Weekly structural research ยท SHH ยท Energy

603727 Stage Analysis

BOMESC Offshore Engineering Company Limited

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close CNY 18.24Tenure NewBenchmark 000001.SS
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Balance ยท Upper balance after advance

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

  • The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
Direction 14โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 9/100directional strength
Maturity 24/100lifecycle context
Confidence 60/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Mixedstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance +33.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +32.2%CNY 13.80 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-09-2518.2417.6114.3814912469Balance149
2026-09-1817.6017.5910.3511780800Balance16
2026-09-1117.0717.548.1812136290Rotation Up1316
2026-09-0418.1717.5114.3518383563Rotation Up2245
2026-08-2818.5217.4416.4512328646Rotation Up2652
2026-08-2118.6317.3719.052149132Balance2745
2026-08-1418.1817.2416.012352987Balance2024
2026-08-0718.2617.1316.564000300Balance1815
2026-07-3117.8916.9817.865218585Balance-1811
2026-07-2416.3516.848.6011697000Balance-88
2026-07-1715.0916.751.726067500Balance-2014
2026-07-1016.3116.723.514148000Balance-811
2026-07-0316.9716.686.404333900Rotation Down-1515
2026-06-2616.9016.626.429158407Rotation Down-2037
2026-06-1915.8416.51-1.9021728563Rotation Down-2554
2026-06-1214.0116.47-12.253091201Rotation Down-3760
2026-06-0514.4516.47-9.773443000Deceleration-3340
2026-05-2915.0316.46-7.3425054457Deceleration-818
2026-05-2217.4416.426.1838094509Deceleration2417
2026-05-1516.8816.292.4317793939Deceleration2219
2026-05-0817.9516.187.8912856207Deceleration3719
2026-05-0118.6916.0214.4818312445Upward Expansion4328
2026-04-2417.8015.8410.2739314160Upward Expansion5639
2026-04-1719.5515.6822.2740873522Upward Expansion6152
2026-04-1020.1515.4828.7549156507Upward Expansion6755
2026-04-0320.0215.2732.0179668809Upward Expansion6956
2026-03-2720.9015.0737.37112102555Upward Expansion8471
2026-03-2017.8014.8616.1856968857Upward Expansion6466
2026-03-1317.5514.7410.9589272010Upward Expansion6568
2026-03-0619.9214.6325.16149843948Upward Expansion9389
2026-02-2717.8614.4211.6641888485Upward Expansion8580
2026-02-1316.1014.303.0022343784Upward Expansion6673
2026-02-0615.9814.232.7424251089Upward Expansion6473
2026-01-3016.2914.183.5562205219Upward Expansion7375
2026-01-2316.2614.123.0440915396Balance7466
2026-01-1614.7914.05-5.3734674736Balance5126
2026-01-0914.8314.05-5.5432065545Balance1412
2026-01-0213.8214.07-8.496822776Balance-815
2025-12-2613.7714.09-8.6611708567Balance-65
2025-12-1913.6614.09-7.6115697469Balance915
2025-12-1214.1214.09-4.4917340165Balance2633
2025-12-0515.1314.052.0330244296Balance6261
2025-11-2815.1913.972.9255114295Balance4846
2025-11-2113.6313.88-6.1620262529Balance1216
2025-11-1414.4813.84-4.1917009211Balance3531
2025-11-0714.0613.77-7.0812492892Balance1014
2025-10-3114.0113.72-6.3811798319Balance49
2025-10-2414.1113.71-5.5624677202Rotation Down-05
2025-10-1713.2913.70-8.4510163734Rotation Down-3234
2025-10-1013.6313.76-7.398754358Rotation Down-2243
2025-10-0313.2213.76-9.843608800Rotation Down-2651
2025-09-2613.1413.79-9.1010172889Rotation Down-2849
2025-09-1913.1913.78-8.5312236721Deceleration-2631
2025-09-1213.6113.76-6.7617355700Deceleration68
2025-09-0513.7213.71-4.5413270418Deceleration139
2025-08-2913.9713.66-3.8917040824Deceleration4323
2025-08-2214.5813.601.1720871900Deceleration5326
2025-08-1514.4013.513.6020330900Deceleration3818
2025-08-0814.1613.413.6911829299Deceleration3018
2025-08-0113.6713.302.3517578339Deceleration2917
2025-07-2514.1913.215.2812783600Deceleration3925
2025-07-1814.0813.116.3614202489Upward Expansion4228
2025-07-1114.4013.039.6114576000Upward Expansion5743
2025-07-0414.3812.9510.6115753458Upward Expansion6161
2025-06-2714.2112.8910.7228527368Upward Expansion6372
2025-06-2014.7912.8117.3851795278Upward Expansion6675
2025-06-1315.3812.7021.5525147506Upward Expansion7977
2025-06-0614.5212.5714.5612316000Deceleration6760
2025-05-3013.8812.4910.6916581364Deceleration4730
2025-05-2313.5412.407.7220527800Deceleration3817
2025-05-1612.8212.331.0610587798Deceleration1010
2025-05-0912.8012.271.2111736800Deceleration1718
2025-05-0212.4812.210.048633000Deceleration1522
2025-04-2512.5412.17-0.3915029900Deceleration2322
2025-04-1812.4312.10-1.1513012423Upward Expansion3020
2025-04-1112.3211.99-1.2328521496Upward Expansion4134
