Weekly structural research · NSI · Real Estate

ANSALAPI Stage Analysis

Ansal Properties & Infrastructure Limited

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close INR 3.71Tenure NewBenchmark ^NSEI

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Rotation Up · Emerging rotation

The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.

Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair.

The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and expanding.

Direction 36−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 69/100directional strength

Maturity 12/100lifecycle context

Confidence 72/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Mixedstructural direction

Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation

Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -47.5%INR 7.07 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	3.71	3.45	14.86	99643	Rotation Up	36	69
2026-10-02	4.08	3.44	26.63	293874	Rotation Up	51	75
2026-09-25	3.93	3.44	18.17	278308	Rotation Up	47	60
2026-09-18	3.59	3.44	6.74	80157	Balance	12	15
2026-09-11	3.34	3.44	-1.41	110064	Balance	-14	11
2026-09-04	3.31	3.44	-5.10	8384	Balance	-21	21
2026-08-28	3.28	3.43	-7.90	12696	Balance	-18	29
2026-08-21	3.40	3.42	-5.74	3598	Downward Expansion	-18	34
2026-08-14	3.45	3.41	-5.72	12792	Downward Expansion	-18	30
2026-08-07	3.55	3.40	-4.68	11673	Downward Expansion	-23	20
2026-07-31	3.33	3.39	-10.67	22800	Downward Expansion	-61	51
2026-07-24	3.03	3.39	-17.38	3245	Downward Expansion	-66	83
2026-07-17	2.78	3.41	-26.91	1510	Rotation Down	-68	88
2026-07-10	2.53	3.44	-33.97	4819	Rotation Down	-62	85
2026-07-03	2.78	3.47	-28.43	6135	Rotation Down	-49	71
2026-06-26	2.99	3.49	-22.92	0	Deceleration	-42	48
2026-06-19	3.17	3.50	-18.50	2031	Deceleration	-22	32
2026-06-12	3.41	3.51	-11.25	4968	Upward Expansion	23	16
2026-06-05	3.64	3.53	-4.50	132553	Upward Expansion	62	56
2026-05-29	3.94	3.54	2.61	19350	Upward Expansion	66	82
2026-05-22	4.18	3.55	8.24	136527	Rotation Up	72	85
2026-05-15	4.43	3.56	15.23	119743	Rotation Up	63	80
2026-05-08	4.03	3.56	2.67	190797	Rotation Up	51	47
2026-05-01	3.78	3.57	-3.24	188373	Downward Expansion	29	28
2026-04-24	3.78	3.60	-3.33	78180	Downward Expansion	3	5
2026-04-17	3.44	3.63	-13.98	28205	Downward Expansion	-53	50
2026-04-10	3.20	3.67	-19.32	107578	Balance	-58	54
2026-04-03	3.01	3.74	-20.11	98366	Balance	-63	52
2026-03-27	3.04	3.81	-20.03	65428	Balance	-59	34
2026-03-20	3.28	3.88	-15.01	103670	Balance	-21	27
2026-03-13	3.59	3.95	-7.44	156804	Downward Expansion	-1	30
2026-03-06	3.87	4.00	-5.80	721413	Downward Expansion	9	34
2026-02-27	4.00	4.05	-6.12	868679	Downward Expansion	-5	23
2026-02-20	3.65	4.09	-16.91	116215	Downward Expansion	-51	48
2026-02-13	3.33	4.16	-25.51	989849	Downward Expansion	-67	65
2026-02-06	3.03	4.23	-34.30	453338	Downward Expansion	-72	77
2026-01-30	2.92	4.29	-37.35	140485	Downward Expansion	-85	83
2026-01-23	3.11	4.34	-34.35	83977	Downward Expansion	-78	70
2026-01-16	3.22	4.38	-35.58	88065	Downward Expansion	-76	68
2026-01-09	3.27	4.41	-36.44	194994	Downward Expansion	-77	67
2026-01-02	3.33	4.44	-38.71	125730	Downward Expansion	-77	68
2025-12-26	3.46	4.46	-37.54	81482	Downward Expansion	-71	67
