Weekly structural research · TWO · Consumer Defensive

6574 Stage Analysis

Mikobeaute International Co., Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close TWD 123.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^TWII

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction 35−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 16/100directional strength

Maturity 28/100lifecycle context

Confidence 78/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance +0.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +79.6%TWD 68.50 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	123.00	117.08	-4.71	188231	Deceleration	35	16
2026-10-02	119.50	115.97	-5.93	79379	Deceleration	16	9
2026-09-25	118.50	114.55	-6.03	122025	Deceleration	16	10
2026-09-18	120.50	113.17	-3.06	128218	Deceleration	28	14
2026-09-11	120.00	111.76	-1.66	108037	Deceleration	30	16
2026-09-04	118.50	110.29	-4.31	18750	Deceleration	32	16
2026-08-28	120.50	108.77	-2.70	39265	Deceleration	38	25
2026-08-21	118.50	107.05	-2.34	77230	Upward Expansion	39	24
2026-08-14	122.51	105.29	-0.68	156675	Upward Expansion	52	33
2026-08-07	136.67	103.41	14.73	121210	Upward Expansion	73	45
2026-07-31	112.75	101.08	-2.71	81200	Upward Expansion	55	40
2026-07-24	123.98	99.59	5.53	39022	Upward Expansion	59	62
2026-07-17	127.39	97.75	10.83	191000	Upward Expansion	65	61
2026-07-10	132.50	95.76	8.24	435035	Upward Expansion	73	52
2026-07-03	122.00	93.61	-3.79	317110	Upward Expansion	65	38
2026-06-26	109.50	91.91	-9.99	215506	Upward Expansion	42	27
2026-06-19	109.00	90.65	-14.99	268139	Upward Expansion	55	36
2026-06-12	117.00	89.51	-5.08	727016	Upward Expansion	59	40
2026-06-05	112.50	88.01	-11.49	268650	Upward Expansion	57	41
2026-05-29	119.50	86.68	-5.97	570186	Upward Expansion	66	49
2026-05-22	114.00	85.11	-5.24	311524	Upward Expansion	61	45
2026-05-15	112.50	83.57	-3.84	1117661	Deceleration	60	41
2026-05-08	119.00	82.25	0.84	592968	Deceleration	62	42
2026-05-01	101.50	80.65	-7.85	219501	Deceleration	42	30
2026-04-24	96.70	79.60	-12.22	196046	Upward Expansion	46	37
2026-04-17	106.50	78.87	2.15	301598	Upward Expansion	63	58
2026-04-10	99.90	77.81	-0.22	236150	Upward Expansion	67	82
2026-04-03	105.50	77.38	14.92	216442	Upward Expansion	68	88
2026-03-27	119.00	76.45	28.29	638464	Upward Expansion	90	96
2026-03-20	133.50	74.96	43.34	1260811	Rotation Up	99	99
2026-03-13	89.80	73.03	-2.08	264264	Rotation Up	68	83
2026-03-06	76.90	72.22	-16.42	67082	Rotation Up	39	64
2026-02-27	76.90	71.84	-20.69	107090	Rotation Up	32	45
2026-02-13	78.40	71.45	-14.83	70247	Rotation Up	44	47
2026-02-06	75.80	71.16	-12.89	55200	Downward Expansion	23	27
2026-01-30	72.80	71.10	-17.04	156543	Downward Expansion	-21	18
2026-01-23	69.00	71.32	-21.08	31010	Downward Expansion	-62	63
2026-01-16	65.70	71.71	-23.56	16027	Downward Expansion	-74	79
2026-01-09	66.20	72.49	-20.24	30821	Downward Expansion	-71	71
2026-01-02	66.60	73.19	-17.24	13608	Downward Expansion	-70	70
2025-12-26	68.00	74.00	-13.14	8045	Downward Expansion	-64	68
2025-12-19	69.00	74.28	-9.08	15187	Downward Expansion	-57	62
2025-12-12	67.50	74.10	-12.51	11147	Downward Expansion	-67	62
