Weekly structural research ยท SHH ยท Industrials

688659 Stage Analysis

Anhui Yuanchen Environmental Protection Science&Technology Co.,Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close CNY 9.00Tenure NewBenchmark 000001.SS
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: moderate and expanding.
Direction -62โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 64/100directional strength
Maturity 14/100lifecycle context
Confidence 87/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation
Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +2.2%CNY 8.80 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-099.0010.00-7.416175247Downward Expansion-6264
2026-10-029.1010.06-7.359255051Downward Expansion-6057
2026-09-259.3010.12-6.6711438374Downward Expansion-5445
2026-09-188.9610.18-10.8717930959Rotation Up-6236
2026-09-119.1910.24-8.3714078032Rotation Up-4024
2026-09-0410.2910.301.182231881Rotation Up424
2026-08-2810.4810.302.383637695Downward Expansion523
2026-08-2110.6910.315.531989736Downward Expansion-1517
2026-08-1410.3510.291.463531515Downward Expansion-4834
2026-08-079.8610.28-3.961968162Downward Expansion-6369
2026-07-318.7910.26-12.062471908Downward Expansion-6575
2026-07-248.0510.29-19.262886834Balance-8176
2026-07-178.5410.34-13.514380578Balance-5045
2026-07-1010.1210.36-3.624294379Balance-1411
2026-07-0310.2410.35-3.596242635Balance-1316
2026-06-2610.5810.350.066214603Balance-116
2026-06-1910.5110.32-1.9531360959Balance017
2026-06-129.6310.36-8.705324429Balance-1116
2026-06-0510.0010.39-5.105099471Upward Expansion2516
2026-05-2910.5210.42-1.0625393251Upward Expansion5559
2026-05-2211.7710.449.7418689672Upward Expansion6473
2026-05-1511.8710.3910.5220531624Upward Expansion6970
2026-05-0812.0810.3511.7819323689Balance7559
2026-05-0111.5310.309.0222893741Balance2618
2026-04-2410.0410.26-3.7910366766Downward Expansion-5135
2026-04-179.9210.28-3.9512628782Downward Expansion-5346
2026-04-109.8810.31-2.4212672430Balance-5542
2026-04-039.1510.33-6.9314620826Balance-6244
2026-03-279.9010.380.0519522007Balance-2420
2026-03-209.7110.42-2.6913567922Rotation Up-2113
2026-03-1310.7910.454.6812626149Rotation Up3145
2026-03-0610.8110.464.5015284940Rotation Up2449
2026-02-2711.1610.427.3211201560Rotation Up3858
2026-02-1310.9010.357.3613080735Balance2836
2026-02-0610.7210.296.5114707525Balance2026
2026-01-3010.4710.233.0917177696Balance1119
2026-01-2310.7210.175.4713200317Balance1313
2026-01-1610.2010.091.6113697504Rotation Down-1314
2026-01-099.8410.02-2.0912798173Rotation Down-3029
2026-01-029.459.96-2.056121972Rotation Down-3652
2025-12-269.499.91-1.2012549414Rotation Down-2747
2025-12-199.589.851.8713786436Balance-2242
2025-12-129.279.79-1.2713296118Balance-1528
2025-12-059.909.745.0213369769Balance311
2025-11-2810.159.668.1014504204Balance1810
2025-11-219.619.563.9126207161Upward Expansion2117
2025-11-1411.619.4720.7219658033Upward Expansion7661
2025-11-0710.729.3011.6913999906Upward Expansion5537
2025-10-3110.929.1615.2316578607Upward Expansion5836
2025-10-2410.899.0315.3314515993Deceleration5936
2025-10-1710.288.9012.3914748540Deceleration4329
2025-10-1010.738.8016.066423741Deceleration4836
2025-10-0310.718.7016.926947359Deceleration4939
2025-09-2610.308.5914.7117991586Upward Expansion4841
2025-09-1910.558.4818.4617920234Upward Expansion6051
2025-09-1210.838.3620.8629003156Upward Expansion6760
2025-09-0510.658.2321.5227431825Upward Expansion6564
2025-08-2910.558.1119.8738414757Upward Expansion6867
2025-08-2210.957.9926.3128998984Upward Expansion8082
2025-08-1510.807.8530.1848890405Upward Expansion8587
2025-08-0811.117.7137.4779645087Upward Expansion9692
2025-08-019.407.5519.9817286490Upward Expansion8091
2025-07-259.347.4518.8913898750Upward Expansion8593
2025-07-189.107.3718.5913766373Upward Expansion8592
2025-07-118.797.3216.1711800274Upward Expansion8187
2025-07-048.637.3115.9315285139Upward Expansion7872
2025-06-278.467.3015.8618468607Upward Expansion7769
2025-06-207.947.3011.2712218286Upward Expansion6362
2025-06-137.957.2911.2412124683Rotation Up6567
2025-06-068.077.3013.0010415783Rotation Up4663
2025-05-307.837.3111.3411556974Rotation Up3954
2025-05-237.687.329.2713127060Balance2431
2025-05-167.767.329.8113553327Balance2726
2025-05-097.557.307.6512362416Balance-03
2025-05-027.177.274.1910209868Downward Expansion-4539
2025-04-256.827.26-1.4211937920Downward Expansion-5354
2025-04-186.637.23-3.5613793416Balance-5753
2025-04-116.387.18-5.9920846400Balance-5437
2025-04-047.187.142.2910624637Balance1411
