Weekly structural research ยท NASDAQ ยท Technology

FRSH Stage Analysis

Freshworks Inc

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close USD 12.78Tenure NewBenchmark QQQ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Deceleration ยท Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: moderate and contracting.
Direction 50โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 35/100directional strength
Maturity 71/100lifecycle context
Confidence 85/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation
Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -8.4%USD 13.95 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0212.7810.226.1120061559Deceleration5035
2026-09-2512.5410.084.6125944012Upward Expansion4837
2026-09-1812.259.925.0521704415Upward Expansion6050
2026-09-1111.899.762.3415876668Upward Expansion6458
2026-09-0412.739.618.3518148607Upward Expansion6784
2026-08-2813.869.4817.7420385644Upward Expansion8592
2026-08-2112.989.3810.1731553918Upward Expansion8189
2026-08-1412.669.343.9938382222Upward Expansion8484
2026-08-0711.849.29-2.2740653522Upward Expansion7878
2026-07-3111.369.30-2.1455727825Rotation Up7572
2026-07-2410.279.31-11.6683563399Rotation Up3355
2026-07-1710.899.38-8.8770342982Rotation Up4761
2026-07-1010.369.44-17.87123389384Rotation Up3937
2026-07-0310.349.53-17.56147543823Balance4229
2026-06-269.859.61-21.90170518017Balance613
2026-06-198.869.69-33.8585389661Balance-514
2026-06-129.449.79-28.8274962516Balance-117
2026-06-059.459.88-28.2953592614Balance-217
2026-05-299.719.94-30.7944681151Balance416
2026-05-229.089.98-34.5054908174Balance-1717
2026-05-158.9610.06-35.5961971626Downward Expansion-3121
2026-05-088.8310.12-37.7759169279Downward Expansion-3422
2026-05-018.7510.20-36.0331261297Downward Expansion-4128
2026-04-248.4610.28-38.2086487225Downward Expansion-4534
2026-04-178.5410.42-37.2456287724Downward Expansion-4940
2026-04-107.5510.56-41.9028195861Downward Expansion-6852
2026-04-038.3210.73-34.0419045902Downward Expansion-5146
2026-03-277.8710.88-35.9823260095Downward Expansion-6653
2026-03-208.0311.06-37.7328808660Downward Expansion-6557
2026-03-138.1311.26-39.1732198892Downward Expansion-6569
2026-03-068.6311.43-37.0229456984Downward Expansion-6886
2026-02-277.8211.56-44.4832129150Downward Expansion-7189
2026-02-207.4611.72-48.0724754818Downward Expansion-8594
2026-02-137.2411.95-49.8767204299Downward Expansion-9190
2026-02-068.9212.19-39.9835747512Downward Expansion-8578
2026-01-3010.7812.36-29.9820190298Balance-6654
2026-01-2311.8412.51-24.2817180192Balance-3930
2026-01-1611.0912.61-29.7623110893Balance-5334
2026-01-0912.2412.73-24.0418971250Balance-2616
2026-01-0211.6012.82-27.059560718Balance-2615
2025-12-2612.4012.96-24.056984739Balance-519
2025-12-1912.5313.05-22.9120252922Balance-521
2025-12-1213.1513.12-19.2017190515Downward Expansion620
2025-12-0512.8413.20-23.1618542500Downward Expansion-1721
2025-11-2812.1413.25-27.2013598995Downward Expansion-3723
2025-11-2111.8513.34-26.0621094367Downward Expansion-4434
2025-11-1412.1113.41-27.4225336043Downward Expansion-5844
2025-11-0711.1913.43-33.5931313355Downward Expansion-6468
2025-10-3111.1013.47-36.7613230710Downward Expansion-6781
2025-10-2411.3913.51-34.1714203783Downward Expansion-6680
2025-10-1710.8813.62-35.9714504404Downward Expansion-7984
2025-10-1011.1113.77-33.2518791827Downward Expansion-8079
2025-10-0311.3213.90-33.7319182551Downward Expansion-8071
2025-09-2612.4814.05-26.2814269110Downward Expansion-6454
2025-09-1912.8914.20-24.3420580978Downward Expansion-5841
2025-09-1212.4514.35-25.4425002737Downward Expansion-6942
2025-09-0512.8414.50-21.8414216776Downward Expansion-6539
2025-08-2913.4714.67-17.3614578245Downward Expansion-5742
2025-08-2213.9714.84-14.5921047644Downward Expansion-6064
2025-08-1513.0814.98-20.8129756596Downward Expansion-6471
2025-08-0812.6315.13-23.2527588603Downward Expansion-7270
2025-08-0112.6815.23-20.2444124474Balance-7463
2025-07-2514.1915.34-12.9021363525Balance-4027
2025-07-1814.6215.40-9.7032382044Balance-3018
2025-07-1114.0515.42-12.2113649820Balance-4022
2025-07-0415.2015.51-5.429905690Balance-1910
2025-06-2714.8215.55-6.3411853020Balance-139
2025-06-2014.7415.59-2.9510158673Balance-1110
2025-06-1314.9415.65-1.5411835260Balance-1111
2025-06-0615.6915.682.9910435669Balance-1315
2025-05-3015.2715.702.469546419Balance-2419
2025-05-2314.4215.60-1.3315782426Downward Expansion-3023
2025-05-1615.4915.503.4512141256Downward Expansion-3023
2025-05-0914.5615.363.8712328922Rotation Down-4327
2025-05-0214.7015.264.5926489757Rotation Down-3233
2025-04-2514.0715.153.3915802404Rotation Down-3762
2025-04-1812.6015.06-2.349451410Rotation Down-4670
