Weekly structural research ยท TWO ยท Industrials

6788 Stage Analysis

Brillian Network & Automation Integrated System Co. Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close TWD 375.50Tenure NewBenchmark ^TWII
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
Direction -36โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 20/100directional strength
Maturity 34/100lifecycle context
Confidence 75/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance -50.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +60.2%TWD 234.43 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-09375.50382.00-16.452882525Downward Expansion-3620
2026-10-02360.00380.36-18.77932668Downward Expansion-5747
2026-09-25339.00379.03-23.12541857Downward Expansion-6058
2026-09-18341.50379.08-21.62716186Downward Expansion-5741
2026-09-11326.50377.35-23.871798299Deceleration-4332
2026-09-04352.50376.26-19.02290199Deceleration-1717
2026-08-28368.50374.56-15.63268146Rotation Down-2724
2026-08-21350.50372.52-18.2372005Rotation Down-2446
2026-08-14363.50372.09-16.83219121Rotation Down-2555
2026-08-07340.00371.05-19.91332110Rotation Down-2657
2026-07-31322.50371.77-22.63265106Balance-3647
2026-07-24348.00372.20-18.06355010Balance-518
2026-07-17349.00370.99-16.48626855Balance1210
2026-07-10403.50367.31-9.742429278Upward Expansion5129
2026-07-03445.00361.10-3.913468527Upward Expansion6038
2026-06-26422.00353.44-4.446709253Upward Expansion5335
2026-06-19438.00346.11-4.754574751Upward Expansion5937
2026-06-12421.00338.61-3.6211951074Upward Expansion4530
2026-06-05430.50332.33-3.363900828Upward Expansion5934
2026-05-29408.57325.63-7.623243896Upward Expansion5435
2026-05-22408.57319.40-2.363154212Upward Expansion5841
2026-05-15393.62313.33-3.297003369Upward Expansion6149
2026-05-08438.48307.886.928411287Upward Expansion7073
2026-05-01426.42301.3911.636562172Upward Expansion7072
2026-04-24442.82295.2316.4816544058Upward Expansion8175
2026-04-17415.81288.8616.4213672522Upward Expansion8173
2026-04-10352.13283.393.1410473688Upward Expansion6057
2026-04-03360.33280.1815.147320516Upward Expansion6659
2026-03-27366.60277.4815.8818830867Upward Expansion7050
2026-03-20349.72273.689.6814844860Upward Expansion6543
2026-03-13326.08270.933.019023681Deceleration5635
2026-03-06320.30268.830.759863650Deceleration4428
2026-02-27340.56266.951.837653273Deceleration5531
2026-02-13289.42263.91-8.561497000Deceleration3725
2026-02-06293.77263.05-1.795014033Upward Expansion4432
2026-01-30301.48262.010.016548625Upward Expansion6048
2026-01-23307.27260.342.408798510Upward Expansion6567
2026-01-16337.66257.5614.7212840047Upward Expansion6888
2026-01-09332.36252.8117.6110427202Upward Expansion6989
2026-01-02361.78248.4232.753769719Upward Expansion9397
2025-12-26335.25243.0427.2810793584Rotation Up8181
2025-12-19311.61238.7722.3531872554Rotation Up5242
2025-12-12238.77235.46-7.573358332Rotation Down-3830
2025-12-05217.07234.00-15.491015620Rotation Down-3257
2025-11-28215.14232.38-15.531281084Rotation Down-3352
2025-11-21202.11230.94-17.421724332Rotation Down-5053
2025-11-14213.21229.78-16.292538006Deceleration-3543
2025-11-07232.50228.01-9.953277453Deceleration-029
2025-10-31229.61225.42-13.272367615Deceleration-129
2025-10-24221.41223.67-14.721276394Deceleration-927
2025-10-17226.72222.22-12.272676132Deceleration-318
2025-10-10230.09221.01-11.432731367Deceleration314
2025-10-03243.60219.91-4.671520771Deceleration3121
2025-09-26241.67218.49-1.303385953Deceleration3421
2025-09-19251.80217.032.564399540Upward Expansion4230
2025-09-12251.80215.242.7210378549Upward Expansion4634
2025-09-05255.66213.218.0913141247Upward Expansion5945
2025-08-29279.29211.5119.009881286Upward Expansion7456
2025-08-22252.76209.039.837962386Upward Expansion6252
2025-08-15267.24207.3413.4612713154Upward Expansion6957
2025-08-08262.89205.0413.6218697609Upward Expansion6861
2025-08-01263.86202.8817.417557270Upward Expansion7284
2025-07-25249.39201.1511.8812594303Upward Expansion6685
2025-07-18263.86200.5518.7813121486Upward Expansion7990
2025-07-11262.41199.0422.0313753536Rotation Up8586
2025-07-04251.32197.5518.6815936885Rotation Up5660
2025-06-27223.82196.456.3712438106Rotation Up3533
2025-06-20195.36196.50-4.321945369Rotation Up1728
2025-06-13200.67197.31-1.473979670Rotation Up2032
2025-06-06200.19198.390.792852225Balance1932
2025-05-30207.42199.666.703257441Balance724
2025-05-23212.03201.208.426058889Downward Expansion-114
2025-05-16194.98201.89-0.317665639Downward Expansion-3222
2025-05-09168.70203.73-9.341552979Downward Expansion-6048
2025-05-02171.93205.64-6.61702524Downward Expansion-6362
2025-04-25167.32207.77-4.451723189Downward Expansion-6678