2025-04-0413.8711.897.3319143100Upward Expansion6461
2025-03-2813.7411.745.7149959744Upward Expansion6780
2025-03-2115.1011.6315.6556859856Upward Expansion9296
2025-03-1413.7811.454.0626306200Upward Expansion8187
2025-03-0713.8811.346.3930569763Upward Expansion8986
2025-02-2813.0411.241.6839941599Upward Expansion8077
2025-02-2112.3811.16-5.0316429000Upward Expansion6770
2025-02-1412.2311.10-5.2626855200Upward Expansion6265
2025-02-0712.3311.08-3.2022644346Balance6658
2025-01-3112.0211.09-4.089937400Balance5629
2025-01-2411.8511.10-5.6237330304Balance3822
2025-01-1711.6211.14-7.3224013040Balance2723
2025-01-1010.6711.17-13.1619221751Balance-2124
2025-01-0310.9011.26-12.8024457875Balance-410
2024-12-2711.3811.34-14.3319619132Rotation Up1518
2024-12-2011.6611.44-11.6718720282Rotation Up2728
2024-12-1312.0111.52-9.9622779200Rotation Up3034
2024-12-0612.4111.62-7.5625166930Rotation Up3539
2024-11-2911.9911.72-8.8521901451Downward Expansion2936
2024-11-2211.5611.81-10.7227492689Downward Expansion019
2024-11-1511.4911.90-13.2627728373Downward Expansion022
2024-11-0811.9511.98-13.1344431843Downward Expansion1326
2024-11-0111.2512.05-13.9435910061Downward Expansion-721
2024-10-2511.5112.15-13.0229373248Downward Expansion-1328
2024-10-1810.8812.20-17.1330475178Downward Expansion-3233
2024-10-1110.9512.25-15.7354495067Downward Expansion-4127
2024-10-0411.3912.28-15.8716570543Downward Expansion-5147
2024-09-2710.3512.28-17.6629609668Downward Expansion-6765
2024-09-209.1312.30-18.4210367300Downward Expansion-8090
2024-09-139.2612.37-16.4815039569Downward Expansion-8391
2024-09-069.5512.40-15.9513941141Downward Expansion-8391
2024-08-3010.2512.42-12.4112347990Downward Expansion-7086
2024-08-239.9712.47-15.2912143993Rotation Down-8090
2024-08-1610.4512.51-12.2017366204Rotation Down-4879
2024-08-0910.6312.56-10.2217282300Rotation Down-4976
2024-08-0210.7112.61-10.9323226282Rotation Down-4470
2024-07-2610.7012.66-10.4822268213Rotation Down-4968
2024-07-1911.7212.69-4.9216542700Rotation Down-3652
2024-07-1212.4112.711.2119336750Deceleration-2430
2024-07-0512.5312.703.2812728561Deceleration-320
2024-06-2812.7812.715.0613331900Deceleration318
2024-06-2112.8012.704.4921079973Deceleration1820
2024-06-1413.3512.698.2510035779Deceleration3523
2024-06-0713.3112.657.7918779638Upward Expansion4226
2024-05-3114.2512.6114.6417669918Upward Expansion6045
2024-05-2414.2112.5615.0417844361Upward Expansion6360
2024-05-1714.8212.5218.3122980585Upward Expansion6670
2024-05-1015.3412.4323.3427827507Upward Expansion7876
2024-05-0314.8112.3721.8415700947Upward Expansion7371
2024-04-2614.2112.3118.1830159276Rotation Up6873
2024-04-1914.0212.2717.9332443287Rotation Up4264
2024-04-1213.9912.2220.0031154005Rotation Up3760
2024-04-0514.3212.1621.4530016859Balance4548
2024-03-2912.7912.089.9014266774Balance2626
2024-03-2212.3912.066.5515620093Downward Expansion-1115
2024-03-1511.9712.072.9510124297Downward Expansion-2817
2024-03-0811.2712.09-2.688528589Downward Expansion-5235
2024-03-0111.2112.13-2.5815931913Downward Expansion-5858
2024-02-2311.1912.12-2.0015545016Downward Expansion-6167
2024-02-0910.0812.14-7.4722183825Downward Expansion-7778
2024-02-0210.0612.19-3.0920526411Downward Expansion-8476
2024-01-2611.7912.236.6225225785Balance-2737
2024-01-1911.2912.215.2318190544Balance-4345
2024-01-1211.8212.228.5313920180Balance-3134
2024-01-0512.2312.1910.8415909400Balance-1220
2023-12-2912.0512.147.8812388000Balance-1321
2023-12-2211.8012.108.1011458700Balance311
2023-12-1512.1412.0610.4611558499Balance105
2023-12-0812.1812.009.9616368600Balance159
2023-12-0112.8111.9513.5416468778Balance2812
2023-11-2412.4911.8910.6217025653Upward Expansion2815
2023-11-1712.6411.8811.7442176266Upward Expansion3116
2023-11-1011.9911.886.7935514560Upward Expansion2415
2023-11-0312.2011.899.1325506868Upward Expansion3518
2023-10-2712.8611.8815.5134486067Upward Expansion5330
2023-10-2012.7611.8715.9065191451Upward Expansion5434
2023-10-1312.2111.847.3166136228Upward Expansion5747
2023-09-2913.5811.8218.1418792500Upward Expansion7674
2023-09-2212.9011.7711.3725082396Upward Expansion6354
2023-09-1513.1711.7414.2931417422Upward Expansion7346
Price vs TrendAbove+3.6%
Trend directionRising+5.1%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+32.2%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+5.4%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+14.4%
Relative strength directionImproving+8.0%
Price momentumNegative-12.7%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.98ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

