Weekly structural research · NASDAQ · Technology

ACMR Stage Analysis

Acm Research Inc

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 71.37Tenure DevelopingBenchmark QQQ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: stable.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction 9−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 8/100directional strength

Maturity 30/100lifecycle context

Confidence 85/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance -50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +100.3%USD 35.63 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	71.37	73.72	3.15	7532559	Deceleration	9	8
2026-10-02	83.38	72.89	21.61	6046496	Deceleration	21	13
2026-09-25	77.30	71.61	14.52	7834455	Deceleration	3	20
2026-09-18	68.51	70.89	5.76	5286807	Deceleration	-4	25
2026-09-11	72.00	70.82	13.01	3195179	Deceleration	2	13
2026-09-04	74.44	70.58	17.43	4557494	Deceleration	6	12
2026-08-28	74.42	70.18	19.27	3340799	Deceleration	9	11
2026-08-21	79.41	69.64	29.35	6014257	Deceleration	26	18
2026-08-14	80.42	68.66	29.38	3537893	Deceleration	29	20
2026-08-07	83.80	67.76	38.39	4740195	Deceleration	32	23
2026-07-31	78.47	66.74	38.55	6999802	Deceleration	38	21
2026-07-24	84.32	65.62	51.85	3945785	Upward Expansion	45	32
2026-07-17	83.92	64.17	51.23	4933220	Upward Expansion	61	47
2026-07-10	103.00	62.70	80.81	6501912	Upward Expansion	67	62
2026-07-03	97.77	60.56	78.68	9339809	Upward Expansion	67	71
2026-06-26	104.50	58.47	96.92	10715933	Upward Expansion	79	89
2026-06-19	109.87	56.10	102.96	7737956	Upward Expansion	93	96
2026-06-12	93.95	53.44	83.09	7882688	Upward Expansion	88	92
2026-06-05	76.29	51.36	55.64	8638847	Upward Expansion	70	84
2026-05-29	86.56	49.85	71.55	10389313	Upward Expansion	92	91
2026-05-22	73.35	48.35	52.74	7352615	Upward Expansion	84	79
2026-05-15	63.67	47.29	36.47	12631405	Upward Expansion	73	66
2026-05-08	59.85	46.44	29.54	7423713	Deceleration	55	39
2026-05-01	52.15	45.66	20.46	4952782	Deceleration	36	26
2026-04-24	56.10	45.31	33.03	5480173	Deceleration	41	21
2026-04-17	50.61	44.70	24.14	5611442	Deceleration	9	14
2026-04-10	48.07	44.21	26.53	4515663	Deceleration	-19	26
2026-04-03	40.54	43.60	12.73	4604310	Deceleration	-25	34
2026-03-27	40.07	43.16	16.62	3857226	Deceleration	1	25
2026-03-20	43.55	42.77	23.38	5643011	Deceleration	11	24
2026-03-13	46.38	42.33	29.58	6030360	Upward Expansion	33	22
2026-03-06	44.92	41.62	24.92	8886968	Upward Expansion	42	37
2026-02-27	55.68	40.92	53.88	9358531	Upward Expansion	65	62
2026-02-20	66.59	40.05	86.00	3969621	Upward Expansion	80	88
2026-02-13	64.84	38.83	86.83	8330112	Upward Expansion	83	85
2026-02-06	62.48	37.67	81.58	10325434	Upward Expansion	87	92
2026-01-30	58.12	36.54	68.97	6775867	Upward Expansion	85	93
2026-01-23	49.85	35.53	47.50	5568921	Upward Expansion	67	86
2026-01-16	53.62	34.73	61.59	7534977	Upward Expansion	87	93
2026-01-09	53.22	33.75	62.06	9203727	Upward Expansion	92	90
2026-01-02	44.88	32.79	42.50	5038416	Upward Expansion	78	77
2025-12-26	40.62	32.12	28.83	3734656	Upward Expansion	64	59
2025-12-19	39.77	31.52	29.46	7322767	Deceleration	60	38
2025-12-12	38.83	30.94	28.88	6643464	Deceleration	44	19
2025-12-05	35.10	30.43	15.82	5441951	Deceleration	24	20
