Weekly structural research ยท SHZ ยท Communication Services

300467 Stage Analysis

Sichuan Xunyou Network Technology Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 32.29Tenure DevelopingBenchmark 399001.SZ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Balance ยท Balance after decline

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

  • The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: compressed and expanding.
Direction -24โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 27/100directional strength
Maturity 17/100lifecycle context
Confidence 45/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Mixedstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedexpanding separation
Price acceptance -33.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +49.1%CNY 21.66 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0232.2933.4612.745918555Balance-2427
2026-09-2532.6833.4310.869966463Balance-2116
2026-09-1833.2033.4510.3511224403Balance45
2026-09-1132.0633.468.4914900500Balance158
2026-09-0435.0633.5318.8220210041Balance3827
2026-08-2834.8433.4415.185022234Balance3526
2026-08-2132.7933.377.812802513Balance1813
2026-08-1438.3233.4824.119483439Rotation Down5223
2026-08-0734.0433.2811.192365400Rotation Down-1532
2026-07-3131.0533.117.103674800Deceleration-2337
2026-07-2431.9232.978.745725200Deceleration-1417
2026-07-1730.7932.845.786216000Deceleration-16
2026-07-1034.7032.738.904597200Deceleration3318
2026-07-0333.9232.523.024486800Deceleration3316
2026-06-2636.1632.258.887431461Deceleration3621
2026-06-1935.7531.846.4324411372Deceleration3224
2026-06-1232.8031.474.914407500Deceleration3220
2026-06-0533.4531.194.724409400Upward Expansion5536
2026-05-2934.0630.934.9832680400Upward Expansion6369
2026-05-2238.1430.6017.6532333500Upward Expansion6782
2026-05-1539.1930.0921.6439071043Upward Expansion7485
2026-05-0841.9829.6331.1831302024Upward Expansion8986
2026-05-0137.2929.1321.0563695256Deceleration6751
2026-04-2431.3628.783.6918906217Deceleration3015
2026-04-1732.0528.636.7023720816Deceleration2116
2026-04-1029.5428.342.7513575970Deceleration320
2026-04-0327.2128.121.5810480293Deceleration-824
2026-03-2728.6727.984.0716583900Deceleration1420
2026-03-2028.8227.833.9916675491Deceleration2521
2026-03-1329.6727.633.9819963601Upward Expansion4026
2026-03-0631.4927.4011.5123299059Upward Expansion4838
2026-02-2733.1027.1515.1119436200Upward Expansion6149
2026-02-1333.6226.8220.7727715600Upward Expansion6455
2026-02-0634.0726.4024.7132539800Upward Expansion7177
2026-01-3032.4925.9617.1928056342Upward Expansion6580
2026-01-2332.8025.5617.2135701101Upward Expansion6882
2026-01-1636.0425.1031.1068600857Upward Expansion9289
2026-01-0932.3624.5020.2480090425Upward Expansion8677
2026-01-0228.7024.0712.2218043059Upward Expansion7168
2025-12-2627.0523.805.8229534394Upward Expansion6169
2025-12-1927.9423.5813.6424645100Upward Expansion6771
2025-12-1227.5323.3011.4630522636Upward Expansion6256
2025-12-0528.4123.0716.3047373649Deceleration7246
2025-11-2825.6522.736.8346688354Deceleration5225
2025-11-2124.0422.473.9722584840Deceleration3319
2025-11-1424.6922.231.5818358600Deceleration3519
2025-11-0724.3321.98-1.0429948053Deceleration3419
2025-10-3125.6521.734.8229588617Deceleration4522
2025-10-2424.1821.53-0.0716655308Upward Expansion4125
2025-10-1722.8321.37-0.9027108659Upward Expansion5638
2025-10-1025.2021.294.1419922200Upward Expansion6266
2025-10-0327.0621.2010.9020609334Upward Expansion7174
2025-09-2627.0020.9413.9065820700Upward Expansion7459
2025-09-1926.6220.6714.1690877558Upward Expansion7447
2025-09-1223.4820.442.4238130515Upward Expansion5739
2025-09-0523.0220.333.4148740588Upward Expansion5639
2025-08-2922.9220.192.4554273405Upward Expansion5944
2025-08-2224.1619.9613.0074375804Upward Expansion7164
2025-08-1522.8419.7012.2843555653Upward Expansion6471
2025-08-0822.8219.4617.7855176378Upward Expansion6572
2025-08-0123.7719.1924.9891248676Upward Expansion7776
2025-07-2523.3018.9021.3768985110Upward Expansion7873
2025-07-1821.0218.6812.7943120200Upward Expansion6050
2025-07-1120.7818.5814.4050734746Upward Expansion5828
2025-07-0420.5518.5415.77106174653Upward Expansion4418
2025-06-2718.9618.478.7239848438Upward Expansion3213
2025-06-2018.2418.448.8531557703Upward Expansion3923
2025-06-1319.4518.4115.1542648528Upward Expansion5350
2025-06-0620.4118.3420.6531934563Upward Expansion5750
2025-05-3020.5218.2323.8142699774Balance4739
2025-05-2319.7218.0718.5552574956Balance3823
2025-05-1620.5917.9623.7560235971Balance4217
2025-05-0918.0217.839.5127720166Balance-1115
2025-05-0217.9417.7211.9217971836Balance-1220
2025-04-2516.8917.655.6325803548Balance-817
