Weekly structural research ยท NSI ยท Basic Materials

GRWRHITECH Stage Analysis

Garware Hi-Tech Films Limited

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close INR 6,925.50Tenure NewBenchmark ^NSEI
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Deceleration ยท Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: moderate and contracting.
Direction 37โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 23/100directional strength
Maturity 74/100lifecycle context
Confidence 89/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation
Price acceptance +33.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +93.4%INR 3,581.04 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-026,925.505,849.6754.04218529Deceleration3723
2026-09-256,640.005,753.8745.67336803Deceleration4028
2026-09-186,724.505,673.0148.61203791Upward Expansion4946
2026-09-116,908.925,588.5554.72398082Upward Expansion6260
2026-09-047,073.625,499.0857.70177263Upward Expansion6564
2026-08-287,211.375,405.2361.9488184Upward Expansion7379
2026-08-217,110.565,265.2862.3720216Upward Expansion6966
2026-08-147,075.625,126.1163.8542191Upward Expansion6866
2026-08-076,973.004,986.1163.28167734Upward Expansion6665
2026-07-317,151.504,855.0371.6742556Upward Expansion7468
2026-07-246,903.004,722.3373.0932473Upward Expansion6867
2026-07-176,970.504,596.7673.5644738Upward Expansion7380
2026-07-106,968.004,476.1677.2766242Upward Expansion7786
2026-07-036,875.004,366.8877.4963461Upward Expansion8088
2026-06-266,688.504,261.2076.900Upward Expansion7989
2026-06-196,785.504,169.2482.36105921Upward Expansion8994
2026-06-126,131.504,078.2370.1054031Upward Expansion7991
2026-06-055,893.003,999.2167.1157041Upward Expansion7691
2026-05-296,117.903,916.2373.79495713Upward Expansion9196
2026-05-225,353.403,826.0352.36583229Upward Expansion8190
2026-05-155,403.403,771.3855.42477664Upward Expansion8989
2026-05-085,290.303,698.7450.172314352Upward Expansion8981
2026-05-013,999.003,620.4515.67367306Balance5133
2026-04-244,035.903,590.7417.79456960Balance5328
2026-04-173,985.603,556.7714.62329079Balance3918
2026-04-103,730.303,536.819.09199675Balance2519
2026-04-033,703.403,522.8015.30202124Balance2721
2026-03-273,385.603,493.085.57289142Upward Expansion2016
2026-03-203,650.803,469.8212.10190087Upward Expansion4430
2026-03-133,824.903,447.1316.93186722Upward Expansion6059
2026-03-064,051.503,411.7517.17206633Upward Expansion6376
2026-02-274,214.203,382.0218.02221003Upward Expansion6775
2026-02-204,190.703,351.9915.53255775Upward Expansion7064
2026-02-134,224.703,334.4016.60388561Rotation Up6144
2026-02-064,258.403,316.7116.471448902Rotation Up3214
2026-01-303,012.603,294.47-16.14160647Rotation Down-3453
2026-01-232,935.703,327.82-17.78390638Rotation Down-4059
2026-01-162,875.503,368.64-21.99181678Rotation Down-4556
2026-01-093,040.703,406.60-18.21317172Balance-3736
2026-01-023,170.403,447.32-17.51197850Balance-1925
2025-12-263,135.903,490.32-18.49270282Balance-1818
2025-12-193,352.503,541.79-13.70281319Rotation Up611
2025-12-123,689.603,570.07-6.31210500Rotation Up3139
2025-12-053,704.703,580.16-7.16201246Rotation Up2449
2025-11-283,929.503,562.95-2.32318463Rotation Up3357
2025-11-214,055.203,538.040.65678464Rotation Up4157
2025-11-143,760.903,513.30-6.56517057Balance3033
2025-11-073,403.803,493.34-14.43125752Balance-819
2025-10-313,411.803,467.90-15.32324264Balance-1114
2025-10-243,714.003,443.41-8.461154058Downward Expansion-1011
2025-10-173,224.003,450.64-20.29360377Downward Expansion-4230
2025-10-102,941.803,482.27-26.37158161Downward Expansion-5232
2025-10-033,107.503,512.37-21.35136009Downward Expansion-4025
2025-09-263,016.903,548.76-23.14176254Downward Expansion-4931
2025-09-193,386.903,573.45-16.15225714Downward Expansion-5039
2025-09-123,309.883,600.31-17.28707449Downward Expansion-6562
2025-09-052,811.733,619.12-28.63198911Downward Expansion-7086
2025-08-292,687.863,637.79-31.08243050Downward Expansion-8291
2025-08-222,970.173,668.83-25.38667629Downward Expansion-7383
2025-08-152,763.593,696.84-30.02400722Rotation Down-8884
2025-08-083,159.603,743.01-19.29240085Rotation Down-4756
2025-08-013,313.063,780.06-16.07230753Balance-4136
2025-07-253,663.043,839.11-7.85137836Balance-1522
2025-07-183,693.933,889.88-7.01172913Balance-1117
2025-07-113,591.293,932.87-9.63269746Balance-1014
2025-07-044,013.313,981.770.38130824Balance1314
2025-06-274,160.194,012.744.02197854Rotation Up1823
2025-06-204,014.404,038.063.30156834Rotation Up2344
2025-06-134,262.234,061.0012.48152378Rotation Up2551
2025-06-064,460.244,060.9517.55195696Rotation Up3044
2025-05-304,680.064,044.8826.04315473Downward Expansion3736
2025-05-234,200.854,023.4014.27521375Downward Expansion-714
2025-05-163,992.484,001.259.27679956Downward Expansion-2516
2025-05-093,188.304,001.71-8.02334769Downward Expansion-5437
2025-05-023,182.224,022.48-8.75136265Downward Expansion-5860
