Weekly structural research · NYSE · Technology

SONY Stage Analysis

Sony Group Corp

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 24.12Tenure NewBenchmark SPY

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction 46−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 30/100directional strength

Maturity 52/100lifecycle context

Confidence 80/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance +33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +11.5%USD 21.64 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	24.12	21.99	-6.65	20953198	Deceleration	46	30
2026-10-02	23.82	21.90	-7.41	19121444	Upward Expansion	43	30
2026-09-25	23.55	21.82	-9.33	13344241	Upward Expansion	47	37
2026-09-18	23.46	21.81	-9.29	17336725	Upward Expansion	62	50
2026-09-11	23.90	21.76	-8.39	15727391	Upward Expansion	66	74
2026-09-04	24.56	21.73	-7.28	22815929	Upward Expansion	71	84
2026-08-28	24.85	21.65	-6.65	18566361	Upward Expansion	79	87
2026-08-21	23.92	21.56	-10.25	19190714	Rotation Up	70	82
2026-08-14	24.29	21.54	-10.77	22552630	Rotation Up	53	71
2026-08-07	23.46	21.53	-14.33	26950204	Balance	44	49
2026-07-31	23.26	21.58	-12.67	43707365	Balance	31	25
2026-07-24	20.98	21.67	-20.73	19164572	Balance	-32	14
2026-07-17	21.12	21.83	-21.13	20247799	Downward Expansion	-47	26
2026-07-10	20.85	21.97	-23.75	23098949	Downward Expansion	-51	41
2026-07-03	20.79	22.17	-23.42	21488503	Downward Expansion	-53	47
2026-06-26	19.71	22.41	-26.34	32734256	Balance	-65	47
2026-06-19	20.33	22.73	-26.45	20166176	Balance	-57	30
2026-06-12	20.53	23.00	-25.60	30835087	Balance	-33	17
2026-06-05	21.89	23.32	-20.88	28934654	Downward Expansion	-17	20
2026-05-29	21.57	23.52	-24.58	24840272	Downward Expansion	-33	20
2026-05-22	22.14	23.73	-22.12	36540677	Downward Expansion	-39	24
2026-05-15	22.31	23.95	-21.42	58028706	Downward Expansion	-45	35
2026-05-08	20.15	24.17	-29.29	48111388	Downward Expansion	-62	50
2026-05-01	19.78	24.44	-29.55	33098806	Downward Expansion	-71	52
2026-04-24	20.28	24.74	-27.72	23822128	Downward Expansion	-67	48
2026-04-17	21.70	25.06	-22.90	22649005	Downward Expansion	-60	50
2026-04-10	21.05	25.31	-22.41	18890075	Downward Expansion	-64	60
2026-04-03	21.14	25.58	-19.75	20906071	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2026-03-27	19.91	25.79	-22.25	21820981	Downward Expansion	-81	80
2026-03-20	20.22	26.04	-23.31	24809652	Downward Expansion	-82	70
2026-03-13	21.49	26.32	-20.48	28157239	Downward Expansion	-73	65
2026-03-06	21.48	26.56	-22.10	37501370	Downward Expansion	-77	65
2026-02-27	23.06	26.74	-18.42	28450578	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2026-02-20	21.93	26.78	-23.12	19671875	Downward Expansion	-77	88
2026-02-13	23.19	26.88	-18.16	32222188	Downward Expansion	-68	86
2026-02-06	22.26	26.90	-22.66	51549159	Downward Expansion	-78	91
2026-01-30	22.10	26.97	-23.56	39643376	Downward Expansion	-88	94
2026-01-23	23.09	27.09	-20.00	30899310	Rotation Down	-86	89
2026-01-16	24.05	27.19	-17.00	28374401	Rotation Down	-56	75
2026-01-09	25.04	27.21	-13.89	24717343	Rotation Down	-48	71
2026-01-02	25.88	27.24	-9.55	10328988	Rotation Down	-28	60
2025-12-26	25.82	27.26	-10.62	16102863	Rotation Down	-31	51
2025-12-19	25.40	27.28	-10.77	23164502	Deceleration	-34	38
2025-12-12	26.77	27.28	-5.78	20690244	Deceleration	1	7
