Weekly structural research · SHH · Consumer Defensive

601579 Stage Analysis

Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 37.30Tenure NewBenchmark 000001.SS

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction 91−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 97/100directional strength

Maturity 26/100lifecycle context

Confidence 76/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance +100.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +150.0%CNY 14.92 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	37.30	19.02	94.45	113817986	Upward Expansion	91	97
2026-09-25	38.04	18.36	99.23	207895369	Upward Expansion	99	99
2026-09-18	32.84	17.73	73.68	126088577	Upward Expansion	99	99
2026-09-11	23.60	17.29	26.74	166704686	Rotation Up	89	95
2026-09-04	24.07	17.23	27.58	107323492	Rotation Up	69	88
2026-08-28	19.33	17.15	1.80	17723525	Rotation Up	46	54
2026-08-21	18.66	17.21	-0.79	16171291	Rotation Up	22	37
2026-08-14	18.68	17.27	-1.38	57464851	Rotation Up	-3	14
2026-08-07	15.05	17.35	-20.95	7561130	Downward Expansion	-61	48
2026-07-31	15.09	17.52	-18.94	12621323	Downward Expansion	-64	55
2026-07-24	13.96	17.71	-25.06	3543703	Downward Expansion	-76	72
2026-07-17	14.43	17.95	-22.06	5137700	Downward Expansion	-72	78
2026-07-10	14.74	18.19	-25.51	5157822	Downward Expansion	-69	81
2026-07-03	14.80	18.38	-26.63	5352872	Downward Expansion	-70	84
2026-06-26	14.17	18.60	-30.01	5012295	Downward Expansion	-85	88
2026-06-19	15.26	18.82	-26.45	19397519	Downward Expansion	-76	79
2026-06-12	15.70	19.09	-23.99	6584005	Downward Expansion	-74	74
2026-06-05	15.81	19.28	-24.14	7112268	Downward Expansion	-77	68
2026-05-29	16.77	19.49	-21.37	34458151	Downward Expansion	-65	50
2026-05-22	16.82	19.64	-22.44	31736214	Downward Expansion	-66	44
2026-05-15	17.54	19.85	-19.64	59431457	Downward Expansion	-47	31
2026-05-08	17.57	19.96	-20.42	23119182	Downward Expansion	-44	27
2026-05-01	17.52	20.05	-19.41	36387136	Downward Expansion	-43	24
2026-04-24	18.72	20.16	-13.26	41924978	Downward Expansion	-40	24
2026-04-17	18.50	20.28	-13.44	57065485	Downward Expansion	-48	37
2026-04-10	18.13	20.45	-13.58	49905867	Downward Expansion	-63	55
2026-04-03	17.69	20.69	-13.08	66095396	Downward Expansion	-67	83
2026-03-27	16.51	20.91	-19.12	28736293	Downward Expansion	-75	90
2026-03-20	16.05	21.07	-21.89	29850118	Downward Expansion	-85	92
2026-03-13	17.19	21.16	-18.86	23852990	Downward Expansion	-79	84
2026-03-06	17.71	21.22	-16.60	37593639	Downward Expansion	-76	72
2026-02-27	18.90	21.24	-11.39	33641199	Balance	-66	47
2026-02-13	19.85	21.25	-4.52	50577469	Balance	-18	9
2026-02-06	21.69	21.23	5.48	109050874	Balance	6	6
2026-01-30	21.70	21.16	5.09	87897126	Balance	1	2
2026-01-23	21.10	21.08	2.59	39057229	Balance	-20	19
2026-01-16	20.56	21.03	1.59	48582614	Balance	-23	24
2026-01-09	20.85	21.00	3.30	43006266	Balance	-11	15
2026-01-02	20.27	21.02	5.06	14602728	Balance	-17	18
2025-12-26	20.76	21.08	8.55	39216777	Balance	-13	15
2025-12-19	21.18	21.23	13.73	61697971	Balance	-6	9
2025-12-12	21.62	21.16	17.07	53197724	Deceleration	12	11
2025-12-05	20.62	20.92	12.18	37194869	Deceleration	9	6
2025-11-28	21.14	20.73	16.31	50087340	Deceleration	17	8
2025-11-21	20.94	20.51	17.75	71011729	Deceleration	39	19
2025-11-14	23.35	20.29	27.33	165082412	Deceleration	55	27
