Weekly structural research · TAI · Consumer Cyclical

1475 Stage Analysis

Big Sun Shine CO., LTD.

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close TWD 26.35Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^TWII

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Balance · Balance after decline

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: stable.
Activity structure: compressed and stable.

Direction -47−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 27/100directional strength

Maturity 26/100lifecycle context

Confidence 93/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedstable separation

Price acceptance -33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -33.9%TWD 39.85 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	26.35	26.93	-35.10	26053	Balance	-47	27
2026-09-18	26.25	27.02	-35.19	88000	Balance	-50	28
2026-09-11	26.05	27.12	-35.29	186000	Balance	-52	32
2026-09-04	26.40	27.22	-35.96	76002	Balance	-46	41
2026-08-28	26.60	27.36	-36.25	43000	Balance	-46	37
2026-08-21	26.50	27.50	-36.05	4000	Balance	-46	38
2026-08-14	25.20	27.68	-40.88	211000	Balance	-67	43
2026-08-07	27.30	27.85	-34.99	20000	Balance	-26	12
2026-07-31	27.20	27.91	-34.88	24000	Balance	-20	10
2026-07-24	26.65	27.95	-38.19	12000	Balance	-27	13
2026-07-17	27.30	28.02	-36.43	9000	Balance	-25	17
2026-07-10	27.30	28.11	-41.29	0	Balance	-26	20
2026-07-03	27.45	28.32	-43.90	71003	Downward Expansion	-28	21
2026-06-26	27.30	28.56	-42.61	128046	Downward Expansion	-35	19
2026-06-19	27.40	28.83	-45.73	152006	Downward Expansion	-53	36
2026-06-12	27.20	29.07	-44.34	237017	Downward Expansion	-61	53
2026-06-05	25.95	29.34	-49.00	310042	Downward Expansion	-64	76
2026-05-29	24.90	29.69	-51.75	300003	Downward Expansion	-79	81
2026-05-22	25.10	30.00	-49.59	306272	Downward Expansion	-80	68
2026-05-15	26.45	30.33	-46.54	303055	Downward Expansion	-70	46
2026-05-08	27.70	30.53	-45.51	300161	Downward Expansion	-42	29
2026-05-01	27.85	30.66	-42.46	103008	Downward Expansion	-39	25
2026-04-24	28.05	30.76	-43.09	162057	Downward Expansion	-42	30
2026-04-17	28.35	30.88	-40.14	373021	Downward Expansion	-47	38
2026-04-10	28.66	30.98	-38.03	183009	Downward Expansion	-61	50
2026-04-03	27.43	31.08	-36.86	164004	Downward Expansion	-66	79
2026-03-27	26.91	31.26	-40.33	121073	Downward Expansion	-74	88
2026-03-20	27.14	31.46	-41.80	120000	Downward Expansion	-76	86
2026-03-13	26.67	31.63	-43.75	215000	Downward Expansion	-83	82
2026-03-06	28.14	31.97	-42.15	290000	Downward Expansion	-74	69
2026-02-27	29.28	32.30	-43.92	181669	Downward Expansion	-63	61
2026-02-13	29.09	32.58	-42.28	93297	Downward Expansion	-67	46
2026-02-06	29.09	32.84	-40.01	194265	Downward Expansion	-57	34
2026-01-30	30.66	33.11	-38.33	92020	Downward Expansion	-42	26
2026-01-23	30.85	33.34	-38.68	194000	Downward Expansion	-46	34
2026-01-16	31.85	33.59	-36.53	195082	Downward Expansion	-62	58
2026-01-09	30.14	33.72	-38.59	169010	Downward Expansion	-66	78
2026-01-02	29.09	33.91	-39.64	85377	Downward Expansion	-69	83
2025-12-26	28.52	34.22	-39.98	204010	Downward Expansion	-77	82
2025-12-19	28.76	34.60	-38.44	329243	Balance	-78	69
2025-12-12	30.00	34.96	-37.72	468482	Balance	-60	36
2025-12-05	33.47	35.28	-30.86	164768	Balance	-27	13
2025-11-28	34.80	35.35	-28.07	96050	Balance	-6	13
2025-11-21	35.37	35.43	-24.40	81014	Balance	-0	19
