Weekly structural research · LSE · Consumer Cyclical

DOM Stage Analysis

Domino's Pizza Group plc

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close GBP 213.40Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^FTSE

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Established expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction 72−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 54/100directional strength

Maturity 50/100lifecycle context

Confidence 79/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance +66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -19.8%GBP 265.94 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	213.40	192.90	11.00	5347886	Upward Expansion	72	54
2026-09-25	209.20	191.90	6.40	4178965	Upward Expansion	65	54
2026-09-18	206.80	191.62	5.34	5419078	Upward Expansion	65	72
2026-09-11	206.80	191.46	5.22	5603505	Upward Expansion	67	83
2026-09-04	210.80	191.30	5.17	3078074	Upward Expansion	79	89
2026-08-28	212.40	190.64	5.67	3029693	Upward Expansion	90	92
2026-08-21	205.80	189.62	2.29	1152171	Upward Expansion	83	84
2026-08-14	197.60	188.91	-1.51	2475619	Upward Expansion	63	72
2026-08-07	201.60	188.39	-1.25	1107906	Upward Expansion	77	73
2026-07-31	197.68	187.65	-3.29	932253	Balance	65	50
2026-07-24	190.71	186.83	-6.40	722116	Balance	36	14
2026-07-17	188.26	186.19	-7.30	844618	Balance	15	11
2026-07-10	185.51	185.65	-8.62	864506	Balance	18	14
2026-07-03	187.40	185.13	-10.16	261216	Balance	26	12
2026-06-26	184.00	184.69	-11.35	619584	Balance	19	9
2026-06-19	186.80	184.38	-9.80	2824630	Balance	30	14
2026-06-12	193.40	183.90	-8.57	967237	Balance	41	20
2026-06-05	189.70	183.32	-10.29	772526	Balance	32	15
2026-05-29	186.20	183.03	-13.19	4222740	Balance	34	16
2026-05-22	189.50	183.31	-13.09	2970079	Balance	48	33
2026-05-15	189.70	183.56	-11.69	4160060	Balance	51	46
2026-05-08	190.50	183.56	-12.64	6081881	Balance	50	37
2026-05-01	195.00	183.47	-12.68	5573500	Balance	44	33
2026-04-24	198.00	183.53	-12.44	6283839	Balance	47	25
2026-04-17	191.30	183.53	-18.63	5502206	Downward Expansion	-23	16
2026-04-10	180.10	183.70	-23.94	4235693	Downward Expansion	-47	40
2026-04-03	173.10	184.53	-26.80	5491589	Balance	-49	41
2026-03-27	170.73	185.76	-25.48	7207139	Balance	-46	39
2026-03-20	172.73	186.58	-25.21	36810913	Balance	-22	21
2026-03-13	182.22	187.74	-24.74	9076503	Rotation Up	-3	11
2026-03-06	183.52	188.29	-25.39	5390557	Rotation Up	18	42
2026-02-27	200.71	189.03	-24.00	8548890	Rotation Up	35	68
2026-02-20	202.11	190.51	-22.77	6049377	Rotation Up	42	64
2026-02-13	201.91	192.03	-22.01	7242093	Downward Expansion	26	38
2026-02-06	190.92	193.44	-26.56	5416625	Downward Expansion	8	21
2026-01-30	182.02	195.35	-29.77	4961577	Downward Expansion	-29	24
2026-01-23	184.42	197.82	-29.19	4623448	Downward Expansion	-36	24
2026-01-16	181.82	200.32	-31.62	4162269	Downward Expansion	-45	34
2026-01-09	179.52	202.80	-32.58	4916037	Downward Expansion	-51	46
2026-01-02	173.02	205.27	-34.63	4410888	Downward Expansion	-65	59
2025-12-26	171.73	208.12	-35.54	1415073	Downward Expansion	-68	64
2025-12-19	171.83	211.09	-36.59	5609060	Downward Expansion	-69	66
2025-12-12	170.03	214.19	-36.57	7834796	Downward Expansion	-76	76
2025-12-05	174.12	217.52	-36.02	7884581	Downward Expansion	-69	84
2025-11-28	174.62	220.57	-37.23	25285535	Downward Expansion	-71	87
2025-11-21	172.63	223.69	-37.74	5848007	Downward Expansion	-82	90
2025-11-14	175.92	226.96	-38.53	6441146	Downward Expansion	-83	76