2025-12-05	68.20	73.64	-10.93	13583	Balance	-60	41
2025-11-28	71.00	73.08	-6.10	1654	Balance	-9	8
2025-11-21	71.70	72.45	-0.72	1363	Balance	-4	5
2025-11-14	74.60	71.79	-0.04	1013	Balance	22	12
2025-11-07	72.00	71.02	-4.05	4035	Balance	1	7
2025-10-31	72.60	70.30	-5.03	6132	Balance	0	7
2025-10-24	72.60	69.57	-2.36	7010	Balance	7	13
2025-10-17	67.70	68.85	-7.90	16322	Balance	-4	16
2025-10-10	72.80	68.29	-0.83	13020	Balance	22	17
2025-10-03	71.00	67.60	-1.12	7000	Balance	12	12
2025-09-26	70.00	66.98	2.27	35158	Upward Expansion	31	23
2025-09-19	74.90	66.39	9.72	81029	Upward Expansion	54	51
2025-09-12	74.80	65.65	10.46	127235	Upward Expansion	45	53
2025-09-05	86.80	64.91	33.84	266157	Upward Expansion	64	62
2025-08-29	77.70	63.85	22.21	78179	Deceleration	42	26
2025-08-22	74.30	62.97	19.98	193310	Deceleration	23	12
2025-08-15	75.70	62.21	20.20	366443	Deceleration	31	21
2025-08-08	65.39	61.43	5.82	53310	Deceleration	16	22
2025-08-01	65.39	60.99	9.04	106105	Deceleration	22	25
2025-07-25	65.29	60.56	9.85	193292	Deceleration	31	26
2025-07-18	69.66	60.11	17.80	165737	Upward Expansion	43	30
2025-07-11	74.22	59.55	30.05	188057	Upward Expansion	60	51
2025-07-04	79.36	58.94	41.77	183492	Upward Expansion	65	64
2025-06-27	80.72	58.12	45.73	1111304	Upward Expansion	68	81
2025-06-20	88.96	57.19	66.64	341447	Upward Expansion	81	93
2025-06-13	87.31	55.97	66.02	345760	Upward Expansion	89	96
2025-06-06	90.71	54.77	78.44	567561	Upward Expansion	96	98
2025-05-30	76.35	53.48	54.97	363655	Upward Expansion	95	97
2025-05-23	63.84	52.66	29.31	36080	Upward Expansion	90	84
2025-05-16	53.65	52.26	8.47	36067	Balance	12	15
2025-05-09	51.42	52.22	8.82	15000	Downward Expansion	-32	16
2025-05-02	52.00	52.27	10.91	28067	Downward Expansion	-36	17
2025-04-25	51.90	52.27	16.03	10392	Downward Expansion	-50	27
2025-04-18	51.51	52.29	18.30	10009	Downward Expansion	-55	45
2025-04-11	50.35	52.29	15.29	59020	Downward Expansion	-63	57
2025-04-04	50.74	52.33	6.82	15000	Downward Expansion	-65	61
2025-03-28	50.93	52.34	5.83	28150	Deceleration	-34	40
2025-03-21	51.13	52.33	3.42	35000	Deceleration	-30	25
2025-03-14	52.10	52.26	6.45	20000	Deceleration	11	7
2025-03-07	52.19	52.17	3.87	21141	Deceleration	20	8
2025-02-28	52.39	51.89	2.09	8000	Deceleration	27	17
2025-02-21	52.68	51.62	-0.35	6001	Deceleration	29	17
2025-02-14	52.68	51.39	1.99	7000	Deceleration	28	14
2025-02-07	54.81	51.17	4.47	4000	Deceleration	47	20
2025-01-24	51.51	50.85	-2.13	10000	Deceleration	8	11
2025-01-17	51.42	50.65	-0.98	25000	Deceleration	8	11
2025-01-10	52.39	50.45	1.20	7000	Deceleration	28	19
2025-01-03	52.19	50.21	1.04	7000	Deceleration	32	21
2024-12-27	52.29	49.99	-0.62	28000	Upward Expansion	41	27
2024-12-20	51.90	49.77	1.78	23000	Upward Expansion	58	44
2024-12-13	52.78	49.57	0.98	52000	Upward Expansion	62	53
2024-12-06	55.88	49.33	5.90	31000	Upward Expansion	87	87
2024-11-29	54.81	48.98	8.07	89000	Upward Expansion	85	81
2024-11-22	52.87	48.68	1.25	32281	Deceleration	69	61
2024-11-15	52.39	48.44	0.83	47000	Deceleration	53	42
2024-11-08	51.42	48.20	-4.67	27000	Upward Expansion	46	40
2024-11-01	52.00	48.00	-0.82	10000	Upward Expansion	47	40
2024-10-25	51.71	47.80	-4.20	22000	Upward Expansion	59	48