2025-11-14	34.70	35.50	-29.13	103213	Balance	-4	21
2025-11-07	35.08	35.51	-29.87	69030	Downward Expansion	-5	22
2025-10-31	36.46	35.49	-29.42	174122	Downward Expansion	-3	19
2025-10-24	34.46	35.87	-32.30	91020	Downward Expansion	-34	23
2025-10-17	34.89	36.38	-31.63	389041	Downward Expansion	-41	32
2025-10-10	32.33	36.92	-37.27	57045	Downward Expansion	-63	57
2025-10-03	31.75	37.54	-37.90	242214	Downward Expansion	-66	61
2025-09-26	30.85	38.20	-37.64	142000	Downward Expansion	-75	81
2025-09-19	31.47	38.87	-37.18	125119	Downward Expansion	-72	80
2025-09-12	31.56	39.53	-37.48	411267	Downward Expansion	-74	86
2025-09-05	31.66	40.18	-35.55	192200	Downward Expansion	-77	88
2025-08-29	32.61	40.85	-33.59	221177	Downward Expansion	-75	84
2025-08-22	33.09	41.47	-31.99	247388	Downward Expansion	-77	77
2025-08-15	32.18	42.06	-36.04	1152246	Downward Expansion	-86	63
2025-08-08	36.98	42.67	-26.47	180310	Downward Expansion	-47	34
2025-08-01	37.79	43.06	-23.86	109418	Downward Expansion	-43	33
2025-07-25	37.79	43.46	-24.35	247020	Downward Expansion	-46	37
2025-07-18	37.08	43.83	-26.39	127350	Downward Expansion	-59	43
2025-07-11	36.98	44.25	-25.12	159176	Downward Expansion	-60	48
2025-07-04	37.65	44.71	-23.49	847255	Downward Expansion	-57	45
2025-06-27	38.31	45.16	-22.65	413872	Downward Expansion	-57	47
2025-06-20	35.65	45.59	-26.60	196090	Downward Expansion	-69	53
2025-06-13	35.91	46.11	-26.62	540025	Downward Expansion	-61	47
2025-06-06	38.58	46.79	-20.11	165011	Downward Expansion	-45	39
2025-05-30	39.84	47.29	-16.64	230317	Downward Expansion	-50	48
2025-05-23	39.45	47.74	-18.90	202083	Downward Expansion	-63	61
2025-05-16	39.71	48.23	-19.47	591000	Downward Expansion	-66	66
2025-05-09	35.52	48.61	-25.15	285139	Downward Expansion	-74	91
2025-05-02	37.18	49.20	-21.62	154120	Downward Expansion	-69	89
2025-04-25	37.40	49.79	-17.88	412024	Downward Expansion	-78	92
2025-04-18	35.04	50.37	-21.47	763067	Downward Expansion	-95	98
2025-04-11	34.47	50.98	-23.52	675127	Downward Expansion	-93	95
2025-04-04	47.97	51.59	-2.67	214230	Balance	-72	60
2025-03-28	49.72	51.76	-0.42	210020	Balance	-44	23
2025-03-21	51.03	51.89	-0.35	195001	Balance	-25	12
2025-03-14	51.11	52.03	1.05	395200	Balance	-16	8
2025-03-07	51.46	52.24	-0.88	162010	Balance	-16	9
2025-02-28	50.94	52.54	-3.91	116018	Balance	-27	16
2025-02-21	51.20	52.80	-6.22	177390	Balance	-27	20
2025-02-14	51.11	52.96	-4.25	161058	Downward Expansion	-30	20
2025-02-07	51.81	53.23	-4.32	265016	Downward Expansion	-32	19
2025-01-24	51.29	53.24	-5.53	122080	Downward Expansion	-39	23
2025-01-17	50.68	53.26	-5.30	233000	Downward Expansion	-54	34
2025-01-10	50.33	53.26	-5.46	327000	Downward Expansion	-58	42
2025-01-03	48.93	53.35	-7.62	279060	Downward Expansion	-65	62
2024-12-27	49.80	53.36	-7.44	176061	Downward Expansion	-61	64
2024-12-20	48.84	53.32	-6.04	372010	Downward Expansion	-73	72
2024-12-13	49.45	53.31	-6.74	522072	Balance	-69	68
2024-12-06	51.03	53.36	-4.38	275120	Balance	-32	51
2024-11-29	51.03	53.32	-0.37	440225	Balance	-29	32
2024-11-22	51.20	53.22	-2.94	487459	Balance	-28	20
2024-11-15	51.20	53.06	-2.42	1134197	Deceleration	8	5
2024-11-08	56.53	52.88	3.83	1405802	Deceleration	46	24
2024-11-01	53.30	52.51	0.96	310084	Deceleration	13	11
2024-10-25	53.56	52.14	-1.31	287352	Deceleration	15	11
