Weekly structural research · SHZ · Communication Services

300002 Stage Analysis

Beijing Ultrapower Software Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 7.89Tenure ExtendedBenchmark 399001.SZ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction -44−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 29/100directional strength

Maturity 71/100lifecycle context

Confidence 74/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance -66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -25.2%CNY 10.54 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	7.89	8.54	-14.33	48781614	Downward Expansion	-44	29
2026-09-25	7.98	8.63	-17.25	119645552	Downward Expansion	-39	24
2026-09-18	7.95	8.75	-20.58	136576592	Downward Expansion	-41	25
2026-09-11	8.10	8.89	-19.09	166708777	Downward Expansion	-35	24
2026-09-04	8.29	9.01	-18.49	47262195	Downward Expansion	-24	17
2026-08-28	8.03	9.14	-24.43	28782231	Downward Expansion	-29	16
2026-08-21	7.95	9.29	-27.07	22971263	Downward Expansion	-38	25
2026-08-14	8.42	9.45	-25.39	50030375	Downward Expansion	-32	23
2026-08-07	8.52	9.58	-25.35	54566229	Downward Expansion	-36	23
2026-07-31	8.56	9.68	-22.00	100880240	Downward Expansion	-41	27
2026-07-24	7.59	9.78	-32.57	53534121	Downward Expansion	-52	44
2026-07-17	7.87	9.90	-30.73	60796438	Downward Expansion	-51	50
2026-07-10	8.40	10.02	-33.62	115560692	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2026-07-03	7.65	10.11	-42.53	63614264	Downward Expansion	-68	81
2026-06-26	7.01	10.24	-48.63	66161265	Downward Expansion	-81	93
2026-06-19	7.28	10.37	-48.20	174710992	Downward Expansion	-80	93
2026-06-12	7.21	10.52	-45.77	85667265	Downward Expansion	-89	96
2026-06-05	7.71	10.68	-44.10	43257400	Downward Expansion	-88	94
2026-05-29	7.84	10.83	-44.75	237141187	Downward Expansion	-89	80
2026-05-22	8.92	10.98	-37.92	181483313	Downward Expansion	-75	54
2026-05-15	9.39	11.09	-35.11	199868628	Downward Expansion	-56	45
2026-05-08	10.07	11.21	-31.16	135135831	Downward Expansion	-49	45
2026-05-01	9.65	11.35	-32.64	150829554	Downward Expansion	-62	55
2026-04-24	9.25	11.52	-35.42	161004604	Downward Expansion	-71	76
2026-04-17	9.56	11.69	-33.70	155558880	Downward Expansion	-65	78
2026-04-10	9.63	11.83	-31.22	132881981	Downward Expansion	-67	82
2026-04-03	9.27	11.97	-29.81	133853204	Downward Expansion	-81	88
2026-03-27	9.47	12.12	-31.16	175321213	Downward Expansion	-83	86
2026-03-20	10.04	12.28	-28.38	155339943	Downward Expansion	-80	80
2026-03-13	10.57	12.43	-27.65	211125178	Downward Expansion	-72	68
2026-03-06	10.58	12.51	-27.82	311440427	Balance	-63	47
2026-02-27	11.64	12.58	-23.09	216966026	Balance	-38	22
2026-02-13	12.21	12.60	-18.02	378498437	Balance	-14	11
2026-02-06	11.74	12.61	-20.77	329060216	Balance	-18	19
2026-01-30	12.23	12.65	-19.86	477665031	Balance	-6	23
2026-01-23	12.59	12.67	-19.35	300017774	Downward Expansion	-10	23
2026-01-16	12.70	12.62	-18.24	889068330	Downward Expansion	-17	21
2026-01-09	12.31	12.55	-20.19	428534694	Downward Expansion	-43	30
2026-01-02	11.52	12.51	-22.37	136647891	Downward Expansion	-59	51
2025-12-26	11.37	12.49	-24.14	174195958	Downward Expansion	-62	67
2025-12-19	11.31	12.46	-22.26	168965314	Rotation Down	-37	56
2025-12-12	11.39	12.43	-22.86	172829435	Rotation Down	-37	58
2025-12-05	11.22	12.41	-23.79	156370378	Rotation Down	-43	63
2025-11-28	11.38	12.41	-22.16	257977751	Rotation Down	-33	59