2025-11-07	181.02	230.33	-37.62	9067433	Downward Expansion	-81	68
2025-10-31	194.62	233.24	-34.12	7853570	Downward Expansion	-63	55
2025-10-24	196.81	235.76	-33.65	6301714	Downward Expansion	-65	58
2025-10-17	189.92	238.67	-34.66	12355292	Downward Expansion	-70	65
2025-10-10	187.62	242.00	-36.59	14249406	Downward Expansion	-77	68
2025-10-03	196.91	245.63	-34.54	7379551	Downward Expansion	-69	64
2025-09-26	198.11	248.61	-33.33	5585063	Downward Expansion	-69	64
2025-09-19	196.21	251.69	-34.08	9423141	Downward Expansion	-75	68
2025-09-12	205.11	255.05	-32.14	8224629	Downward Expansion	-66	66
2025-09-05	209.91	258.16	-30.53	11217424	Downward Expansion	-68	86
2025-08-29	195.22	260.79	-35.73	4747173	Downward Expansion	-84	94
2025-08-22	207.51	264.28	-33.26	8469173	Downward Expansion	-78	91
2025-08-15	198.91	267.02	-35.28	10561322	Downward Expansion	-94	96
2025-08-08	205.67	270.11	-33.32	18812206	Downward Expansion	-95	91
2025-08-01	245.05	272.44	-20.91	5665233	Downward Expansion	-69	72
2025-07-25	247.85	274.59	-20.98	3576299	Downward Expansion	-67	72
2025-07-18	244.05	276.58	-21.61	3107230	Downward Expansion	-77	68
2025-07-11	248.25	278.72	-20.34	3053934	Downward Expansion	-74	54
2025-07-04	256.04	280.71	-17.26	5230433	Downward Expansion	-63	47
2025-06-27	259.64	283.90	-16.27	1949251	Downward Expansion	-61	48
2025-06-20	256.24	286.58	-17.50	6886055	Downward Expansion	-64	59
2025-06-13	253.65	289.37	-19.45	2957944	Downward Expansion	-72	62
2025-06-06	258.44	292.26	-18.22	2443821	Downward Expansion	-68	49
2025-05-30	260.64	294.66	-17.36	3375241	Downward Expansion	-67	48
2025-05-23	265.04	296.45	-15.91	2761685	Downward Expansion	-63	46
2025-05-16	269.84	297.80	-14.49	2358339	Downward Expansion	-59	45
2025-05-09	265.64	298.97	-14.96	2616432	Downward Expansion	-67	51
2025-05-02	268.24	300.02	-14.94	4099573	Downward Expansion	-66	65
2025-04-25	270.83	301.24	-12.58	2096718	Downward Expansion	-66	69
2025-04-18	277.03	302.32	-9.47	1738483	Downward Expansion	-61	68
2025-04-11	268.04	302.72	-9.32	10463737	Downward Expansion	-74	71
2025-04-04	270.24	303.56	-9.98	3806217	Downward Expansion	-73	56
2025-03-28	284.35	304.25	-12.29	2644036	Downward Expansion	-60	41
2025-03-21	289.75	304.95	-10.98	5156095	Downward Expansion	-54	34
2025-03-14	296.54	305.47	-9.22	3583326	Downward Expansion	-51	30
2025-03-07	286.35	305.63	-13.42	3970743	Downward Expansion	-58	32
2025-02-28	290.55	305.89	-14.05	3115543	Downward Expansion	-46	28
2025-02-21	296.74	306.74	-11.22	2904428	Downward Expansion	-42	25
2025-02-14	298.54	307.65	-11.93	2251819	Downward Expansion	-55	33
2025-02-07	288.75	308.36	-14.95	3238231	Downward Expansion	-62	42
2025-01-31	300.14	309.52	-11.87	2987000	Rotation Down	-52	53
2025-01-24	289.55	309.86	-13.72	5481499	Rotation Down	-38	55
2025-01-17	291.75	310.42	-13.62	3699985	Rotation Down	-28	45
2025-01-10	275.36	311.31	-16.46	4536266	Balance	-43	41
2025-01-03	309.73	312.47	-6.37	1312298	Balance	-4	23
2024-12-27	307.33	312.93	-6.71	839231	Upward Expansion	17	18
2024-12-20	308.53	313.78	-6.08	5735086	Upward Expansion	30	18
2024-12-13	307.93	314.56	-9.20	14124745	Upward Expansion	48	38
2024-12-06	351.69	315.63	2.92	2401886	Rotation Up	80	86
2024-11-29	340.10	315.09	-0.67	2548545	Rotation Up	44	71
2024-11-22	339.90	314.20	-0.81	3280233	Rotation Up	48	69
2024-11-15	340.30	313.85	1.36	4118908	Rotation Up	41	59
2024-11-08	330.51	313.19	-1.95	5110437	Balance	33	31
2024-11-01	314.13	313.30	-8.25	3978957	Balance	-17	12
