Weekly structural research · SHZ · Industrials

300988 Stage Analysis

TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close CNY 16.00Tenure NewBenchmark 399001.SZ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Balance · Balance after decline

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction -7−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 20/100directional strength

Maturity 29/100lifecycle context

Confidence 60/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance +33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +7.2%CNY 14.93 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	16.00	16.90	3.77	8387703	Balance	-7	20
2026-10-02	16.28	17.05	3.72	12014704	Downward Expansion	-6	17
2026-09-25	16.36	17.17	0.96	15439787	Downward Expansion	-22	22
2026-09-18	15.70	17.29	-5.46	13271820	Downward Expansion	-37	24
2026-09-11	14.91	17.43	-9.34	15729157	Downward Expansion	-41	32
2026-09-04	15.64	17.53	-5.65	3438352	Downward Expansion	-44	35
2026-08-28	14.88	17.60	-13.26	2481640	Downward Expansion	-48	44
2026-08-21	14.66	17.75	-15.80	2324324	Downward Expansion	-60	50
2026-08-14	14.87	17.87	-16.57	2596259	Downward Expansion	-63	57
2026-08-07	14.95	17.94	-16.32	4300368	Downward Expansion	-66	75
2026-07-31	13.92	17.98	-18.26	4992641	Downward Expansion	-73	85
2026-07-24	14.18	18.06	-18.32	7993209	Downward Expansion	-72	83
2026-07-17	13.83	18.13	-20.35	6990205	Downward Expansion	-82	85
2026-07-10	14.81	18.24	-22.70	3806692	Rotation Down	-78	79
2026-07-03	16.19	18.30	-18.95	4414930	Rotation Down	-39	63
2026-06-26	15.31	18.33	-24.75	4096110	Rotation Down	-49	64
2026-06-19	17.73	18.34	-14.90	22460584	Rotation Down	-17	31
2026-06-12	16.49	18.36	-15.59	4863922	Upward Expansion	-30	30
2026-06-05	17.55	18.36	-12.65	6294275	Upward Expansion	13	7
2026-05-29	17.91	18.30	-12.68	39981670	Upward Expansion	36	28
2026-05-22	20.82	18.27	0.96	32165505	Upward Expansion	63	62
2026-05-15	21.43	18.09	3.86	44911090	Upward Expansion	72	58
2026-05-08	20.65	17.92	-0.04	24760517	Upward Expansion	65	45
2026-05-01	19.27	17.76	-4.05	22734528	Deceleration	49	29
2026-04-24	18.65	17.65	-6.18	27898386	Deceleration	34	18
2026-04-17	19.85	17.58	0.23	28071929	Deceleration	44	22
2026-04-10	19.62	17.49	3.12	36088127	Deceleration	41	23
2026-04-03	17.52	17.42	-1.29	33583006	Upward Expansion	28	17
2026-03-27	18.00	17.39	-1.63	35663803	Upward Expansion	46	32
2026-03-20	19.02	17.35	3.02	33124904	Upward Expansion	61	54
2026-03-13	20.42	17.24	7.37	53650894	Upward Expansion	70	75
2026-03-06	19.99	17.08	5.92	41042985	Upward Expansion	69	71
2026-02-27	19.98	16.90	3.25	22602208	Upward Expansion	74	70
2026-02-13	19.96	16.74	6.15	41758353	Upward Expansion	77	71
2026-02-06	17.82	16.57	-3.73	20556615	Upward Expansion	55	60
2026-01-30	17.77	16.46	-6.06	29791717	Upward Expansion	54	59
2026-01-23	19.35	16.34	0.61	44434465	Upward Expansion	71	62
2026-01-16	18.37	16.21	-3.32	63424949	Upward Expansion	62	35
2026-01-09	16.86	16.10	-10.17	33193600	Upward Expansion	31	14
2026-01-02	16.09	16.02	-10.51	13328633	Upward Expansion	22	10
2025-12-26	16.44	15.97	-9.06	26026559	Upward Expansion	30	14
2025-12-19	16.30	15.89	-6.71	27685385	Upward Expansion	33	17
2025-12-12	17.08	15.83	-3.18	33709143	Upward Expansion	51	24