2025-12-05	28.03	27.21	-1.77	18063752	Deceleration	47	30
2025-11-28	29.35	27.10	3.50	10083253	Deceleration	56	34
2025-11-21	28.53	26.96	4.79	21409431	Deceleration	47	26
2025-11-14	30.12	26.84	9.06	25934608	Deceleration	60	33
2025-11-07	27.71	26.63	1.10	15220133	Deceleration	35	19
2025-10-31	27.89	26.47	0.47	16847707	Upward Expansion	39	23
2025-10-24	28.65	26.27	4.42	17709614	Upward Expansion	45	32
2025-10-17	28.90	26.14	7.97	18404491	Upward Expansion	59	44
2025-10-10	28.25	26.02	8.00	32567949	Upward Expansion	60	49
2025-10-03	28.96	25.87	8.57	19881670	Upward Expansion	62	65
2025-09-26	29.70	25.71	13.13	23772306	Upward Expansion	75	73
2025-09-19	29.28	25.55	11.82	17447414	Upward Expansion	73	61
2025-09-12	29.13	25.39	13.24	20809538	Upward Expansion	76	76
2025-09-05	27.49	25.22	9.15	14049102	Upward Expansion	61	75
2025-08-29	27.44	25.06	9.81	17313726	Upward Expansion	62	77
2025-08-22	28.53	24.87	14.56	16337746	Upward Expansion	75	80
2025-08-15	28.66	24.61	16.06	19945056	Balance	76	67
2025-08-08	27.07	24.34	11.38	23296777	Balance	60	25
2025-08-01	24.30	24.11	3.02	17128365	Balance	4	17
2025-07-25	24.81	24.01	3.07	21057282	Balance	21	19
2025-07-18	23.85	23.89	0.95	24772619	Upward Expansion	10	12
2025-07-11	24.36	23.79	3.97	22755144	Upward Expansion	28	17
2025-07-04	25.51	23.70	8.82	19588109	Upward Expansion	51	30
2025-06-27	26.23	23.54	14.33	30241425	Upward Expansion	62	39
2025-06-20	24.68	23.33	11.99	19667726	Upward Expansion	56	41
2025-06-13	25.86	23.14	17.86	19384121	Upward Expansion	60	60
2025-06-06	26.59	22.89	21.57	22427156	Upward Expansion	71	64
2025-05-30	26.31	22.67	23.07	30608967	Upward Expansion	71	57
2025-05-23	25.46	22.38	22.08	31535330	Upward Expansion	64	54
2025-05-16	24.61	22.11	15.86	52169346	Upward Expansion	56	48
2025-05-09	24.63	21.90	22.73	23821269	Upward Expansion	54	41
2025-05-02	25.26	21.71	26.32	36676006	Deceleration	66	40
2025-04-25	24.90	21.49	28.97	16982309	Deceleration	51	25
2025-04-18	23.94	21.30	30.63	15168790	Deceleration	39	22
2025-04-11	22.88	21.12	23.90	37593320	Upward Expansion	39	26
2025-04-04	21.76	20.97	25.22	35820776	Upward Expansion	39	35
2025-03-28	24.95	20.84	31.32	33091589	Upward Expansion	70	64
2025-03-21	25.09	20.65	30.99	59053454	Upward Expansion	77	69
2025-03-14	23.97	20.43	26.51	25243250	Upward Expansion	66	81
2025-03-07	24.02	20.22	24.49	20171210	Upward Expansion	68	87
2025-02-28	24.90	19.98	25.66	18942226	Upward Expansion	83	93
2025-02-21	24.64	19.69	23.70	18962755	Upward Expansion	87	94
2025-02-14	24.01	19.45	19.02	24185520	Upward Expansion	87	87
2025-02-07	22.45	19.26	13.18	18334396	Deceleration	76	59
2025-01-31	21.89	19.15	10.12	18997108	Deceleration	69	41
2025-01-24	20.72	18.99	2.95	15462684	Upward Expansion	44	31
2025-01-17	20.53	18.86	3.48	19214632	Upward Expansion	57	41
2025-01-10	20.24	18.71	4.62	14217834	Upward Expansion	61	49
2025-01-03	21.20	18.58	7.05	8062385	Upward Expansion	66	75
2024-12-27	21.34	18.43	7.00	6725903	Upward Expansion	73	83
2024-12-20	20.90	18.27	5.25	22374281	Upward Expansion	68	80
2024-12-13	21.57	18.10	6.40	21410741	Upward Expansion	85	85
2024-12-06	20.82	17.94	1.89	16597917	Upward Expansion	79	76
2024-11-29	19.94	17.74	-1.84	8851673	Upward Expansion	69	62
2024-11-22	18.95	17.63	-5.83	15757907	Upward Expansion	51	31
2024-11-15	18.36	17.54	-7.60	14878654	Upward Expansion	32	16