2024-10-25	305.73	314.06	-11.92	2760801	Downward Expansion	-32	16
2024-10-18	304.93	315.34	-13.69	2234510	Downward Expansion	-36	17
2024-10-11	296.94	316.79	-15.29	3896201	Downward Expansion	-44	26
2024-10-04	304.93	319.21	-13.75	4428089	Downward Expansion	-52	32
2024-09-27	303.33	321.03	-15.07	5884799	Downward Expansion	-55	42
2024-09-20	288.95	322.43	-18.68	5449683	Downward Expansion	-65	54
2024-09-13	293.34	324.50	-18.40	4872177	Downward Expansion	-62	49
2024-09-06	290.75	326.24	-18.77	6760289	Downward Expansion	-67	54
2024-08-30	305.53	328.07	-17.25	5567747	Downward Expansion	-55	50
2024-08-23	305.33	329.43	-17.39	14397249	Downward Expansion	-55	51
2024-08-16	301.34	331.06	-18.87	8628990	Downward Expansion	-60	43
2024-08-09	294.11	332.79	-20.03	8047110	Downward Expansion	-69	38
2024-08-02	316.09	334.97	-14.74	3074518	Downward Expansion	-39	19
2024-07-26	324.08	336.73	-14.28	1736637	Downward Expansion	-39	22
2024-07-19	319.68	338.47	-14.31	2511746	Downward Expansion	-54	34
2024-07-12	323.68	340.60	-14.38	2311628	Downward Expansion	-57	40
2024-07-05	310.09	342.75	-17.56	2950114	Downward Expansion	-63	63
2024-06-28	306.50	345.52	-18.14	2609439	Downward Expansion	-68	64
2024-06-21	318.48	347.72	-15.67	3916993	Downward Expansion	-57	51
2024-06-14	310.09	349.42	-16.91	2703081	Downward Expansion	-66	47
2024-06-07	323.68	351.24	-14.26	3032558	Downward Expansion	-44	23
2024-05-31	332.67	351.89	-12.11	3116433	Downward Expansion	-36	18
2024-05-24	332.07	353.03	-12.60	4521636	Downward Expansion	-41	25
2024-05-17	340.06	353.38	-11.48	2551859	Downward Expansion	-53	32
2024-05-10	335.27	353.63	-12.78	3092194	Downward Expansion	-58	49
2024-05-03	313.49	354.49	-16.23	2664089	Downward Expansion	-71	67
2024-04-26	329.47	356.20	-11.24	2000765	Downward Expansion	-61	61
2024-04-19	320.28	357.75	-10.93	2245580	Downward Expansion	-68	63
2024-04-12	334.07	359.79	-8.06	5629896	Downward Expansion	-60	49
2024-04-05	336.87	361.78	-6.04	2063311	Downward Expansion	-58	29
2024-03-29	344.19	363.62	-4.26	2867155	Downward Expansion	-41	18
2024-03-22	348.18	365.22	-2.64	2401223	Downward Expansion	-38	17
2024-03-15	369.76	366.47	6.41	8004686	Downward Expansion	-24	13
2024-03-08	359.57	367.11	4.91	5339078	Downward Expansion	-42	25
2024-03-01	345.19	368.42	0.98	5030398	Downward Expansion	-59	40
2024-02-23	351.18	370.31	2.80	8419991	Downward Expansion	-58	52
2024-02-16	345.59	370.17	1.58	4730502	Downward Expansion	-64	64
2024-02-09	345.59	369.51	3.72	2226744	Downward Expansion	-65	64
2024-02-02	346.38	368.25	3.61	1621956	Balance	-64	56
2024-01-26	354.18	366.01	5.86	2278925	Balance	-20	23
2024-01-19	353.18	363.39	8.27	5193287	Balance	-19	18
2024-01-12	359.37	360.78	8.17	3137173	Balance	17	9
2024-01-05	368.96	358.19	10.56	4018747	Upward Expansion	46	26
2023-12-29	376.35	355.20	12.60	1689241	Upward Expansion	54	45
2023-12-22	383.54	352.04	15.77	3488256	Upward Expansion	56	51
2023-12-15	388.33	348.67	19.70	5499884	Upward Expansion	60	51
2023-12-08	393.13	345.58	22.21	3997328	Deceleration	56	38
2023-12-01	372.35	342.55	16.86	4268367	Deceleration	34	21
2023-11-24	369.56	340.53	17.17	4449622	Deceleration	26	17
2023-11-17	364.56	338.00	15.89	4159040	Deceleration	8	12
2023-11-10	343.39	335.20	11.84	3668766	Deceleration	-5	20
2023-11-03	366.76	333.04	18.99	5492265	Deceleration	10	21
2023-10-27	342.59	330.26	13.98	4909681	Deceleration	2	19
2023-10-20	347.58	328.38	14.68	3094680	Deceleration	27	25
2023-10-13	360.97	326.00	16.79	2809833	Deceleration	39	25