2025-04-253,313.064,042.37-3.11449591Downward Expansion-6070
2025-04-183,162.094,050.57-6.03522343Downward Expansion-6170
2025-04-112,640.484,053.09-17.38730713Downward Expansion-7873
2025-04-042,677.004,073.07-16.071701896Balance-7854
2025-03-283,930.944,096.2320.64463222Balance-97
2025-03-214,173.094,074.3930.62667463Balance-76
2025-03-143,844.704,046.3427.23409734Balance-35
2025-03-074,199.304,025.1739.95729767Rotation Down-15
2025-02-283,757.603,990.9029.68391138Rotation Down-2223
2025-02-214,192.533,948.9142.19567862Rotation Down-2029
2025-02-143,874.193,890.3832.371242283Rotation Down-2436
2025-02-073,372.013,836.1313.451020811Deceleration-3643
2025-01-313,618.943,798.7523.04626710Deceleration-1231
2025-01-243,810.423,762.2833.56302909Deceleration1021
2025-01-174,148.683,713.3046.73418634Upward Expansion4026
2025-01-104,271.153,641.0552.04597902Upward Expansion5242
2025-01-035,084.493,570.8379.78228093Upward Expansion6761
2024-12-275,186.143,469.9089.43315723Upward Expansion7466
2024-12-204,983.653,356.7788.63279121Upward Expansion6979
2024-12-135,058.243,245.2087.13462435Upward Expansion7788
2024-12-064,942.543,131.7188.19260652Upward Expansion7988
2024-11-294,919.773,020.8896.29367790Upward Expansion8487
2024-11-224,702.632,915.6994.23717469Upward Expansion8472
2024-11-154,260.842,816.9583.19681103Upward Expansion7558
2024-11-083,977.882,731.0270.28268641Upward Expansion6957
2024-11-014,035.932,656.4874.90250276Upward Expansion7357
2024-10-253,536.332,581.8256.89371406Upward Expansion6357
2024-10-184,006.182,521.8475.52364729Upward Expansion7772
2024-10-113,811.462,447.0669.44383924Upward Expansion7564
2024-10-043,778.732,374.5070.41585322Upward Expansion7965
2024-09-273,559.052,307.0355.84528940Upward Expansion7663
2024-09-203,237.732,251.9945.90297326Upward Expansion6459
2024-09-133,240.092,214.8250.59339129Upward Expansion6769
2024-09-063,371.572,174.1662.33631815Upward Expansion7387
2024-08-303,275.752,126.1757.79686262Upward Expansion7389
2024-08-233,331.582,069.9365.74359667Upward Expansion8291
2024-08-163,209.692,013.5964.46423560Upward Expansion8588
2024-08-093,171.091,961.8267.031369354Upward Expansion8969
2024-08-022,498.041,910.6132.38381595Upward Expansion7053
2024-07-262,436.601,873.2430.25427506Upward Expansion6956
2024-07-192,246.601,838.4523.12387269Upward Expansion6268
2024-07-122,250.681,807.4225.03390509Upward Expansion6475
2024-07-052,524.821,777.7843.05885526Upward Expansion8890
2024-06-282,340.931,740.6436.48866261Upward Expansion8283
2024-06-211,981.361,709.2419.70459921Upward Expansion5767
2024-06-142,164.451,689.3232.35283228Deceleration7570
2024-06-072,056.711,664.6428.53371056Deceleration5940
2024-05-311,792.261,642.2017.27498798Deceleration2013
2024-05-241,636.341,631.426.2385994Deceleration418
2024-05-171,653.671,624.0110.8577594Deceleration810
2024-05-101,617.611,615.4211.71312336Deceleration58
2024-05-031,764.141,611.9020.9986316Deceleration2110
2024-04-261,740.351,604.1821.34106370Deceleration2010
2024-04-191,682.931,594.5920.5065397Deceleration3014
2024-04-121,741.741,580.1024.3277904Deceleration3217
2024-04-051,795.981,563.3830.12139937Deceleration3120
2024-03-291,737.021,548.1228.90130538Deceleration3323
2024-03-221,762.751,530.8734.22142266Upward Expansion3821
2024-03-151,634.601,509.8826.86216453Upward Expansion4736
2024-03-081,754.751,485.5335.24162057Upward Expansion6255
2024-03-011,907.891,458.5050.24167365Upward Expansion6680
2024-02-232,122.621,426.3071.08177211Upward Expansion8792
2024-02-162,020.151,387.6267.60342174Upward Expansion8788
2024-02-091,931.881,349.2565.49601313Upward Expansion8887
2024-02-021,588.801,313.9838.32131661Upward Expansion6374
2024-01-261,641.351,290.2648.3387137Upward Expansion7177
2024-01-191,656.601,264.5450.1981821Upward Expansion7771
2024-01-121,634.651,237.8148.71341412Deceleration7342
2024-01-051,377.101,209.0328.2873003Deceleration2212
2023-12-291,392.701,189.6431.0285708Deceleration2414
2023-12-221,315.851,168.7327.4292644Deceleration3218
2023-12-151,361.351,146.5032.57103120Deceleration3624
2023-12-081,410.681,122.3542.03101340Deceleration4029
2023-12-011,399.011,095.2647.5176168Deceleration4130
2023-11-241,383.711,067.7251.3371240Deceleration4334
2023-11-171,423.941,039.7058.4488044Upward Expansion4638
2023-11-101,383.611,010.9458.68426349Upward Expansion4942
2023-11-031,468.74982.8772.3992342Upward Expansion6658
2023-10-271,414.01951.6970.37181573Upward Expansion6463
2023-10-201,396.12921.8566.62225488Upward Expansion6666
2023-10-131,512.01893.1081.29445115Upward Expansion7871
Price vs TrendAbove+18.4%
Trend directionRising+23.9%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+93.4%
Fair Value directionMoving away-28.8%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+54.0%
Relative strength directionWeakening-23.5%
Price momentumPositive+87.0%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.40ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