2025-11-28	33.41	30.00	12.59	3787389	Deceleration	20	25
2025-11-21	30.03	29.55	7.06	4728753	Deceleration	15	19
2025-11-14	31.51	29.26	9.47	8935769	Upward Expansion	33	22
2025-11-07	31.10	28.86	8.54	10628834	Upward Expansion	41	35
2025-10-31	41.46	28.46	41.03	4201850	Upward Expansion	69	57
2025-10-24	41.72	27.75	46.33	4340707	Upward Expansion	74	68
2025-10-17	38.07	27.18	38.05	5623741	Upward Expansion	64	76
2025-10-10	36.59	26.81	37.31	6503583	Upward Expansion	65	80
2025-10-03	41.56	26.56	53.64	9828012	Upward Expansion	87	89
2025-09-26	37.77	26.08	42.76	22604155	Upward Expansion	84	81
2025-09-19	35.89	25.69	36.41	11512889	Upward Expansion	80	66
2025-09-12	29.86	25.36	17.20	6209044	Deceleration	59	38
2025-09-05	27.41	25.16	10.31	6001329	Deceleration	36	23
2025-08-29	28.22	25.00	15.34	8108167	Deceleration	37	19
2025-08-22	30.53	24.75	25.08	9387843	Deceleration	55	28
2025-08-15	25.02	24.35	2.13	5528968	Upward Expansion	37	22
2025-08-08	23.94	24.10	-1.76	10316430	Upward Expansion	48	38
2025-08-01	29.48	23.82	25.43	5849711	Upward Expansion	66	77
2025-07-25	29.93	23.36	25.57	4469842	Upward Expansion	74	82
2025-07-18	30.08	22.87	28.06	3817076	Upward Expansion	80	80
2025-07-11	28.56	22.36	23.76	4214701	Upward Expansion	77	74
2025-07-04	27.81	21.93	20.17	3257642	Upward Expansion	74	65
2025-06-27	25.78	21.50	13.13	3943334	Deceleration	62	53
2025-06-20	24.42	21.21	11.54	2798035	Deceleration	53	41
2025-06-13	24.37	21.02	11.22	4355852	Deceleration	42	34
2025-06-06	24.70	20.82	11.93	4979656	Deceleration	43	27
2025-05-30	22.55	20.64	4.22	3152154	Deceleration	30	19
2025-05-23	22.41	20.51	5.34	4960634	Deceleration	26	15
2025-05-16	23.73	20.41	8.65	6534304	Deceleration	30	13
2025-05-09	22.19	20.26	8.21	7479116	Deceleration	6	13
2025-05-02	19.93	20.23	-3.30	11152384	Deceleration	-17	24
2025-04-25	21.23	20.30	5.51	6743803	Deceleration	14	25
2025-04-18	19.36	20.24	1.55	5491431	Deceleration	9	24
2025-04-11	19.23	20.17	-2.17	13532870	Upward Expansion	17	19
2025-04-04	20.30	20.09	9.89	10645856	Upward Expansion	37	29
2025-03-28	24.61	19.93	18.76	6144706	Upward Expansion	63	53
2025-03-21	26.87	19.71	25.90	7979369	Upward Expansion	67	67
2025-03-14	29.18	19.47	36.26	8604598	Upward Expansion	84	90
2025-03-07	27.08	19.16	23.23	10488595	Upward Expansion	79	90
2025-02-28	25.94	18.89	13.55	14442233	Upward Expansion	79	88
2025-02-21	26.04	18.55	8.92	8347337	Upward Expansion	89	92
2025-02-14	23.78	18.31	-2.67	5734966	Rotation Up	85	85
2025-02-07	22.76	18.18	-4.19	8253700	Rotation Up	47	46
2025-01-31	20.55	18.24	-13.34	10267169	Downward Expansion	21	26
2025-01-24	18.60	18.36	-22.61	3640531	Downward Expansion	-19	15
2025-01-17	17.64	18.50	-25.81	7415941	Downward Expansion	-42	28
2025-01-10	15.62	18.67	-32.85	4085124	Downward Expansion	-60	58
2025-01-03	15.50	18.94	-35.44	4284736	Downward Expansion	-62	62
2024-12-27	15.20	19.17	-37.51	2621308	Downward Expansion	-64	69
2024-12-20	14.91	19.38	-38.63	5766406	Downward Expansion	-68	69
2024-12-13	15.59	19.64	-37.69	7639589	Downward Expansion	-64	63
2024-12-06	14.89	19.91	-40.40	17359215	Balance	-72	60
2024-11-29	17.19	20.18	-29.30	5112840	Balance	-48	34
2024-11-22	18.79	20.51	-22.42	3715819	Balance	-36	22
2024-11-15	18.33	20.79	-23.15	5465697	Balance	-40	24
2024-11-08	19.22	21.01	-22.46	9421282	Balance	-31	19
