Weekly structural research · TWO · Industrials

6812 Stage Analysis

Saultech Technology Co., Ltd

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close TWD 81.30Tenure NewBenchmark ^TWII

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction 37−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 30/100directional strength

Maturity 39/100lifecycle context

Confidence 61/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Mixedstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance +0.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +0.8%TWD 80.62 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	81.30	64.46	4.32	1852114	Deceleration	37	30
2026-09-25	56.50	63.32	-27.36	137432	Deceleration	-45	25
2026-09-18	58.50	63.00	-24.50	63734	Deceleration	-10	11
2026-09-11	62.10	62.71	-19.19	211717	Deceleration	-15	16
2026-09-04	59.20	62.28	-24.64	173773	Rotation Down	-30	29
2026-08-28	59.60	61.93	-25.08	85370	Rotation Down	-34	45
2026-08-21	53.00	61.58	-32.96	7483	Rotation Down	-46	67
2026-08-14	54.80	61.48	-32.84	14814	Rotation Down	-33	61
2026-08-07	57.60	61.39	-28.22	11489	Rotation Down	-25	54
2026-07-31	53.50	61.40	-33.00	20533	Deceleration	-34	49
2026-07-24	59.40	61.32	-28.09	33932	Deceleration	-1	14
2026-07-17	62.60	60.85	-23.44	111740	Deceleration	11	8
2026-07-10	68.30	60.34	-22.22	144875	Deceleration	22	11
2026-07-03	70.20	59.66	-23.12	263691	Deceleration	32	15
2026-06-26	68.80	58.92	-21.66	2058919	Deceleration	31	14
2026-06-19	68.30	58.12	-26.04	341063	Deceleration	31	16
2026-06-12	68.30	57.48	-23.11	411263	Deceleration	33	17
2026-06-05	69.00	57.00	-24.52	686338	Deceleration	36	19
2026-05-29	69.40	56.30	-23.96	865927	Upward Expansion	40	24
2026-05-22	70.10	55.59	-19.11	718019	Upward Expansion	55	38
2026-05-15	71.60	54.92	-15.53	1329876	Upward Expansion	61	51
2026-05-08	76.10	54.44	-11.33	1728511	Upward Expansion	64	75
2026-05-01	82.90	53.78	2.92	2366356	Upward Expansion	72	81
2026-04-24	89.40	52.98	10.82	8532297	Upward Expansion	86	83
2026-04-17	79.90	52.00	4.81	6738618	Upward Expansion	84	77
2026-04-10	60.20	51.34	-18.13	1962175	Balance	35	30
2026-04-03	51.00	51.44	-25.09	669146	Balance	2	8
2026-03-27	60.10	52.00	-14.13	2879100	Balance	5	6
2026-03-20	47.10	52.31	-34.32	590399	Downward Expansion	-53	38
2026-03-13	45.10	53.08	-37.80	362204	Downward Expansion	-63	42
2026-03-06	46.95	53.92	-36.67	714201	Downward Expansion	-57	37
2026-02-27	46.90	54.89	-41.14	498579	Downward Expansion	-50	32
2026-02-13	49.80	55.93	-35.39	696825	Downward Expansion	-40	26
2026-02-06	49.20	56.30	-33.86	274958	Downward Expansion	-40	27
2026-01-30	48.80	56.56	-36.20	400508	Downward Expansion	-41	23
2026-01-23	49.00	56.68	-37.01	315143	Downward Expansion	-27	18
2026-01-16	50.10	56.90	-35.75	601970	Downward Expansion	-30	23
2026-01-09	52.10	57.01	-31.88	779210	Downward Expansion	-31	21
2026-01-02	57.80	57.26	-23.35	1152631	Downward Expansion	-24	15
2025-12-26	51.10	57.10	-31.62	889594	Downward Expansion	-49	37
2025-12-19	45.35	56.94	-38.96	207047	Downward Expansion	-69	63
2025-12-12	47.20	56.92	-39.18	397025	Downward Expansion	-62	60
2025-12-05	47.90	56.87	-39.48	238236	Downward Expansion	-62	61
2025-11-28	48.20	56.64	-39.97	373527	Rotation Down	-60	48
2025-11-21	44.85	56.53	-43.05	167859	Rotation Down	-44	49
