Weekly structural research ยท LSE ยท Technology

JDG Stage Analysis

Judges Scientific plc

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close GBP 3,610.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^FTSE
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction -78โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 87/100directional strength
Maturity 27/100lifecycle context
Confidence 83/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -51.9%GBP 7,500.96 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-023,610.004,324.76-25.76364559Downward Expansion-7887
2026-09-253,600.004,344.40-28.52284645Downward Expansion-8584
2026-09-183,800.004,385.03-25.3359918Downward Expansion-7877
2026-09-113,950.004,423.67-23.3444342Downward Expansion-7076
2026-09-044,105.004,458.31-22.5424670Downward Expansion-6576
2026-08-284,025.004,485.44-24.838299Downward Expansion-6878
2026-08-213,900.004,521.24-28.0811380Downward Expansion-8078
2026-08-144,000.004,551.88-26.8512445Balance-6558
2026-08-074,250.004,611.85-24.238630Balance-5129
2026-07-314,570.004,662.81-19.0825546Balance-65
2026-07-244,590.004,701.11-18.4824254Balance-27
2026-07-174,550.004,736.07-19.032807Balance-1113
2026-07-104,850.004,764.37-14.3110852Balance312
2026-07-034,675.004,792.67-20.117283Balance-127
2026-06-264,625.004,828.80-21.183573Balance-3324
2026-06-194,600.004,857.94-22.012363Balance-3729
2026-06-124,450.004,856.24-26.711919Balance-3628
2026-06-054,142.484,872.55-32.157765Balance-4926
2026-05-294,399.194,911.76-29.3744931Balance-2116
2026-05-224,699.144,955.09-26.15111144Balance-718
2026-05-155,059.074,998.41-19.5752810Balance419
2026-05-084,949.095,023.08-22.7477366Downward Expansion-1520
2026-05-014,654.155,059.40-29.0455023Downward Expansion-3423
2026-04-244,649.155,114.22-29.7961105Downward Expansion-3925
2026-04-174,474.185,168.53-34.8038804Downward Expansion-4534
2026-04-104,309.215,230.01-37.5035868Downward Expansion-6050
2026-04-034,249.225,289.65-38.19105595Downward Expansion-6463
2026-03-274,119.245,350.63-38.07105402Downward Expansion-6680
2026-03-203,769.315,433.27-43.90146524Downward Expansion-8690
2026-03-134,119.245,537.57-41.55258613Downward Expansion-8384
2026-03-064,199.235,606.88-41.23128353Downward Expansion-8679
2026-02-274,819.115,665.53-37.2197984Downward Expansion-6867
2026-02-204,959.095,707.51-34.8786746Downward Expansion-6063
2026-02-134,989.085,762.15-33.8243880Downward Expansion-6165
2026-02-064,919.105,865.79-34.98128862Downward Expansion-6356
2026-01-305,099.065,975.09-32.24132972Balance-5634
2026-01-234,819.116,093.72-35.99393102Balance-6632
2026-01-165,798.936,225.68-24.3759524Balance-1913
2026-01-095,778.946,325.64-24.3968958Downward Expansion-3216
2026-01-025,718.956,396.28-24.6015550Downward Expansion-3419
2025-12-265,638.966,468.90-25.9418392Downward Expansion-3722
2025-12-195,399.016,550.84-30.1064567Downward Expansion-4224
2025-12-125,698.956,637.45-25.2738649Downward Expansion-4737
2025-12-055,758.946,726.06-25.4183167Downward Expansion-6253
2025-11-285,498.996,774.02-29.87428432Downward Expansion-6674
2025-11-214,549.166,795.98-41.51217228Downward Expansion-8893
2025-11-144,939.096,846.95-38.36200959Downward Expansion-8485
2025-11-075,319.026,900.24-34.67164960Downward Expansion-7978
2025-10-315,698.956,946.20-31.34106431Downward Expansion-7171
2025-10-245,998.906,985.49-28.09183840Downward Expansion-5957
2025-10-175,798.937,056.77-28.9488595Downward Expansion-6748
2025-10-106,038.897,114.06-27.28166905Downward Expansion-6343
2025-10-036,298.517,146.02-25.47138565Downward Expansion-5641
2025-09-266,278.527,185.98-24.9060570Downward Expansion-5744
2025-09-196,318.517,243.28-24.6172834Downward Expansion-5944
2025-09-126,098.567,305.24-28.5770768Downward Expansion-6645
2025-09-056,078.567,359.87-29.1979822Downward Expansion-7049
2025-08-296,598.447,393.17-23.9687297Downward Expansion-6265
2025-08-226,898.377,409.81-22.48138296Downward Expansion-6477
2025-08-156,198.547,416.45-29.69164622Downward Expansion-6981
2025-08-085,958.597,455.09-32.92226691Upward Expansion-4255
2025-08-016,078.567,518.38-32.14435420Upward Expansion-3838
2025-07-256,598.447,604.33-27.50451717Upward Expansion512
2025-07-188,098.097,667.63-10.5248517Upward Expansion5740
2025-07-118,198.067,683.60-9.7846959Upward Expansion6063
2025-07-048,657.957,693.57-4.1944241Rotation Up6670
2025-06-278,777.927,684.88-3.2264327Rotation Up4557
2025-06-208,797.927,672.19-3.1755219Rotation Up5057
2025-06-137,898.137,667.49-14.0459770Rotation Up2040
2025-06-067,897.397,745.78-14.4958400Rotation Up1934
2025-05-308,097.337,815.75-12.2626985Downward Expansion2334
2025-05-237,997.367,858.41-13.4839571Downward Expansion-918
2025-05-168,357.247,869.74-10.0053554Downward Expansion-1514
2025-05-097,197.627,885.73-21.9092897Downward Expansion-6256
2025-05-026,157.977,959.04-34.19122217Downward Expansion-7080
2025-04-256,077.998,080.32-34.39151379Downward Expansion-7881
2025-04-186,537.848,194.27-29.0456284Downward Expansion-7159
