Weekly structural research · ASX · Industrials

TTT Stage Analysis

Titomic Limited

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close AUD 0.105Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^AXJO

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction -78−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 78/100directional strength

Maturity 44/100lifecycle context

Confidence 85/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance -100.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -41.1%AUD 0.1781 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	0.105	0.2008	-50.04	14051093	Downward Expansion	-78	78
2026-10-02	0.11	0.2045	-48.42	23126169	Downward Expansion	-77	90
2026-09-25	0.12	0.2082	-44.81	6390373	Downward Expansion	-76	89
2026-09-18	0.125	0.2112	-43.67	12437867	Downward Expansion	-78	89
2026-09-11	0.115	0.2135	-48.85	14581209	Downward Expansion	-90	93
2026-09-04	0.14	0.2168	-40.26	3081229	Downward Expansion	-85	88
2026-08-28	0.17	0.2193	-28.78	423658	Downward Expansion	-65	82
2026-08-21	0.165	0.222	-31.14	142445	Downward Expansion	-73	87
2026-08-14	0.165	0.2248	-31.96	307993	Downward Expansion	-78	87
2026-08-07	0.185	0.2278	-25.47	890569	Downward Expansion	-64	78
2026-07-31	0.165	0.2293	-31.81	3059342	Downward Expansion	-84	81
2026-07-24	0.18	0.232	-24.57	4579208	Downward Expansion	-79	69
2026-07-17	0.21	0.233	-12.97	9592426	Rotation Down	-61	59
2026-07-10	0.21	0.233	-13.45	823320	Rotation Down	-32	46
2026-07-03	0.22	0.2328	-10.23	108392	Rotation Down	-17	35
2026-06-26	0.20	0.2318	-18.12	2144890	Balance	-32	37
2026-06-19	0.22	0.2322	-11.20	2033420	Balance	-20	17
2026-06-12	0.23	0.2315	-7.56	1616502	Balance	15	15
2026-06-05	0.24	0.2313	-2.14	1551658	Balance	21	19
2026-05-29	0.24	0.2315	-3.82	9400986	Balance	23	21
2026-05-22	0.23	0.2328	-7.46	6979485	Upward Expansion	22	18
2026-05-15	0.235	0.2338	-5.67	9597423	Upward Expansion	36	21
2026-05-08	0.24	0.2348	-5.54	11888857	Upward Expansion	58	60
2026-05-01	0.27	0.2375	5.90	8004744	Rotation Up	62	72
2026-04-24	0.28	0.2405	9.24	18001738	Rotation Up	39	62
2026-04-17	0.31	0.2402	18.96	28224519	Balance	56	63
2026-04-10	0.26	0.2387	0.01	14038347	Balance	9	16
2026-04-03	0.225	0.2385	-9.40	8564793	Balance	-27	14
2026-03-27	0.235	0.2392	-4.82	17272719	Downward Expansion	-24	13
2026-03-20	0.225	0.24	-8.15	11397612	Downward Expansion	-46	24
2026-03-13	0.215	0.2403	-14.57	6143064	Downward Expansion	-53	47
2026-03-06	0.22	0.2415	-15.22	8291769	Downward Expansion	-53	54
2026-02-27	0.21	0.2425	-22.34	1964699	Downward Expansion	-53	55
2026-02-20	0.195	0.2445	-27.27	8825610	Balance	-52	44
2026-02-13	0.215	0.2473	-18.82	9606902	Balance	-39	19
2026-02-06	0.215	0.249	-17.28	5242157	Balance	-24	16
2026-01-30	0.25	0.251	-6.08	11462896	Downward Expansion	-14	18
2026-01-23	0.25	0.2522	-5.95	11881923	Downward Expansion	-14	20
2026-01-16	0.255	0.2532	-4.59	11169303	Downward Expansion	-17	18
2026-01-09	0.23	0.2547	-12.12	7773765	Downward Expansion	-34	18
2026-01-02	0.245	0.257	-6.11	11062919	Downward Expansion	-39	25
2025-12-26	0.21	0.2588	-19.58	3966817	Downward Expansion	-57	41
2025-12-19	0.21	0.2615	-18.12	12419955	Downward Expansion	-59	53
2025-12-12	0.205	0.2642	-20.53	6150509	Downward Expansion	-62	67