2025-11-07	21.43	19.94	17.94	71726879	Deceleration	44	23
2025-10-31	22.18	19.65	24.53	83526075	Deceleration	39	20
2025-10-24	21.17	19.31	20.26	79341338	Deceleration	32	16
2025-10-17	23.05	18.95	35.97	155070290	Deceleration	43	23
2025-10-10	20.75	18.52	22.12	23906584	Deceleration	32	23
2025-10-03	20.52	18.17	22.35	13032470	Upward Expansion	40	26
2025-09-26	20.80	17.82	26.89	34704799	Upward Expansion	59	49
2025-09-19	22.08	17.45	36.26	72885713	Upward Expansion	63	80
2025-09-12	23.57	17.05	45.23	93080843	Upward Expansion	64	83
2025-09-05	25.40	16.60	60.99	193693296	Upward Expansion	86	90
2025-08-29	24.44	16.10	55.53	166870052	Deceleration	84	74
2025-08-22	21.09	15.62	37.31	144257398	Deceleration	62	35
2025-08-15	18.98	15.25	29.33	42796215	Deceleration	33	19
2025-08-08	18.95	14.96	32.42	47352848	Deceleration	35	22
2025-08-01	18.37	14.66	32.17	31897976	Deceleration	38	26
2025-07-25	18.95	14.39	36.20	60987259	Deceleration	40	31
2025-07-18	19.36	14.13	42.87	33039513	Deceleration	42	34
2025-07-11	19.48	13.87	46.36	39998795	Deceleration	45	38
2025-07-04	19.44	13.62	49.34	65974023	Upward Expansion	50	46
2025-06-27	19.46	13.36	53.37	47362554	Upward Expansion	63	61
2025-06-20	19.71	13.10	60.21	113877284	Upward Expansion	67	67
2025-06-13	21.57	12.80	75.96	150484643	Upward Expansion	68	85
2025-06-06	22.10	12.45	82.71	147131679	Upward Expansion	82	89
2025-05-30	25.10	12.08	113.36	212493118	Upward Expansion	99	95
2025-05-23	19.10	11.58	65.88	172250797	Upward Expansion	97	86
2025-05-16	14.54	11.30	27.09	55076945	Upward Expansion	70	87
2025-05-09	14.82	11.16	31.14	82229452	Upward Expansion	81	92
2025-05-02	14.65	11.01	32.71	90964046	Upward Expansion	87	95
2025-04-25	14.38	10.89	30.35	97772997	Upward Expansion	92	97
2025-04-18	12.79	10.76	17.29	111696740	Upward Expansion	84	88
2025-04-11	12.57	10.62	16.99	197554891	Deceleration	75	76
2025-04-04	12.02	10.50	8.69	106374832	Deceleration	50	41
2025-03-28	10.41	10.40	-5.93	26289383	Deceleration	-10	11
2025-03-21	10.12	10.36	-8.87	20487098	Deceleration	-16	19
2025-03-14	10.33	10.33	-8.51	24873616	Deceleration	-17	20
2025-03-07	9.94	10.31	-10.78	18365920	Deceleration	-32	31
2025-02-28	9.93	10.32	-9.45	24033561	Deceleration	-25	26
2025-02-21	9.96	10.32	-10.73	24677310	Rotation Down	-24	25
2025-02-14	10.14	10.31	-8.21	26752152	Rotation Down	-19	29
2025-02-07	10.16	10.30	-6.85	13683700	Rotation Down	-21	38
2025-01-31	10.10	10.29	-5.88	4474000	Deceleration	-22	37
2025-01-24	10.05	10.28	-6.62	17468619	Deceleration	-23	32
2025-01-17	10.27	10.28	-4.39	19124253	Deceleration	12	25
2025-01-10	9.91	10.36	-5.86	19319700	Deceleration	7	17
2025-01-03	10.31	10.38	-3.55	26553375	Upward Expansion	32	22
2024-12-27	11.09	10.39	-2.18	26224594	Upward Expansion	57	45
2024-12-20	11.54	10.38	2.63	46304653	Upward Expansion	61	64
2024-12-13	12.10	10.36	6.81	57915900	Upward Expansion	75	72
2024-12-06	11.62	10.33	2.20	50533960	Rotation Up	68	64
2024-11-29	11.75	10.33	5.60	58210050	Rotation Up	49	53
2024-11-22	10.73	10.30	-1.92	64391198	Rotation Up	27	26
2024-11-15	10.82	10.29	-3.09	43064650	Rotation Up	23	26
2024-11-08	11.03	10.26	-4.89	64920016	Rotation Up	31	33
2024-11-01	10.28	10.24	-6.66	37829229	Rotation Up	17	30
2024-10-25	10.57	10.23	-5.09	40636625	Rotation Up	21	32
