Weekly structural research · TOR · Energy

ACX Stage Analysis

ACT Energy Technologies Ltd.

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close CAD 7.64Tenure NewBenchmark ^GSPTSE

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction 66−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 84/100directional strength

Maturity 15/100lifecycle context

Confidence 87/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance +66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +30.2%CAD 5.87 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	7.64	6.73	15.44	469100	Upward Expansion	66	84
2026-09-18	7.61	6.69	15.55	311300	Upward Expansion	68	86
2026-09-11	7.81	6.65	19.66	460300	Rotation Up	82	91
2026-09-04	7.70	6.59	16.06	2222800	Rotation Up	57	78
2026-08-28	7.37	6.53	11.50	858900	Rotation Up	42	58
2026-08-21	7.23	6.48	9.61	402000	Rotation Down	27	28
2026-08-14	6.72	6.44	1.84	51500	Rotation Down	-17	11
2026-08-07	6.12	6.39	-6.26	39400	Rotation Down	-52	30
2026-07-31	5.98	6.36	-5.37	13800	Rotation Down	-32	29
2026-07-24	6.14	6.32	-3.27	16700	Rotation Down	-29	39
2026-07-17	6.20	6.29	-2.05	38600	Rotation Down	-31	50
2026-07-10	6.00	6.26	-5.22	20300	Rotation Down	-23	45
2026-07-03	5.96	6.24	-5.73	7300	Balance	-23	37
2026-06-26	5.86	6.23	-6.62	25900	Balance	-5	13
2026-06-19	6.20	6.21	-1.25	35300	Balance	11	6
2026-06-12	6.65	6.17	5.82	78700	Upward Expansion	37	24
2026-06-05	6.76	6.12	9.17	76400	Upward Expansion	39	26
2026-05-29	6.80	6.06	8.77	1117300	Deceleration	40	24
2026-05-22	6.99	6.01	12.85	990200	Deceleration	55	29
2026-05-15	6.67	5.96	9.87	964200	Deceleration	35	19
2026-05-08	6.21	5.91	1.62	735500	Deceleration	26	20
2026-05-01	6.72	5.87	10.39	337000	Deceleration	32	23
2026-04-24	6.68	5.81	9.65	164400	Deceleration	34	24
2026-04-17	6.00	5.75	-2.83	340200	Upward Expansion	35	23
2026-04-10	6.50	5.71	6.92	242200	Upward Expansion	61	52
2026-04-03	6.88	5.64	15.06	406500	Upward Expansion	66	65
2026-03-27	7.15	5.58	24.00	926400	Upward Expansion	68	86
2026-03-20	7.53	5.49	33.47	524500	Upward Expansion	91	95
2026-03-13	7.30	5.41	24.90	887100	Upward Expansion	92	94
2026-03-06	6.56	5.32	10.51	403700	Upward Expansion	79	87
2026-02-27	6.40	5.26	3.72	358800	Upward Expansion	76	83
2026-02-20	6.35	5.20	4.22	203800	Upward Expansion	79	83
2026-02-13	6.17	5.15	3.09	175300	Upward Expansion	76	79
2026-02-06	5.90	5.10	-0.07	190800	Upward Expansion	67	71
2026-01-30	5.79	5.05	-0.82	98000	Upward Expansion	64	59
2026-01-23	5.92	5.02	-3.02	310100	Upward Expansion	69	35
2026-01-16	5.35	4.97	-12.85	256000	Upward Expansion	36	19
2026-01-09	5.05	4.97	-17.62	434100	Upward Expansion	26	16
2026-01-02	4.98	4.97	-17.86	204800	Upward Expansion	31	16
2025-12-26	5.15	4.97	-16.27	56700	Upward Expansion	55	41
2025-12-19	5.40	4.96	-12.34	277500	Upward Expansion	58	53
2025-12-12	5.44	4.95	-11.78	103200	Upward Expansion	62	53
2025-12-05	5.57	4.93	-9.79	278500	Upward Expansion	71	41
2025-11-28	5.16	4.91	-17.20	77600	Upward Expansion	41	21
2025-11-21	5.19	4.91	-14.07	100100	Upward Expansion	55	29
2025-11-14	5.08	4.90	-16.97	196400	Upward Expansion	54	38