2025-12-05	0.19	0.2677	-25.81	13754965	Downward Expansion	-71	73
2025-11-28	0.21	0.271	-17.77	20589802	Downward Expansion	-66	68
2025-11-21	0.20	0.272	-20.00	10929506	Balance	-73	64
2025-11-14	0.225	0.2732	-12.58	16086021	Balance	-54	36
2025-11-07	0.245	0.2732	-6.12	13168254	Balance	-18	19
2025-10-31	0.28	0.2715	5.78	19597460	Balance	23	10
2025-10-24	0.26	0.2695	-2.79	10741642	Upward Expansion	30	27
2025-10-17	0.265	0.2692	-0.18	26366593	Upward Expansion	47	47
2025-10-10	0.32	0.2693	22.01	10817798	Upward Expansion	63	63
2025-10-03	0.36	0.2667	38.58	30197035	Upward Expansion	78	51
2025-09-26	0.27	0.2623	8.16	8493489	Balance	-1	4
2025-09-19	0.265	0.2613	7.41	12050577	Balance	-10	8
2025-09-12	0.255	0.261	3.40	12470571	Rotation Down	-16	19
2025-09-05	0.245	0.2615	0.19	6882449	Rotation Down	-20	33
2025-08-29	0.26	0.2628	5.92	12193522	Rotation Down	-16	34
2025-08-22	0.235	0.262	-3.83	12850043	Balance	-28	38
2025-08-15	0.25	0.2623	3.13	6447218	Balance	-18	18
2025-08-08	0.25	0.262	5.17	10749833	Balance	1	9
2025-08-01	0.27	0.2592	15.97	14840120	Balance	25	15
2025-07-25	0.28	0.2565	21.38	11099865	Upward Expansion	29	16
2025-07-18	0.265	0.253	14.69	6904446	Upward Expansion	29	17
2025-07-11	0.275	0.2495	22.10	7947015	Upward Expansion	38	20
2025-07-04	0.285	0.2468	27.80	7977547	Upward Expansion	42	26
2025-06-27	0.28	0.2433	28.44	27371987	Upward Expansion	55	34
2025-06-20	0.30	0.2417	40.23	5848237	Upward Expansion	60	41
2025-06-13	0.30	0.2398	42.29	8892988	Upward Expansion	61	51
2025-06-06	0.30	0.2363	45.57	26220115	Upward Expansion	64	67
2025-05-30	0.29	0.2347	44.79	7612000	Upward Expansion	62	69
2025-05-23	0.29	0.2315	48.77	7048034	Upward Expansion	64	68
2025-05-16	0.31	0.2277	62.41	13574441	Deceleration	73	66
2025-05-09	0.29	0.2221	57.29	12909840	Deceleration	65	41
2025-05-02	0.24	0.2169	32.85	3124175	Deceleration	17	12
2025-04-25	0.235	0.2128	37.06	3667932	Deceleration	13	15
2025-04-18	0.225	0.2092	36.32	51197803	Deceleration	12	14
2025-04-11	0.195	0.2058	23.32	20133304	Deceleration	10	8
2025-04-04	0.22	0.2034	41.04	25812592	Deceleration	31	18
2025-03-28	0.25	0.2006	57.06	4862615	Deceleration	39	24
2025-03-21	0.27	0.1986	74.60	9279490	Deceleration	51	29
2025-03-14	0.24	0.1948	62.47	9091991	Upward Expansion	39	24
2025-03-07	0.23	0.1924	56.64	9213489	Upward Expansion	54	36
2025-02-28	0.24	0.1906	63.16	11057029	Upward Expansion	61	59
2025-02-21	0.255	0.1872	75.53	6998803	Upward Expansion	63	71
2025-02-14	0.27	0.1841	85.71	9075290	Upward Expansion	68	77
2025-02-07	0.285	0.1812	103.38	16317927	Upward Expansion	78	78
2025-01-31	0.235	0.1758	73.28	5144165	Upward Expansion	59	57
2025-01-24	0.245	0.1722	88.64	19939211	Balance	62	44
2025-01-17	0.24	0.1665	92.86	26068893	Balance	60	27
2025-01-10	0.165	0.1611	36.96	3950788	Balance	16	16
2025-01-03	0.19	0.1584	61.52	5861222	Upward Expansion	27	19
2024-12-27	0.175	0.1551	52.00	4993815	Upward Expansion	29	23
2024-12-20	0.16	0.1524	45.44	12661246	Upward Expansion	29	17
2024-12-13	0.195	0.1501	76.03	51090580	Upward Expansion	47	35
2024-12-06	0.18	0.1468	64.30	18696510	Upward Expansion	60	46
2024-11-29	0.23	0.1436	115.07	8005522	Upward Expansion	67	77
2024-11-22	0.245	0.1379	138.91	45024193	Upward Expansion	78	82