2025-11-21	11.18	12.39	-21.15	186575429	Rotation Down	-40	62
2025-11-14	11.70	12.40	-22.07	165039406	Rotation Down	-32	55
2025-11-07	12.07	12.39	-21.23	263482205	Upward Expansion	-25	36
2025-10-31	12.16	12.36	-20.83	267469223	Upward Expansion	-3	23
2025-10-24	12.24	12.38	-20.11	231805664	Upward Expansion	10	18
2025-10-17	12.19	12.41	-17.15	290969688	Upward Expansion	19	13
2025-10-10	13.14	12.46	-15.58	202241049	Upward Expansion	43	31
2025-10-03	14.27	12.52	-9.68	135417519	Upward Expansion	56	43
2025-09-26	14.61	12.52	-5.49	523489931	Upward Expansion	64	44
2025-09-19	14.40	12.48	-5.87	552127981	Upward Expansion	65	45
2025-09-12	13.81	12.52	-8.74	474588633	Rotation Up	59	48
2025-09-05	13.66	12.55	-7.42	499452676	Rotation Up	36	55
2025-08-29	13.80	12.55	-7.27	580961583	Rotation Up	36	57
2025-08-22	14.50	12.50	1.73	487182170	Rotation Up	54	66
2025-08-15	14.33	12.43	5.50	806550415	Rotation Up	47	50
2025-08-08	13.04	12.34	0.69	618041586	Rotation Up	32	46
2025-08-01	12.63	12.27	-0.98	483305103	Rotation Up	25	47
2025-07-25	12.25	12.21	-5.13	224196538	Rotation Up	21	37
2025-07-18	12.69	12.20	0.85	380879776	Downward Expansion	27	38
2025-07-11	12.89	12.20	4.94	461377620	Downward Expansion	4	22
2025-07-04	12.68	12.19	5.59	661761353	Downward Expansion	-14	15
2025-06-27	11.15	12.19	-5.58	308049077	Downward Expansion	-45	32
2025-06-20	10.65	12.22	-6.24	345051466	Downward Expansion	-63	46
2025-06-13	10.96	12.27	-4.41	332727379	Downward Expansion	-61	55
2025-06-06	11.10	12.35	-3.54	241900487	Downward Expansion	-63	63
2025-05-30	10.49	12.41	-7.33	198729067	Downward Expansion	-70	73
2025-05-23	10.46	12.47	-8.19	249718708	Downward Expansion	-72	70
2025-05-16	10.80	12.57	-5.46	256475346	Downward Expansion	-68	66
2025-05-09	11.10	12.65	-2.00	334095976	Rotation Down	-65	68
2025-05-02	10.87	12.65	-1.61	176031161	Rotation Down	-34	56
2025-04-25	11.37	12.70	2.98	240711901	Deceleration	-29	43
2025-04-18	11.50	12.67	5.83	251373638	Deceleration	-26	33
2025-04-11	11.13	12.59	2.34	468422874	Deceleration	-20	25
2025-04-04	12.68	12.52	10.94	193122580	Deceleration	27	16
2025-03-28	13.27	12.40	13.97	240697570	Upward Expansion	43	29
2025-03-21	13.61	12.25	16.63	344527138	Upward Expansion	57	38
2025-03-14	14.78	12.06	23.56	428255793	Upward Expansion	69	57
2025-03-07	14.39	11.86	22.41	459179673	Upward Expansion	65	74
2025-02-28	13.39	11.66	16.94	610315913	Upward Expansion	65	77
2025-02-21	15.76	11.48	33.18	824742840	Upward Expansion	90	91
2025-02-14	14.44	11.22	25.29	811726071	Upward Expansion	80	78
2025-02-07	13.79	11.01	22.00	471230250	Deceleration	61	51
2025-01-31	12.36	10.82	14.13	69466910	Deceleration	34	18
2025-01-24	12.44	10.69	13.53	334159308	Deceleration	21	18
2025-01-17	11.50	10.54	6.50	219920512	Deceleration	11	19
2025-01-10	11.03	10.44	6.29	220578160	Deceleration	11	14
2025-01-03	10.80	10.37	3.29	226369824	Deceleration	25	14
2024-12-27	11.93	10.30	6.28	323171670	Deceleration	41	26
2024-12-20	12.69	10.18	13.71	311847846	Deceleration	45	29
2024-12-13	12.63	10.04	12.88	480393275	Upward Expansion	45	29
2024-12-06	12.72	9.91	13.23	453206449	Upward Expansion	48	35
2024-11-29	12.00	9.79	9.04	473620127	Upward Expansion	48	38
2024-11-22	12.09	9.71	12.22	586505724	Upward Expansion	60	47
2024-11-15	13.48	9.62	22.06	841455237	Upward Expansion	72	59
2024-11-08	12.94	9.46	13.63	483153054	Upward Expansion	69	65
