Weekly structural research · ASX · Industrials

EOS Stage Analysis

Electro Optic Systems Holdings Limited

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close AUD 10.13Tenure NewBenchmark ^AXJO

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Rotation Up · Value reclamation

The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.

Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and expanding.
Re-acceleration watch: Fast Activity is turning upward after a positive-structure recompression.

Direction 61−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 64/100directional strength

Maturity 13/100lifecycle context

Confidence 81/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation

Price acceptance +66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +142.1%AUD 4.18 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	10.13	9.36	20.09	20646822	Rotation Up	61	64
2026-10-02	11.49	9.41	37.45	11906203	Rotation Up	51	67
2026-09-25	11.32	9.36	36.64	13423699	Rotation Up	45	60
2026-09-18	10.34	9.28	24.76	13772584	Balance	33	38
2026-09-11	9.15	9.18	11.09	8043084	Balance	4	22
2026-09-04	9.52	9.07	12.61	1684372	Balance	6	22
2026-08-28	10.05	8.95	18.27	2940939	Downward Expansion	19	20
2026-08-21	8.90	8.91	6.12	2467279	Downward Expansion	-41	27
2026-08-14	8.47	8.95	1.29	2636084	Downward Expansion	-60	60
2026-08-07	7.74	9.00	-8.42	1000642	Downward Expansion	-61	73
2026-07-31	6.69	9.07	-17.84	3551425	Rotation Down	-72	77
2026-07-24	6.87	9.18	-12.93	2194056	Rotation Down	-44	58
2026-07-17	7.03	9.26	-10.35	3659293	Balance	-33	30
2026-07-10	8.41	9.31	8.05	3100157	Balance	13	8
2026-07-03	10.15	9.19	31.61	1539910	Balance	47	22
2026-06-26	9.44	9.00	25.86	2150878	Balance	46	28
2026-06-19	10.66	8.84	43.54	8857836	Balance	57	51
2026-06-12	9.33	8.64	28.63	2899404	Balance	48	35
2026-06-05	10.97	8.49	57.16	16670493	Balance	58	37
2026-05-29	11.13	8.29	61.31	7388308	Balance	61	26
2026-05-22	8.88	8.12	33.23	14773484	Balance	29	16
2026-05-15	8.82	8.02	35.56	11468147	Balance	32	14
2026-05-08	8.94	7.90	38.69	12278002	Upward Expansion	37	21
2026-05-01	9.30	7.88	47.92	9764723	Upward Expansion	48	27
2026-04-24	10.01	7.86	62.15	10960680	Upward Expansion	51	29
2026-04-17	10.31	7.80	68.54	10496231	Upward Expansion	46	23
2026-04-10	9.28	7.70	55.85	9669453	Upward Expansion	45	23
2026-04-03	9.00	7.64	62.05	13335309	Upward Expansion	52	43
2026-03-27	8.46	7.59	57.65	16978811	Upward Expansion	55	56
2026-03-20	9.90	7.50	91.18	36408379	Upward Expansion	57	62
2026-03-13	11.74	7.34	128.96	24840346	Deceleration	74	60
2026-03-06	9.91	7.15	95.72	21588870	Deceleration	51	23
2026-02-27	8.98	6.98	76.44	33938967	Deceleration	36	28
2026-02-20	7.32	6.78	50.07	21294232	Deceleration	22	28
2026-02-13	5.86	6.64	25.30	29710108	Upward Expansion	11	18
2026-02-06	6.00	6.57	33.85	13413289	Upward Expansion	27	25
2026-01-30	8.68	6.46	94.02	12855652	Upward Expansion	65	67
2026-01-23	10.35	6.26	139.21	10959841	Upward Expansion	75	89
2026-01-16	9.86	6.01	136.34	13691976	Upward Expansion	71	88
2026-01-09	9.80	5.76	149.82	11363319	Upward Expansion	74	87
2026-01-02	9.95	5.52	164.30	9097966	Upward Expansion	80	80
2025-12-26	9.25	5.27	155.99	13674019	Rotation Up	64	47
