Weekly structural research · SHH · Industrials

603638 Stage Analysis

Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 19.82Tenure DevelopingBenchmark 000001.SS

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and contracting.

Direction -49−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 37/100directional strength

Maturity 40/100lifecycle context

Confidence 65/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Widecontracting separation

Price acceptance -66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +10.0%CNY 18.01 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	19.82	21.30	-1.22	39142106	Downward Expansion	-49	37
2026-09-25	19.34	21.38	-4.63	44706637	Downward Expansion	-61	48
2026-09-18	18.31	21.55	-10.22	36001691	Downward Expansion	-64	62
2026-09-11	18.12	21.78	-10.61	38905902	Downward Expansion	-67	62
2026-09-04	18.49	21.94	-9.80	9015833	Downward Expansion	-66	62
2026-08-28	18.79	22.07	-8.91	5876877	Downward Expansion	-65	61
2026-08-21	19.00	22.20	-6.84	4595600	Downward Expansion	-63	61
2026-08-14	19.56	22.28	-4.68	7027976	Downward Expansion	-60	67
2026-08-07	20.00	22.28	-2.88	7791952	Rotation Down	-59	65
2026-07-31	19.59	22.24	-2.21	12795317	Rotation Down	-29	36
2026-07-24	18.72	22.22	-6.14	8571744	Deceleration	-32	29
2026-07-17	19.24	22.22	-2.29	15826744	Deceleration	2	5
2026-07-10	22.73	22.25	8.78	27172153	Deceleration	44	29
2026-07-03	27.90	22.17	32.33	59812154	Deceleration	74	48
2026-06-26	22.58	21.91	8.27	12712355	Deceleration	34	19
2026-06-19	24.98	21.78	18.20	57044886	Deceleration	52	25
2026-06-12	23.16	21.56	11.62	14114819	Upward Expansion	39	23
2026-06-05	23.06	21.43	11.48	19104553	Upward Expansion	55	40
2026-05-29	21.80	21.28	4.50	60233632	Upward Expansion	57	66
2026-05-22	25.34	21.13	20.22	43099016	Upward Expansion	72	82
2026-05-15	26.02	20.86	23.10	54647999	Upward Expansion	82	81
2026-05-08	24.68	20.62	15.82	35277568	Deceleration	64	56
2026-05-01	23.14	20.41	10.46	33782633	Deceleration	49	29
2026-04-24	22.26	20.25	7.10	59643783	Deceleration	23	14
2026-04-17	20.71	20.13	0.33	23463366	Deceleration	3	20
2026-04-10	20.52	20.04	0.82	17461843	Deceleration	2	24
2026-04-03	19.21	19.97	-3.35	24029566	Deceleration	2	24
2026-03-27	19.64	19.96	-2.56	27005209	Deceleration	10	22
2026-03-20	20.13	19.93	-1.83	23182554	Upward Expansion	30	20
2026-03-13	22.11	19.87	3.89	30433425	Upward Expansion	62	51
2026-03-06	22.27	19.75	3.63	38984856	Upward Expansion	66	64
2026-02-27	24.29	19.61	11.74	48623038	Upward Expansion	74	87
2026-02-13	25.46	19.43	19.48	77039909	Upward Expansion	92	95
2026-02-06	22.94	19.17	8.48	53396099	Upward Expansion	78	86
2026-01-30	22.16	18.99	3.54	53942655	Upward Expansion	74	82
2026-01-23	22.85	18.82	6.35	97440656	Upward Expansion	85	80
2026-01-16	21.27	18.63	-0.09	41062399	Upward Expansion	75	43
2026-01-09	19.62	18.48	-8.29	25333136	Upward Expansion	41	21
2026-01-02	18.93	18.40	-8.21	10083745	Upward Expansion	36	17
2025-12-26	19.00	18.35	-7.83	17861920	Upward Expansion	52	33
2025-12-19	18.64	18.30	-7.94	21036223	Upward Expansion	56	57
2025-12-12	19.96	18.27	-1.44	40945783	Upward Expansion	65	70
2025-12-05	20.45	18.22	0.70	42479754	Upward Expansion	77	73
2025-11-28	20.04	18.16	-0.86	56465478	Balance	72	63
2025-11-21	18.79	18.12	-5.66	30303088	Balance	49	32