2025-04-1112.5315.02-5.9821053523Rotation Down-4164
2025-04-0412.2914.98-1.7319007232Deceleration-4757
2025-03-2814.5314.943.8812862393Deceleration-1127
2025-03-2115.5414.857.7910392672Deceleration318
2025-03-1414.8814.732.8817360502Deceleration715
2025-03-0715.8014.625.8613262632Deceleration3219
2025-02-2817.0614.469.8915397409Upward Expansion4433
2025-02-2117.3114.286.8820915764Upward Expansion5947
2025-02-1417.0514.162.0431111611Upward Expansion6166
2025-02-0717.8914.039.0616661405Upward Expansion6477
2025-01-3118.6013.8612.4431542702Upward Expansion7460
2025-01-2418.3013.677.9915118169Upward Expansion7655
2025-01-1717.4413.483.3615115665Upward Expansion7348
2025-01-1015.5913.32-5.9212415009Upward Expansion4735
2025-01-0316.0713.21-6.6512823400Upward Expansion5244
2024-12-2715.9413.10-9.408099866Upward Expansion6252
2024-12-2015.3312.99-13.4221761452Upward Expansion6559
2024-12-1316.5512.92-10.1122059108Upward Expansion7286
2024-12-0616.6112.83-10.5220096544Upward Expansion7691
2024-11-2915.9912.73-12.0113963897Upward Expansion7189
2024-11-2216.5412.67-9.4128789547Rotation Up8694
2024-11-1515.7312.73-13.0026001729Rotation Up6079
2024-11-0816.4412.79-12.9541685155Rotation Up4949
2024-11-0112.0512.84-33.2016586058Downward Expansion-3421
2024-10-2511.6213.05-37.5016982385Downward Expansion-4331
2024-10-1811.3013.26-39.9817830783Downward Expansion-5840
2024-10-1111.4713.50-39.8511301609Downward Expansion-5843
2024-10-0411.2413.71-41.0714413452Downward Expansion-6349
2024-09-2711.4413.95-40.8515413678Downward Expansion-6052
2024-09-2011.3314.25-41.7319152815Downward Expansion-6556
2024-09-1311.3214.55-41.7710781008Downward Expansion-6858
2024-09-0611.3514.86-39.027785257Downward Expansion-7061
2024-08-3011.6815.20-41.807311494Downward Expansion-6464
2024-08-2311.9515.56-41.8411190535Downward Expansion-6480
2024-08-1611.4815.90-44.3910799218Downward Expansion-7378
2024-08-0911.2516.22-43.4311407609Downward Expansion-8171
2024-08-0211.6716.63-42.0318410993Downward Expansion-7962
2024-07-2613.5016.98-35.8410243703Downward Expansion-4641
2024-07-1913.0917.31-39.8310901722Downward Expansion-5050
2024-07-1212.9017.67-43.478671135Downward Expansion-6260
2024-07-0512.8718.05-44.245729379Downward Expansion-6563
2024-06-2812.6918.29-43.5014620538Downward Expansion-6765
2024-06-2112.5118.58-44.829660762Downward Expansion-7175
2024-06-1412.3118.79-46.018478010Downward Expansion-7786
2024-06-0712.7319.00-42.6710485522Downward Expansion-7590
2024-05-3112.8819.16-40.8213603942Downward Expansion-7590
2024-05-2413.2419.36-40.5111412743Downward Expansion-7892
2024-05-1713.6419.51-38.2011069466Downward Expansion-8392
2024-05-1013.7119.67-36.9116303560Downward Expansion-8992
2024-05-0314.0319.80-34.7838211287Downward Expansion-8975
2024-04-2618.4419.99-13.6910227519Downward Expansion-6147
2024-04-1917.5920.04-14.3811921584Rotation Down-7060
2024-04-1217.9620.10-17.4710198231Rotation Down-3950
2024-04-0518.1720.16-17.0312135961Rotation Down-3861
2024-03-2918.2120.29-17.696646568Rotation Down-3161
2024-03-2218.2920.43-17.9913343483Rotation Down-3361
2024-03-1517.7720.52-18.0512737418Rotation Down-4160
2024-03-0818.6320.64-15.2213425743Deceleration-3334
2024-03-0120.2620.77-9.3514980553Deceleration-1619
2024-02-2320.2520.79-7.807745970Deceleration1313
2024-02-1620.6920.71-4.6212707285Deceleration2615
2024-02-0921.7120.58-1.5821120252Deceleration3519
2024-02-0222.3320.443.0012084417Deceleration4126
2024-01-2622.1420.243.3212939606Upward Expansion4327
2024-01-1921.2420.09-0.4610801205Upward Expansion5738
2024-01-1223.5919.9213.5610176082Upward Expansion6969
2024-01-0521.9119.699.0311086178Upward Expansion6575
2023-12-2923.4919.4913.325811308Upward Expansion7080
2023-12-2223.9619.2216.0510262944Upward Expansion7981
2023-12-1524.1518.9218.3819120306Deceleration8169
2023-12-0820.2618.622.878781477Deceleration4129
2023-12-0121.2118.428.2713938386Deceleration4724
2023-11-2418.8918.15-3.395757338Deceleration79
2023-11-1718.5617.96-4.2411681398Deceleration220
2023-11-1017.4517.85-8.0713109896Deceleration-722
2023-11-0319.0017.732.7915821388Deceleration418
2023-10-2717.6717.591.9810484844Deceleration-318
2023-10-2018.5517.524.3312403148Deceleration815
2023-10-1317.7417.36-3.008078423Deceleration1519
Price vs TrendAbove+25.1%
Trend directionRising+9.8%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-8.4%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+20.9%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+6.1%
Relative strength directionImproving+23.7%
Price momentumPositive+53.6%
Volume balanceDemand-led3.81ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