37 / ยฑ100

-28.3 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

23 /100

-40.9 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance35
Rotation Up26
Upward Expansion59
Deceleration88
Rotation Down28
Downward Expansion21

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 13%Rotation Up 7%Upward Expansion 47%Deceleration 16%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 12%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Deceleration2026-09-252026-10-02New+4.3%
Upward Expansion2026-05-082026-09-18Established+27.1%
Balance2026-04-032026-05-01Developing+8.0%
Upward Expansion2026-02-202026-03-27Developing-19.2%
Rotation Up2026-02-062026-02-13New-0.8%
Rotation Down2026-01-162026-01-30New+4.8%
Balance2025-12-262026-01-09New-3.0%
Rotation Up2025-11-212025-12-19Developing-17.3%
Balance2025-10-312025-11-14New+10.2%
Downward Expansion2025-08-222025-10-24Developing+25.0%
Rotation Down2025-08-082025-08-15New-12.5%
Balance2025-07-042025-08-01Developing-17.4%
Rotation Up2025-06-062025-06-27New-6.7%
Downward Expansion2025-04-112025-05-30Developing+77.2%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing0
Stage 2 ยท Advancing100
Stage 3 ยท Distribution75
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2B ยท Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^NSEI

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
72/100
Current Relative Strength
54.04
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
+87.0%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+88.3%
Basic Materials regime cohort
75th percentile51 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.37ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.40ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 5

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity INR 6,816.83falling
Slow Activity INR 6,523.08rising
Trend Reference INR 5,849.67+18.4% close margin
Current Fair Value INR 3,581.04+93.4% close margin
Structural low INR 3,571.00shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +5.5%
Annualized volatility +46.2%
From structural high -7.4%
From structural low +157.4%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^NSEI Regime survived Read
Near term6+5.1%-6.0% to +25.9%+66.7%+66.7%+5.5%+50.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate3+34.8%-13.1% to +53.4%+66.7%+66.7%+27.2%+0.0%Too little matched history
Extended3+18.3%-3.9% to +187.4%+66.7%+66.7%+2.3%+33.3%Too little matched history
Full cycle2+108.5%-23.0% to +239.9%+50.0%+50.0%+93.8%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context