2025-11-14	18.37	18.12	-11.35	18678015	Balance	32	20
2025-11-07	19.19	18.10	-7.67	33089178	Balance	46	20
2025-10-31	18.62	18.07	-9.46	23405222	Balance	5	9
2025-10-24	17.41	18.12	-15.30	14135642	Balance	-26	24
2025-10-17	17.19	18.25	-14.16	28164883	Balance	-19	12
2025-10-10	18.77	18.43	-7.75	9948185	Balance	24	14
2025-10-03	18.36	18.47	-9.44	7823998	Balance	-12	7
2025-09-26	18.38	18.55	-8.16	29371879	Balance	-19	10
2025-09-19	18.64	18.60	-6.76	29233150	Balance	-11	9
2025-09-12	18.11	18.62	-10.74	20664799	Balance	-5	10
2025-09-05	18.22	18.61	-9.08	27918761	Rotation Up	-2	17
2025-08-29	18.86	18.60	-7.21	31866086	Rotation Up	27	34
2025-08-22	18.83	18.54	-6.73	29468421	Balance	27	30
2025-08-15	18.45	18.48	-5.42	21959750	Balance	-1	21
2025-08-08	18.39	18.44	-4.06	22515568	Balance	-4	19
2025-08-01	18.23	18.35	-2.80	23079629	Downward Expansion	-25	24
2025-07-25	18.66	18.28	-1.33	63804838	Downward Expansion	-20	18
2025-07-18	17.75	18.22	-4.41	20782686	Downward Expansion	-45	43
2025-07-11	17.49	18.18	-5.03	14362563	Downward Expansion	-32	54
2025-07-04	17.14	18.16	-5.90	14231298	Rotation Down	-33	53
2025-06-27	17.27	18.15	-3.75	14968652	Rotation Down	-33	50
2025-06-20	16.77	18.12	-4.61	10982056	Rotation Down	-33	51
2025-06-13	17.15	18.09	-2.82	13044431	Rotation Down	-25	42
2025-06-06	17.48	18.06	-1.08	9005127	Deceleration	-21	35
2025-05-30	17.54	18.04	0.49	12777919	Deceleration	-19	23
2025-05-23	17.71	18.00	1.50	15084799	Deceleration	2	9
2025-05-16	18.24	17.94	3.97	21326941	Deceleration	9	10
2025-05-09	18.89	17.86	8.57	21680413	Deceleration	23	18
2025-05-02	18.65	17.75	9.30	14714944	Deceleration	23	22
2025-04-25	18.75	17.70	9.43	21467332	Deceleration	28	23
2025-04-18	17.84	17.59	4.93	20458445	Upward Expansion	29	18
2025-04-11	18.39	17.48	9.54	47943998	Upward Expansion	47	35
2025-04-04	20.07	17.36	16.09	51893321	Upward Expansion	63	52
2025-03-28	21.41	17.19	23.87	50100841	Upward Expansion	70	69
2025-03-21	22.39	16.98	29.59	61196482	Upward Expansion	87	83
2025-03-14	20.04	16.70	14.77	31797940	Upward Expansion	70	82
2025-03-07	20.68	16.50	20.37	46589559	Upward Expansion	86	89
2025-02-28	19.85	16.26	17.72	67629653	Upward Expansion	84	84
2025-02-21	19.47	16.07	13.79	45109674	Upward Expansion	89	83
2025-02-14	17.61	15.88	4.19	20703203	Upward Expansion	64	67
2025-02-07	17.91	15.76	7.27	14469120	Upward Expansion	74	68
2025-01-31	17.04	15.64	3.92	2514218	Upward Expansion	57	40
2025-01-24	17.19	15.53	4.94	23429042	Deceleration	59	31
2025-01-17	17.14	15.42	5.15	20470650	Deceleration	52	27
2025-01-10	15.77	15.31	-0.94	12910956	Upward Expansion	33	18
2025-01-03	16.13	15.28	-0.10	15246181	Upward Expansion	51	31
2024-12-27	16.95	15.23	-0.95	11885120	Upward Expansion	59	42
2024-12-20	16.56	15.19	-2.44	12637218	Upward Expansion	52	36
2024-12-13	16.76	15.17	-2.12	17847303	Upward Expansion	58	37
2024-12-06	16.99	15.17	-1.30	20882935	Upward Expansion	65	39
2024-11-29	16.22	15.17	-3.69	14073428	Upward Expansion	54	36
2024-11-22	15.96	15.20	-3.64	17143556	Upward Expansion	55	38
2024-11-15	16.21	15.20	-4.19	20915194	Rotation Up	58	44
2024-11-08	16.85	15.19	-4.05	32554325	Rotation Up	45	42
2024-11-01	16.30	15.15	-2.26	22870867	Rotation Up	37	35
2024-10-25	16.10	15.13	-4.41	17754461	Rotation Up	36	45
