Weekly structural research ยท NASDAQ ยท Technology

FIVN Stage Analysis

Five9 Inc

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close USD 35.77Tenure DevelopingBenchmark QQQ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Upward Expansion ยท Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and contracting.
Direction 73โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 52/100directional strength
Maturity 76/100lifecycle context
Confidence 81/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Widecontracting separation
Price acceptance +66.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -2.5%USD 36.68 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-09-2535.7723.8143.1415724309Upward Expansion7352
2026-09-1832.4723.2034.6715057063Upward Expansion6251
2026-09-1130.6622.7628.385090660Upward Expansion6457
2026-09-0433.2722.3038.427408833Upward Expansion6780
2026-08-2834.0521.7642.157614820Upward Expansion7488
2026-08-2132.7521.2137.318724193Upward Expansion7488
2026-08-1433.0020.7334.7011816539Upward Expansion8287
2026-08-0733.9920.2240.2720405703Upward Expansion9085
2026-07-3127.5119.7519.6130013791Upward Expansion7368
2026-07-2423.1219.460.8412366902Upward Expansion5650
2026-07-1725.5819.358.719346976Upward Expansion6858
2026-07-1025.4219.182.8710776771Deceleration6939
2026-07-0323.4419.04-4.138971523Deceleration5026
2026-06-2621.3218.95-12.8915160722Upward Expansion4124
2026-06-1919.4018.89-25.1011729302Upward Expansion4733
2026-06-1221.2318.88-16.9612377534Upward Expansion6355
2026-06-0523.5218.84-6.9618104635Rotation Up6975
2026-05-2924.3518.72-9.0812362019Rotation Up5173
2026-05-2222.7618.72-13.4018111239Rotation Up3663
2026-05-1521.6418.75-17.5518964698Rotation Up2940
2026-05-0822.1018.74-17.0826764815Rotation Up3336
2026-05-0122.2418.69-13.0226002925Rotation Up-110
2026-04-2416.5518.71-34.8610355158Downward Expansion-5638
2026-04-1715.7819.00-37.4210215291Downward Expansion-6255
2026-04-1013.6119.36-43.4210276154Downward Expansion-7474
2026-04-0315.0119.76-35.727978916Downward Expansion-6670
2026-03-2714.4320.15-36.6310329087Downward Expansion-7365
2026-03-2015.5320.57-35.049311303Downward Expansion-7048
2026-03-1315.7620.97-36.4510175958Downward Expansion-7040
2026-03-0618.0921.31-28.9417724643Downward Expansion-4531
2026-02-2717.4421.52-33.4417150107Downward Expansion-6242
2026-02-2019.3221.75-27.8316285265Downward Expansion-6044
2026-02-1316.7522.07-38.0311806788Downward Expansion-7169
2026-02-0617.0822.41-38.8414712205Downward Expansion-7375
2026-01-3017.6622.72-39.309791977Downward Expansion-6759
2026-01-2318.3223.06-38.3911793838Downward Expansion-6462
2026-01-1617.5923.34-41.798705935Downward Expansion-7362
2026-01-0919.8623.65-35.958362467Downward Expansion-5541
2026-01-0218.8123.88-39.015962908Downward Expansion-6743
2025-12-2619.9924.22-37.474303087Downward Expansion-4933
2025-12-1920.5424.44-36.1010851085Downward Expansion-5538
2025-12-1221.1424.64-35.047147819Downward Expansion-6046
2025-12-0520.6524.87-38.769943491Downward Expansion-6265
2025-11-2819.5925.07-42.316311282Downward Expansion-6673
2025-11-2118.9425.24-42.4711539221Downward Expansion-7567
2025-11-1420.2725.44-41.3110490360Downward Expansion-7048
2025-11-0719.8425.51-43.4722485440Downward Expansion-7654
2025-10-3124.2825.62-33.828756831Downward Expansion-6062
2025-10-2423.5725.58-35.057932329Downward Expansion-6170
2025-10-1721.5625.72-39.729268816Downward Expansion-7075
2025-10-1020.6126.00-41.4710004817Downward Expansion-7972
2025-10-0322.8026.30-37.2610418319Balance-6753
2025-09-2625.1226.62-30.558104267Balance-4020
2025-09-1926.4926.99-27.499997572Balance-188
2025-09-1225.8427.51-28.058656564Balance-2311
2025-09-0526.7027.99-24.677539854Balance-2712
2025-08-2926.9228.46-23.727804499Downward Expansion-3819
2025-08-2227.5728.93-22.609723075Downward Expansion-3926
2025-08-1526.0429.33-28.0711998734Downward Expansion-4931
2025-08-0824.3929.71-32.8112457671Downward Expansion-6136
2025-08-0124.2830.15-31.1915361121Downward Expansion-5430
2025-07-2528.8430.71-21.207201673Downward Expansion-1410
2025-07-1826.9431.13-26.827972780Downward Expansion-3824
2025-07-1126.6031.65-27.8010459139Downward Expansion-4027
2025-07-0427.7132.17-25.939697015Downward Expansion-2923
2025-06-2726.7432.66-28.2319062266Downward Expansion-3121
2025-06-2026.8533.15-25.864881929Downward Expansion-3824
2025-06-1326.6533.60-27.167940128Downward Expansion-3825
2025-06-0629.1533.98-21.589700384Downward Expansion-3624
2025-05-3026.5134.24-27.967343354Downward Expansion-4029
2025-05-2326.5934.38-27.399500962Downward Expansion-4333
2025-05-1628.0534.48-26.346168147Downward Expansion-4636
2025-05-0926.5234.57-26.8110093984Downward Expansion-6151
2025-05-0224.8334.70-32.7516396471Downward Expansion-6463