2025-12-05	16.72	15.77	-4.48	25834375	Upward Expansion	47	29
2025-11-28	16.85	15.72	-2.59	30259194	Upward Expansion	51	33
2025-11-21	15.83	15.62	-5.23	44668569	Upward Expansion	41	25
2025-11-14	18.07	15.53	2.68	56504891	Deceleration	70	44
2025-11-07	16.74	15.34	-6.07	45193707	Deceleration	52	25
2025-10-31	15.77	15.20	-11.34	37761213	Deceleration	31	14
2025-10-24	16.88	15.14	-4.52	20376108	Deceleration	44	21
2025-10-17	15.57	15.05	-7.78	28169465	Deceleration	28	22
2025-10-10	16.14	15.04	-9.28	9876204	Deceleration	37	24
2025-10-03	15.92	15.01	-11.58	10028312	Upward Expansion	44	30
2025-09-26	15.93	14.99	-9.59	25679800	Upward Expansion	61	48
2025-09-19	16.48	15.01	-5.60	33862020	Upward Expansion	64	65
2025-09-12	17.14	14.95	-0.76	36215376	Upward Expansion	69	78
2025-09-05	17.56	14.83	4.40	69521227	Upward Expansion	81	83
2025-08-29	16.76	14.71	-1.16	43884800	Upward Expansion	75	76
2025-08-22	16.62	14.58	2.23	38379888	Upward Expansion	78	72
2025-08-15	15.92	14.46	2.32	32016942	Upward Expansion	68	56
2025-08-08	15.43	14.34	3.57	29065684	Deceleration	59	39
2025-08-01	14.76	14.22	0.30	26342370	Deceleration	46	21
2025-07-25	15.07	14.12	0.55	26331784	Deceleration	52	23
2025-07-18	14.86	14.06	1.16	33317682	Deceleration	49	23
2025-07-11	14.47	14.02	0.27	28754767	Deceleration	48	27
2025-07-04	14.33	14.02	0.56	65725258	Deceleration	47	25
2025-06-27	15.35	14.01	8.76	106617952	Deceleration	57	34
2025-06-20	15.18	13.95	11.20	50245412	Deceleration	57	28
2025-06-13	14.30	13.87	3.66	26103280	Deceleration	45	22
2025-06-06	14.62	13.85	5.24	20468799	Deceleration	50	42
2025-05-30	14.10	13.83	2.96	28894906	Deceleration	40	30
2025-05-23	14.60	13.78	5.76	79461418	Deceleration	39	29
2025-05-16	15.25	13.75	10.21	47594930	Deceleration	47	28
2025-05-09	14.97	13.69	9.09	40479367	Deceleration	39	17
2025-05-02	14.05	13.59	4.95	19958801	Deceleration	-8	19
2025-04-25	13.14	13.58	-2.02	28298620	Deceleration	-15	25
2025-04-18	12.28	13.55	-7.36	21657720	Upward Expansion	-16	25
2025-04-11	12.57	13.49	-5.88	40024346	Upward Expansion	9	14
2025-04-04	13.93	13.42	-1.35	20833118	Upward Expansion	38	21
2025-03-28	14.23	13.33	-1.92	29193696	Upward Expansion	54	36
2025-03-21	15.16	13.24	2.64	55479202	Upward Expansion	61	65
2025-03-14	15.19	13.11	0.34	50237842	Upward Expansion	63	71
2025-03-07	15.39	13.01	3.16	95681821	Upward Expansion	65	71
2025-02-28	16.73	12.89	15.02	91045166	Upward Expansion	85	77
2025-02-21	14.50	12.76	-3.20	37769930	Balance	66	50
2025-02-14	13.71	12.71	-6.14	41542388	Balance	43	28
2025-02-07	13.92	12.72	-2.72	24216762	Balance	43	21
2025-01-31	12.78	12.75	-6.91	5609520	Balance	-8	19
2025-01-24	13.16	12.79	-5.58	39348512	Balance	-9	20
2025-01-17	12.29	12.85	-10.84	15398264	Balance	-22	29
2025-01-10	11.70	12.88	-12.43	19567520	Balance	-29	25
2025-01-03	11.65	12.95	-14.10	16055480	Upward Expansion	-14	9
2024-12-27	13.28	12.99	-9.59	18977280	Upward Expansion	49	29
2024-12-20	13.89	12.96	-5.75	21426440	Upward Expansion	52	34
2024-12-13	14.23	12.90	-4.38	53789596	Upward Expansion	59	32
2024-12-06	14.13	12.85	-6.04	45775907	Rotation Up	59	31
2024-11-29	13.49	12.80	-9.08	22783012	Rotation Up	17	17
2024-11-22	12.95	12.80	-11.60	32022065	Rotation Up	15	16
2024-11-15	13.58	12.84	-10.47	51801532	Rotation Up	19	30
2024-11-08	13.94	12.82	-11.81	44690569	Rotation Up	27	30