2024-10-18	15.77	15.12	-5.45	17615450	Rotation Up	23	51
2024-10-11	15.56	15.11	-5.72	23568860	Rotation Up	23	52
2024-10-04	16.95	15.13	-1.21	8681071	Rotation Up	54	69
2024-09-27	15.63	15.10	-1.77	13061422	Downward Expansion	20	29
2024-09-20	14.65	15.11	3.69	4522110	Downward Expansion	-8	23
2024-09-13	14.64	15.14	4.77	7589219	Downward Expansion	-22	25
2024-09-06	14.89	15.17	4.06	9435619	Downward Expansion	-23	23
2024-08-30	15.18	15.11	3.30	16589152	Downward Expansion	-25	18
2024-08-23	14.12	15.07	-4.42	10639986	Downward Expansion	-58	44
2024-08-16	13.82	15.06	-7.39	5442675	Downward Expansion	-60	49
2024-08-09	13.75	15.09	-7.56	6953384	Downward Expansion	-64	51
2024-08-02	13.96	15.13	-7.81	12476200	Downward Expansion	-60	49
2024-07-26	13.81	15.20	-8.64	8209057	Downward Expansion	-67	57
2024-07-19	13.99	15.26	-10.61	9408188	Downward Expansion	-64	71
2024-07-12	14.24	15.32	-9.00	8765740	Downward Expansion	-66	79
2024-07-05	13.73	15.38	-12.13	7595952	Rotation Down	-77	84
2024-06-28	13.86	15.45	-12.24	11490345	Rotation Down	-43	70
2024-06-21	13.90	15.53	-13.21	8620903	Balance	-43	57
2024-06-14	14.82	15.61	-8.62	8279983	Balance	-26	32
2024-06-07	14.86	15.65	-9.11	10453422	Balance	5	14
2024-05-31	15.61	15.69	-5.85	7188949	Upward Expansion	35	22
2024-05-24	15.90	15.72	-4.26	8346648	Upward Expansion	57	57
2024-05-17	16.73	15.73	-1.28	9030280	Rotation Up	60	66
2024-05-10	17.06	15.74	0.69	12297590	Rotation Up	40	50
2024-05-03	17.03	15.75	2.28	8072968	Balance	40	36
2024-04-26	16.11	15.76	-2.47	10074274	Balance	15	12
2024-04-19	15.76	15.80	-3.71	10564988	Balance	-19	11
2024-04-12	15.67	15.86	-2.82	8822840	Balance	-9	8
2024-04-05	15.97	15.93	-2.61	5067907	Balance	-2	10
2024-03-29	15.55	15.94	-4.38	14349924	Balance	-7	13
2024-03-22	15.63	16.00	-4.15	12156325	Downward Expansion	-5	19
2024-03-15	16.20	16.05	-0.95	13164655	Downward Expansion	-8	23
2024-03-08	15.90	16.12	-2.64	14698192	Downward Expansion	-15	23
2024-03-01	16.02	16.20	-1.57	26000129	Downward Expansion	-25	17
2024-02-23	15.45	16.27	-4.59	16234124	Downward Expansion	-47	34
2024-02-09	15.48	16.37	0.13	29303915	Downward Expansion	-63	51
2024-02-02	13.34	16.47	-9.21	11256575	Downward Expansion	-81	90
2024-01-26	13.95	16.70	-10.93	10315450	Downward Expansion	-77	86
2024-01-19	13.80	16.86	-9.41	7773348	Downward Expansion	-86	83
2024-01-12	14.69	17.02	-5.23	8626241	Downward Expansion	-78	68
2024-01-05	14.94	17.08	-5.01	7240855	Downward Expansion	-77	57
2023-12-29	15.92	17.16	-0.18	7273657	Downward Expansion	-60	44
2023-12-22	15.69	17.22	0.63	7960134	Downward Expansion	-66	54
2023-12-15	15.72	17.28	0.16	12513670	Downward Expansion	-68	51
2023-12-08	15.98	17.31	1.02	16972906	Downward Expansion	-63	45
2023-12-01	16.03	17.34	-0.57	15136580	Downward Expansion	-63	47
2023-11-24	16.06	17.36	-0.60	19605322	Downward Expansion	-64	55
2023-11-17	16.37	17.34	1.01	12370285	Downward Expansion	-61	62
2023-11-10	16.02	17.34	-0.51	10719925	Rotation Down	-69	71
2023-11-03	16.25	17.36	1.45	10907347	Rotation Down	-39	58
2023-10-27	16.31	17.41	2.48	8348110	Rotation Down	-40	54
2023-10-20	16.24	17.46	3.47	6849435	Balance	-43	43
2023-10-13	16.95	17.48	4.62	9833682	Balance	-19	15
2023-09-29	17.36	17.51	6.70	5475952	Balance	1	4
2023-09-22	17.52	17.55	7.13	8650622	Balance	2	3

