Weekly structural research ยท SHH ยท Utilities

601991 Stage Analysis

Datang International Power Generation Co., Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close CNY 5.34Tenure NewBenchmark 000001.SS
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Rotation Down ยท Supply rotation

The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.

Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion.

  • The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction -41โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 63/100directional strength
Maturity 14/100lifecycle context
Confidence 39/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Mixedstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -100.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +50.8%CNY 3.54 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-095.345.9411.59258581779Rotation Down-4163
2026-10-025.315.9211.06345190190Rotation Down-4253
2026-09-255.365.8811.67606532037Rotation Down-3548
2026-09-185.585.8416.441004023658Deceleration-2744
2026-09-115.785.7722.311431721014Deceleration-333
2026-09-045.585.7017.83169438805Deceleration-1035
2026-08-285.895.6424.73152359130Deceleration020
2026-08-215.825.5825.92213121991Deceleration-113
2026-08-146.385.5138.69877965402Deceleration916
2026-08-076.295.4237.94404078667Deceleration919
2026-07-315.825.3232.66343219565Deceleration1523
2026-07-246.195.2543.27623932619Deceleration2925
2026-07-175.805.1637.68654538616Deceleration3324
2026-07-106.645.0950.01653578547Upward Expansion4840
2026-07-037.674.9873.44647830411Upward Expansion6357
2026-06-267.324.8469.20697807880Upward Expansion6663
2026-06-198.224.7190.103305481091Upward Expansion7281
2026-06-128.094.5693.58524268077Upward Expansion7288
2026-06-057.934.4293.85800570459Upward Expansion7491
2026-05-298.634.27113.074846259074Upward Expansion9498
2026-05-226.894.1072.234789961608Upward Expansion8393
2026-05-157.923.9999.864586696359Upward Expansion9496
2026-05-085.543.8541.031879936344Upward Expansion8369
2026-05-014.163.778.56874107030Upward Expansion3718
2026-04-244.073.757.301052208839Upward Expansion2722
2026-04-173.893.723.56561631898Upward Expansion2919
2026-04-103.813.713.35550229223Upward Expansion3419
2026-04-033.713.713.591167502544Upward Expansion5040
2026-03-274.483.7024.361828346779Upward Expansion7076
2026-03-204.203.6616.012093043890Upward Expansion6274
2026-03-134.743.6327.191664360661Upward Expansion9084
2026-03-064.113.5810.37901867528Upward Expansion7759
2026-02-273.993.556.57612710691Upward Expansion7242
2026-02-133.633.53-0.76564338218Upward Expansion5439
2026-02-063.723.522.32665838578Upward Expansion5656
2026-01-303.783.502.88613419833Upward Expansion5958
2026-01-233.923.486.46909166225Upward Expansion7155
2026-01-163.713.451.94589588354Upward Expansion5942
2026-01-093.633.43-0.46489669805Upward Expansion5029
2026-01-023.493.42-0.48418750376Upward Expansion4324
2025-12-263.743.416.93529236035Upward Expansion6333
2025-12-193.523.382.78397811017Upward Expansion2915
2025-12-123.553.373.88454679141Upward Expansion3019
2025-12-053.483.361.83376460755Upward Expansion3118
2025-11-283.483.352.06438977823Upward Expansion3823
2025-11-213.423.331.90503075974Upward Expansion5134
2025-11-143.623.323.98553123064Upward Expansion6161
2025-11-073.763.297.95712266201Upward Expansion7672
2025-10-313.583.264.19915126503Upward Expansion6364
2025-10-243.603.234.96608144241Upward Expansion6857
2025-10-173.543.206.37646715443Deceleration5932
2025-10-103.553.185.32313726830Deceleration5226
2025-10-033.343.15-0.60193712123Upward Expansion4025
2025-09-263.323.130.22516904590Upward Expansion5639
2025-09-193.393.112.53559987279Upward Expansion5956
2025-09-123.603.097.70680087072Upward Expansion7370
2025-09-053.593.069.191042436717Upward Expansion7452
2025-08-293.443.033.28864456615Upward Expansion6641
2025-08-223.333.000.79629775049Upward Expansion5836
2025-08-153.222.970.81509426071Upward Expansion5437
2025-08-083.302.954.74585944563Upward Expansion5842
2025-08-013.272.935.89960822433Upward Expansion5743
2025-07-253.352.917.563099182979Upward Expansion6748
2025-07-183.212.894.49638506267Upward Expansion5844
2025-07-113.312.878.23827417120Upward Expansion7250
2025-07-043.242.867.02564624254Upward Expansion6846
2025-06-273.052.841.87451210616Upward Expansion4636
2025-06-203.112.835.93415356888Upward Expansion5844
2025-06-133.192.827.94482607055Upward Expansion6952
2025-06-063.102.804.65290283508Upward Expansion6150
2025-05-303.082.804.98394880897Upward Expansion6572
2025-05-233.122.796.21502054652Upward Expansion6980
2025-05-163.112.785.23530289039Upward Expansion7181