2025-11-14	49.10	56.54	-41.28	130186	Rotation Down	-36	49
2025-11-07	53.90	56.36	-37.43	429314	Rotation Down	-24	46
2025-10-31	48.00	56.14	-46.60	235145	Rotation Down	-33	56
2025-10-24	48.00	56.27	-46.48	314416	Rotation Down	-35	52
2025-10-17	50.00	56.67	-45.05	899974	Deceleration	-29	32
2025-10-10	57.00	57.28	-38.79	126918	Deceleration	2	13
2025-10-03	56.50	57.67	-39.43	219437	Deceleration	2	13
2025-09-26	58.80	58.19	-35.45	312509	Deceleration	17	17
2025-09-19	60.10	59.04	-35.42	849259	Deceleration	25	18
2025-09-12	60.20	59.88	-36.46	802878	Deceleration	30	17
2025-09-05	63.00	60.89	-32.13	943856	Deceleration	10	12
2025-08-29	68.00	61.84	-27.29	1637316	Rotation Up	25	23
2025-08-22	69.20	62.74	-25.77	951653	Rotation Up	30	34
2025-08-15	70.20	63.58	-27.54	1176543	Rotation Up	33	55
2025-08-08	70.30	64.15	-27.35	908690	Rotation Up	24	51
2025-08-01	76.10	64.87	-20.62	1280909	Balance	36	53
2025-07-25	78.10	65.79	-19.44	5355857	Balance	22	29
2025-07-18	61.00	67.08	-37.97	810059	Balance	-3	10
2025-07-11	56.80	69.10	-41.60	1206459	Balance	-19	13
2025-07-04	52.40	71.58	-46.53	460213	Downward Expansion	-20	17
2025-06-27	55.70	74.10	-44.26	694515	Downward Expansion	-30	23
2025-06-20	53.50	76.45	-46.06	717264	Downward Expansion	-35	24
2025-06-13	59.60	78.84	-41.03	1146903	Downward Expansion	-41	32
2025-06-06	53.00	80.84	-47.41	780621	Downward Expansion	-49	48
2025-05-30	46.05	83.25	-54.49	398065	Downward Expansion	-62	60
2025-05-23	44.75	86.03	-57.27	320896	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2025-05-16	45.80	88.96	-57.57	397434	Downward Expansion	-67	65
2025-05-09	41.00	91.93	-61.22	256107	Downward Expansion	-76	73
2025-05-02	44.85	95.02	-58.32	121852	Downward Expansion	-71	72
2025-04-25	45.20	98.10	-56.86	355753	Downward Expansion	-75	89
2025-04-18	43.85	101.26	-57.75	371699	Downward Expansion	-84	93
2025-04-11	47.05	104.55	-55.73	1572854	Downward Expansion	-87	94
2025-04-04	52.00	107.30	-55.56	400174	Downward Expansion	-89	95
2025-03-28	60.10	110.17	-49.71	391008	Downward Expansion	-85	93
2025-03-21	68.30	112.66	-44.71	201477	Downward Expansion	-78	87
2025-03-14	68.70	114.82	-44.06	213842	Downward Expansion	-83	87
2025-03-07	72.00	116.35	-43.17	852820	Downward Expansion	-85	80
2025-02-28	84.40	118.41	-35.04	218843	Downward Expansion	-73	63
2025-02-21	85.20	120.23	-36.41	205388	Downward Expansion	-75	64
2025-02-14	90.70	122.18	-30.78	147217	Downward Expansion	-68	60
2025-02-07	91.50	124.10	-31.26	170547	Downward Expansion	-68	76
2025-01-24	95.00	125.94	-28.90	140397	Downward Expansion	-67	84
2025-01-17	94.20	127.70	-28.44	291003	Downward Expansion	-70	87
2025-01-10	87.30	129.45	-33.45	310940	Downward Expansion	-86	92
2025-01-03	92.10	131.47	-29.54	511429	Downward Expansion	-88	87
2024-12-27	103.50	133.15	-22.14	1134639	Downward Expansion	-81	70
2024-12-20	117.00	134.63	-8.94	731372	Downward Expansion	-66	38
2024-12-13	121.50	135.92	-6.99	299588	Downward Expansion	-51	28
2024-12-06	131.00	137.18	0.18	214061	Downward Expansion	-39	23
2024-11-29	128.00	138.32	2.94	454934	Downward Expansion	-54	45
2024-11-22	126.50	139.67	-0.14	169743	Downward Expansion	-57	58
2024-11-15	125.00	140.23	0.39	423504	Downward Expansion	-59	62
2024-11-08	119.50	140.23	-6.35	272269	Balance	-72	65
2024-11-01	125.50	141.10	2.63	456874	Balance	-58	43