2025-11-07	4.92	4.90	-19.04	102000	Upward Expansion	58	53
2025-10-31	5.30	4.90	-14.52	161900	Upward Expansion	67	69
2025-10-24	5.43	4.87	-13.28	440800	Balance	75	68
2025-10-17	5.12	4.87	-18.07	118700	Balance	22	34
2025-10-10	5.06	4.87	-18.87	154300	Balance	18	20
2025-10-03	4.98	4.88	-22.37	62700	Balance	-7	5
2025-09-26	4.90	4.89	-22.41	361300	Downward Expansion	-25	12
2025-09-19	4.63	4.90	-27.27	48300	Downward Expansion	-51	25
2025-09-12	4.67	4.94	-26.09	77400	Downward Expansion	-39	17
2025-09-05	4.82	4.98	-23.61	89400	Downward Expansion	-33	16
2025-08-29	4.72	5.02	-24.52	861000	Downward Expansion	-38	19
2025-08-22	4.88	5.08	-22.02	95500	Downward Expansion	-38	21
2025-08-15	4.83	5.14	-22.29	126000	Downward Expansion	-42	26
2025-08-08	4.58	5.21	-26.54	107900	Downward Expansion	-63	41
2025-08-01	4.68	5.28	-23.59	102200	Downward Expansion	-59	42
2025-07-25	4.84	5.34	-23.05	226500	Downward Expansion	-60	62
2025-07-18	4.53	5.39	-28.14	72300	Downward Expansion	-72	78
2025-07-11	4.67	5.44	-25.92	182500	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2025-07-04	4.61	5.50	-27.69	47000	Downward Expansion	-68	44
2025-06-27	4.68	5.56	-26.29	85000	Downward Expansion	-63	34
2025-06-20	5.14	5.62	-19.17	198100	Downward Expansion	-35	20
2025-06-13	5.13	5.66	-19.94	143900	Downward Expansion	-39	28
2025-06-06	5.02	5.69	-22.04	82400	Downward Expansion	-42	32
2025-05-30	4.96	5.74	-22.81	82100	Downward Expansion	-43	33
2025-05-23	4.90	5.77	-23.47	78600	Downward Expansion	-47	35
2025-05-16	4.99	5.81	-22.93	120300	Downward Expansion	-44	34
2025-05-09	5.00	5.84	-21.56	89600	Downward Expansion	-46	37
2025-05-02	5.05	5.88	-20.20	61200	Downward Expansion	-59	47
2025-04-25	4.99	5.91	-20.58	121800	Downward Expansion	-63	55
2025-04-18	5.02	5.95	-18.88	81700	Downward Expansion	-65	58
2025-04-11	4.79	5.98	-21.03	272300	Downward Expansion	-74	71
2025-04-04	4.58	6.01	-23.75	248500	Downward Expansion	-88	84
2025-03-28	5.20	6.05	-19.43	234200	Downward Expansion	-71	77
2025-03-21	5.30	6.08	-19.00	168200	Downward Expansion	-69	82
2025-03-14	5.29	6.11	-18.15	238400	Downward Expansion	-74	83
2025-03-07	5.23	6.15	-20.16	463100	Rotation Down	-81	84
2025-02-28	5.37	6.17	-20.51	277300	Rotation Down	-45	64
2025-02-21	5.76	6.20	-14.36	193500	Balance	-31	35
2025-02-14	5.90	6.22	-13.80	178200	Balance	-14	19
2025-02-07	6.01	6.25	-12.41	1030100	Upward Expansion	18	11
2025-01-31	6.35	6.28	-8.20	256100	Upward Expansion	53	43
2025-01-24	6.70	6.27	-3.20	249200	Upward Expansion	57	61
2025-01-17	6.90	6.26	0.99	566400	Upward Expansion	73	62
2025-01-10	6.66	6.23	-1.20	1382600	Rotation Up	64	40
2025-01-03	6.58	6.22	-3.43	430700	Rotation Up	35	24
2024-12-27	6.28	6.21	-6.68	521900	Rotation Up	23	18
2024-12-20	6.25	6.22	-6.25	238500	Rotation Up	15	31
2024-12-13	6.47	6.22	-5.46	339100	Rotation Up	23	40
2024-12-06	6.42	6.23	-7.64	411300	Balance	17	30
2024-11-29	6.45	6.22	-7.06	235600	Balance	17	20
2024-11-22	6.34	6.21	-7.86	385500	Downward Expansion	-8	9
2024-11-15	6.02	6.20	-10.57	287900	Downward Expansion	-35	14
2024-11-08	6.30	6.21	-6.04	1221500	Downward Expansion	-22	10