2024-10-18	51.81	47.60	-5.10	16000	Upward Expansion	62	51
2024-10-11	52.49	47.40	-1.94	9000	Upward Expansion	65	56
2024-10-04	52.97	47.23	1.19	16000	Upward Expansion	72	60
2024-09-27	51.71	46.95	-3.78	31000	Upward Expansion	66	67
2024-09-20	52.68	46.70	0.49	26000	Upward Expansion	78	86
2024-09-13	51.61	46.43	-0.14	30000	Upward Expansion	74	85
2024-09-06	51.32	46.19	0.49	32000	Upward Expansion	73	85
2024-08-30	51.13	45.97	-3.99	80000	Upward Expansion	76	84
2024-08-23	50.54	45.76	-5.04	63000	Upward Expansion	78	76
2024-08-16	49.09	45.57	-8.99	153000	Rotation Up	69	57
2024-08-09	49.38	45.44	-5.23	747000	Rotation Up	67	38
2024-08-02	43.85	45.28	-16.83	36000	Balance	-31	31
2024-07-26	44.19	45.32	-18.57	74000	Balance	-21	14
2024-07-19	45.99	45.34	-18.55	354000	Balance	43	23
2024-07-12	45.90	45.31	-22.74	130000	Balance	33	13
2024-07-05	45.36	45.28	-22.99	60000	Balance	14	9
2024-06-28	45.54	45.25	-21.62	35000	Balance	18	9
2024-06-21	45.27	45.22	-23.48	59000	Balance	16	8
2024-06-14	45.13	45.18	-21.82	55000	Balance	26	12
2024-06-07	45.72	45.15	-19.03	36000	Balance	45	20
2024-05-31	45.81	45.18	-16.74	42000	Balance	46	19
2024-05-24	45.81	45.20	-18.75	56000	Balance	44	18
2024-05-17	45.45	45.21	-18.77	64000	Balance	31	14
2024-05-10	45.36	45.27	-17.34	101000	Balance	32	13
2024-05-03	45.90	45.34	-15.55	34000	Balance	9	6
2024-04-26	45.72	45.33	-15.79	26000	Balance	8	6
2024-04-19	45.09	45.36	-15.02	44000	Balance	5	5
2024-04-12	45.63	45.42	-19.48	84000	Rotation Up	20	18
2024-04-05	45.99	45.45	-17.63	18000	Rotation Up	14	23
2024-03-29	45.63	45.49	-18.42	126000	Downward Expansion	9	16
2024-03-22	45.72	45.56	-18.30	48000	Downward Expansion	6	11
2024-03-15	47.35	45.61	-13.29	103000	Downward Expansion	2	7
2024-03-08	44.77	45.61	-18.64	28000	Downward Expansion	-49	26
2024-03-01	44.05	45.68	-16.63	27000	Downward Expansion	-57	33
2024-02-23	44.50	45.83	-15.81	30000	Downward Expansion	-51	27
2024-02-16	44.59	45.96	-14.59	21000	Downward Expansion	-51	26
2024-02-09	44.68	46.07	-12.22	0	Downward Expansion	-49	24
2024-02-02	44.68	46.17	-12.22	9000	Downward Expansion	-50	25
2024-01-26	44.86	46.39	-11.69	6000	Downward Expansion	-38	20
2024-01-19	45.18	46.64	-9.72	18000	Deceleration	-37	21
2024-01-12	44.77	46.88	-9.85	24000	Deceleration	-39	23
2024-01-05	45.04	47.09	-9.53	18000	Downward Expansion	-39	23
2023-12-29	44.81	47.21	-12.28	80000	Downward Expansion	-51	31
2023-12-22	44.91	47.38	-10.72	20000	Downward Expansion	-54	35
2023-12-15	44.95	47.55	-11.21	29000	Downward Expansion	-56	48
2023-12-08	44.72	47.71	-10.36	25000	Downward Expansion	-59	60
2023-12-01	44.54	47.99	-11.10	29000	Downward Expansion	-63	62
2023-11-24	44.09	48.35	-11.45	24000	Downward Expansion	-69	59
2023-11-17	44.27	48.57	-10.94	119000	Downward Expansion	-69	48
2023-11-10	46.63	48.72	-3.59	50000	Downward Expansion	-49	27
2023-11-03	46.35	48.68	-3.42	37000	Downward Expansion	-53	27
2023-10-27	46.17	48.62	-1.85	53000	Downward Expansion	-58	32
2023-10-20	47.26	48.56	-1.71	27000	Downward Expansion	-52	31
2023-10-13	47.35	48.40	-3.77	29000	Downward Expansion	-56	44
2023-10-06	45.63	48.24	-5.97	19000	Downward Expansion	-38	43