2024-11-01	18.55	21.32	-21.31	4943333	Balance	-24	11
2024-10-25	19.52	21.77	-18.62	4222185	Balance	-12	16
2024-10-18	19.21	22.09	-19.79	6683013	Downward Expansion	-23	21
2024-10-11	21.32	22.48	-11.20	12973113	Downward Expansion	-19	17
2024-10-04	22.04	22.67	-7.40	12410746	Downward Expansion	-25	16
2024-09-27	19.49	22.94	-18.21	5836245	Downward Expansion	-57	42
2024-09-20	17.04	23.42	-28.06	3830891	Downward Expansion	-60	60
2024-09-13	16.80	23.54	-28.26	5029442	Downward Expansion	-63	53
2024-09-06	15.65	23.63	-29.39	4237261	Downward Expansion	-72	48
2024-08-30	18.04	23.72	-23.79	4231464	Downward Expansion	-61	40
2024-08-23	19.49	23.66	-18.65	3685638	Downward Expansion	-58	56
2024-08-16	20.02	23.64	-15.64	5452705	Downward Expansion	-60	68
2024-08-09	19.10	23.66	-14.94	12408201	Downward Expansion	-61	72
2024-08-02	15.64	23.75	-29.95	8753148	Downward Expansion	-80	76
2024-07-26	18.74	23.79	-18.61	6937863	Balance	-42	43
2024-07-19	20.11	23.82	-14.69	8470125	Balance	-35	21
2024-07-12	24.49	23.77	0.08	6226269	Balance	-6	6
2024-07-05	23.94	23.55	-1.90	3181842	Deceleration	-1	5
2024-06-28	23.06	23.28	-1.70	5858796	Deceleration	-14	14
2024-06-21	22.72	23.08	-2.74	5005806	Rotation Down	-17	29
2024-06-14	23.54	22.90	1.57	6792976	Rotation Down	-19	32
2024-06-07	22.41	22.70	0.78	6768976	Deceleration	-20	35
2024-05-31	21.60	22.52	0.50	4068921	Deceleration	-7	22
2024-05-24	22.56	22.30	4.14	4500404	Deceleration	2	13
2024-05-17	23.80	22.01	12.20	6477403	Deceleration	19	16
2024-05-10	23.12	21.81	12.50	7238824	Deceleration	22	19
2024-05-03	27.00	21.67	34.67	4990471	Deceleration	36	20
2024-04-26	27.04	21.39	37.96	7658063	Deceleration	42	28
2024-04-19	25.00	21.10	34.49	5956956	Upward Expansion	45	34
2024-04-12	28.61	20.78	47.33	5261375	Upward Expansion	60	50
2024-04-05	32.04	20.35	66.47	6821239	Upward Expansion	72	57
2024-03-29	29.14	19.90	52.72	4981031	Upward Expansion	64	68
2024-03-22	30.84	19.55	62.88	9707718	Upward Expansion	74	85
2024-03-15	27.11	19.04	49.72	6181828	Upward Expansion	65	82
2024-03-08	30.16	18.57	66.42	13377796	Upward Expansion	80	86
2024-03-01	33.91	18.01	86.75	25341787	Upward Expansion	89	83
2024-02-23	20.49	17.30	17.35	6351740	Upward Expansion	47	21
2024-02-16	19.58	17.04	14.15	6213026	Upward Expansion	40	19
2024-02-09	18.33	16.82	5.45	5504695	Upward Expansion	33	15
2024-02-02	16.24	16.65	-4.82	5836911	Upward Expansion	28	22
2024-01-26	18.98	16.56	12.51	7225136	Upward Expansion	56	46
2024-01-19	20.46	16.36	22.18	5855474	Upward Expansion	64	59
2024-01-12	21.81	16.07	34.59	8885124	Deceleration	74	60
2024-01-05	16.96	15.73	8.80	3328144	Deceleration	50	38
2023-12-29	19.54	15.53	21.86	2953991	Deceleration	63	45
2023-12-22	18.52	15.21	16.95	2953515	Deceleration	57	30
2023-12-15	17.90	14.95	15.08	4515130	Deceleration	45	24
2023-12-08	16.00	14.67	6.93	2730259	Deceleration	36	20
2023-12-01	16.86	14.45	13.87	3463652	Deceleration	46	27
2023-11-24	17.30	14.23	17.70	2565655	Deceleration	39	20
2023-11-17	17.68	13.97	22.25	4177114	Deceleration	38	21
2023-11-10	17.03	13.73	20.98	7678289	Deceleration	35	20
2023-11-03	15.10	13.51	11.02	9000820	Deceleration	35	18
2023-10-27	13.71	13.38	8.27	12668693	Upward Expansion	32	26
2023-10-20	17.86	13.31	38.46	8558762	Upward Expansion	60	51