Price vs TrendAbove+10.6%

Trend directionRising+3.2%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-19.8%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+13.4%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+11.0%

Relative strength directionImproving+21.2%

Price momentumPositive+23.3%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.44×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

72 / ±100

-6.5 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

54 /100

-34.5 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

DOM Directional State ↗ DOM Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance12

Rotation Up58

Upward Expansion81

Deceleration68

Rotation Down22

Downward Expansion8

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 17%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 10%Deceleration 6%Rotation Down 2%Downward Expansion 60%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-08-07	2026-10-02	Developing	+5.9%
Balance	2026-04-24	2026-07-31	Established	-0.2%
Downward Expansion	2026-04-10	2026-04-17	New	+6.2%
Balance	2026-03-20	2026-04-03	New	+0.2%
Rotation Up	2026-02-20	2026-03-13	New	-9.8%
Downward Expansion	2025-02-07	2026-02-13	Extended	-30.1%
Rotation Down	2025-01-17	2025-01-31	New	+2.9%
Balance	2025-01-03	2025-01-10	New	-11.1%
Upward Expansion	2024-12-13	2024-12-27	New	-0.2%
Rotation Up	2024-11-15	2024-12-06	New	+3.3%
Balance	2024-11-01	2024-11-08	New	+5.2%
Downward Expansion	2024-02-09	2024-10-25	Extended	-11.5%
Balance	2024-01-12	2024-02-02	New	-3.6%
Upward Expansion	2023-12-15	2024-01-05	New	-5.0%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing53

Stage 2 · Advancing44

Stage 3 · Distribution30

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 1 · Stage 1C · Breakout watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^FTSE

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 88/100
Current Relative Strength: 11.00
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +23.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +23.0%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 96th percentile25 in cohort

Test DOM trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume2.26×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.44×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore DOM Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity GBP 209.91rising

Slow Activity GBP 198.27rising

Trend Reference GBP 192.90+10.6% close margin

Current Fair Value GBP 265.94-19.8% close margin

Structural low GBP 172.30shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +3.7%

Annualized volatility +17.0%

From structural high -1.9%

From structural low +30.2%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^FTSE	Regime survived	Read
Near term	12	-1.5%-13.4% to +4.6%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-2.9%	+50.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	6	-10.3%-14.0% to -3.7%	+0.0%	+0.0%	-11.5%	+0.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	-13.4%-32.0% to +5.2%	+40.0%	+40.0%	-14.0%	+0.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	-32.5%-44.8% to +14.1%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-34.7%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

DOM Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map