2024-11-01	12.16	9.32	14.56	516583124	Upward Expansion	66	62
2024-10-25	13.40	9.22	25.05	761173337	Upward Expansion	82	91
2024-10-18	13.13	9.08	26.48	671671391	Upward Expansion	89	92
2024-10-11	11.25	9.00	12.24	648064175	Rotation Up	74	83
2024-10-04	12.37	8.97	18.24	183285532	Rotation Up	69	84
2024-09-27	10.59	8.88	12.48	362154544	Rotation Up	49	62
2024-09-20	9.06	8.89	13.92	108845840	Balance	22	27
2024-09-13	8.95	8.95	14.30	247323649	Balance	-2	12
2024-09-06	8.94	9.00	12.34	269129740	Balance	-4	11
2024-08-30	8.84	9.02	8.62	373499835	Downward Expansion	-24	15
2024-08-23	8.00	9.06	0.55	198598062	Downward Expansion	-48	27
2024-08-16	8.63	9.11	6.51	236785670	Downward Expansion	-41	26
2024-08-09	8.41	9.12	3.52	357735478	Downward Expansion	-54	38
2024-08-02	7.97	9.12	-3.59	178752578	Downward Expansion	-63	53
2024-07-26	7.94	9.15	-4.47	150095259	Downward Expansion	-67	54
2024-07-19	8.25	9.15	-4.39	206261420	Downward Expansion	-57	55
2024-07-12	8.15	9.19	-5.29	194485537	Downward Expansion	-63	60
2024-07-05	8.40	9.24	-1.15	234514470	Downward Expansion	-56	43
2024-06-28	8.06	9.27	-7.41	238235577	Downward Expansion	-70	55
2024-06-21	8.31	9.28	-7.35	285866140	Downward Expansion	-65	50
2024-06-14	9.13	9.31	-0.93	401400125	Downward Expansion	-55	47
2024-06-07	8.57	9.30	-7.28	308006861	Balance	-58	59
2024-05-31	8.34	9.31	-11.03	194375582	Balance	-39	50
2024-05-24	8.51	9.30	-9.93	265951806	Balance	-27	26
2024-05-17	8.83	9.31	-9.50	355820056	Balance	-20	13
2024-05-10	8.96	9.35	-8.87	338678254	Balance	-18	15
2024-05-03	9.55	9.38	-1.90	141345994	Balance	-13	16
2024-04-26	9.59	9.38	-0.30	423734070	Balance	-14	20
2024-04-19	8.63	9.36	-8.39	348134241	Balance	-22	27
2024-04-12	8.75	9.38	-6.72	235249273	Balance	-10	16
2024-04-05	9.05	9.45	-6.49	213103740	Balance	17	13
2024-03-29	9.23	9.45	-2.66	420519553	Upward Expansion	28	14
2024-03-22	10.68	9.46	11.53	575777599	Upward Expansion	58	35
2024-03-15	10.28	9.43	7.97	508938378	Upward Expansion	55	43
2024-03-08	9.92	9.43	8.02	531261641	Upward Expansion	58	54
2024-03-01	10.77	9.42	17.74	691751017	Balance	65	62
2024-02-23	10.92	9.41	25.78	650894720	Balance	43	53
2024-02-09	10.43	9.43	25.28	532266295	Balance	27	27
2024-02-02	9.56	9.47	27.70	606714803	Balance	10	14
2024-01-26	9.84	9.61	22.81	694636325	Balance	-5	8
2024-01-19	9.67	9.74	22.28	396136054	Downward Expansion	-22	12
2024-01-12	8.76	9.87	9.90	395270396	Downward Expansion	-51	34
2024-01-05	8.55	10.04	7.25	362340559	Downward Expansion	-54	34
2023-12-29	8.72	10.18	5.94	466070851	Downward Expansion	-52	29
2023-12-22	8.20	10.25	4.14	531514085	Downward Expansion	-53	26
2023-12-15	9.36	10.36	18.17	541076836	Downward Expansion	-33	17
2023-12-08	9.53	10.41	19.80	688480912	Downward Expansion	-37	21
2023-12-01	9.29	10.53	16.43	333008460	Downward Expansion	-42	28
2023-11-24	8.52	10.67	6.84	308493479	Downward Expansion	-63	43
2023-11-17	9.14	10.79	14.16	304836160	Downward Expansion	-57	48
2023-11-10	8.97	10.87	13.47	517729754	Downward Expansion	-59	60
2023-11-03	8.67	10.96	12.48	506700603	Downward Expansion	-62	64
2023-10-27	8.24	10.98	9.13	434811618	Downward Expansion	-73	62
2023-10-20	8.76	10.98	19.95	260396838	Downward Expansion	-68	45
2023-10-13	9.83	10.91	29.76	365758661	Downward Expansion	-53	39
2023-09-29	9.91	10.79	32.53	360789295	Rotation Down	-55	44
2023-09-22	9.56	10.68	29.02	354263355	Rotation Down	-29	28