2025-04-1817.2417.569.5837462300Balance1516
2025-04-1116.6817.405.8348057609Upward Expansion2012
2025-04-0419.7417.2419.1230259001Upward Expansion5438
2025-03-2819.4417.0015.3753428924Upward Expansion5742
2025-03-2120.3916.7820.6691031912Upward Expansion5946
2025-03-1422.4116.5229.6786277933Upward Expansion8170
2025-03-0719.4316.2114.6353781777Upward Expansion6066
2025-02-2818.7515.9813.5387514058Upward Expansion5866
2025-02-2119.7315.8015.7788228316Upward Expansion6769
2025-02-1420.1015.5721.05132690777Deceleration7158
2025-02-0718.8515.3316.3354673844Deceleration5026
2025-01-3116.0315.143.394740204Deceleration915
2025-01-2416.4115.044.1725886610Deceleration719
2025-01-1715.6414.950.4220835500Deceleration1825
2025-01-1014.7214.88-2.2521821404Deceleration1219
2025-01-0314.9514.86-2.1125461331Upward Expansion2818
2024-12-2716.7414.811.3740730925Upward Expansion5739
2024-12-2018.1214.759.5855407976Upward Expansion6248
2024-12-1319.5014.6416.8485497277Upward Expansion7562
2024-12-0618.3814.489.3855157057Upward Expansion6860
2024-11-2918.2114.3510.1089792993Upward Expansion7263
2024-11-2217.2514.206.0859085665Upward Expansion6550
2024-11-1517.3014.103.2878006579Upward Expansion6860
2024-11-0817.3513.98-0.2664342133Upward Expansion7470
2024-11-0115.5113.86-4.8245292009Upward Expansion6265
2024-10-2516.4713.78-0.4853716813Rotation Up6975
2024-10-1816.5813.682.8992453569Rotation Up4657
2024-10-1114.8513.62-4.9065846254Rotation Up2031
2024-10-0415.9813.60-2.1621162818Downward Expansion3429
2024-09-2714.1913.52-3.7128509140Downward Expansion-2013
2024-09-2012.2013.50-2.357200000Downward Expansion-5643
2024-09-1312.0713.55-2.2712513400Downward Expansion-6044
2024-09-0612.4013.50-1.3617273700Downward Expansion-5533
2024-08-3013.0113.490.9125299225Downward Expansion-4928
2024-08-2312.4013.58-1.6766793840Downward Expansion-5830
2024-08-1613.1813.662.5516518956Downward Expansion-5027
2024-08-0912.5913.76-2.3221081820Downward Expansion-5834
2024-08-0213.4213.892.3415942250Downward Expansion-5234
2024-07-2612.8414.02-2.4512553080Downward Expansion-5849
2024-07-1912.8314.14-6.1613519400Balance-5748
2024-07-1212.9914.32-4.7013108536Balance-5643
2024-07-0513.0114.46-3.2818172870Balance-5433
2024-06-2813.7014.60-0.0328073807Balance-3520
2024-06-2113.6214.69-3.0421653687Balance-3317
2024-06-1414.1314.79-1.6813801748Balance-229
2024-06-0713.5314.86-5.9825323963Balance-1811
2024-05-3114.7514.921.3228257800Balance-515
2024-05-2414.8114.911.1957102556Balance-711
2024-05-1714.7914.87-1.8997243793Balance-99
2024-05-1014.4314.85-4.5731177002Balance-2011
2024-05-0313.9714.85-6.5511339386Downward Expansion-3516
2024-04-2614.1414.86-3.8432423454Downward Expansion-4623
2024-04-1913.6214.86-5.2629459589Downward Expansion-4827
2024-04-1213.7014.92-3.8653355867Downward Expansion-3720
2024-04-0513.2014.98-10.1513524349Downward Expansion-4221
2024-03-2913.5815.02-6.0428572960Downward Expansion-3618
2024-03-2214.7915.050.8137653500Downward Expansion-3518
2024-03-1514.1115.07-3.8929785892Downward Expansion-4927
2024-03-0813.5015.12-5.3329837126Downward Expansion-5746
2024-03-0113.8115.18-3.5244516667Downward Expansion-6166
2024-02-2313.5015.24-1.5549442628Downward Expansion-6369
2024-02-0910.7715.43-18.8953983328Balance-7675
2024-02-0212.0315.67-0.6443994736Balance-5145
2024-01-2615.5815.9518.9437797824Balance-1016
2024-01-1915.0316.0215.5222846136Balance-1313
2024-01-1215.9416.1220.6418836668Rotation Up88
2024-01-0516.5116.2024.4426515391Rotation Up2723
2023-12-2917.3816.2326.6352184891Rotation Up3432
2023-12-2216.4116.1824.87119859116Rotation Up2435
2023-12-1518.2616.1937.9658900306Rotation Up4464
2023-12-0817.0616.1528.2037545391Rotation Up2954
2023-12-0117.2516.1728.8331705309Rotation Up3446
2023-11-2416.4916.2622.8933470733Downward Expansion426
2023-11-1716.7716.1624.4031745637Downward Expansion720
2023-11-1016.1116.1020.7354316449Downward Expansion-2415
2023-11-0315.3916.0417.8546746705Downward Expansion-4632
2023-10-2714.3916.0112.1034935989Downward Expansion-6162
2023-10-2013.5316.038.4425836616Downward Expansion-7068
2023-10-1314.1916.048.8826777624Downward Expansion-6261
2023-09-2914.4416.0311.1120052945Downward Expansion-5845
2023-09-2214.1916.029.2127578028Deceleration-3326
Price vs TrendBelow-3.5%
Trend directionRising+1.5%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+49.1%
Fair Value directionMoving away-18.6%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+12.7%
Relative strength directionImproving+9.7%
Price momentumPositive+18.7%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.35ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-24 / ยฑ100