2024-10-25	129.50	140.35	4.40	277151	Balance	-51	34
2024-10-18	132.50	139.02	7.27	274371	Balance	-45	23
2024-10-11	135.00	137.54	13.26	365706	Balance	-5	4
2024-10-04	133.50	136.02	16.34	160489	Balance	-4	7
2024-09-27	137.50	134.39	18.45	434845	Balance	19	11
2024-09-20	140.00	132.59	25.71	267382	Deceleration	20	13
2024-09-13	142.50	130.57	32.05	728601	Deceleration	29	15
2024-09-06	129.50	128.48	23.55	695494	Deceleration	2	7
2024-08-30	138.00	126.84	28.43	602030	Deceleration	5	15
2024-08-23	135.00	124.91	28.10	287241	Deceleration	2	20
2024-08-16	133.00	123.04	27.01	363873	Deceleration	3	22
2024-08-09	114.50	121.44	15.48	1404656	Deceleration	-17	26
2024-08-02	134.00	119.98	35.74	525220	Deceleration	17	16
2024-07-26	139.00	118.03	39.96	347725	Deceleration	27	21
2024-07-19	143.50	115.96	42.04	560123	Deceleration	41	31
2024-07-12	148.50	113.20	42.72	1133306	Deceleration	43	33
2024-07-05	146.50	110.25	45.17	707695	Deceleration	41	32
2024-06-28	148.00	107.05	52.25	487335	Deceleration	41	33
2024-06-21	146.50	103.81	51.76	708775	Deceleration	44	35
2024-06-14	148.00	100.43	61.03	735211	Upward Expansion	48	44
2024-06-07	142.50	96.93	62.58	780377	Upward Expansion	52	52
2024-05-31	148.00	93.58	77.09	920830	Upward Expansion	66	65
2024-05-24	155.50	90.09	85.98	1145704	Upward Expansion	68	68
2024-05-17	159.50	86.40	97.26	1967715	Upward Expansion	71	73
2024-05-10	165.00	82.62	113.60	1095523	Upward Expansion	85	92
2024-05-03	168.50	78.69	126.94	1734462	Upward Expansion	96	98
2024-04-26	143.50	74.68	99.86	960025	Upward Expansion	92	96
2024-04-19	125.00	71.46	82.60	2023975	Upward Expansion	83	93
2024-04-12	145.50	68.86	103.39	3401911	Upward Expansion	99	98
2024-04-05	103.00	65.66	49.74	740913	Upward Expansion	93	91
2024-03-29	89.50	63.72	31.76	1316795	Upward Expansion	73	80
2024-03-22	88.10	62.17	31.01	986591	Upward Expansion	70	66
2024-03-15	89.50	60.57	37.71	676354	Upward Expansion	79	68
2024-03-08	84.60	58.93	30.46	430617	Upward Expansion	71	62
2024-03-01	83.50	57.44	35.36	422003	Upward Expansion	72	63
2024-02-23	79.40	56.03	30.16	199380	Upward Expansion	64	62
2024-02-16	79.80	54.84	33.55	146207	Upward Expansion	65	64
2024-02-09	80.30	53.75	39.45	60120	Upward Expansion	69	68
2024-02-02	80.00	52.66	40.52	644969	Upward Expansion	71	69
2024-01-26	79.00	51.62	40.60	402659	Upward Expansion	71	75
2024-01-19	85.00	50.58	55.45	863827	Upward Expansion	93	96
2024-01-12	70.80	49.35	32.37	490686	Upward Expansion	69	89
2024-01-05	75.30	48.56	41.73	428879	Upward Expansion	93	98
2023-12-29	76.90	47.88	42.68	1032976	Upward Expansion	98	99
2023-12-22	60.80	47.18	15.99	494066	Rotation Up	90	96
2023-12-15	60.00	47.02	14.43	731212	Rotation Up	64	82
2023-12-08	50.50	47.01	-1.87	309048	Rotation Up	43	37
2023-12-01	50.80	47.34	-1.55	244484	Rotation Up	7	5
2023-11-24	45.15	47.70	-11.69	147655	Downward Expansion	-57	49
2023-11-17	43.00	48.21	-15.74	62695	Downward Expansion	-53	64
2023-11-10	42.00	48.59	-15.34	344487	Downward Expansion	-63	62
2023-11-03	43.20	49.05	-12.73	194424	Downward Expansion	-54	36
2023-10-27	44.80	49.32	-7.47	109076	Balance	-31	17
2023-10-20	46.10	49.53	-6.62	56869	Balance	-10	15
2023-10-13	47.05	49.69	-6.47	57308	Balance	-7	20
2023-10-06	48.30	49.81	-2.32	52457	Downward Expansion	-0	24
2023-09-29	46.90	49.88	-4.04	37105	Downward Expansion	-24	33

