Weekly structural research ยท SHZ ยท Communication Services

300528 Stage Analysis

Omnijoi Media Corporation

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 13.05Tenure ExtendedBenchmark 399001.SZ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: moderate and contracting.
Direction -49โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 25/100directional strength
Maturity 90/100lifecycle context
Confidence 83/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation
Price acceptance -50.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +4.7%CNY 12.46 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0213.0514.96-19.8333626580Downward Expansion-4925
2026-09-2513.5915.10-19.9640788470Downward Expansion-3919
2026-09-1814.1115.29-20.0757653220Downward Expansion-3922
2026-09-1114.5115.64-18.25135153520Downward Expansion-5333
2026-09-0413.9415.95-22.37114954292Downward Expansion-5841
2026-08-2812.8216.23-31.157205619Downward Expansion-6962
2026-08-2112.9316.54-31.796752980Downward Expansion-6859
2026-08-1413.7416.83-29.4519629920Downward Expansion-5952
2026-08-0713.9617.08-28.7317190440Downward Expansion-5638
2026-07-3113.5117.31-28.2823383912Downward Expansion-6336
2026-07-2413.2817.53-30.8119256100Downward Expansion-6837
2026-07-1715.9917.73-16.2940831419Downward Expansion-4331
2026-07-1015.9017.89-24.0227591041Downward Expansion-5947
2026-07-0314.6918.09-32.2212388152Downward Expansion-6371
2026-06-2612.8518.33-41.459255700Downward Expansion-8279
2026-06-1914.3818.60-35.6336293157Downward Expansion-7253
2026-06-1214.2118.89-31.9912721540Downward Expansion-7643
2026-06-0516.3419.21-23.5814827600Downward Expansion-4530
2026-05-2917.2619.40-20.46123602169Downward Expansion-4635
2026-05-2217.2819.57-20.25132726836Downward Expansion-5945
2026-05-1515.1919.62-29.5157840883Downward Expansion-6756
2026-05-0815.8019.77-26.5933252060Downward Expansion-6244
2026-05-0115.7019.97-24.7632250832Downward Expansion-6343
2026-04-2415.9920.16-22.3790818478Downward Expansion-6346
2026-04-1717.4120.51-14.8574846612Downward Expansion-6148
2026-04-1016.4620.90-15.8742638395Downward Expansion-6574
2026-04-0315.3621.04-15.4540680400Downward Expansion-7382
2026-03-2716.0921.10-13.6640537567Downward Expansion-6880
2026-03-2015.7821.15-15.5337896783Downward Expansion-7478
2026-03-1316.6421.22-13.1654023468Balance-6962
2026-03-0617.3321.25-8.3575266775Balance-3323
2026-02-2719.2521.390.19122107894Upward Expansion2920
2026-02-1324.5921.2332.57306342196Upward Expansion6556
2026-02-0623.9520.7732.51235813938Balance6344
2026-01-3022.2920.3322.35103750996Balance3922
2026-01-2322.0919.9420.5271347828Balance3518
2026-01-1621.5919.5520.23140917350Balance2712
2026-01-0921.3519.1521.5193108768Balance1210
2026-01-0220.7918.7924.9159674984Balance1013
2025-12-2620.0718.4221.2358931638Balance912
2025-12-1919.3618.0522.2969104200Balance99
2025-12-1220.7517.7131.0498458304Upward Expansion3215
2025-12-0521.7317.3239.47158219604Upward Expansion4623
2025-11-2822.0616.8944.90113086480Upward Expansion5029
2025-11-2120.8016.4643.30135661100Upward Expansion5233
2025-11-1423.2516.0753.96158795268Upward Expansion5940
2025-11-0723.7215.5657.29271562926Deceleration5233
2025-10-3122.0015.0448.53236398795Deceleration4024
2025-10-2422.3714.5854.42180175884Deceleration4223
2025-10-1718.8114.1338.1471991626Upward Expansion3922
2025-10-1019.7613.7939.6045848439Upward Expansion5742
2025-10-0321.7013.4453.3642818379Upward Expansion6256
2025-09-2621.5113.0057.91177456981Upward Expansion6360
2025-09-1926.4012.5598.92305221198Upward Expansion7868
2025-09-1229.1011.97127.02392140348Upward Expansion9374
2025-09-0520.7211.3370.77204552835Upward Expansion8063
2025-08-2917.0210.9341.4691467732Upward Expansion6460
2025-08-2217.7910.6656.08199362339Upward Expansion6881
2025-08-1517.8510.3866.13178729041Upward Expansion7289
2025-08-0817.5910.0773.68268689594Upward Expansion7891
2025-08-0121.359.74116.44304486314Upward Expansion9896
2025-07-2514.659.3049.79220024213Upward Expansion9490
2025-07-1810.589.1211.9269265146Upward Expansion6365
2025-07-1110.909.0918.0796133101Upward Expansion7268
2025-07-0410.529.1216.8484567720Rotation Up6766
2025-06-2710.309.1316.5484169051Rotation Up3954
2025-06-209.659.1113.99128711742Rotation Up2945
2025-06-1310.619.0924.68192514575Rotation Up4954
2025-06-069.579.0412.6263727812Balance2531
2025-05-309.129.049.4890027417Balance1519
2025-05-239.189.009.5569807810Balance1416
2025-05-168.908.976.1045073098Balance-1215
2025-05-098.908.956.9191748771Downward Expansion-2513
2025-05-029.168.9112.8886875510Downward Expansion-2412