2025-04-18159.94210.19-5.951971845Downward Expansion-7684
2025-04-11154.87212.89-9.152616011Downward Expansion-8684
2025-04-04177.00216.04-4.39904029Downward Expansion-7470
2025-03-28177.92219.02-4.731251066Downward Expansion-7652
2025-03-21190.37221.57-0.341326398Downward Expansion-6440
2025-03-14197.28222.945.032678609Downward Expansion-5635
2025-03-07200.97222.494.722276728Downward Expansion-5640
2025-02-28197.74222.091.391121160Downward Expansion-5845
2025-02-21198.20221.90-0.851135733Downward Expansion-5847
2025-02-14190.83221.83-1.771324343Downward Expansion-6956
2025-02-07204.66222.474.331040771Downward Expansion-5854
2025-01-24205.12222.264.93419000Rotation Down-5862
2025-01-17201.89221.065.551926000Rotation Down-3453
2025-01-10198.20219.724.821154000Rotation Down-3943
2025-01-03198.20218.375.881795000Deceleration-3127
2024-12-27212.03216.2212.072839000Deceleration-29
2024-12-20231.39213.3727.282878000Deceleration811
2024-12-13218.48209.8518.622807000Deceleration314
2024-12-06217.56206.6418.082071000Deceleration315
2024-11-29218.48203.5024.352010000Deceleration713
2024-11-22225.40200.2325.653230670Deceleration1914
2024-11-15219.40196.7224.144530000Deceleration3320
2024-11-08233.23193.4328.418563000Upward Expansion4930
2024-11-01238.30189.9436.793154000Upward Expansion5337
2024-10-25253.51186.0843.236611000Deceleration6341
2024-10-18232.77181.6031.997298000Deceleration4232
2024-10-11250.29177.8346.638014000Deceleration5339
2024-10-04225.86173.3937.263351000Upward Expansion4637
2024-09-27236.00170.0941.164351000Upward Expansion6050
2024-09-20239.69166.5048.827506000Upward Expansion6459
2024-09-13241.07162.7353.827128000Upward Expansion6679
2024-09-06249.37158.8163.115891000Upward Expansion6783
2024-08-30266.42154.3369.9512516000Upward Expansion8572
2024-08-23254.44149.2965.5114242000Upward Expansion8770
2024-08-16231.39144.5951.2311840343Upward Expansion8463
2024-08-09183.75140.6126.305503374Upward Expansion6154
2024-08-02188.98138.1329.574693000Upward Expansion6666
2024-07-26192.21135.5729.423361000Upward Expansion6872
2024-07-19195.90132.9728.049010000Upward Expansion7289
2024-07-12210.19130.1931.8819279000Upward Expansion9698
2024-07-05198.20127.0226.828484000Upward Expansion9899
2024-06-28169.16124.3011.024990000Upward Expansion9397
2024-06-21161.79122.545.208127000Upward Expansion9597
2024-06-14157.64121.005.8911428000Upward Expansion9793
2024-06-07133.67119.49-7.442364000Upward Expansion7971
2024-05-31126.60118.69-9.621160000Upward Expansion6046
2024-05-24125.72118.33-11.951477000Upward Expansion5629
2024-05-17122.18117.96-13.291127000Upward Expansion3515
2024-05-10123.50117.74-10.16997000Upward Expansion4921
2024-05-03120.41117.54-10.92476000Upward Expansion3620
2024-04-26119.96117.60-10.73786000Upward Expansion4727
2024-04-19120.85117.62-7.692505000Upward Expansion4828
2024-04-12128.37117.62-7.932181000Deceleration5932
2024-04-05122.62117.53-10.591107000Deceleration3822
2024-03-29119.08117.22-13.371166000Upward Expansion3719
2024-03-22119.52116.94-13.24894000Upward Expansion5537
2024-03-15117.31116.64-12.941639000Upward Expansion6165
2024-03-08126.60116.42-6.993038000Upward Expansion7181
2024-03-01128.37115.89-1.631906000Upward Expansion8385
2024-02-23126.60115.76-2.763539000Upward Expansion7472
2024-02-16123.50115.82-3.701556000Downward Expansion3832
2024-02-09115.09115.79-7.78121000Downward Expansion-2613
2024-02-02115.09116.14-7.631126000Downward Expansion-4424
2024-01-26113.32116.42-8.83844000Downward Expansion-5242
2024-01-19112.00116.74-8.36372000Downward Expansion-5447
2024-01-12109.34117.03-9.58818000Balance-6653
2024-01-05112.44117.17-6.87424000Balance-5336
2023-12-29114.21117.12-7.33541000Balance-4522
2023-12-22112.44116.80-6.83661000Balance-4218
2023-12-15115.09116.48-4.92876000Balance-47
2023-12-08116.42116.02-2.121470000Balance-75
2023-12-01116.42115.50-2.131164000Balance-2221
2023-11-24115.54115.52-1.611571000Balance-2534
2023-11-17112.44115.45-3.431456000Balance-2941
2023-11-10109.78115.45-2.442368000Balance-2630
2023-11-03115.54115.624.02963000Balance1012
2023-10-27114.65115.776.12784000Balance127
2023-10-20115.54116.075.44953000Balance2914
2023-10-13117.75116.345.571882000Balance3833
2023-10-06122.18116.3811.011520000Balance4332
Price vs TrendBelow-1.7%
Trend directionRising+2.8%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+60.2%
Fair Value directionMoving away-27.3%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-16.5%
Relative strength directionWeakening-6.7%
Price momentumPositive+6.6%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.35ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-36 / ยฑ100