Price vs TrendBelow-7.6%

Trend directionFalling-12.7%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-25.2%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+3.7%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-14.3%

Relative strength directionImproving+28.2%

Price momentumNegative-14.9%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.69×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-44 / ±100

-20.0 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

29 /100

+11.3 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

300002 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance43

Rotation Up16

Upward Expansion8

Deceleration60

Rotation Down53

Downward Expansion70

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 15%Rotation Up 7%Upward Expansion 18%Deceleration 8%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 46%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-03-13	2026-10-02	Extended	-25.4%
Balance	2026-01-30	2026-03-06	Developing	-13.5%
Downward Expansion	2025-12-26	2026-01-23	Developing	+10.7%
Rotation Down	2025-11-14	2025-12-19	Developing	-3.3%
Upward Expansion	2025-09-19	2025-11-07	Developing	-16.2%
Rotation Up	2025-07-25	2025-09-12	Developing	+12.7%
Downward Expansion	2025-05-16	2025-07-18	Developing	+17.5%
Rotation Down	2025-05-02	2025-05-09	New	+2.2%
Deceleration	2025-04-04	2025-04-25	New	-10.3%
Upward Expansion	2025-02-14	2025-03-28	Developing	-8.1%
Deceleration	2024-12-20	2025-02-07	Developing	+8.7%
Upward Expansion	2024-10-18	2024-12-13	Developing	-3.8%
Rotation Up	2024-09-27	2024-10-11	New	+6.3%
Balance	2024-09-06	2024-09-20	New	+1.3%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing68

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution5

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 399001.SZ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 90/100
Current Relative Strength: -14.33
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -14.9%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -11.4%
Communication Services regime cohort: 26th percentile38 in cohort

Test 300002 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.53×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.69×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 300002 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity CNY 7.98falling

Slow Activity CNY 8.18falling

Trend Reference CNY 8.54-7.6% close margin

Current Fair Value CNY 10.54-25.2% close margin

Structural low CNY 6.83shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +6.1%

Annualized volatility +39.4%

From structural high -46.8%

From structural low +15.5%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs 399001.SZ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	25	+0.3%-23.4% to +17.7%	+52.0%	+48.0%	-2.6%	+80.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	9	-5.0%-18.5% to +32.7%	+22.2%	+77.8%	-0.2%	+55.6%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	-12.1%-32.7% to +38.4%	+40.0%	+60.0%	-5.9%	+20.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	+33.6%-17.4% to +163.9%	+66.7%	+33.3%	+30.7%	+33.3%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

300002 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map