38.00	38.06	7.46	459	Rotation Down	-27	53
2025-01-10	38.00	38.03	8.49	0	Deceleration	-29	51
2025-01-03	38.00	38.00	10.21	0	Deceleration	-9	46
2024-12-27	38.00	37.96	9.81	0	Deceleration	-5	44
2024-12-20	38.00	37.96	9.54	105	Deceleration	-3	38
2024-12-13	38.00	37.96	5.67	0	Upward Expansion	16	30
2024-12-06	38.00	37.96	6.65	208	Upward Expansion	43	58
2024-11-29	39.00	37.96	13.36	0	Upward Expansion	77	92
2024-11-22	39.00	37.93	12.63	0	Upward Expansion	87	95
2024-11-15	39.00	37.90	13.13	0	Upward Expansion	98	79
2024-11-08	39.00	37.86	10.71	3992	Upward Expansion	100	100
2024-11-01	38.65	37.83	12.90	0	Upward Expansion	100	100
2024-10-25	38.65	37.81	10.94	614	Upward Expansion	99	99
2024-10-18	38.00	37.79	6.93	0	Upward Expansion	78	92
2024-10-11	38.00	37.79	8.53	0	Upward Expansion	68	60
2024-10-04	38.00	37.74	8.47	0	Upward Expansion	70	59
2024-09-27	38.00	37.74	8.51	793	Upward Expansion	62	67
2024-09-20	37.90	37.73	9.85	0	Upward Expansion	47	58
2024-09-13	37.90	37.73	10.69	0	Rotation Up	52	61
2024-09-06	37.90	37.72	13.19	0	Rotation Up	28	71
2024-08-30	37.90	37.69	9.83	200	Upward Expansion	37	51
2024-08-23	38.00	37.66	9.42	500	Upward Expansion	57	83
2024-08-16	38.00	37.63	8.87	1000	Rotation Up	58	83
2024-08-09	38.00	37.60	11.76	200	Rotation Up	67	67
2024-08-02	38.00	37.56	14.34	0	Rotation Up	45	57
2024-07-26	38.00	37.53	13.74	0	Deceleration	32	43
2024-07-19	38.00	37.50	12.57	120	Deceleration	8	29
2024-07-12	37.00	37.40	7.62	0	Rotation Down	-40	79
2024-07-05	37.00	37.30	13.47	0	Rotation Down	-31	76
2024-06-28	37.00	37.10	13.84	0	Rotation Down	-50	82
2024-06-21	37.00	36.90	13.66	120	Rotation Down	-41	79
2024-06-14	37.00	36.70	15.60	0	Rotation Down	-31	48
2024-06-07	37.00	36.50	14.71	294	Rotation Down	6	16
2024-05-31	38.00	36.26	14.20	0	Deceleration	56	62
2024-05-24	38.00	35.99	15.17	0	Deceleration	57	63
2024-05-17	38.00	35.72	12.35	100	Upward Expansion	63	66
2024-05-10	38.00	35.45	13.55	0	Upward Expansion	64	66
2024-05-03	38.00	35.17	16.30	0	Upward Expansion	66	67
2024-04-26	38.00	34.90	16.56	0	Upward Expansion	67	68
2024-04-19	38.00	34.63	22.42	268	Upward Expansion	67	87
2024-04-12	38.00	34.36	22.75	0	Upward Expansion	77	89
2024-04-05	38.00	34.10	21.36	0	Upward Expansion	85	94
2024-03-29	38.00	33.83	24.70	0	Upward Expansion	91	97
2024-03-22	38.00	33.56	28.30	1402	Upward Expansion	89	75
2024-03-15	36.67	33.20	26.59	3003	Upward Expansion	67	75
2024-03-08	37.80	32.81	35.56	0	Upward Expansion	70	69
2024-03-01	37.80	32.38	36.35	0	Upward Expansion	73	70
2024-02-23	37.80	32.09	35.92	1724	Upward Expansion	80	73
2024-02-16	37.80	31.80	37.03	201	Upward Expansion	85	74
2024-02-09	37.00	31.51	35.89	0	Upward Expansion	66	68
2024-02-02	37.00	31.24	35.93	0	Upward Expansion	67	71
2024-01-26	37.00	30.98	41.45	0	Upward Expansion	69	89
2024-01-19	37.00	30.71	47.49	10353	Upward Expansion	75	91
2024-01-12	37.00	30.38	49.70	0	Upward Expansion	85	95
2024-01-05	37.00	30.05	50.80	3546	Upward Expansion	97	95
2023-12-29	37.00	29.54	50.26	20143	Upward Expansion	100	80
2023-12-22	35.00	28.82	44.65	6302	Upward Expansion	100	100
2023-12-15	34.00	28.14	43.09	30800	Upward Expansion	100	100
2023-12-08	31.00	27.48	38.99	250611	Upward Expansion	77	92
2023-12-01	31.00	26.90	42.16	31998	Upward Expansion	88	96
2023-11-24	31.00	26.31	46.79	36363	Upward Expansion	87	90
2023-11-17	31.00	25.72	49.71	90522	Upward Expansion	90	75
2023-11-10	29.90	25.12	50.70	0	Upward Expansion	57	63
2023-11-03	29.90	24.56	53.00	0	Upward Expansion	54	60
2023-10-27	29.90	24.01	62.64	20201	Upward Expansion	65	65
2023-10-20	29.79	23.46	67.12	307	Upward Expansion	64	66
2023-10-13	29.79	22.91	66.10	0	Upward Expansion	66	69
2023-10-06	29.79	22.36	67.70	100	Upward Expansion	67	88