2025-12-19	3.65	4.47	-35.94	48241	Downward Expansion	-68	84
2025-12-12	3.46	4.48	-41.25	51803	Downward Expansion	-71	89
2025-12-05	3.36	4.51	-44.90	100339	Downward Expansion	-84	94
2025-11-28	3.54	4.55	-43.34	137678	Downward Expansion	-81	92
2025-11-21	3.49	4.60	-45.07	167471	Rotation Down	-91	95
2025-11-14	3.76	4.63	-42.01	1246311	Rotation Down	-62	81
2025-11-07	4.11	4.65	-37.27	67794	Rotation Down	-42	69
2025-10-31	4.15	4.65	-38.90	100570	Rotation Down	-46	70
2025-10-24	4.37	4.64	-37.08	112979	Rotation Down	-34	60
2025-10-17	4.44	4.62	-37.25	64393	Deceleration	-31	47
2025-10-10	4.52	4.60	-36.45	95094	Deceleration	-8	28
2025-10-03	4.56	4.59	-36.32	86100	Deceleration	-5	20
2025-09-26	4.63	4.60	-36.22	92973	Deceleration	16	19
2025-09-19	4.84	4.66	-36.56	163490	Deceleration	36	23
2025-09-12	5.11	4.76	-34.07	69033	Rotation Up	42	30
2025-09-05	5.18	4.84	-33.29	104112	Rotation Up	17	25
2025-08-29	5.12	4.95	-34.01	72562	Rotation Up	29	31
2025-08-22	5.36	5.08	-32.88	107691	Rotation Up	37	40
2025-08-15	5.27	5.21	-34.10	46243	Rotation Up	36	54
2025-08-08	5.18	5.36	-35.28	125598	Rotation Up	10	41
2025-08-01	5.17	5.54	-36.60	75905	Rotation Up	9	42
2025-07-25	5.74	5.73	-31.16	217560	Rotation Up	33	50
2025-07-18	5.43	5.92	-35.82	141637	Rotation Up	21	33
2025-07-11	4.94	6.12	-42.71	120279	Downward Expansion	-22	25
2025-07-04	4.51	6.36	-49.06	128711	Downward Expansion	-49	52
2025-06-27	4.14	6.55	-54.17	177936	Downward Expansion	-64	64
2025-06-20	4.20	6.74	-53.10	202992	Downward Expansion	-65	81
2025-06-13	4.18	6.98	-53.12	157324	Downward Expansion	-66	87
2025-06-06	3.81	7.23	-58.25	455123	Downward Expansion	-77	90
2025-05-30	3.82	7.53	-58.24	293944	Downward Expansion	-79	74
2025-05-23	4.11	7.75	-55.79	184646	Downward Expansion	-61	60
2025-05-16	4.38	8.00	-53.75	307972	Downward Expansion	-49	53
2025-05-09	4.53	8.26	-50.77	336507	Downward Expansion	-51	55
2025-05-02	4.89	8.53	-48.28	57402	Downward Expansion	-53	58
2025-04-25	4.53	8.82	-52.10	646454	Downward Expansion	-65	66
2025-04-18	4.25	9.14	-55.32	159058	Downward Expansion	-67	68
2025-04-11	4.18	9.49	-54.79	109551	Downward Expansion	-69	71
2025-04-04	3.88	9.75	-58.83	104936	Downward Expansion	-71	90
2025-03-28	3.60	9.96	-63.39	1219922	Downward Expansion	-85	95
2025-03-21	4.00	10.17	-59.50	3321917	Downward Expansion	-90	97
2025-03-14	4.05	10.37	-57.75	863702	Downward Expansion	-97	99
2025-03-07	4.98	10.57	-49.03	510695	Downward Expansion	-97	99
2025-02-28	6.47	10.72	-33.24	148507	Downward Expansion	-92	97
2025-02-21	7.65	10.84	-24.07	162323	Downward Expansion	-81	92
2025-02-14	7.75	10.91	-24.15	201315	Downward Expansion	-87	94
2025-02-07	8.40	11.00	-20.73	310469	Downward Expansion	-83	88
2025-01-31	8.89	11.09	-16.76	1983	Rotation Down	-78	79
2025-01-24	9.36	11.13	-11.20	8496	Rotation Down	-46	59
2025-01-17	9.86	11.12	-7.09	25112	Deceleration	-38	40
2025-01-10	10.38	11.10	-3.32	35	Deceleration	-22	13
2025-01-03	10.93	11.06	-0.81	20	Deceleration	17	13
2024-12-27	11.51	10.99	5.02	0	Deceleration	22	11
2024-12-20	11.51	10.90	5.78	102101	Deceleration	8	13
2024-12-13	11.96	10.82	4.28	148279	Deceleration	14	18
2024-12-06	10.36	10.74	-9.80	280979	Deceleration	-3	17
2024-11-29	9.88	10.73	-12.65	190715	Deceleration	-7	11
2024-11-22	11.30	10.74	0.52	97711	Deceleration	25	18