Price vs TrendBelow-3.2%

Trend directionRising+10.5%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+100.3%

Fair Value directionMoving away-137.9%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+3.1%

Relative strength directionWeakening-77.7%

Price momentumPositive+48.5%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.66×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

9 / ±100

+7.7 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

8 /100

-4.2 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

ACMR Directional State ↗ ACMR Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance52

Rotation Up28

Upward Expansion53

Deceleration84

Rotation Down29

Downward Expansion26

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 6%Rotation Up 1%Upward Expansion 40%Deceleration 38%Rotation Down 1%Downward Expansion 13%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-07-31	2026-10-09	Developing	-9.0%
Upward Expansion	2026-05-15	2026-07-24	Developing	+32.4%
Deceleration	2026-03-20	2026-05-08	Developing	+37.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-12-26	2026-03-13	Developing	+14.2%
Deceleration	2025-11-21	2025-12-19	Developing	+32.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-09-19	2025-11-14	Developing	-12.2%
Deceleration	2025-08-22	2025-09-12	New	-2.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-07-04	2025-08-15	Developing	-10.0%
Deceleration	2025-04-18	2025-06-27	Developing	+33.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-02-21	2025-04-11	Developing	-26.2%
Rotation Up	2025-02-07	2025-02-14	New	+4.5%
Downward Expansion	2024-12-13	2025-01-31	Developing	+31.8%
Balance	2024-10-25	2024-12-06	Developing	-23.7%
Downward Expansion	2024-08-02	2024-10-18	Developing	+22.8%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing15

Stage 2 · Advancing72

Stage 3 · Distribution67

Stage 4 · Declining28

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 58/100
Current Relative Strength: 3.15
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +48.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +25.5%
Technology regime cohort: 38th percentile77 in cohort

Test ACMR trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.17×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.66×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationStable

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore ACMR Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 75.42rising

Slow Activity USD 79.18rising

Trend Reference USD 73.72-3.2% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 35.63+100.3% close margin

Structural low USD 46.79shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +19.2%

Annualized volatility +75.1%

From structural high -43.9%

From structural low +150.8%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs QQQ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	21	+6.6%-27.2% to +34.8%	+66.7%	+66.7%	+4.6%	+52.4%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	8	+6.5%-30.7% to +152.3%	+62.5%	+62.5%	-7.1%	+12.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	+59.5%-61.2% to +144.3%	+66.7%	+66.7%	+42.4%	+16.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+71.4%-73.0% to +176.1%	+50.0%	+50.0%	+45.7%	+50.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

ACMR Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map