2025-04-259.068.9011.7987811164Downward Expansion-4231
2025-04-187.878.85-1.2578082552Downward Expansion-5947
2025-04-118.228.802.76111673955Deceleration-2727
2025-04-048.328.74-1.2828344700Deceleration-2614
2025-03-288.798.681.8640832177Deceleration129
2025-03-218.598.60-1.3454850720Deceleration813
2025-03-149.328.533.7460992603Deceleration1912
2025-03-078.368.45-5.8933841172Deceleration67
2025-02-288.168.43-6.3551144377Deceleration147
2025-02-218.938.39-1.3482631976Deceleration3117
2025-02-149.898.3211.48166459401Deceleration4223
2025-02-078.728.230.2567135795Deceleration158
2025-01-319.038.157.6013008948Deceleration1512
2025-01-249.338.069.01125013786Deceleration2521
2025-01-178.517.960.0355357364Deceleration1924
2025-01-107.797.88-5.8050402139Deceleration1419
2025-01-038.187.84-2.9053077887Upward Expansion3422
2024-12-279.007.78-1.4587629815Upward Expansion5842
2024-12-209.907.727.80129209222Upward Expansion6352
2024-12-1311.587.6324.34209251779Upward Expansion8276
2024-12-0610.837.4915.18164210328Upward Expansion8073
2024-11-299.837.385.9483051041Upward Expansion7470
2024-11-229.137.30-0.4773021880Upward Expansion6658
2024-11-159.107.25-4.1069101333Upward Expansion6863
2024-11-089.357.17-5.6085141940Upward Expansion7667
2024-11-017.937.11-14.8760308307Upward Expansion5749
2024-10-258.477.11-10.8967963143Rotation Up6469
2024-10-188.247.10-11.4153571685Rotation Up3451
2024-10-117.677.15-15.3587749796Rotation Up2131
2024-10-048.757.18-8.3729860092Balance3439
2024-09-277.667.16-11.7555773057Balance-44
2024-09-206.427.18-13.6013349132Balance-5343
2024-09-136.307.24-15.0623836106Balance-5644
2024-09-066.597.26-13.6145539484Balance-3927
2024-08-306.517.32-17.7730143180Balance-3818
2024-08-236.297.44-19.5657200465Balance-3315
2024-08-166.967.58-13.6274781666Balance-1415
2024-08-097.777.71-4.34124628712Downward Expansion-917
2024-08-026.967.80-16.0073119065Downward Expansion-3720
2024-07-266.987.92-16.9470916260Downward Expansion-4328
2024-07-197.228.04-17.51132068295Downward Expansion-5941
2024-07-126.138.20-29.6023052740Downward Expansion-7063
2024-07-056.338.38-26.1519157920Downward Expansion-6666
2024-06-286.288.54-28.1125158326Downward Expansion-7074
2024-06-216.218.71-30.7918152800Downward Expansion-7471
2024-06-146.668.87-27.6216816960Downward Expansion-6760
2024-06-076.399.00-30.7333027263Downward Expansion-7557
2024-05-317.249.13-22.5426941139Downward Expansion-5947
2024-05-247.069.20-24.9838592792Downward Expansion-6446
2024-05-177.489.27-23.1543962593Downward Expansion-5745
2024-05-107.379.33-24.6925166485Downward Expansion-6161
2024-05-037.649.46-20.9416522833Downward Expansion-6061
2024-04-267.429.58-22.1537536583Downward Expansion-6163
2024-04-196.829.74-26.9742513672Downward Expansion-7465
2024-04-127.579.94-18.4130600529Downward Expansion-6540
2024-04-057.9110.13-17.4024002453Downward Expansion-5131
2024-03-298.3110.32-11.6845189117Downward Expansion-4629
2024-03-229.5210.45-0.1671659978Downward Expansion-4229
2024-03-158.5810.58-9.9351869885Downward Expansion-5844
2024-03-088.1810.66-11.4649916822Downward Expansion-6372
2024-03-018.4010.75-9.2673424260Downward Expansion-6577
2024-02-238.2410.93-6.9378439715Downward Expansion-6576
2024-02-096.8011.06-20.5965473001Downward Expansion-8882
2024-02-028.2611.145.9553169663Balance-7763
2024-01-2610.1711.1620.8556483183Balance-5540
2024-01-1910.5611.1226.3651501040Balance-3829
2024-01-1210.8211.0827.7940992640Balance-3321
2024-01-0510.5411.0623.9532036920Balance-86
2023-12-2910.6311.0120.6754343035Balance-34
2023-12-2210.6110.9425.3690357340Balance2717
2023-12-1512.0110.8740.64130990496Balance3927
2023-12-0811.2910.8231.3597909177Balance815
2023-12-0111.3410.8031.2673067001Balance1617
2023-11-2411.3310.7531.07162986043Rotation Down910
2023-11-1710.8310.6625.0894026170Rotation Down-49
2023-11-1010.8110.5926.34172891952Rotation Down-1831
2023-11-0310.0810.5120.82114621576Rotation Down-2246
2023-10-279.4910.4516.0556701558Deceleration-2442
2023-10-209.1010.4014.8737933040Deceleration-2831
2023-10-139.3710.3513.5478973574Deceleration615
2023-09-2911.0410.3034.3565703632Deceleration3017
2023-09-2211.3010.1938.18115938569Upward Expansion3924
Price vs TrendBelow-12.8%
Trend directionFalling-14.7%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+4.7%
Fair Value directionMoving away-14.9%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-19.8%
Relative strength directionImproving+12.4%
Price momentumNegative-15.0%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.94ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-49 / ยฑ100