2025-12-19	8.49	5.02	149.25	29578780	Rotation Up	50	25
2025-12-12	5.01	4.79	52.12	13698140	Rotation Down	-21	35
2025-12-05	4.46	4.67	39.53	11284017	Deceleration	-25	40
2025-11-28	4.55	4.56	45.51	16540517	Deceleration	-5	23
2025-11-21	4.58	4.45	53.02	16480258	Deceleration	-3	20
2025-11-14	4.78	4.34	59.19	15529178	Deceleration	1	17
2025-11-07	5.06	4.22	69.75	16780090	Deceleration	20	25
2025-10-31	6.21	4.09	110.75	19192092	Deceleration	36	25
2025-10-24	5.64	3.92	94.42	25071235	Upward Expansion	44	31
2025-10-17	5.39	3.78	91.37	34836266	Upward Expansion	62	51
2025-10-10	8.12	3.64	197.11	28982365	Upward Expansion	67	65
2025-10-03	8.75	3.42	234.01	33802688	Upward Expansion	81	72
2025-09-26	8.35	3.16	243.77	15087088	Upward Expansion	84	82
2025-09-19	7.20	2.92	213.94	14773024	Upward Expansion	73	80
2025-09-12	7.67	2.72	247.80	13037820	Upward Expansion	88	82
2025-09-05	7.46	2.51	257.67	18882802	Upward Expansion	92	91
2025-08-29	5.80	2.30	190.91	18974602	Upward Expansion	82	84
2025-08-22	4.92	2.15	157.15	20244335	Upward Expansion	71	69
2025-08-15	5.96	2.03	221.88	25176135	Upward Expansion	96	77
2025-08-08	4.92	1.87	181.35	45658606	Upward Expansion	96	77
2025-08-01	3.03	1.75	82.44	9167829	Upward Expansion	67	66
2025-07-25	3.16	1.69	92.59	10504204	Upward Expansion	72	69
2025-07-18	3.56	1.62	117.47	18132026	Upward Expansion	94	77
2025-07-11	2.90	1.54	83.95	8634235	Upward Expansion	82	74
2025-07-04	2.63	1.48	68.76	10851600	Upward Expansion	70	88
2025-06-27	2.71	1.43	77.57	12452736	Upward Expansion	82	94
2025-06-20	2.62	1.38	74.04	11227392	Upward Expansion	88	96
2025-06-13	2.57	1.33	72.22	10350058	Upward Expansion	93	97
2025-06-06	2.37	1.29	61.87	13665755	Upward Expansion	95	96
2025-05-30	1.84	1.25	28.96	10202288	Upward Expansion	87	80
2025-05-23	1.61	1.24	14.21	10418894	Balance	75	56
2025-05-16	1.29	1.23	-8.23	3495282	Balance	-8	4
2025-05-09	1.14	1.24	-17.77	3326211	Balance	-39	20
2025-05-02	1.24	1.26	-11.64	3142134	Balance	-28	16
2025-04-25	1.25	1.27	-8.59	2247197	Balance	-37	22
2025-04-18	1.20	1.27	-10.99	2977498	Balance	-38	19
2025-04-11	1.10	1.28	-17.87	5501772	Balance	-43	17
2025-04-04	1.17	1.28	-13.21	2712673	Balance	-21	18
2025-03-28	1.40	1.29	-0.76	3952622	Balance	22	24
2025-03-21	1.34	1.29	-4.76	2711684	Balance	-5	5
2025-03-14	1.30	1.31	-6.92	2330559	Downward Expansion	-25	18
2025-03-07	1.15	1.32	-19.95	1984248	Downward Expansion	-50	30
2025-02-28	1.10	1.34	-26.23	4409424	Downward Expansion	-48	23
2025-02-21	1.22	1.36	-20.56	2518130	Downward Expansion	-23	12
2025-02-14	1.30	1.38	-17.85	3777646	Downward Expansion	-17	9
2025-02-07	1.30	1.40	-17.92	3448657	Downward Expansion	-33	19
2025-01-31	1.21	1.41	-24.38	1795605	Downward Expansion	-39	24
2025-01-24	1.17	1.43	-25.91	1306991	Downward Expansion	-46	26
2025-01-17	1.18	1.44	-24.34	1579491	Downward Expansion	-43	24
2025-01-10	1.28	1.45	-17.45	2083831	Downward Expansion	-40	25
2025-01-03	1.26	1.45	-18.53	1970559	Downward Expansion	-44	34
2024-12-27	1.30	1.45	-15.89	2214453	Downward Expansion	-57	42
2024-12-20	1.06	1.45	-29.28	2686438	Downward Expansion	-71	66
2024-12-13	1.11	1.46	-28.30	2232099	Downward Expansion	-69	69
2024-12-06	1.20	1.47	-23.56	4304294	Downward Expansion	-62	70
2024-11-29	1.22	1.48	-22.01	5442512	Downward Expansion	-62	72