-62.5 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

27 /100

+0.1 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance41
Rotation Up25
Upward Expansion15
Deceleration46
Rotation Down55
Downward Expansion50

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 19%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 37%Deceleration 18%Rotation Down 1%Downward Expansion 19%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Balance2026-08-212026-10-02Developing-1.5%
Rotation Down2026-08-072026-08-14New+12.6%
Deceleration2026-06-122026-07-31Developing-5.3%
Upward Expansion2026-05-082026-06-05Developing-20.3%
Deceleration2026-03-202026-05-01Developing+29.4%
Upward Expansion2025-12-122026-03-13Established+7.8%
Deceleration2025-10-312025-12-05Developing+10.8%
Upward Expansion2025-06-062025-10-24Established+18.5%
Balance2025-04-182025-05-30Developing+19.0%
Upward Expansion2025-02-212025-04-11Developing-15.5%
Deceleration2025-01-102025-02-14Developing+36.5%
Upward Expansion2024-11-012025-01-03Developing-3.6%
Rotation Up2024-10-112024-10-25New+10.9%
Downward Expansion2024-07-262024-10-04Developing+24.5%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing36
Stage 2 ยท Advancing71
Stage 3 ยท Distribution71
Stage 4 ยท Declining29

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2A ยท Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 399001.SZ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
12/100
Current Relative Strength
12.74
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+18.7%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+22.2%
Communication Services regime cohort
6th percentile31 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.56ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.35ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 32.73falling
Slow Activity CNY 33.84falling
Trend Reference CNY 33.46-3.5% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 21.66+49.1% close margin
Structural low CNY 27.30shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +8.8%
Annualized volatility +57.3%
From structural high -25.6%
From structural low +41.6%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 399001.SZ Regime survived Read
Near term15-1.6%-17.8% to +19.4%+46.7%+46.7%+3.9%+46.7%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate8+0.9%-23.2% to +21.9%+50.0%+50.0%+7.9%+12.5%Usable descriptive sample
Extended5+17.4%-31.0% to +32.4%+60.0%+60.0%+8.8%+20.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4+33.0%-12.4% to +81.9%+75.0%+75.0%+19.8%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context