2024-11-01	6.00	6.21	-8.81	121800	Downward Expansion	-36	17
2024-10-25	6.00	6.23	-9.85	673700	Downward Expansion	-34	15
2024-10-18	6.00	6.23	-11.52	250600	Downward Expansion	-35	15
2024-10-11	6.15	6.23	-8.45	208200	Downward Expansion	-35	15
2024-10-04	6.05	6.24	-9.13	418200	Downward Expansion	-49	32
2024-09-27	6.00	6.24	-9.48	260900	Downward Expansion	-52	49
2024-09-20	6.09	6.25	-8.19	113900	Downward Expansion	-54	51
2024-09-13	5.51	6.25	-16.27	161400	Balance	-74	63
2024-09-06	5.83	6.27	-8.88	127200	Balance	-38	39
2024-08-30	6.24	6.29	-5.26	133000	Balance	-10	13
2024-08-23	6.25	6.28	-5.13	134400	Balance	-9	14
2024-08-16	6.25	6.29	-4.46	1643900	Balance	-7	11
2024-08-09	6.09	6.26	-3.94	155800	Balance	15	7
2024-08-02	6.24	6.23	-1.42	479700	Balance	40	29
2024-07-26	6.42	6.19	-1.44	113300	Balance	48	42
2024-07-19	6.70	6.14	3.36	503100	Balance	58	45
2024-07-12	6.74	6.09	4.10	84300	Balance	58	27
2024-07-05	6.30	6.03	0.04	62414	Balance	27	13
2024-06-28	6.23	5.99	0.13	148729	Balance	29	14
2024-06-21	6.16	5.95	0.96	73215	Upward Expansion	31	14
2024-06-14	6.30	5.91	3.34	282400	Upward Expansion	48	27
2024-06-07	6.30	5.88	2.07	250585	Upward Expansion	52	37
2024-05-31	6.44	5.85	3.50	52971	Upward Expansion	53	39
2024-05-24	6.44	5.82	3.53	36870	Upward Expansion	53	33
2024-05-17	6.72	5.80	7.54	2515529	Upward Expansion	67	35
2024-05-10	6.09	5.77	-1.58	37086	Upward Expansion	33	18
2024-05-03	6.09	5.77	0.25	56729	Upward Expansion	39	23
2024-04-26	6.16	5.76	1.27	39614	Upward Expansion	52	34
2024-04-19	6.09	5.76	0.61	102957	Upward Expansion	54	35
2024-04-12	6.51	5.77	6.74	730928	Upward Expansion	67	43
2024-04-05	6.37	5.78	2.40	226786	Upward Expansion	62	38
2024-03-29	6.23	5.78	0.13	147328	Rotation Up	47	32
2024-03-22	6.02	5.78	-2.87	72185	Rotation Up	17	22
2024-03-15	6.23	5.79	0.66	43529	Rotation Up	32	31
2024-03-08	6.23	5.77	0.73	99842	Rotation Up	33	34
2024-03-01	6.16	5.77	-0.22	52914	Rotation Up	24	42
2024-02-23	6.16	5.78	-0.45	56543	Rotation Up	25	59
2024-02-16	6.16	5.78	-0.36	100058	Rotation Up	26	57
2024-02-09	6.30	5.77	2.45	112070	Rotation Up	35	49
2024-02-02	6.16	5.76	-0.75	184714	Rotation Up	31	38
2024-01-26	6.44	5.70	2.90	279100	Rotation Up	6	20
2024-01-19	5.32	5.63	-14.85	112714	Downward Expansion	-44	30
2024-01-12	5.18	5.60	-18.47	87272	Downward Expansion	-47	36
2024-01-05	5.11	5.57	-20.55	21585	Rotation Down	-60	47
2023-12-29	4.90	5.56	-24.63	21457	Rotation Down	-42	49
2023-12-22	5.04	5.56	-23.24	58729	Rotation Down	-36	48
2023-12-15	5.04	5.56	-22.85	162129	Rotation Down	-38	59
2023-12-08	5.11	5.57	-21.86	111285	Rotation Down	-38	64
2023-12-01	4.97	5.57	-25.12	121614	Rotation Down	-40	66
2023-11-24	5.04	5.60	-23.67	75371	Rotation Down	-41	62
2023-11-17	5.25	5.64	-21.46	355043	Deceleration	-34	48
2023-11-10	5.46	5.70	-16.94	163829	Deceleration	-26	28
2023-11-03	5.74	5.75	-14.17	51215	Deceleration	5	16
2023-10-27	5.67	5.80	-10.84	112400	Deceleration	13	18
2023-10-20	5.95	5.84	-8.43	183428	Deceleration	30	22
2023-10-13	5.95	5.86	-9.97	101115	Rotation Up	9	12
2023-10-06	5.95	5.89	-8.76	234813	Rotation Up	15	16