2024-11-22	1.13	1.50	-27.62	4696427	Downward Expansion	-74	74
2024-11-15	1.20	1.52	-21.77	3950333	Downward Expansion	-68	63
2024-11-08	1.28	1.53	-17.25	2634301	Balance	-63	45
2024-11-01	1.41	1.55	-6.30	2013944	Balance	-37	18
2024-10-25	1.49	1.55	-1.73	1849725	Balance	-19	15
2024-10-18	1.50	1.56	-1.41	3222304	Balance	-21	13
2024-10-11	1.64	1.58	9.16	5446824	Downward Expansion	-17	11
2024-10-04	1.54	1.59	4.24	4730245	Downward Expansion	-55	47
2024-09-27	1.40	1.60	-6.19	2995475	Downward Expansion	-58	63
2024-09-20	1.34	1.61	-9.23	3886504	Downward Expansion	-60	59
2024-09-13	1.26	1.62	-13.96	3294984	Balance	-69	45
2024-09-06	1.36	1.63	-6.04	2904356	Balance	-32	22
2024-08-30	1.52	1.64	4.44	4684600	Upward Expansion	-6	7
2024-08-23	1.81	1.62	26.78	2796326	Upward Expansion	58	31
2024-08-16	1.76	1.60	25.00	2392904	Upward Expansion	46	33
2024-08-09	1.58	1.57	16.64	4007352	Upward Expansion	47	52
2024-08-02	1.78	1.56	28.89	3337678	Upward Expansion	54	67
2024-07-26	1.90	1.53	39.26	3572670	Balance	66	67
2024-07-19	1.92	1.50	40.90	8851767	Balance	68	49
2024-07-12	1.62	1.47	19.89	3326845	Balance	31	28
2024-07-05	1.62	1.45	23.12	3776200	Rotation Down	16	14
2024-06-28	1.56	1.42	20.68	3285855	Rotation Down	-12	19
2024-06-21	1.42	1.40	11.05	5090521	Rotation Down	-25	50
2024-06-14	1.26	1.39	-0.13	2055873	Rotation Down	-31	59
2024-06-07	1.24	1.38	-2.91	2900290	Deceleration	-35	53
2024-05-31	1.28	1.37	2.75	3294592	Deceleration	-14	28
2024-05-24	1.43	1.36	15.01	2438729	Deceleration	2	13
2024-05-17	1.49	1.34	19.42	1940857	Deceleration	27	15
2024-05-10	1.56	1.32	26.71	1806991	Deceleration	36	21
2024-05-03	1.65	1.30	38.16	4406793	Deceleration	39	27
2024-04-26	1.79	1.28	52.91	2000599	Deceleration	46	29
2024-04-19	1.64	1.26	43.46	4475828	Upward Expansion	41	26
2024-04-12	1.70	1.24	47.07	2284366	Upward Expansion	49	42
2024-04-05	1.56	1.21	37.21	3519728	Upward Expansion	63	54
2024-03-29	1.66	1.19	45.52	5299766	Upward Expansion	67	65
2024-03-22	2.08	1.17	89.56	2397420	Upward Expansion	88	87
2024-03-15	1.86	1.13	77.09	4017564	Upward Expansion	79	91
2024-03-08	1.83	1.10	74.11	2825445	Upward Expansion	83	94
2024-03-01	1.80	1.08	78.08	4247547	Upward Expansion	89	96
2024-02-23	1.64	1.06	68.50	2675933	Upward Expansion	89	95
2024-02-16	1.62	1.04	69.22	5387280	Upward Expansion	95	97
2024-02-09	1.46	1.03	56.05	4858363	Upward Expansion	93	86
2024-02-02	1.20	1.01	29.77	4625304	Balance	54	60
2024-01-26	0.995	0.9997	11.08	951666	Balance	17	34
2024-01-19	1.06	0.992	21.26	848910	Balance	23	42
2024-01-12	1.08	0.9843	22.69	1731664	Balance	34	35
2024-01-05	1.00	0.9773	15.59	385027	Balance	16	13
2023-12-29	1.04	0.9723	19.92	875761	Balance	12	8
2023-12-22	0.955	0.9667	12.72	865518	Balance	-9	8
2023-12-15	0.93	0.9637	11.70	1182759	Balance	-23	15
2023-12-08	0.93	0.9625	16.59	976609	Balance	-21	13
2023-12-01	0.965	0.9572	24.08	1729727	Balance	-19	12
2023-11-24	0.91	0.9517	18.50	896307	Deceleration	-17	20
2023-11-17	0.97	0.941	27.01	1282785	Deceleration	9	16
2023-11-10	0.925	0.9278	23.74	553888	Deceleration	6	15
2023-11-03	0.96	0.9177	29.77	1323043	Deceleration	14	11
2023-10-27	0.895	0.9058	25.03	838719	Deceleration	5	5
2023-10-20	0.965	0.8912	34.71	1256353	Deceleration	31	15