2025-04-2525.0634.85-31.258096207Downward Expansion-6781
2025-04-1822.3234.97-36.195228394Downward Expansion-7789
2025-04-1123.0735.15-36.9012643809Rotation Down-8089
2025-04-0423.0035.33-33.7310507486Rotation Down-6080
2025-03-2827.7535.52-29.297390982Rotation Down-5074
2025-03-2130.1435.67-26.376249822Rotation Down-3762
2025-03-1429.4835.79-29.009356223Balance-4047
2025-03-0732.4835.91-24.9910268165Balance-1016
2025-02-2836.2035.86-20.2814063568Upward Expansion1411
2025-02-2142.0936.02-11.7815415738Upward Expansion6039
2025-02-1440.1236.17-18.954029402Deceleration5134
2025-02-0740.8736.32-16.696326849Deceleration4527
2025-01-3140.9936.41-18.087003703Deceleration4124
2025-01-2439.7436.47-23.134678206Deceleration3524
2025-01-1737.3936.62-28.114979335Rotation Up3924
2025-01-1037.5836.76-27.264579186Rotation Up2026
2025-01-0341.0436.90-23.982364487Rotation Up3643
2024-12-2741.4236.96-25.292092719Rotation Up3952
2024-12-2042.6337.14-23.987614980Rotation Up4471
2024-12-1342.2137.39-27.886188149Rotation Up3773
2024-12-0642.4837.75-28.415419937Rotation Up4373
2024-11-2941.2838.10-29.655921915Rotation Up4151
2024-11-2240.3238.65-32.166933522Downward Expansion2238
2024-11-1538.0739.28-35.9418414106Downward Expansion821
2024-11-0836.8239.91-41.2314372239Downward Expansion-2220
2024-11-0130.9640.67-48.665773534Downward Expansion-4540
2024-10-2529.5541.63-52.597939349Downward Expansion-4944
2024-10-1830.5842.71-51.636183377Downward Expansion-5049
2024-10-1130.3843.72-52.615573201Downward Expansion-6360
2024-10-0429.4144.71-54.265841822Downward Expansion-6565
2024-09-2728.7645.67-55.9811733889Downward Expansion-6876
2024-09-2027.7746.79-57.788989443Downward Expansion-7784
2024-09-1328.4948.00-56.828950685Downward Expansion-7988
2024-09-0628.6149.47-54.809698905Downward Expansion-8392
2024-08-3032.2551.15-52.787828323Downward Expansion-7389
2024-08-2333.7752.52-51.756833159Downward Expansion-7285
2024-08-1632.9253.97-53.2711462783Downward Expansion-8071
2024-08-0931.2255.45-54.0319177140Downward Expansion-8766
2024-08-0240.7756.99-40.695507375Downward Expansion-6149
2024-07-2646.7658.04-35.104551271Downward Expansion-4746
2024-07-1944.4459.11-40.796198439Downward Expansion-6158
2024-07-1243.7460.29-44.957151352Downward Expansion-6464
2024-07-0542.8861.56-47.064219257Downward Expansion-6667
2024-06-2844.1062.81-44.506180637Downward Expansion-6879
2024-06-2141.5263.99-48.575597202Downward Expansion-7992
2024-06-1441.7465.09-48.947539258Downward Expansion-8694
2024-06-0742.9966.12-46.3110033366Downward Expansion-9196
2024-05-3146.7666.80-40.785208727Downward Expansion-8794
2024-05-2450.0467.35-38.284263983Downward Expansion-8391
2024-05-1753.0767.57-34.085136239Downward Expansion-7578
2024-05-1053.0667.81-33.136847220Downward Expansion-8073
2024-05-0357.8868.04-26.269159461Downward Expansion-6455
2024-04-2658.9868.25-24.414484354Downward Expansion-6153
2024-04-1957.0968.43-24.475175338Downward Expansion-7255
2024-04-1259.5468.73-26.066253479Downward Expansion-6552
2024-04-0559.8268.92-26.776477326Rotation Down-6662
2024-03-2962.1169.21-25.303856410Rotation Down-3765
2024-03-2260.8369.56-27.875896639Rotation Down-3971
2024-03-1559.9069.94-27.337531407Rotation Down-3570
2024-03-0858.4270.30-30.388545981Rotation Down-4468
2024-03-0162.3270.70-27.4416397502Deceleration-3443
2024-02-2364.0071.30-24.6213051869Deceleration-1117
2024-02-1672.6771.97-14.023813361Deceleration3115
2024-02-0978.9672.41-8.863738994Deceleration4524
2024-02-0273.3372.64-14.444001360Deceleration3619
2024-01-2677.2272.89-9.694688532Deceleration1010
2024-01-1977.2173.06-9.853283097Rotation Up1313
2024-01-1277.6373.07-7.472695326Rotation Up1718
2024-01-0572.2873.03-11.643729992Rotation Up2828
2023-12-2978.6973.09-7.432119072Rotation Up2645
2023-12-2279.8872.81-6.284266740Rotation Up2861
2023-12-1581.8872.10-3.495908525Rotation Up3763
2023-12-0880.3971.43-2.5717612241Rotation Up3745
2023-12-0179.5970.46-3.265965629Downward Expansion3942
2023-11-2474.3069.66-9.842975065Downward Expansion-420
2023-11-1772.9169.35-10.9110853405Downward Expansion-2318
2023-11-1063.3169.15-21.196860105Downward Expansion-6253
2023-11-0363.3069.42-19.329554314Downward Expansion-6465
2023-10-2756.6069.73-23.305015329Downward Expansion-8081
2023-10-2060.0970.25-21.073504694Rotation Down-7373
2023-10-1360.2170.34-23.453552848Rotation Down-5164
2023-10-0663.9970.35-18.863340935Rotation Down-3257
Price vs TrendAbove+50.2%
Trend directionRising+23.0%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-2.5%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+44.7%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+43.1%
Relative strength directionImproving+56.0%
Price momentumPositive+147.9%
Volume balanceDemand-led2.60ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