Price vs TrendAbove+13.5%

Trend directionRising+7.0%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+30.2%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+29.3%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+15.4%

Relative strength directionImproving+22.1%

Price momentumPositive+6.9%

Volume balanceDemand-led13.37×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

66 / ±100

+23.7 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

84 /100

+25.9 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

ACX Directional State ↗ ACX Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance22

Rotation Up77

Upward Expansion94

Deceleration45

Rotation Down8

Downward Expansion21

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 15%Rotation Up 13%Upward Expansion 29%Deceleration 7%Rotation Down 10%Downward Expansion 26%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-09-18	2026-09-25	New	+0.4%
Rotation Up	2026-08-28	2026-09-11	New	+6.0%
Rotation Down	2026-07-10	2026-08-21	Developing	+20.5%
Balance	2026-06-19	2026-07-03	New	-3.9%
Upward Expansion	2026-06-05	2026-06-12	New	-1.6%
Deceleration	2026-04-24	2026-05-29	Developing	+1.8%
Upward Expansion	2025-10-31	2026-04-17	Established	+13.2%
Balance	2025-10-03	2025-10-24	New	+9.0%
Downward Expansion	2025-03-14	2025-09-26	Extended	-7.4%
Rotation Down	2025-02-28	2025-03-07	New	-2.6%
Balance	2025-02-14	2025-02-21	New	-2.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-01-17	2025-02-07	New	-12.9%
Rotation Up	2024-12-13	2025-01-10	Developing	+2.9%
Balance	2024-11-29	2024-12-06	New	-0.5%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing27

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution45

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2A · Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^GSPTSE

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 99/100
Current Relative Strength: 15.44
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +6.9%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -5.2%
Energy regime cohort: 89th percentile38 in cohort

Test ACX trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.14×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume13.37×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore ACX Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity CAD 7.66rising

Slow Activity CAD 6.79rising

Trend Reference CAD 6.73+13.5% close margin

Current Fair Value CAD 5.87+30.2% close margin

Structural low CAD 5.80shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +5.6%

Annualized volatility +36.1%

From structural high -5.3%

From structural low +61.2%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^GSPTSE	Regime survived	Read
Near term	24	-0.5%-20.3% to +18.6%	+45.8%	+45.8%	-1.2%	+66.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	-0.5%-37.7% to +19.0%	+40.0%	+40.0%	-0.5%	+20.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	-5.6%-42.3% to +26.8%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-11.9%	+0.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	-28.1%-36.6% to +22.9%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-32.3%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

ACX Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map