2024-11-15	11.71	10.72	5.56	259969	Deceleration	29	23
2024-11-08	12.72	10.70	11.43	366960	Deceleration	39	28
2024-11-01	10.49	10.66	-8.97	59933	Deceleration	19	24
2024-10-25	11.60	10.70	0.33	113584	Upward Expansion	46	36
2024-10-18	12.11	10.62	1.09	3101	Upward Expansion	63	67
2024-10-11	12.75	10.53	5.08	23288	Upward Expansion	66	87
2024-10-04	13.43	10.44	9.54	516699	Upward Expansion	67	87
2024-09-27	14.14	10.34	9.22	248771	Upward Expansion	84	91
2024-09-20	14.84	10.24	15.34	1176370	Upward Expansion	92	86
2024-09-13	12.06	10.14	-4.80	812445	Balance	47	46
2024-09-06	10.08	10.14	-18.92	434446	Balance	-22	10
2024-08-30	9.84	10.24	-22.35	251577	Balance	-28	14
2024-08-23	9.98	10.27	-20.20	428031	Balance	-27	13
2024-08-16	10.17	10.25	-17.89	296674	Balance	-21	11
2024-08-09	9.53	10.25	-22.61	416426	Balance	-23	10
2024-08-02	10.02	10.29	-19.86	418703	Balance	-8	17
2024-07-26	9.76	10.33	-22.36	358491	Balance	-11	20
2024-07-19	10.45	10.40	-16.06	357424	Downward Expansion	-13	22
2024-07-12	11.01	10.46	-11.49	793640	Downward Expansion	-6	13
2024-07-05	10.20	10.53	-17.37	344271	Downward Expansion	-37	26
2024-06-28	9.15	10.60	-25.01	401905	Downward Expansion	-58	43
2024-06-21	8.98	10.62	-25.01	577954	Downward Expansion	-64	50
2024-06-14	9.21	10.68	-23.25	540501	Downward Expansion	-64	68
2024-06-07	9.05	10.74	-24.31	649738	Downward Expansion	-69	80
2024-05-31	8.80	10.83	-24.26	85234	Downward Expansion	-82	85
2024-05-24	9.10	10.95	-23.44	94054	Downward Expansion	-80	80
2024-05-17	9.45	11.08	-19.17	3548	Downward Expansion	-75	69
2024-05-10	9.95	11.21	-13.65	17067	Downward Expansion	-64	41
2024-05-03	10.45	11.36	-11.27	533045	Downward Expansion	-35	19
2024-04-26	10.55	11.51	-10.67	92035	Downward Expansion	-29	25
2024-04-19	11.10	11.66	-5.00	4512	Downward Expansion	-30	17
2024-04-12	11.65	11.69	-2.12	568035	Downward Expansion	-27	21
2024-04-05	11.55	11.65	-3.13	1291825	Downward Expansion	-49	62
2024-03-29	9.10	11.60	-23.30	10508	Downward Expansion	-85	90
2024-03-22	9.55	11.60	-19.37	6667	Downward Expansion	-80	81
2024-03-15	10.05	11.57	-15.67	4319	Balance	-72	65
2024-03-08	10.55	11.52	-14.14	2281	Balance	-22	14
2024-03-01	11.10	11.44	-9.81	324964	Balance	1	18
2024-02-23	11.65	11.35	-5.10	209230	Balance	25	26
2024-02-16	12.25	11.26	0.59	83968	Balance	32	19
2024-02-09	12.90	11.14	7.13	1482106	Rotation Down	20	18
2024-02-02	10.70	11.00	-11.85	768980	Rotation Down	-36	61
2024-01-26	9.65	10.93	-19.50	473934	Rotation Down	-44	67
2024-01-19	10.15	10.90	-17.21	36813	Upward Expansion	-38	55
2024-01-12	10.65	10.86	-15.06	35778	Upward Expansion	-8	15
2024-01-05	11.20	10.82	-10.87	18424	Upward Expansion	24	25
2023-12-29	11.75	10.76	-7.61	12158	Deceleration	41	39
2023-12-22	12.35	10.67	-2.25	75907	Deceleration	42	28
2023-12-15	13.00	10.59	1.19	1178467	Deceleration	38	23
2023-12-08	12.40	10.48	-2.36	667909	Deceleration	21	27
2023-12-01	9.85	10.39	-20.75	418933	Deceleration	-6	31
2023-11-24	10.60	10.43	-13.46	8434	Deceleration	13	32
2023-11-17	11.15	10.38	-9.98	4557	Deceleration	35	36
2023-11-10	11.70	10.34	-6.17	6401	Upward Expansion	45	36
2023-11-03	12.30	10.28	-2.61	876	Upward Expansion	62	58
2023-10-27	12.95	10.23	0.54	1833	Upward Expansion	67	85
2023-10-20	13.60	10.18	0.18	9688	Upward Expansion	68	89

