Weekly structural research ยท NYSE ยท Technology

VPG Stage Analysis

Vishay Precision Group Inc

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 72.63Tenure NewBenchmark SPY
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Deceleration ยท Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

  • The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: moderate and contracting.
Direction -16โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 20/100directional strength
Maturity 22/100lifecycle context
Confidence 51/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Mixedstructural direction
Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation
Price acceptance -33.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +79.0%USD 40.58 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0972.6383.343.371365557Deceleration-1620
2026-10-0279.0782.2914.961613601Deceleration-2024
2026-09-2571.6381.105.141867762Rotation Down-3336
2026-09-1862.6580.25-5.981502717Rotation Down-3852
2026-09-1165.3779.76-1.291276627Rotation Down-2858
2026-09-0463.0179.05-4.791771459Rotation Down-3161
2026-08-2862.5578.82-4.621937279Rotation Down-3357
2026-08-2166.6178.402.904162768Deceleration-3140
2026-08-1472.7277.6511.882877620Deceleration-827
2026-08-0768.5976.686.934779254Deceleration118
2026-07-3192.0575.7850.133315941Deceleration3026
2026-07-24104.4474.0275.551594109Deceleration3926
2026-07-17103.8971.8777.712396698Upward Expansion4536
2026-07-10112.7069.6994.302680392Upward Expansion6256
2026-07-03121.5967.20118.113295350Upward Expansion6666
2026-06-26127.8264.45141.412822483Upward Expansion6868
2026-06-19141.3461.33169.802246069Upward Expansion8488
2026-06-12139.5257.65179.943190096Upward Expansion9196
2026-06-05117.5154.07147.342807733Upward Expansion7993
2026-05-29125.3151.25166.053401757Upward Expansion9799
2026-05-22113.7648.32154.603571595Upward Expansion9999
2026-05-1597.3245.74127.544704367Upward Expansion9999
2026-05-0867.2443.6562.181721710Upward Expansion8892
2026-05-0160.2242.4351.101137681Upward Expansion7784
2026-04-2460.6241.5055.521719467Upward Expansion8178
2026-04-1753.2240.5639.46712623Deceleration6547
2026-04-1049.9039.8838.44867547Deceleration5626
2026-04-0344.7739.2630.36763165Deceleration1714
2026-03-2741.5538.7626.401661693Deceleration1919
2026-03-2040.6438.3221.851182905Deceleration2120
2026-03-1341.0137.9221.73952141Deceleration3320
2026-03-0643.4637.4628.11885123Upward Expansion4227
2026-02-2746.0736.9234.43923658Upward Expansion6151
2026-02-2047.8536.2540.39937716Upward Expansion6460
2026-02-1344.2035.5932.523052381Upward Expansion6669
2026-02-0655.9835.0567.212445521Upward Expansion9496
2026-01-3050.0834.1351.782431581Upward Expansion8986
2026-01-2344.1433.4536.142573711Upward Expansion7671
2026-01-1643.6132.9235.41668712Upward Expansion8179
2026-01-0941.6732.3330.26862615Upward Expansion7572
2026-01-0239.2831.8025.86852536Upward Expansion6671
2025-12-2639.6931.4326.79375754Upward Expansion7176
2025-12-1938.7630.9626.54613243Upward Expansion7070
2025-12-1237.9230.5424.88732918Deceleration6745
2025-12-0539.0130.1728.61604462Deceleration7339
2025-11-2834.1429.6813.81311325Deceleration4122
2025-11-2131.1329.428.16672736Upward Expansion4125
2025-11-1431.9529.129.34518108Upward Expansion5844
2025-11-0732.9628.7313.49838144Upward Expansion6357
2025-10-3137.4628.3027.50775651Upward Expansion8167
2025-10-2436.4927.7325.83785658Upward Expansion8259
2025-10-1734.3727.3221.54837721Upward Expansion7654
2025-10-1030.7526.9311.15428825Upward Expansion6362
2025-10-0332.4026.6614.47346912Upward Expansion6978
2025-09-2632.1926.3215.22487787Upward Expansion7178
2025-09-1932.9226.0317.69602408Upward Expansion8078
2025-09-1231.3025.7713.61518972Upward Expansion7468
2025-09-0529.6725.579.56363043Upward Expansion6449
2025-08-2928.4225.365.26295337Deceleration5331
2025-08-2228.6725.195.87355342Deceleration4522
2025-08-1527.3725.021.04670782Deceleration3418
2025-08-0827.2024.861.02756165Deceleration3721
2025-08-0125.8024.70-2.18568668Upward Expansion4227
2025-07-2528.0524.622.89679690Upward Expansion5754
2025-07-1828.0224.463.42519832Upward Expansion5860
2025-07-1128.5124.305.20562144Upward Expansion6260
2025-07-0429.5824.148.29427299Upward Expansion7055
2025-06-2728.3123.945.11592716Upward Expansion6440
2025-06-2025.9323.76-0.85382041Upward Expansion5333
2025-06-1325.8523.63-1.89936963Upward Expansion5645
2025-06-0628.0223.495.261207174Upward Expansion7065
2025-05-3025.7223.30-2.40558805Upward Expansion5759
2025-05-2325.9923.23-0.54845785Upward Expansion5850
2025-05-1626.7923.14-0.84921647Balance6342