2024-11-08	19.80	17.47	-2.83	21242355	Upward Expansion	57	25
2024-11-01	17.63	17.37	-9.66	12005198	Upward Expansion	23	18
2024-10-25	17.52	17.34	-11.93	12986175	Upward Expansion	29	17
2024-10-18	18.12	17.32	-10.24	10284233	Upward Expansion	55	36
2024-10-11	18.88	17.30	-6.13	6858883	Upward Expansion	59	44
2024-10-04	18.87	17.25	-5.46	3101592	Upward Expansion	60	42
2024-09-27	19.06	17.19	-4.54	2832084	Upward Expansion	66	43
2024-09-20	18.45	17.14	-7.33	3135854	Upward Expansion	58	59
2024-09-13	18.52	17.10	-5.95	2421934	Upward Expansion	60	65
2024-09-06	17.85	17.07	-6.04	2917722	Upward Expansion	55	62
2024-08-30	19.34	17.10	-2.67	3382776	Balance	76	66
2024-08-23	18.31	17.11	-7.75	3290801	Balance	25	13
2024-08-16	17.89	17.13	-8.83	3361397	Balance	16	14
2024-08-09	16.73	17.18	-11.59	5663222	Balance	-8	6
2024-08-02	16.18	17.28	-14.82	4673030	Rotation Up	0	17
2024-07-26	17.31	17.34	-11.26	4518177	Rotation Up	21	45
2024-07-19	18.40	17.39	-6.90	4000106	Rotation Up	31	51
2024-07-12	19.04	17.38	-5.93	4861905	Rotation Up	40	35
2024-07-05	17.21	17.36	-14.49	2520194	Downward Expansion	-10	9
2024-06-28	16.84	17.37	-15.20	4044523	Downward Expansion	-36	19
2024-06-21	15.96	17.38	-20.06	5829825	Downward Expansion	-49	27
2024-06-14	16.30	17.42	-18.40	3191445	Downward Expansion	-41	26
2024-06-07	16.94	17.45	-14.43	3653930	Downward Expansion	-41	26
2024-05-31	16.32	17.45	-17.11	3285903	Downward Expansion	-60	50
2024-05-24	15.91	17.49	-20.10	3641710	Downward Expansion	-66	54
2024-05-17	16.60	17.48	-17.32	8795528	Downward Expansion	-63	58
2024-05-10	14.94	17.48	-24.95	7173356	Downward Expansion	-91	89
2024-05-03	16.76	17.54	-14.99	2855400	Rotation Down	-65	76
2024-04-26	16.32	17.53	-17.24	3058559	Rotation Down	-44	72
2024-04-19	16.11	17.53	-16.56	3270407	Rotation Down	-55	71
2024-04-12	16.65	17.53	-16.95	2662943	Rotation Down	-46	53
2024-04-05	16.81	17.54	-17.81	2876825	Rotation Down	-33	40
2024-03-29	17.00	17.54	-18.08	2608592	Rotation Down	-31	44
2024-03-22	17.51	17.53	-15.79	3005223	Rotation Down	-22	36
2024-03-15	17.26	17.48	-15.54	2678126	Deceleration	-25	36
2024-03-08	17.23	17.44	-16.17	3585617	Deceleration	-7	30
2024-03-01	17.39	17.43	-15.98	5425014	Deceleration	7	23
2024-02-23	17.37	17.44	-15.59	5003092	Deceleration	16	18
2024-02-16	17.55	17.48	-13.58	8363784	Upward Expansion	33	25
2024-02-09	18.97	17.51	-7.22	3304973	Upward Expansion	61	62
2024-02-02	19.47	17.48	-3.70	3041010	Upward Expansion	70	76
2024-01-26	18.85	17.43	-5.72	3148764	Upward Expansion	63	66
2024-01-19	19.56	17.39	-1.39	2758904	Upward Expansion	77	80
2024-01-12	19.71	17.34	0.33	4787218	Rotation Up	85	80
2024-01-05	18.02	17.32	-6.60	2869194	Rotation Up	34	58
2023-12-29	18.71	17.37	-4.70	1993899	Rotation Up	49	66
2023-12-22	18.20	17.39	-6.96	3972972	Rotation Up	33	52
2023-12-15	18.31	17.41	-5.62	4953266	Balance	36	45
2023-12-08	17.64	17.44	-6.96	5514622	Balance	7	16
2023-12-01	17.02	17.48	-10.14	3802501	Balance	-9	14
2023-11-24	17.12	17.53	-9.01	1894567	Balance	-10	17
2023-11-17	17.32	17.54	-7.18	3881667	Downward Expansion	-20	14
2023-11-10	16.98	17.57	-6.98	8638062	Downward Expansion	-36	20
2023-11-03	17.27	17.60	-4.23	4818924	Downward Expansion	-36	23
2023-10-27	15.81	17.60	-7.17	2886857	Downward Expansion	-73	46
2023-10-20	16.44	17.67	-5.77	2074386	Downward Expansion	-59	40