Price vs TrendAbove+5.1%

Trend directionRising+15.8%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+79.6%

Fair Value directionMoving away-33.0%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-4.7%

Relative strength directionWeakening-12.9%

Price momentumPositive+23.1%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.97×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

35 / ±100

+5.1 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

16 /100

-0.0 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

6574 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance54

Rotation Up32

Upward Expansion57

Deceleration84

Rotation Down23

Downward Expansion14

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 17%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 31%Deceleration 21%Downward Expansion 25%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-08-28	2026-10-09	Developing	+2.1%
Upward Expansion	2026-05-22	2026-08-21	Established	+3.9%
Deceleration	2026-05-01	2026-05-15	New	+10.8%
Upward Expansion	2026-03-27	2026-04-24	Developing	-18.7%
Rotation Up	2026-02-13	2026-03-20	Developing	+70.3%
Downward Expansion	2025-12-12	2026-02-06	Developing	+12.3%
Balance	2025-10-03	2025-12-05	Developing	-3.9%
Upward Expansion	2025-09-05	2025-09-26	New	-19.4%
Deceleration	2025-07-25	2025-08-29	Developing	+19.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-05-23	2025-07-18	Developing	+9.1%
Balance	2025-05-16	2025-05-16	New	+0.0%
Downward Expansion	2025-04-04	2025-05-09	Developing	+1.3%
Deceleration	2025-01-03	2025-03-28	Developing	-2.4%
Upward Expansion	2024-11-29	2024-12-27	Developing	-4.6%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing4

Stage 2 · Advancing83

Stage 3 · Distribution73

Stage 4 · Declining17

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 31/100
Current Relative Strength: -4.71
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +23.1%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -16.1%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 44th percentile9 in cohort

Test 6574 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.91×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.97×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 6574 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity TWD 120.63rising

Slow Activity TWD 119.29rising

Trend Reference TWD 117.08+5.1% close margin

Current Fair Value TWD 68.50+79.6% close margin

Structural low TWD 95.20shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +6.6%

Annualized volatility +52.3%

From structural high -16.0%

From structural low +88.4%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^TWII	Regime survived	Read
Near term	13	-0.2%-6.8% to +17.7%	+46.2%	+46.2%	-0.5%	+46.2%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	7	+1.9%-8.4% to +21.2%	+71.4%	+71.4%	-6.3%	+28.6%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	+4.1%-11.9% to +21.9%	+75.0%	+75.0%	-22.6%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	+12.7%-11.5% to +36.9%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-10.5%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

6574 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map