Price vs TrendBelow-6.9%

Trend directionFalling-4.2%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+10.0%

Fair Value directionMoving away-45.8%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-1.2%

Relative strength directionWeakening-33.5%

Price momentumPositive+3.2%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.20×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-49 / ±100

+17.8 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

37 /100

-24.2 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

603638 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance18

Rotation Up26

Upward Expansion17

Deceleration58

Rotation Down44

Downward Expansion69

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 18%Rotation Up 7%Upward Expansion 27%Deceleration 14%Rotation Down 7%Downward Expansion 27%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-08-14	2026-10-02	Developing	+1.3%
Rotation Down	2026-07-31	2026-08-07	New	+2.1%
Deceleration	2026-06-19	2026-07-24	Developing	-25.1%
Upward Expansion	2026-05-15	2026-06-12	Developing	-11.0%
Deceleration	2026-03-27	2026-05-08	Developing	+25.7%
Upward Expansion	2025-12-05	2026-03-20	Established	-1.6%
Balance	2025-09-12	2025-11-28	Developing	+10.7%
Rotation Up	2025-08-29	2025-09-05	New	-3.4%
Balance	2025-08-08	2025-08-22	New	+2.4%
Downward Expansion	2025-07-11	2025-08-01	New	+4.2%
Rotation Down	2025-06-13	2025-07-04	New	-0.1%
Deceleration	2025-04-25	2025-06-06	Developing	-6.7%
Upward Expansion	2025-01-31	2025-04-18	Developing	+4.7%
Deceleration	2025-01-17	2025-01-24	New	+0.3%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing29

Stage 2 · Advancing20

Stage 3 · Distribution52

Stage 4 · Declining80

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 51/100
Current Relative Strength: -1.22
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +3.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +4.2%
Industrials regime cohort: 21th percentile330 in cohort

Test 603638 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.50×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.20×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 603638 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity CNY 19.07rising

Slow Activity CNY 20.73falling

Trend Reference CNY 21.30-6.9% close margin

Current Fair Value CNY 18.01+10.0% close margin

Structural low CNY 17.45shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +7.6%

Annualized volatility +60.7%

From structural high -29.5%

From structural low +16.3%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs 000001.SS	Regime survived	Read
Near term	30	-3.4%-22.6% to +27.4%	+40.0%	+60.0%	-0.4%	+86.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	-5.7%-31.6% to +16.1%	+40.0%	+60.0%	-5.4%	+60.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	-7.2%-41.5% to +12.1%	+33.3%	+66.7%	-8.2%	+33.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+0.2%-53.6% to +10.0%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-3.6%	+25.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

603638 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map