2024-10-18	54.17	51.78	-1.08	694045	Deceleration	16	10
2024-10-11	50.94	51.33	-4.87	639132	Deceleration	4	6
2024-10-04	53.39	51.04	2.06	226003	Deceleration	21	11
2024-09-27	54.78	50.70	2.15	364163	Deceleration	23	12
2024-09-20	54.87	50.31	5.18	641580	Deceleration	29	18
2024-09-13	53.30	49.91	3.84	687644	Deceleration	26	20
2024-09-06	52.77	49.63	4.18	894207	Deceleration	29	21
2024-08-30	52.95	49.23	0.42	605094	Upward Expansion	36	21
2024-08-23	53.82	48.83	2.32	1246177	Upward Expansion	45	33
2024-08-16	55.13	48.47	3.73	2027278	Upward Expansion	60	46
2024-08-09	57.32	47.97	12.07	2131466	Upward Expansion	64	54
2024-08-02	60.46	47.30	17.34	3158211	Upward Expansion	78	78
2024-07-26	58.89	46.52	12.01	1121171	Upward Expansion	78	74
2024-07-19	56.01	45.76	3.15	1457322	Upward Expansion	71	67
2024-07-12	58.98	44.99	3.72	4626071	Upward Expansion	88	70
2024-07-05	52.17	44.20	-6.94	778145	Upward Expansion	66	53
2024-06-28	52.00	43.74	-5.61	895286	Upward Expansion	67	53
2024-06-21	50.73	43.41	-9.17	1314779	Upward Expansion	62	49
2024-06-14	52.93	43.13	-2.54	4271202	Upward Expansion	78	56
2024-06-07	49.21	42.78	-7.00	763120	Upward Expansion	63	53
2024-05-31	48.61	42.65	-5.66	801166	Upward Expansion	64	60
2024-05-24	48.61	42.51	-7.77	1811227	Upward Expansion	66	80
2024-05-17	50.82	42.33	-2.63	1641826	Upward Expansion	84	92
2024-05-10	49.80	42.09	-2.45	1926556	Upward Expansion	83	86
2024-05-03	48.28	41.89	-4.16	814411	Upward Expansion	83	84
2024-04-26	46.16	41.72	-7.76	526254	Upward Expansion	70	72
2024-04-19	45.82	41.61	-5.99	1091054	Balance	70	63
2024-04-12	45.40	41.57	-12.66	1208090	Balance	39	24
2024-04-05	42.43	41.57	-17.23	151027	Balance	9	8
2024-03-29	42.77	41.64	-16.95	316250	Balance	4	7
2024-03-22	40.70	41.71	-21.25	829372	Balance	-1	7
2024-03-15	42.22	41.81	-16.71	633234	Rotation Up	16	19
2024-03-08	43.11	41.86	-15.95	521109	Rotation Up	20	36
2024-03-01	43.02	41.88	-13.32	165120	Rotation Up	20	27
2024-02-23	42.94	41.89	-14.15	541105	Rotation Up	18	24
2024-02-16	44.89	41.91	-9.86	716086	Balance	31	32
2024-02-09	40.65	41.90	-16.97	69000	Balance	-19	24
2024-02-02	41.08	42.04	-16.79	443359	Downward Expansion	-21	22
2024-01-26	43.02	42.25	-13.43	419115	Downward Expansion	-17	18
2024-01-19	40.06	42.38	-18.79	816599	Downward Expansion	-45	34
2024-01-12	37.18	42.63	-24.76	88050	Downward Expansion	-63	58
2024-01-05	37.10	42.97	-25.84	71110	Downward Expansion	-66	81
2023-12-29	36.04	43.38	-30.39	235546	Downward Expansion	-68	87
2023-12-22	33.03	43.76	-35.83	384805	Downward Expansion	-93	96
2023-12-15	35.32	44.21	-32.55	182194	Downward Expansion	-91	91
2023-12-08	38.15	44.61	-26.79	850763	Downward Expansion	-85	79
2023-12-01	42.26	44.91	-19.93	275076	Downward Expansion	-64	53
2023-11-24	42.22	44.99	-19.93	324260	Downward Expansion	-64	32
2023-11-17	42.60	45.02	-19.48	716144	Downward Expansion	-51	23
2023-11-10	45.23	45.10	-12.53	279004	Downward Expansion	-21	11
2023-11-03	44.55	45.15	-13.39	181000	Downward Expansion	-49	27
2023-10-27	43.19	45.23	-14.38	123000	Downward Expansion	-56	45
2023-10-20	43.36	45.38	-15.95	170002	Downward Expansion	-55	46
2023-10-13	43.79	45.57	-17.13	227000	Downward Expansion	-51	34
2023-10-06	43.28	45.67	-17.17	69269	Downward Expansion	-56	33
2023-09-29	43.02	46.13	-17.08	102133	Downward Expansion	-50	26
2023-09-22	44.46	46.61	-14.53	166325	Downward Expansion	-32	17