2025-05-093.192.768.66556413722Upward Expansion8683
2025-05-023.002.754.03698976380Rotation Up7156
2025-04-252.972.752.47621195332Rotation Up4745
2025-04-182.832.74-1.77525566626Rotation Up3025
2025-04-112.722.72-4.84695075677Upward Expansion2540
2025-04-042.882.71-2.55484750481Upward Expansion6264
2025-03-282.762.69-7.24578138515Upward Expansion4343
2025-03-212.882.69-3.62516388013Balance6348
2025-03-142.762.68-9.37429111112Balance1613
2025-03-072.672.68-11.16327063638Balance-36
2025-02-282.692.69-9.31394800110Balance-48
2025-02-212.662.69-11.85407769161Downward Expansion-3517
2025-02-142.662.70-11.09318041941Downward Expansion-4022
2025-02-072.682.71-9.37271009153Downward Expansion-4540
2025-01-312.652.72-8.93121156787Downward Expansion-4859
2025-01-242.582.73-11.33355671168Downward Expansion-5162
2025-01-172.552.74-12.03354667573Balance-5456
2025-01-102.552.75-10.13380430734Balance-5237
2025-01-032.642.76-8.39451467328Balance-2913
2024-12-272.832.78-7.06488655069Balance2314
2024-12-202.762.78-8.66577358510Balance-2310
2024-12-132.782.79-8.33548769622Balance-2111
2024-12-062.812.79-7.68469732668Balance-1811
2024-11-292.732.80-8.39375789685Balance-2011
2024-11-222.722.80-7.00528370243Balance-813
2024-11-152.752.81-7.73582824659Balance1419
2024-11-082.922.82-5.32800646130Balance2626
2024-11-012.862.82-2.05670942861Balance215
2024-10-252.782.82-5.42571532794Downward Expansion-1723
2024-10-182.702.82-7.23516771943Downward Expansion-2727
2024-10-112.742.82-4.58795755131Downward Expansion-3522
2024-10-042.872.82-3.37244926312Downward Expansion-3231
2024-09-272.672.82-2.91553932879Downward Expansion-6676
2024-09-202.382.81-2.37209814194Downward Expansion-7991
2024-09-132.352.81-2.40366776910Rotation Down-8991
2024-09-062.482.820.99352219344Rotation Down-5772
2024-08-302.632.814.05291658901Rotation Down-4562
2024-08-232.622.803.29305210218Deceleration-3953
2024-08-162.812.799.73244981216Deceleration322
2024-08-092.742.787.89352700003Deceleration-415
2024-08-022.822.779.79390856615Deceleration119
2024-07-262.882.7512.70420408475Deceleration2515
2024-07-192.892.739.74452081759Deceleration3621
2024-07-122.992.7213.83770431823Deceleration4424
2024-07-052.982.7014.33428134318Deceleration4325
2024-06-282.902.6810.79476435450Deceleration3928
2024-06-212.862.668.27508216429Upward Expansion4231
2024-06-142.982.6511.10566890162Upward Expansion5643
2024-06-073.062.6313.11612700013Upward Expansion6848
2024-05-312.922.616.78559206660Upward Expansion5643
2024-05-242.942.607.39516535413Upward Expansion5847
2024-05-172.932.584.79675050971Upward Expansion6152
2024-05-103.022.577.83579830120Upward Expansion7259
2024-05-032.912.555.85267975066Upward Expansion6466
2024-04-262.952.547.92485481734Upward Expansion6876
2024-04-192.892.536.74668752315Upward Expansion6677
2024-04-123.002.5312.59670328518Upward Expansion8185
2024-04-052.922.518.17374578557Rotation Up8081
2024-03-292.822.515.68501761579Rotation Up5069
2024-03-222.732.511.87592724122Rotation Up4461
2024-03-152.692.510.25632876280Rotation Up3246
2024-03-082.702.520.92734989090Balance3531
2024-03-012.482.53-6.72525082963Balance-118
2024-02-232.512.54-5.04473788566Downward Expansion-2312
2024-02-092.422.56-3.98525377019Downward Expansion-5134
2024-02-022.272.58-5.63507927096Downward Expansion-6743
2024-01-262.412.61-5.76447905986Downward Expansion-4228
2024-01-192.242.64-10.09485154631Downward Expansion-7949
2024-01-122.472.67-2.67348485476Downward Expansion-4736
2024-01-052.482.70-3.87437899612Downward Expansion-6249
2023-12-292.332.73-10.86248127675Downward Expansion-7164
2023-12-222.312.76-9.94300564097Downward Expansion-7970
2023-12-152.382.79-8.32340143039Downward Expansion-7167
2023-12-082.412.82-8.22329454467Downward Expansion-6660
2023-12-012.412.84-10.29283269513Downward Expansion-6760
2023-11-242.402.86-11.02351697735Downward Expansion-7260
2023-11-172.442.88-10.09477690729Downward Expansion-6858
2023-11-102.472.90-8.67302136477Downward Expansion-6761
2023-11-032.522.91-7.07222279342Downward Expansion-6568
2023-10-272.522.92-7.40291540467Downward Expansion-6779
2023-10-202.412.94-10.98286006734Downward Expansion-8389
2023-10-132.502.95-11.36289510200Downward Expansion-8087
2023-09-292.562.97-10.14153797924Downward Expansion-7679
Price vs TrendBelow-10.2%
Trend directionRising+11.6%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+50.8%
Fair Value directionMoving away-50.5%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+11.6%
Relative strength directionWeakening-38.4%
Price momentumPositive+40.2%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.12ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-41 / ยฑ100