14 / ยฑ100

-12.4 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

9 /100

-42.8 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance52
Rotation Up31
Upward Expansion35
Deceleration63
Rotation Down33
Downward Expansion21

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-15 to 2026-09-25 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 25%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 29%Deceleration 17%Rotation Down 10%Downward Expansion 14%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Balance2026-09-182026-09-25New+3.6%
Rotation Up2026-08-282026-09-11New-7.8%
Balance2026-07-102026-08-21Developing+14.2%
Rotation Down2026-06-122026-07-03New+21.1%
Deceleration2026-05-082026-06-05Developing-19.5%
Upward Expansion2026-01-302026-05-01Established+14.7%
Balance2025-10-312026-01-23Established+16.1%
Rotation Down2025-09-262025-10-24Developing+7.4%
Deceleration2025-07-252025-09-19Developing-7.0%
Upward Expansion2025-06-132025-07-18Developing-8.5%
Deceleration2025-04-252025-06-06Developing+15.8%
Upward Expansion2025-02-142025-04-18Developing+1.6%
Balance2025-01-032025-02-07Developing+13.1%
Rotation Up2024-12-062024-12-27New-8.3%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing41
Stage 2 ยท Advancing83
Stage 3 ยท Distribution44
Stage 4 ยท Declining17

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2B ยท Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
33/100
Current Relative Strength
14.38
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-12.7%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-12.1%
Energy regime cohort
27th percentile15 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.31ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.98ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 17.84falling
Slow Activity CNY 17.35rising
Trend Reference CNY 17.61+3.6% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 13.80+32.2% close margin
Structural low CNY 13.63shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +7.8%
Annualized volatility +43.2%
From structural high -15.6%
From structural low +43.9%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 000001.SS Regime survived Read
Near term20+8.0%-19.1% to +18.1%+65.0%+65.0%+6.3%+50.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate8-2.5%-35.3% to +27.2%+37.5%+37.5%-0.5%+12.5%Usable descriptive sample
Extended6+8.4%-47.3% to +31.9%+66.7%+66.7%+12.5%+0.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3-13.9%-38.1% to +7.4%+33.3%+33.3%-2.8%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context