Price vs TrendBelow-2.1%

Trend directionFalling-3.9%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-33.9%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+0.1%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-35.1%

Relative strength directionImproving+7.5%

Price momentumNegative-2.1%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.57×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-47 / ±100

-1.1 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

27 /100

-10.3 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

1475 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance42

Rotation Up18

Upward Expansion2

Deceleration49

Rotation Down44

Downward Expansion71

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 23%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 12%Deceleration 7%Downward Expansion 55%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Balance	2026-07-10	2026-09-25	Developing	-3.5%
Downward Expansion	2025-12-26	2026-07-03	Extended	-3.8%
Balance	2025-11-14	2025-12-19	Developing	-17.1%
Downward Expansion	2025-04-11	2025-11-07	Extended	+1.8%
Balance	2025-02-21	2025-04-04	Developing	-6.3%
Downward Expansion	2024-12-20	2025-02-14	Developing	+4.7%
Balance	2024-11-22	2024-12-13	New	-3.4%
Deceleration	2024-09-06	2024-11-15	Developing	-3.0%
Upward Expansion	2024-04-26	2024-08-30	Established	+14.7%
Balance	2024-03-22	2024-04-19	Developing	+12.6%
Rotation Up	2024-02-23	2024-03-15	New	-1.7%
Balance	2024-02-09	2024-02-16	New	+10.4%
Downward Expansion	2023-05-19	2024-02-02	Extended	-12.9%
Rotation Down	2023-03-17	2023-05-12	Developing	+1.4%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing73

Stage 2 · Advancing6

Stage 3 · Distribution21

Stage 4 · Declining94

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 95/100
Current Relative Strength: -35.10
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -2.1%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -47.1%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 90th percentile50 in cohort

Test 1475 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.21×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.57×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationStable

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 1475 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity TWD 26.29falling

Slow Activity TWD 26.70falling

Trend Reference TWD 26.93-2.1% close margin

Current Fair Value TWD 39.85-33.9% close margin

Structural low TWD 24.15shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +3.9%

Annualized volatility +20.9%

From structural high -30.2%

From structural low +9.1%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^TWII	Regime survived	Read
Near term	11	-0.3%-31.3% to +12.6%	+36.4%	+36.4%	-2.9%	+45.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	5	-0.5%-21.8% to +30.6%	+40.0%	+40.0%	-1.2%	+20.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	+9.4%-27.7% to +91.8%	+50.0%	+50.0%	+3.5%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	3	+25.7%-42.8% to +66.8%	+66.7%	+66.7%	-2.2%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

1475 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map