-38.3 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

63 /100

+29.5 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance11
Rotation Up23
Upward Expansion23
Deceleration44
Rotation Down67
Downward Expansion67

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 12%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 47%Deceleration 14%Rotation Down 4%Downward Expansion 20%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Rotation Down2026-09-252026-10-09New-0.4%
Deceleration2026-07-172026-09-18Developing-3.8%
Upward Expansion2025-10-242026-07-10Extended+84.3%
Deceleration2025-10-102025-10-17New-0.3%
Upward Expansion2025-05-092025-10-03Established+4.6%
Rotation Up2025-04-182025-05-02New+5.8%
Upward Expansion2025-03-282025-04-11New-1.4%
Balance2025-02-282025-03-21New+7.2%
Downward Expansion2025-01-242025-02-21Developing+3.0%
Balance2024-11-012025-01-17Developing-10.8%
Downward Expansion2024-09-202024-10-25Developing+17.1%
Rotation Down2024-08-302024-09-13New-10.7%
Deceleration2024-06-282024-08-23Developing-9.7%
Upward Expansion2024-04-122024-06-21Developing-4.5%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing13
Stage 2 ยท Advancing44
Stage 3 ยท Distribution59
Stage 4 ยท Declining26

Legacy result: Stage 3 ยท Stage 3A ยท Churning. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
16/100
Current Relative Strength
11.59
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
+40.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+44.5%
Utilities regime cohort
100th percentile3 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.28ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.12ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 5.40falling
Slow Activity CNY 6.11falling
Trend Reference CNY 5.94-10.2% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 3.54+50.8% close margin
Structural low CNY 3.76shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Complete bearish ordering below the Trend Line confirms Downward Expansion; a repaired fast/slow cross and upside acceptance cancel the failure.

Range context +9.1%
Annualized volatility +86.2%
From structural high -43.0%
From structural low +59.5%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 000001.SS Regime survived Read
Near term5+1.5%-18.5% to +21.8%+60.0%+40.0%-3.7%+20.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate4+3.0%-14.4% to +12.0%+75.0%+25.0%-2.0%+0.0%Too little matched history
Extended3+2.2%-11.7% to +8.7%+66.7%+33.3%-8.3%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle3+9.9%-6.3% to +30.7%+66.7%+33.3%+3.0%+33.3%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context