2025-03-286.977.08-1.2117333993Deceleration2619
2025-03-217.327.033.0014213546Deceleration3725
2025-03-147.566.954.3113062854Deceleration3725
2025-03-077.376.882.8214951347Deceleration3721
2025-02-286.926.81-2.0811723547Deceleration2317
2025-02-217.186.76-0.5413708699Deceleration2216
2025-02-146.926.70-3.6112531279Deceleration1813
2025-02-077.116.640.2210384876Deceleration513
2025-01-316.756.59-3.853270694Deceleration-029
2025-01-246.736.55-5.3125304651Deceleration-126
2025-01-176.676.53-7.1817150076Deceleration128
2025-01-106.236.50-12.8013966065Deceleration-928
2025-01-036.366.50-13.7012368513Deceleration1420
2024-12-277.066.48-11.1616346764Upward Expansion4430
2024-12-207.746.48-3.2413280292Upward Expansion6046
2024-12-138.356.452.2013427902Upward Expansion6655
2024-12-068.476.422.0514022197Upward Expansion7260
2024-11-298.196.37-0.3213742439Upward Expansion6860
2024-11-227.906.33-3.3918265619Upward Expansion6669
2024-11-158.146.27-3.7424137815Upward Expansion7185
2024-11-088.416.20-5.1031474437Rotation Up8592
2024-11-018.006.14-5.7634733363Rotation Up5780
2024-10-257.706.12-10.9818638235Rotation Up4975
2024-10-187.086.11-18.0513652316Rotation Up4161
2024-10-116.656.13-22.9325454636Rotation Up3137
2024-10-046.866.17-24.327293514Rotation Up1825
2024-09-276.026.17-29.1510097908Downward Expansion-2516
2024-09-205.246.23-31.395083743Downward Expansion-5637
2024-09-135.266.31-31.378748154Downward Expansion-5742
2024-09-065.236.34-34.2710880463Downward Expansion-5945
2024-08-305.506.42-33.6317318047Downward Expansion-5743
2024-08-234.946.57-41.509209321Downward Expansion-7254
2024-08-165.276.76-39.059743985Downward Expansion-6350
2024-08-095.406.97-38.058713252Downward Expansion-6252
2024-08-025.457.18-39.229545746Downward Expansion-6455
2024-07-265.257.42-41.999522073Downward Expansion-7263
2024-07-195.287.63-44.3911807919Downward Expansion-7461
2024-07-125.637.86-41.6416124493Downward Expansion-6853
2024-07-055.588.06-42.8813121959Downward Expansion-7163
2024-06-286.008.30-40.0415935075Downward Expansion-6359
2024-06-215.918.52-42.4219741892Downward Expansion-6859
2024-06-146.088.76-42.3511082635Downward Expansion-6751
2024-06-075.898.95-45.3419063306Downward Expansion-7348
2024-05-316.959.15-37.0513006855Downward Expansion-4130
2024-05-247.009.30-37.2628440452Downward Expansion-4332
2024-05-177.289.44-36.5813812066Downward Expansion-4841
2024-05-107.139.60-38.2615635965Downward Expansion-6253
2024-05-036.939.76-39.409257039Downward Expansion-6456
2024-04-266.179.94-46.1312197178Downward Expansion-6962
2024-04-195.8310.15-49.1924069937Downward Expansion-7760
2024-04-126.6510.39-41.7914812306Downward Expansion-7255
2024-04-057.4010.60-36.947360470Downward Expansion-6150
2024-03-297.4010.75-36.9413727991Downward Expansion-6353
2024-03-227.8010.94-34.2818842425Downward Expansion-6256
2024-03-157.6811.11-36.0617839440Downward Expansion-6563
2024-03-087.0711.30-41.5621392017Downward Expansion-7286
2024-03-017.6411.50-37.2224354534Downward Expansion-6888
2024-02-237.7411.68-36.7929099652Downward Expansion-7089
2024-02-096.2611.92-47.1537622051Downward Expansion-9597
2024-02-027.6312.25-33.4917886327Downward Expansion-9492
2024-01-269.8912.56-20.0213185583Downward Expansion-8479
2024-01-1910.5012.77-13.508749099Downward Expansion-7857
2024-01-1211.6412.93-6.688586532Downward Expansion-5933
2024-01-0511.8513.06-7.157557774Downward Expansion-4427
2023-12-2912.4513.18-4.5410369362Downward Expansion-3926
2023-12-2211.7813.22-8.559344664Downward Expansion-5533
2023-12-1511.9613.28-9.319987153Downward Expansion-4021
2023-12-0811.8313.28-12.3713013729Downward Expansion-3824
2023-12-0112.5513.27-10.5615718620Downward Expansion-2722
2023-11-2412.6913.23-11.1228299327Downward Expansion-3220
2023-11-1713.1113.19-9.1523058445Downward Expansion-3524
2023-11-1011.8713.18-18.2410121227Downward Expansion-6159
2023-11-0311.7313.23-19.6711037084Downward Expansion-6368
2023-10-2711.5813.30-20.789264615Downward Expansion-6772
2023-10-2011.2213.38-22.6612288163Downward Expansion-7673
2023-10-1311.9613.47-20.5716364092Downward Expansion-6460
2023-09-2912.1113.56-20.387402197Downward Expansion-6249
Price vs TrendBelow-10.0%
Trend directionFalling-2.5%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+2.2%
Fair Value directionMoving away-8.4%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-7.4%
Relative strength directionWeakening-3.8%
Price momentumNegative-8.9%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.35ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-62 / ยฑ100