Price vs TrendAbove+7.6%

Trend directionRising+1.6%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-47.5%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+19.5%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+14.9%

Relative strength directionImproving+48.8%

Price momentumPositive+15.9%

Volume balanceDemand-led6.29×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

36 / ±100

+50.0 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

69 /100

+57.7 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

ANSALAPI Directional State ↗ ANSALAPI Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance34

Rotation Up68

Upward Expansion61

Deceleration27

Rotation Down16

Downward Expansion24

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 14%Rotation Up 10%Upward Expansion 10%Deceleration 17%Rotation Down 8%Downward Expansion 42%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Rotation Up	2026-09-25	2026-10-09	New	-5.6%
Balance	2026-08-28	2026-09-18	New	+9.5%
Downward Expansion	2026-07-24	2026-08-21	Developing	+12.2%
Rotation Down	2026-07-03	2026-07-17	New	+0.0%
Deceleration	2026-06-19	2026-06-26	New	-5.7%
Upward Expansion	2026-05-29	2026-06-12	New	-13.5%
Rotation Up	2026-05-08	2026-05-22	New	+3.7%
Downward Expansion	2026-04-17	2026-05-01	New	+9.9%
Balance	2026-03-20	2026-04-10	New	-2.4%
Downward Expansion	2025-11-28	2026-03-13	Established	+1.4%
Rotation Down	2025-10-24	2025-11-21	Developing	-20.1%
Deceleration	2025-09-19	2025-10-17	Developing	-8.3%
Rotation Up	2025-07-18	2025-09-12	Developing	-5.9%
Downward Expansion	2025-02-07	2025-07-11	Established	-41.2%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing72

Stage 2 · Advancing44

Stage 3 · Distribution26

Stage 4 · Declining3

Legacy result: Stage 1 · Stage 1C · Breakout watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^NSEI

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 98/100
Current Relative Strength: 14.86
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +15.9%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +22.3%
Real Estate regime cohort: 100th percentile2 in cohort

Test ANSALAPI trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.80×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume6.29×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore ANSALAPI Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity INR 3.81rising

Slow Activity INR 3.46rising

Trend Reference INR 3.45+7.6% close margin

Current Fair Value INR 7.07-47.5% close margin

Structural low INR 2.53shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Full positive ordering with expanding width confirms Upward Expansion. Loss of the fast/slow repair and renewed downside acceptance cancels it.

Range context +6.4%

Annualized volatility +49.5%

From structural high -19.5%

From structural low +46.6%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^NSEI	Regime survived	Read
Near term	8	-6.9%-17.5% to +8.4%	+12.5%	+12.5%	-8.6%	+37.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	5	-11.9%-21.9% to +28.5%	+40.0%	+40.0%	-13.5%	+0.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	-31.9%-40.7% to +48.6%	+25.0%	+25.0%	-39.9%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	4	-27.4%-55.0% to +68.2%	+25.0%	+25.0%	-42.8%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

ANSALAPI Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map