Price vs TrendAbove+8.3%

Trend directionRising+3.2%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+142.1%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+2.9%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+20.1%

Relative strength directionImproving+12.0%

Price momentumPositive+9.2%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.21×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

61 / ±100

+57.0 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

64 /100

+42.3 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

EOS Directional State ↗ EOS Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance34

Rotation Up71

Upward Expansion86

Deceleration46

Rotation Down9

Downward Expansion13

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 27%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 34%Deceleration 15%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 17%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Rotation Up	2026-09-25	2026-10-09	New	-10.5%
Balance	2026-09-04	2026-09-18	New	+8.6%
Downward Expansion	2026-08-07	2026-08-28	New	+29.8%
Rotation Down	2026-07-24	2026-07-31	New	-2.6%
Balance	2026-05-15	2026-07-17	Developing	-20.3%
Upward Expansion	2026-03-20	2026-05-08	Developing	-9.7%
Deceleration	2026-02-20	2026-03-13	New	+60.4%
Upward Expansion	2026-01-02	2026-02-13	Developing	-41.1%
Rotation Up	2025-12-19	2025-12-26	New	+9.0%
Rotation Down	2025-12-12	2025-12-12	New	+0.0%
Deceleration	2025-10-31	2025-12-05	Developing	-28.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-05-30	2025-10-24	Established	+205.7%
Balance	2025-03-21	2025-05-23	Developing	+20.1%
Downward Expansion	2024-11-15	2025-03-14	Established	+7.9%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing31

Stage 2 · Advancing99

Stage 3 · Distribution54

Stage 4 · Declining1

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2A · Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^AXJO

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 89/100
Current Relative Strength: 20.09
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +9.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +11.9%
Industrials regime cohort: 73th percentile11 in cohort

Test EOS trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume3.16×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.21×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+62.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore EOS Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity AUD 10.69rising

Slow Activity AUD 9.41rising

Trend Reference AUD 9.36+8.3% close margin

Current Fair Value AUD 4.18+142.1% close margin

Structural low AUD 6.40shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Full positive ordering with expanding width confirms Upward Expansion. Loss of the fast/slow repair and renewed downside acceptance cancels it.

Range context +12.6%

Annualized volatility +76.6%

From structural high -21.5%

From structural low +137.2%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^AXJO	Regime survived	Read
Near term	1	+16.1%+16.1% to +16.1%	+100.0%	+100.0%	+12.9%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Intermediate	1	+16.6%+16.6% to +16.6%	+100.0%	+100.0%	+18.8%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Extended	1	+25.6%+25.6% to +25.6%	+100.0%	+100.0%	+23.2%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	0	—	—	—	—	—	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

EOS Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map