2024-10-18	10.30	10.19	-6.52	29334101	Rotation Up	15	30
2024-10-11	10.36	10.16	-4.83	66250657	Rotation Up	4	21
2024-10-04	11.14	10.12	-1.51	18457325	Rotation Up	-1	12
2024-09-27	10.30	10.04	-1.72	40403508	Downward Expansion	-44	45
2024-09-20	8.86	10.00	-4.78	10965476	Downward Expansion	-68	72
2024-09-13	8.77	10.00	-4.94	12814939	Rotation Down	-68	64
2024-09-06	9.05	10.00	-4.25	12331940	Rotation Down	-37	44
2024-08-30	9.38	9.98	-3.65	17771614	Rotation Down	-31	29
2024-08-23	9.09	10.00	-7.14	23365000	Rotation Down	-30	22
2024-08-16	9.84	10.02	-0.57	14397346	Rotation Down	-16	16
2024-08-09	10.06	10.03	2.09	20840033	Rotation Down	-15	27
2024-08-02	10.09	10.04	0.89	21806060	Rotation Down	-18	27
2024-07-26	9.56	10.05	-4.10	18116100	Balance	-24	32
2024-07-19	9.77	10.07	-5.16	18872668	Balance	-21	27
2024-07-12	9.89	10.09	-3.81	37051782	Balance	14	10
2024-07-05	9.85	10.11	-3.63	48311661	Rotation Up	19	11
2024-06-28	10.09	10.15	-2.01	111631796	Rotation Up	31	22
2024-06-21	12.66	10.18	21.52	107669589	Rotation Up	82	51
2024-06-14	10.38	10.13	-1.15	11298545	Rotation Up	43	28
2024-06-07	10.63	10.15	0.42	18528470	Rotation Up	59	45
2024-05-31	10.93	10.15	1.97	17164035	Rotation Up	38	66
2024-05-24	10.95	10.14	2.07	20957714	Rotation Up	39	69
2024-05-17	11.21	10.12	2.35	32962033	Rotation Up	47	73
2024-05-10	11.65	10.10	6.55	37954793	Rotation Up	53	70
2024-05-03	10.65	10.08	-0.86	9188452	Rotation Up	33	47
2024-04-26	10.42	10.10	-2.38	25209185	Downward Expansion	27	33
2024-04-19	10.13	10.13	-4.29	29360442	Downward Expansion	-1	18
2024-04-12	10.27	10.18	-1.53	29507021	Downward Expansion	-8	17
2024-04-05	10.13	10.22	-4.61	20156146	Downward Expansion	-20	18
2024-03-29	9.39	10.24	-10.85	14487897	Downward Expansion	-41	30
2024-03-22	9.23	10.31	-12.82	16428733	Downward Expansion	-46	37
2024-03-15	9.26	10.38	-13.03	22540168	Downward Expansion	-59	46
2024-03-08	8.79	10.47	-17.48	13935832	Downward Expansion	-66	57
2024-03-01	8.98	10.58	-15.55	22782114	Downward Expansion	-65	72
2024-02-23	9.05	10.67	-14.68	18924312	Downward Expansion	-67	81
2024-02-09	8.78	10.75	-13.61	24351858	Downward Expansion	-80	88
2024-02-02	8.42	10.84	-13.40	18918170	Downward Expansion	-95	92
2024-01-26	9.74	10.94	-6.36	16325720	Downward Expansion	-76	70
2024-01-19	9.72	11.00	-4.26	15748884	Downward Expansion	-81	69
2024-01-12	10.27	11.07	-0.92	11895309	Downward Expansion	-64	63
2024-01-05	10.26	11.12	-2.98	10478119	Downward Expansion	-66	69
2023-12-29	10.39	11.18	-3.85	15071152	Downward Expansion	-61	66
2023-12-22	10.27	11.23	-3.58	23381227	Downward Expansion	-68	61
2023-12-15	10.33	11.28	-4.05	14871651	Downward Expansion	-68	45
2023-12-08	10.54	11.32	-3.06	13951734	Downward Expansion	-50	24
2023-12-01	11.01	11.33	-0.84	12388258	Downward Expansion	-31	20
2023-11-24	11.09	11.33	-0.39	16653569	Downward Expansion	-34	20
2023-11-17	11.01	11.31	-1.61	16513478	Downward Expansion	-41	25
2023-11-10	10.86	11.30	-2.43	17285001	Downward Expansion	-56	46
2023-11-03	10.85	11.32	-2.36	21521915	Downward Expansion	-61	67
2023-10-27	10.65	11.35	-3.62	15893345	Downward Expansion	-62	73
2023-10-20	10.25	11.39	-5.99	15084406	Downward Expansion	-80	77
2023-10-13	10.51	11.43	-6.88	19141775	Balance	-75	61
2023-09-29	11.02	11.47	-3.00	16941775	Balance	-60	30
2023-09-22	11.31	11.52	-0.90	19116411	Balance	-39	18