Price vs TrendAbove+26.1%

Trend directionRising+5.1%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+0.8%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+12.3%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+4.3%

Relative strength directionImproving+27.4%

Price momentumPositive+59.4%

Volume balanceDemand-led3.05×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

37 / ±100

+66.7 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

30 /100

+0.9 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

6812 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance55

Rotation Up57

Upward Expansion31

Deceleration47

Rotation Down17

Downward Expansion22

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 11%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 21%Deceleration 22%Rotation Down 7%Downward Expansion 35%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-09-11	2026-10-02	New	+30.9%
Rotation Down	2026-08-07	2026-09-04	Developing	+2.8%
Deceleration	2026-06-05	2026-07-31	Developing	-22.5%
Upward Expansion	2026-04-17	2026-05-29	Developing	-13.1%
Balance	2026-03-27	2026-04-10	New	+0.2%
Downward Expansion	2025-12-05	2026-03-20	Established	-1.7%
Rotation Down	2025-10-24	2025-11-28	Developing	+0.4%
Deceleration	2025-09-05	2025-10-17	Developing	-20.6%
Rotation Up	2025-08-08	2025-08-29	New	-3.3%
Balance	2025-07-11	2025-08-01	New	+34.0%
Downward Expansion	2024-11-15	2025-07-04	Extended	-58.1%
Balance	2024-09-27	2024-11-08	Developing	-13.1%
Deceleration	2024-06-21	2024-09-20	Established	-4.4%
Upward Expansion	2023-12-29	2024-06-14	Established	+92.5%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing44

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution30

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2C · Late advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 81/100
Current Relative Strength: 4.32
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +59.4%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +10.6%
Industrials regime cohort: 16th percentile56 in cohort

Test 6812 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume4.51×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume3.05×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 6812 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity TWD 66.09rising

Slow Activity TWD 63.92rising

Trend Reference TWD 64.46+26.1% close margin

Current Fair Value TWD 80.62+0.8% close margin

Structural low TWD 47.50shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +9.5%

Annualized volatility +79.3%

From structural high -33.4%

From structural low +90.0%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^TWII	Regime survived	Read
Near term	11	-5.3%-23.8% to +11.4%	+36.4%	+36.4%	-5.0%	+63.6%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	5	-14.2%-24.0% to +5.5%	+20.0%	+20.0%	-17.5%	+20.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	3	-20.1%-28.4% to +27.7%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-16.9%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	3	-1.4%-62.0% to +214.9%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-59.1%	+33.3%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

6812 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map