2025-04-116,697.798,312.89-25.21120388Downward Expansion-7045
2025-04-046,877.738,449.50-24.8361548Downward Expansion-6741
2025-03-288,137.318,575.12-17.97151033Downward Expansion-3728
2025-03-217,517.528,652.08-24.55143044Downward Expansion-5439
2025-03-146,997.698,751.37-30.23101328Downward Expansion-6339
2025-03-077,497.528,877.98-26.4873464Downward Expansion-4728
2025-02-287,997.368,964.61-23.5138104Downward Expansion-4533
2025-02-218,177.309,024.58-21.0462095Downward Expansion-6151
2025-02-147,737.459,073.89-26.39102113Downward Expansion-6677
2025-02-077,077.669,199.17-32.90124009Downward Expansion-7288
2025-01-317,097.669,329.78-33.01117412Downward Expansion-7790
2025-01-247,097.669,454.73-32.12206237Downward Expansion-8080
2025-01-177,357.579,556.35-30.0895597Downward Expansion-8066
2025-01-107,857.419,624.32-23.4948529Downward Expansion-7450
2025-01-038,657.149,700.62-15.8518603Downward Expansion-5845
2024-12-278,497.209,758.59-16.8716386Downward Expansion-6265
2024-12-208,577.179,848.52-15.5957733Downward Expansion-6069
2024-12-138,497.209,945.78-18.7542325Downward Expansion-6370
2024-12-068,397.2310,050.71-20.1369698Downward Expansion-6753
2024-11-298,397.2310,170.64-20.15120638Downward Expansion-6836
2024-11-228,657.1410,263.90-17.67193992Downward Expansion-5425
2024-11-1510,246.6210,346.84-0.42106098Downward Expansion-3221
2024-11-089,996.7010,365.13-2.8873934Downward Expansion-5850
2024-11-019,376.9110,415.08-9.89103659Downward Expansion-6370
2024-10-258,337.2510,460.70-20.5565534Downward Expansion-8383
2024-10-188,837.0810,522.65-17.0284646Downward Expansion-7270
2024-10-119,396.9010,591.26-10.7165489Downward Expansion-6159
2024-10-049,796.4610,661.20-7.01143683Balance-5246
2024-09-279,496.5710,712.82-10.18269849Balance-5838
2024-09-2010,096.3510,751.12-3.4865111Balance-3414
2024-09-1310,796.1010,761.092.7574676Balance-1911
2024-09-0610,646.1510,742.742.7247887Balance-2715
2024-08-3010,446.2210,714.40-1.4325312Balance-3213
2024-08-2310,496.2110,682.06-0.4155449Balance-4426
2024-08-1610,796.1010,644.722.6134264Balance-1523
2024-08-0910,096.3510,601.38-2.2079150Balance-2023
2024-08-029,796.4610,584.03-5.1597921Balance-2614
2024-07-269,656.5110,570.68-7.81246128Balance-99
2024-07-1911,495.8510,552.6711.3943056Balance4625
2024-07-1210,996.0310,482.685.5579300Rotation Down1415
2024-07-0510,846.0810,446.004.9037169Rotation Down-1529
2024-06-2810,146.3310,387.00-1.31221733Rotation Down-2133
2024-06-219,396.6010,350.66-9.3854770Upward Expansion-3637
2024-06-1410,146.3310,343.31-1.2229225Upward Expansion914
2024-06-0710,396.2410,310.97-0.0336877Upward Expansion2616
2024-05-3111,195.2410,234.987.2331191Upward Expansion5640
2024-05-2411,495.1210,139.699.68111849Upward Expansion5844
2024-05-1711,645.0510,027.7410.0364008Upward Expansion6554
2024-05-1011,994.909,912.1213.4642093Upward Expansion7551
2024-05-0311,195.249,764.859.0132782Upward Expansion5943
2024-04-2611,145.269,665.569.6726673Upward Expansion6042
2024-04-1910,795.419,587.929.68124168Upward Expansion4433
2024-04-1211,495.129,529.6015.5339314Upward Expansion7448
2024-04-0510,745.439,439.639.5425679Upward Expansion5845
2024-03-2910,195.679,383.643.6773383Upward Expansion6359
2024-03-2210,895.379,358.9811.3899640Upward Expansion6783
2024-03-1511,495.129,309.6520.95149752Upward Expansion8593
2024-03-0811,345.189,215.0220.86115040Upward Expansion8891
2024-03-0110,645.489,140.7113.5966084Upward Expansion7678
2024-02-2310,395.589,097.7210.9842242Upward Expansion7470
2024-02-1610,245.659,067.059.6446894Upward Expansion7458
2024-02-099,795.849,043.727.0320400Upward Expansion6338
2024-02-029,475.979,022.393.2839067Upward Expansion5331
2024-01-269,376.029,013.712.1627314Upward Expansion5231
2024-01-199,495.969,005.716.1542914Rotation Up5632
2024-01-129,575.938,999.705.1741214Rotation Up3225
2024-01-059,396.019,003.692.5829767Rotation Up2931
2023-12-299,116.139,012.67-0.897930Rotation Up1928
2023-12-229,396.019,031.302.7637457Rotation Up2238
2023-12-159,895.799,027.9510.0930017Rotation Up3739
2023-12-089,076.149,010.591.6039047Downward Expansion1625
2023-12-019,056.159,032.552.0145265Downward Expansion-1222
2023-11-249,176.109,059.854.23102313Downward Expansion-1017
2023-11-179,176.109,085.144.3458407Downward Expansion-2316
2023-11-108,116.559,111.76-5.65170178Downward Expansion-5944
2023-11-038,336.469,157.72-3.75121234Downward Expansion-6163
2023-10-278,136.549,186.34-4.2453310Downward Expansion-6477
2023-10-208,176.539,198.31-5.02103120Downward Expansion-6577
2023-10-137,576.789,219.61-14.1078706Downward Expansion-9085
Price vs TrendBelow-16.5%
Trend directionFalling-8.0%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-51.9%
Fair Value directionMoving away-11.0%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-25.8%
Relative strength directionWeakening-5.7%
Price momentumNegative-15.0%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.96ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-78 / ยฑ100