50 / ยฑ100

-17.6 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

35 /100

-49.0 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance24
Rotation Up38
Upward Expansion67
Deceleration85
Rotation Down27
Downward Expansion17

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 15%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 18%Deceleration 14%Rotation Down 7%Downward Expansion 41%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Deceleration2026-10-022026-10-02New+0.0%
Upward Expansion2026-08-072026-09-25Developing+5.9%
Rotation Up2026-07-102026-07-31New+9.6%
Balance2026-05-222026-07-03Developing+13.9%
Downward Expansion2026-02-062026-05-15Established+0.4%
Balance2025-12-192026-01-30Developing-14.0%
Downward Expansion2025-08-082025-12-12Established+4.1%
Balance2025-05-302025-08-01Developing-17.0%
Downward Expansion2025-05-162025-05-23New-6.9%
Rotation Down2025-04-112025-05-09Developing+16.2%
Deceleration2025-03-072025-04-04Developing-22.2%
Upward Expansion2024-11-292025-02-28Established+6.7%
Rotation Up2024-11-082024-11-22New+0.6%
Downward Expansion2024-04-262024-11-01Extended-34.7%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing41
Stage 2 ยท Advancing44
Stage 3 ยท Distribution29
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 1 ยท Stage 1C ยท Breakout watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
87/100
Current Relative Strength
6.11
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+53.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+25.5%
Technology regime cohort
100th percentile78 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.34ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume3.81ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity USD 12.49falling
Slow Activity USD 11.17rising
Trend Reference USD 10.22+25.1% close margin
Current Fair Value USD 13.95-8.4% close margin
Structural low USD 7.51shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +9.3%
Annualized volatility +40.7%
From structural high -8.6%
From structural low +88.2%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs QQQ Regime survived Read
Near term7-2.6%-22.2% to +19.6%+42.9%+42.9%-3.4%+57.1%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate3-0.7%-37.2% to +12.3%+33.3%+33.3%-8.6%+0.0%Too little matched history
Extended2-12.8%-18.7% to -6.9%+0.0%+0.0%-32.1%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle2-43.9%-45.4% to -42.4%+0.0%+0.0%-72.4%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context