73 / ยฑ100

-0.3 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

52 /100

-35.7 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance12
Rotation Up54
Upward Expansion81
Deceleration68
Rotation Down25
Downward Expansion8

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 5%Rotation Up 14%Upward Expansion 10%Deceleration 8%Rotation Down 8%Downward Expansion 56%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Upward Expansion2026-07-172026-09-25Developing+39.8%
Deceleration2026-07-032026-07-10New+8.4%
Upward Expansion2026-06-122026-06-26New+0.4%
Rotation Up2026-05-012026-06-05Developing+5.8%
Downward Expansion2025-10-102026-04-24Extended-19.7%
Balance2025-09-052025-10-03Developing-14.6%
Downward Expansion2025-04-182025-08-29Established+20.6%
Rotation Down2025-03-212025-04-11New-23.5%
Balance2025-03-072025-03-14New-9.2%
Upward Expansion2025-02-212025-02-28New-14.0%
Deceleration2025-01-242025-02-14New+1.0%
Rotation Up2024-11-292025-01-17Developing-9.4%
Downward Expansion2024-04-122024-11-22Extended-32.3%
Rotation Down2024-03-082024-04-05Developing+2.4%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing36
Stage 2 ยท Advancing100
Stage 3 ยท Distribution34
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 1 ยท Stage 1C ยท Breakout watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
98/100
Current Relative Strength
43.14
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+147.9%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+115.5%
Technology regime cohort
97th percentile114 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.16ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume2.60ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity USD 33.42rising
Slow Activity USD 27.27rising
Trend Reference USD 23.81+50.2% close margin
Current Fair Value USD 36.68-2.5% close margin
Structural low USD 13.29shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +12.0%
Annualized volatility +70.8%
From structural high -10.6%
From structural low +169.1%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs QQQ Regime survived Read
Near term8-4.4%-28.4% to +29.0%+37.5%+37.5%-0.5%+50.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate4-27.6%-36.8% to +44.4%+25.0%+25.0%-24.9%+25.0%Too little matched history
Extended3-29.7%-34.5% to -10.2%+0.0%+0.0%-35.1%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle3-48.3%-54.1% to -47.8%+0.0%+0.0%-70.4%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context