+6.9 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

20 /100

-12.5 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance49
Rotation Up29
Upward Expansion21
Deceleration39
Rotation Down34
Downward Expansion62

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 13%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 42%Deceleration 17%Rotation Down 7%Downward Expansion 16%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-09-182026-10-09New+10.0%
Deceleration2026-09-042026-09-11New-7.4%
Rotation Down2026-08-072026-08-28New+8.4%
Balance2026-07-172026-07-31New-7.6%
Upward Expansion2026-03-202026-07-10Established+15.4%
Deceleration2026-02-132026-03-13New+12.7%
Upward Expansion2026-01-022026-02-06Developing-18.8%
Rotation Up2025-12-192025-12-26New+7.6%
Rotation Down2025-11-212025-12-12New+18.1%
Deceleration2025-09-262025-11-14Developing-11.8%
Upward Expansion2025-07-182025-09-19Developing-4.6%
Rotation Up2025-06-132025-07-11Developing+30.8%
Balance2025-05-302025-06-06New-3.5%
Downward Expansion2025-02-072025-05-23Established+3.6%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing26
Stage 2 ยท Advancing44
Stage 3 ยท Distribution76
Stage 4 ยท Declining44

Legacy result: Stage 3 ยท Stage 3A ยท Churning. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
78/100
Current Relative Strength
-16.45
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
+6.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-32.6%
Industrials regime cohort
11th percentile155 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.26ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.35ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+62.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity TWD 356.27rising
Slow Activity TWD 372.28falling
Trend Reference TWD 382.00-1.7% close margin
Current Fair Value TWD 234.43+60.2% close margin
Structural low TWD 314.50shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +7.5%
Annualized volatility +48.7%
From structural high -29.1%
From structural low +87.1%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^TWII Regime survived Read
Near term14+3.8%-19.4% to +25.2%+57.1%+42.9%+3.5%+71.4%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate6+0.9%-17.6% to +55.8%+50.0%+50.0%+1.7%+50.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended4+31.7%-17.7% to +74.9%+75.0%+25.0%+21.1%+25.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle3+43.5%+11.1% to +80.3%+100.0%+0.0%+16.6%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context