2024-11-01	12.81	12.82	-13.82	59750202	Rotation Up	13	19
2024-10-25	13.65	12.91	-9.95	50826470	Downward Expansion	23	29
2024-10-18	13.37	13.11	-9.84	57429837	Downward Expansion	-10	21
2024-10-11	12.01	13.07	-16.86	49996117	Downward Expansion	-32	21
2024-10-04	13.75	13.05	-9.36	14510783	Downward Expansion	-20	15
2024-09-27	12.12	12.96	-11.69	23163772	Downward Expansion	-61	57
2024-09-20	10.65	12.92	-8.66	6808844	Downward Expansion	-67	66
2024-09-13	10.56	12.90	-8.48	9573760	Rotation Down	-70	67
2024-09-06	11.00	12.84	-6.40	15473416	Rotation Down	-40	54
2024-08-30	11.53	12.80	-4.37	15721696	Rotation Down	-35	50
2024-08-23	11.35	12.82	-3.81	17152856	Balance	-38	45
2024-08-16	12.09	12.86	0.57	15922425	Balance	-19	23
2024-08-09	11.93	12.93	-1.03	19213044	Balance	-21	19
2024-08-02	12.65	13.00	3.19	35074565	Upward Expansion	19	9
2024-07-26	13.23	13.07	7.66	35276604	Upward Expansion	42	24
2024-07-19	13.97	13.12	10.06	50066408	Upward Expansion	51	48
2024-07-12	14.76	13.14	17.20	69909674	Balance	56	51
2024-07-05	13.93	13.14	13.13	83896856	Balance	37	35
2024-06-28	14.95	13.19	19.84	127085529	Balance	18	17
2024-06-21	13.14	13.19	3.39	78103525	Balance	-21	8
2024-06-14	13.82	13.29	6.82	82359816	Balance	-17	9
2024-06-07	12.90	13.34	-0.12	38566086	Balance	-47	25
2024-05-31	12.37	13.41	-5.18	22904037	Balance	-39	25
2024-05-24	12.13	13.50	-7.58	26941312	Balance	-42	25
2024-05-17	12.68	13.57	-6.13	32872712	Balance	-17	13
2024-05-10	12.69	13.65	-6.13	50358928	Balance	-14	12
2024-05-03	13.51	13.72	1.61	35575142	Balance	-4	6
2024-04-26	14.12	13.74	7.93	80085386	Rotation Up	10	13
2024-04-19	12.91	13.74	1.00	87313033	Rotation Up	15	28
2024-04-12	13.93	13.78	9.80	109518679	Rotation Up	19	34
2024-04-05	15.63	13.79	19.49	122338404	Rotation Up	24	35
2024-03-29	19.68	13.69	53.38	177601190	Rotation Up	34	37
2024-03-22	11.98	13.49	-7.23	24359187	Downward Expansion	-42	30
2024-03-15	11.56	13.54	-11.05	31823854	Downward Expansion	-58	46
2024-03-08	10.86	13.62	-14.40	23453681	Downward Expansion	-64	70
2024-03-01	10.93	13.74	-14.80	42091491	Downward Expansion	-66	86
2024-02-23	10.27	13.84	-16.98	23483603	Downward Expansion	-68	88
2024-02-09	8.57	13.99	-29.13	27650682	Downward Expansion	-93	96
2024-02-02	9.93	14.20	-10.62	12796728	Downward Expansion	-91	89
2024-01-26	12.08	14.36	-0.30	13528696	Balance	-80	77
2024-01-19	12.68	14.44	4.31	8883064	Balance	-39	49
2024-01-12	13.98	14.50	12.48	15970133	Balance	-18	18
2024-01-05	14.00	14.49	11.50	26472807	Balance	2	10
2023-12-29	14.82	14.50	13.40	31129560	Balance	27	17
2023-12-22	14.92	14.49	18.38	17904175	Upward Expansion	30	16
2023-12-15	14.47	14.46	13.27	8143677	Upward Expansion	30	15
2023-12-08	14.63	14.42	12.76	10990053	Upward Expansion	53	32
2023-12-01	15.47	14.38	17.37	19969404	Upward Expansion	58	43
2023-11-24	15.15	14.31	13.92	40652899	Upward Expansion	57	48
2023-11-17	16.17	14.26	20.00	65502329	Upward Expansion	75	62
2023-11-10	15.10	14.21	12.12	25604380	Upward Expansion	60	47
2023-11-03	15.09	14.19	13.43	15559769	Upward Expansion	62	54
2023-10-27	15.00	14.21	14.00	18111376	Rotation Up	60	51
2023-10-20	14.42	14.22	12.25	14612920	Rotation Up	25	30
2023-10-13	15.07	14.23	11.91	32037778	Balance	37	31
2023-09-29	14.66	14.25	8.67	12933889	Balance	9	15