Price vs TrendAbove+6.0%

Trend directionRising+1.2%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+11.3%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+2.6%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+9.1%

Relative strength directionImproving+10.4%

Price momentumPositive+8.4%

Volume balanceDemand-led5.00×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

93 / ±100

+29.6 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

83 /100

-0.4 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

PASAB Directional State ↗ PASAB Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance25

Rotation Up78

Upward Expansion84

Deceleration57

Rotation Down8

Downward Expansion15

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 151 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 1%Rotation Up 14%Upward Expansion 52%Deceleration 17%Rotation Down 13%Downward Expansion 3%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-08-28	2026-09-25	Developing	+5.0%
Deceleration	2026-08-07	2026-08-21	New	+0.0%
Rotation Down	2026-07-24	2026-07-31	New	+2.6%
Upward Expansion	2026-01-09	2026-07-17	Established	+3.2%
Rotation Up	2025-11-28	2026-01-02	Developing	-0.5%
Rotation Down	2025-11-21	2025-11-21	New	+0.0%
Rotation Up	2025-11-07	2025-11-14	New	+0.0%
Balance	2025-10-24	2025-10-31	New	+0.1%
Deceleration	2025-08-22	2025-10-17	Developing	+0.1%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-01	2025-08-15	New	-2.6%
Deceleration	2025-06-27	2025-07-25	Developing	+2.6%
Rotation Up	2025-05-02	2025-06-20	Developing	-2.6%
Rotation Down	2025-04-11	2025-04-25	New	+7.1%
Downward Expansion	2025-03-07	2025-04-04	Developing	-5.0%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing35

Stage 2 · Advancing96

Stage 3 · Distribution69

Stage 4 · Declining4

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^MXX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 93/100
Current Relative Strength: 9.13
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +8.4%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +10.9%
Industrials regime cohort: 55th percentile11 in cohort

Test PASAB trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume2.11×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume5.00×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore PASAB Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity MXN 40.67rising

Slow Activity MXN 39.93rising

Trend Reference MXN 39.61+6.0% close margin

Current Fair Value MXN 37.75+11.3% close margin

Structural low MXN 38.75shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +0.7%

Annualized volatility +9.2%

From structural high +0.0%

From structural low +12.0%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^MXX	Regime survived	Read
Near term	37	+0.0%-13.8% to +20.0%	+40.5%	+40.5%	+0.3%	+78.4%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	14	+0.8%-6.2% to +16.9%	+64.3%	+64.3%	+3.8%	+57.1%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	8	+4.6%-7.0% to +25.0%	+62.5%	+62.5%	+9.1%	+62.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+23.8%+0.3% to +109.8%	+100.0%	+100.0%	+27.5%	+50.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

PASAB Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map