+9.3 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

25 /100

-16.0 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance34
Rotation Up24
Upward Expansion13
Deceleration44
Rotation Down38
Downward Expansion63

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 21%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 21%Deceleration 14%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 38%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-03-202026-10-02Extended-17.3%
Balance2026-03-062026-03-13New-4.0%
Upward Expansion2026-02-132026-02-27New-21.7%
Balance2025-12-192026-02-06Developing+23.7%
Upward Expansion2025-11-142025-12-12Developing-10.8%
Deceleration2025-10-242025-11-07New+6.0%
Upward Expansion2025-07-112025-10-17Established+72.6%
Rotation Up2025-06-132025-07-04New-0.8%
Balance2025-05-162025-06-06New+7.5%
Downward Expansion2025-04-182025-05-09New+13.1%
Deceleration2025-01-102025-04-11Established+5.5%
Upward Expansion2024-11-012025-01-03Developing+3.2%
Rotation Up2024-10-112024-10-25New+10.4%
Balance2024-08-162024-10-04Developing+25.7%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing47
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution24
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 399001.SZ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
73/100
Current Relative Strength
-19.83
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-15.0%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-11.6%
Communication Services regime cohort
34th percentile38 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.76ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.94ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 13.66rising
Slow Activity CNY 14.37falling
Trend Reference CNY 14.96-12.8% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 12.46+4.7% close margin
Structural low CNY 12.50shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +10.8%
Annualized volatility +53.8%
From structural high -55.7%
From structural low +4.4%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 399001.SZ Regime survived Read
Near term21+1.2%-13.3% to +30.8%+52.4%+47.6%+4.7%+76.2%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate8+6.2%-8.9% to +41.4%+62.5%+37.5%+10.0%+50.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended5+17.1%-10.6% to +139.0%+80.0%+20.0%+23.0%+20.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4+58.5%+19.1% to +103.2%+100.0%+0.0%+42.5%+25.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context