-13.0 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

87 /100

+11.2 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance8
Rotation Up10
Upward Expansion21
Deceleration37
Rotation Down79
Downward Expansion97

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 19%Rotation Up 7%Upward Expansion 17%Rotation Down 2%Downward Expansion 55%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-08-212026-10-02Developing-7.4%
Balance2026-05-152026-08-14Established-20.9%
Downward Expansion2026-02-062026-05-08Established+0.6%
Balance2026-01-162026-01-30New-12.1%
Downward Expansion2025-08-152026-01-09Established-6.8%
Upward Expansion2025-07-112025-08-08Developing-27.3%
Rotation Up2025-06-062025-07-04Developing+9.6%
Downward Expansion2024-10-112025-05-30Extended-13.8%
Balance2024-07-192024-10-04Developing-14.8%
Rotation Down2024-06-282024-07-12New+8.4%
Upward Expansion2024-01-262024-06-21Established+0.2%
Rotation Up2023-12-152024-01-19Developing-4.0%
Downward Expansion2023-10-062023-12-08Developing+10.5%
Balance2023-08-112023-09-29Developing-3.3%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing53
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution18
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^FTSE

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
86/100
Current Relative Strength
-25.76
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
-15.0%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-15.3%
Technology regime cohort
90th percentile31 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume6.87ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.96ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity GBP 3,723.67falling
Slow Activity GBP 4,239.02falling
Trend Reference GBP 4,324.76-16.5% close margin
Current Fair Value GBP 7,500.96-51.9% close margin
Structural low GBP 3,550.00shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +6.7%
Annualized volatility +31.1%
From structural high -43.4%
From structural low +3.8%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^FTSE Regime survived Read
Near term25+1.2%-25.3% to +31.6%+56.0%+44.0%-0.3%+80.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate8+1.2%-20.3% to +22.4%+62.5%+37.5%-1.4%+50.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended5-9.8%-28.7% to +30.8%+20.0%+80.0%-25.2%+60.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3+19.2%-35.7% to +46.8%+66.7%+33.3%+8.7%+33.3%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context