2025-05-0924.5823.04-4.891192973Balance19
2025-05-0226.2823.050.481866070Downward Expansion-96
2025-04-2521.9023.01-14.57625255Downward Expansion-5252
2025-04-1820.3723.13-17.79536633Downward Expansion-6055
2025-04-1120.0323.26-21.251323432Balance-6452
2025-04-0420.4423.41-16.022367032Balance-6343
2025-03-2824.0823.56-10.97529049Balance-1514
2025-03-2122.8823.67-17.48404451Balance-3425
2025-03-1422.4423.86-19.48393140Balance-3919
2025-03-0722.2024.04-22.95389720Balance-2714
2025-02-2823.5424.20-21.74318947Balance1116
2025-02-2125.3024.48-17.64412325Balance2121
2025-02-1425.0224.78-20.62598994Balance-19
2025-02-0723.6025.02-24.84436268Balance-2312
2025-01-3123.3025.29-26.62431502Downward Expansion-3622
2025-01-2423.4925.50-27.47321365Downward Expansion-4627
2025-01-1722.7325.73-29.36299372Downward Expansion-5131
2025-01-1022.2825.99-29.40310563Downward Expansion-5834
2025-01-0323.4126.30-27.98317311Downward Expansion-3522
2024-12-2723.3426.60-29.27279320Downward Expansion-3825
2024-12-2023.1526.95-30.19560062Downward Expansion-4229
2024-12-1323.7627.27-30.43478296Downward Expansion-4637
2024-12-0623.4527.56-32.39914523Downward Expansion-6253
2024-11-2922.9727.84-33.85893596Downward Expansion-6563
2024-11-2222.0928.21-36.27348040Downward Expansion-7079
2024-11-1521.4328.59-37.79448859Downward Expansion-8286
2024-11-0822.5528.99-36.56772955Downward Expansion-7580
2024-11-0123.5129.34-31.31401546Downward Expansion-6763
2024-10-2523.1829.69-33.90414473Downward Expansion-7358
2024-10-1823.9930.10-32.98327221Downward Expansion-6954
2024-10-1124.8330.44-30.80288055Downward Expansion-6454
2024-10-0425.0130.73-30.16389987Downward Expansion-6459
2024-09-2725.4931.07-29.39425665Downward Expansion-6677
2024-09-2024.2531.40-33.15525585Downward Expansion-7786
2024-09-1324.4931.73-32.24293923Downward Expansion-8286
2024-09-0624.9332.07-28.97322962Downward Expansion-8384
2024-08-3027.6132.31-25.30234535Downward Expansion-6777
2024-08-2328.5332.45-23.34245731Downward Expansion-6371
2024-08-1627.9032.60-24.61243660Downward Expansion-7058
2024-08-0926.9532.70-24.94662114Downward Expansion-7335
2024-08-0231.9132.85-11.93337940Balance-2720
2024-07-2634.3332.83-7.90303056Downward Expansion-1410
2024-07-1932.2232.83-14.73380660Downward Expansion-5537
2024-07-1231.7332.86-18.26303890Downward Expansion-6164
2024-07-0529.3932.85-24.10144192Downward Expansion-7576
2024-06-2830.4432.89-20.54275923Balance-6866
2024-06-2130.6932.91-20.56240840Balance-4041
2024-06-1431.4832.91-18.63201452Balance-2418
2024-06-0732.4432.88-15.43251118Balance-1312
2024-05-3133.7732.73-11.48540997Balance1514
2024-05-2432.9032.66-14.56287495Balance914
2024-05-1732.4132.57-16.34267598Balance312
2024-05-1031.9232.55-16.78285844Balance-19
2024-05-0334.0632.53-10.02312617Upward Expansion3119
2024-04-2633.4132.50-11.85213740Upward Expansion2919
2024-04-1933.2732.50-10.50283445Upward Expansion3417
2024-04-1233.0232.49-14.53158405Upward Expansion3824
2024-04-0534.1832.52-13.62170636Upward Expansion5433
2024-03-2935.3332.53-12.25184840Upward Expansion6743
2024-03-2234.4432.56-14.92211439Upward Expansion5951
2024-03-1533.4732.57-16.21256749Rotation Up6059
2024-03-0835.1432.62-12.89202653Rotation Up4163
2024-03-0135.3532.67-13.49334366Rotation Up4760
2024-02-2334.0932.73-16.62191058Rotation Up2641
2024-02-1634.7332.83-14.55542621Balance3335
2024-02-0932.1932.92-21.74234118Balance-2511
2024-02-0231.8633.07-22.26327953Balance-2915
2024-01-2633.0033.20-19.15270842Balance-1813
2024-01-1930.9633.34-24.05190769Balance-3616
2024-01-1231.4033.52-22.83225904Balance-1717
2024-01-0531.4233.73-22.06258408Balance-1618
2023-12-2934.0733.91-17.49230566Downward Expansion-415
2023-12-2233.2233.97-19.81350399Downward Expansion-2418
2023-12-1531.3834.03-24.09711389Downward Expansion-4128
2023-12-0830.7434.17-24.44394757Downward Expansion-5440
2023-12-0130.9934.25-24.22269198Downward Expansion-5951
2023-11-2430.8034.50-24.62152073Downward Expansion-6154
2023-11-1730.2934.72-25.68283073Downward Expansion-6465
2023-11-1028.0435.01-30.16399497Downward Expansion-8783
2023-11-0331.6335.45-20.73336923Downward Expansion-6568
2023-10-2730.2835.73-19.94168694Downward Expansion-8282
2023-10-2031.8336.11-18.20205185Downward Expansion-7273
Price vs TrendBelow-12.9%
Trend directionRising+10.0%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+79.0%
Fair Value directionMoving away-124.2%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+3.4%
Relative strength directionWeakening-90.9%
Price momentumPositive+45.6%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.57ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-16 / ยฑ100