Price vs TrendAbove+9.7%

Trend directionRising+1.9%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+11.5%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+12.6%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-6.6%

Relative strength directionImproving+17.1%

Price momentumPositive+14.6%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.97×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

46 / ±100

-19.8 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

30 /100

-44.1 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

SONY Directional State ↗ SONY Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance32

Rotation Up34

Upward Expansion64

Deceleration88

Rotation Down26

Downward Expansion16

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 12%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 40%Deceleration 11%Rotation Down 8%Downward Expansion 23%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-10-09	2026-10-09	New	+0.0%
Upward Expansion	2026-08-28	2026-10-02	Developing	-4.1%
Rotation Up	2026-08-14	2026-08-21	New	-1.5%
Balance	2026-07-24	2026-08-07	New	+11.8%
Downward Expansion	2026-07-03	2026-07-17	New	+1.6%
Balance	2026-06-12	2026-06-26	New	-4.0%
Downward Expansion	2026-01-30	2026-06-05	Established	-1.0%
Rotation Down	2025-12-26	2026-01-23	Developing	-10.6%
Deceleration	2025-11-07	2025-12-19	Developing	-8.3%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-22	2025-10-31	Developing	-2.2%
Balance	2025-07-25	2025-08-15	New	+15.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-05-09	2025-07-18	Developing	-3.2%
Deceleration	2025-04-18	2025-05-02	New	+5.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-02-14	2025-04-11	Developing	-4.7%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing51

Stage 2 · Advancing73

Stage 3 · Distribution42

Stage 4 · Declining27

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2A · Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus SPY

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 37/100
Current Relative Strength: -6.65
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +14.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -0.3%
Technology regime cohort: 53th percentile34 in cohort

Test SONY trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.91×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.97×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore SONY Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 23.82falling

Slow Activity USD 22.70rising

Trend Reference USD 21.99+9.7% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 21.64+11.5% close margin

Structural low USD 19.32shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +5.1%

Annualized volatility +28.4%

From structural high -20.5%

From structural low +24.8%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs SPY	Regime survived	Read
Near term	9	+0.8%-7.7% to +13.8%	+55.6%	+55.6%	-2.1%	+22.2%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	7	-8.4%-19.7% to +16.5%	+28.6%	+28.6%	-12.8%	+14.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	-0.3%-27.3% to +11.0%	+40.0%	+40.0%	-13.8%	+0.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	-2.9%-14.6% to +39.4%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-19.5%	+25.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

SONY Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map