Price vs TrendAbove+96.1%

Trend directionRising+7.4%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+150.0%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+144.7%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+94.4%

Relative strength directionImproving+121.1%

Price momentumPositive+110.9%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.66×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

91 / ±100

+21.9 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

97 /100

+8.4 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

601579 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance11

Rotation Up90

Upward Expansion100

Deceleration39

Rotation Down8

Downward Expansion22

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 10%Rotation Up 16%Upward Expansion 15%Deceleration 19%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 33%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-09-18	2026-10-02	New	+13.6%
Rotation Up	2026-08-14	2026-09-11	Developing	+26.3%
Downward Expansion	2026-03-06	2026-08-07	Established	-15.0%
Balance	2025-12-19	2026-02-27	Developing	-10.8%
Deceleration	2025-10-10	2025-12-12	Developing	+4.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-09-05	2025-10-03	Developing	-19.2%
Deceleration	2025-07-11	2025-08-29	Developing	+25.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-04-18	2025-07-04	Developing	+52.0%
Deceleration	2025-02-28	2025-04-11	Developing	+26.6%
Rotation Down	2025-02-07	2025-02-21	New	-2.0%
Deceleration	2025-01-10	2025-01-31	New	+2.0%
Upward Expansion	2024-12-13	2025-01-03	New	-14.8%
Rotation Up	2024-10-04	2024-12-06	Developing	+4.3%
Downward Expansion	2024-09-20	2024-09-27	New	+16.2%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing23

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution48

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2C · Late advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 94/100
Current Relative Strength: 94.45
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +110.9%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +111.9%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 90th percentile10 in cohort

Test 601579 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume2.38×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.66×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+37.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 601579 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity CNY 33.90rising

Slow Activity CNY 20.92rising

Trend Reference CNY 19.02+96.1% close margin

Current Fair Value CNY 14.92+150.0% close margin

Structural low CNY 13.95shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +8.9%

Annualized volatility +68.2%

From structural high -10.9%

From structural low +167.4%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs 000001.SS	Regime survived	Read
Near term	9	-8.9%-19.2% to +48.4%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-10.3%	+33.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	6	-13.8%-19.9% to +51.3%	+16.7%	+16.7%	-18.1%	+0.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	-13.6%-22.2% to +78.2%	+40.0%	+40.0%	-14.7%	+20.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	-9.4%-22.3% to +78.6%	+33.3%	+33.3%	+4.5%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

601579 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map