+12.2 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

20 /100

-37.5 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance45
Rotation Up35
Upward Expansion23
Deceleration47
Rotation Down28
Downward Expansion37

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 18%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 35%Deceleration 13%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 28%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Deceleration2026-10-022026-10-09New-8.1%
Rotation Down2026-08-282026-09-25Developing+14.5%
Deceleration2026-07-242026-08-21Developing-36.2%
Upward Expansion2026-04-242026-07-17Established+71.4%
Deceleration2026-03-132026-04-17Developing+29.8%
Upward Expansion2025-12-192026-03-06Developing+12.1%
Deceleration2025-11-282025-12-12New+11.1%
Upward Expansion2025-09-052025-11-21Developing+4.9%
Deceleration2025-08-082025-08-29New+4.5%
Upward Expansion2025-05-232025-08-01Developing-0.7%
Balance2025-05-092025-05-16New+9.0%
Downward Expansion2025-04-182025-05-02New+29.0%
Balance2025-02-072025-04-11Developing-15.1%
Downward Expansion2024-08-092025-01-31Established-13.5%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing12
Stage 2 ยท Advancing44
Stage 3 ยท Distribution58
Stage 4 ยท Declining37

Legacy result: Stage 3 ยท Stage 3B ยท Distribution. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus SPY

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
46/100
Current Relative Strength
3.37
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
+45.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+30.7%
Technology regime cohort
6th percentile34 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.54ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.57ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity USD 72.33rising
Slow Activity USD 85.23falling
Trend Reference USD 83.34-12.9% close margin
Current Fair Value USD 40.58+79.0% close margin
Structural low USD 49.70shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +18.5%
Annualized volatility +90.9%
From structural high -52.1%
From structural low +149.8%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs SPY Regime survived Read
Near term13-0.9%-36.2% to +34.7%+46.2%+46.2%+3.7%+38.5%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate7+1.8%-11.3% to +240.2%+71.4%+71.4%+2.2%+14.3%Usable descriptive sample
Extended5-6.4%-10.2% to +105.8%+40.0%+40.0%+11.6%+20.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3-14.7%-21.4% to +152.2%+33.3%+33.3%+1.2%+33.3%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context