Price vs TrendBelow-5.3%

Trend directionFalling-6.0%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+7.2%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+7.4%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+3.8%

Relative strength directionImproving+26.5%

Price momentumNegative-18.4%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.88×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-7 / ±100

+34.2 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

20 /100

-12.3 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

300988 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance52

Rotation Up40

Upward Expansion29

Deceleration47

Rotation Down16

Downward Expansion47

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 19%Rotation Up 8%Upward Expansion 36%Deceleration 17%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 16%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Balance	2026-10-09	2026-10-09	New	+0.0%
Downward Expansion	2026-07-17	2026-10-02	Developing	+17.7%
Rotation Down	2026-06-19	2026-07-10	New	-16.5%
Upward Expansion	2026-05-08	2026-06-12	Developing	-20.2%
Deceleration	2026-04-10	2026-05-01	New	-1.8%
Upward Expansion	2025-11-21	2026-04-03	Established	+10.7%
Deceleration	2025-10-10	2025-11-14	Developing	+12.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-15	2025-10-03	Developing	+0.0%
Deceleration	2025-04-25	2025-08-08	Established	+17.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-02-28	2025-04-18	Developing	-26.6%
Balance	2025-01-10	2025-02-21	Developing	+23.9%
Upward Expansion	2024-12-13	2025-01-03	New	-18.1%
Rotation Up	2024-11-01	2024-12-06	Developing	+10.3%
Downward Expansion	2024-09-20	2024-10-25	Developing	+28.1%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing55

Stage 2 · Advancing17

Stage 3 · Distribution24

Stage 4 · Declining83

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4C · Repair watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 399001.SZ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 64/100
Current Relative Strength: 3.77
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -18.4%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -6.8%
Industrials regime cohort: 55th percentile220 in cohort

Test 300988 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.90×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.88×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 300988 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity CNY 16.03rising

Slow Activity CNY 16.03falling

Trend Reference CNY 16.90-5.3% close margin

Current Fair Value CNY 14.93+7.2% close margin

Structural low CNY 13.55shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +5.8%

Annualized volatility +43.8%

From structural high -27.7%

From structural low +18.1%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs 399001.SZ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	14	-6.5%-18.5% to +20.8%	+35.7%	+35.7%	-5.0%	+35.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	7	+1.0%-12.6% to +16.8%	+57.1%	+57.1%	+4.4%	+14.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	+4.4%-13.8% to +16.7%	+60.0%	+60.0%	+5.6%	+40.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	-6.5%-21.4% to +44.1%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-0.0%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

300988 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map