-22.0 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

64 /100

+39.9 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance18
Rotation Up11
Upward Expansion14
Deceleration38
Rotation Down70
Downward Expansion89

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 17%Rotation Up 10%Upward Expansion 19%Deceleration 11%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 40%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-09-252026-10-09New-3.2%
Rotation Up2026-09-042026-09-18New-12.9%
Downward Expansion2026-07-312026-08-28Developing+19.2%
Balance2026-06-122026-07-24Developing-16.4%
Upward Expansion2026-05-152026-06-05New-15.8%
Balance2026-05-012026-05-08New+4.8%
Downward Expansion2026-04-172026-04-24New+1.2%
Balance2026-03-272026-04-10New-0.2%
Rotation Up2026-02-272026-03-20New-13.0%
Balance2026-01-232026-02-13New+1.7%
Rotation Down2025-12-262026-01-16New+7.5%
Balance2025-11-282025-12-19New-5.6%
Upward Expansion2025-10-312025-11-21New-12.0%
Deceleration2025-10-032025-10-24New+1.7%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing42
Stage 2 ยท Advancing1
Stage 3 ยท Distribution46
Stage 4 ยท Declining99

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4A ยท Breakdown. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
89/100
Current Relative Strength
-7.41
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
-8.9%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-4.6%
Industrials regime cohort
58th percentile314 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.74ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.35ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 9.09falling
Slow Activity CNY 9.80falling
Trend Reference CNY 10.00-10.0% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 8.80+2.2% close margin
Structural low CNY 7.90shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +8.7%
Annualized volatility +48.9%
From structural high -28.5%
From structural low +13.9%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 000001.SS Regime survived Read
Near term21-3.1%-26.3% to +31.2%+47.6%+52.4%-0.5%+81.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate8-3.3%-43.7% to +62.0%+50.0%+50.0%+1.9%+50.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended4+6.2%-45.0% to +59.7%+50.0%+50.0%+8.1%+50.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle3+10.5%-51.8% to +69.1%+66.7%+33.3%+3.9%+66.7%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context