2024-11-15	0.195	0.1318	101.17	20248063	Upward Expansion	63	74
2024-11-08	0.25	0.1269	167.00	21042453	Upward Expansion	85	82
2024-11-01	0.195	0.1206	123.38	19705678	Balance	69	59
2024-10-25	0.175	0.1162	106.22	10495970	Balance	50	27
2024-10-18	0.1425	0.1125	72.60	8674786	Balance	17	10
2024-10-11	0.135	0.1094	69.81	3791141	Balance	11	13
2024-10-04	0.115	0.1063	50.02	4280291	Balance	7	15
2024-09-27	0.13	0.1035	72.57	11448305	Balance	25	20
2024-09-20	0.12	0.1002	64.09	10448034	Upward Expansion	31	17
2024-09-13	0.125	0.0972	77.93	10172999	Upward Expansion	40	24
2024-09-06	0.135	0.0941	100.11	12711182	Upward Expansion	55	38
2024-08-30	0.19	0.0906	188.34	9288874	Upward Expansion	72	54
2024-08-23	0.155	0.0853	149.60	6620795	Upward Expansion	61	48
2024-08-16	0.17	0.0813	187.36	24679353	Upward Expansion	67	56
2024-08-09	0.175	0.077	218.21	16927517	Upward Expansion	76	78
2024-08-02	0.14	0.0727	163.02	12718767	Upward Expansion	64	74
2024-07-26	0.16	0.0696	215.41	27982308	Upward Expansion	74	84
2024-07-19	0.185	0.0657	282.98	54767882	Upward Expansion	90	86
2024-07-12	0.12	0.0608	166.58	37132144	Upward Expansion	73	53
2024-07-05	0.13	0.0582	206.73	25271957	Upward Expansion	83	53
2024-06-28	0.073	0.0548	82.57	2410067	Upward Expansion	43	31
2024-06-21	0.078	0.0532	99.50	3145144	Upward Expansion	58	45
2024-06-14	0.084	0.0511	122.61	11680351	Upward Expansion	63	55
2024-06-07	0.091	0.0488	144.47	5949850	Upward Expansion	67	78
2024-05-31	0.092	0.0463	160.41	5273355	Upward Expansion	73	86
2024-05-24	0.092	0.0438	169.03	15327855	Upward Expansion	78	83
2024-05-17	0.096	0.0412	187.63	18552467	Upward Expansion	91	78
2024-05-10	0.084	0.0385	162.69	33841154	Upward Expansion	89	64
2024-05-03	0.059	0.0362	92.46	7526082	Upward Expansion	65	53
2024-04-26	0.062	0.0347	105.82	2756229	Upward Expansion	74	62
2024-04-19	0.049	0.0332	64.16	5244150	Upward Expansion	67	83
2024-04-12	0.062	0.0321	101.78	5868005	Upward Expansion	76	91
2024-04-05	0.061	0.0306	99.47	5285166	Upward Expansion	81	92
2024-03-29	0.065	0.0291	109.86	39449977	Upward Expansion	89	89
2024-03-22	0.049	0.0276	61.54	8740452	Deceleration	77	65
2024-03-15	0.041	0.0266	36.34	4334966	Deceleration	53	28
2024-03-08	0.033	0.026	5.85	2093530	Deceleration	14	15
2024-03-01	0.031	0.0256	-1.18	5021685	Deceleration	22	23
2024-02-23	0.029	0.0252	-8.47	3378520	Deceleration	23	27
2024-02-16	0.031	0.0248	-4.36	1124842	Deceleration	31	30
2024-02-09	0.03	0.0242	-9.27	4249601	Deceleration	38	29
2024-02-02	0.032	0.0239	-5.93	4708038	Upward Expansion	48	41
2024-01-26	0.035	0.0234	2.98	7797937	Upward Expansion	65	62
2024-01-19	0.041	0.0229	20.57	7703069	Upward Expansion	68	68
2024-01-12	0.045	0.0223	29.06	6590165	Upward Expansion	74	90
2024-01-05	0.047	0.0215	33.37	4510512	Upward Expansion	89	96
2023-12-29	0.043	0.0209	18.69	685004	Upward Expansion	89	96
2023-12-22	0.038	0.0203	4.23	8928962	Rotation Up	84	94
2023-12-15	0.042	0.02	14.26	23685510	Rotation Up	66	87
2023-12-08	0.029	0.0197	-19.48	18006675	Rotation Up	49	64
2023-12-01	0.024	0.02	-33.64	16527121	Rotation Up	13	17
2023-11-24	0.016	0.0205	-56.94	9067298	Downward Expansion	-41	25
2023-11-17	0.015	0.0216	-61.05	3533829	Downward Expansion	-46	31
2023-11-10	0.016	0.0227	-59.50	1209753	Downward Expansion	-44	31
2023-11-03	0.016	0.024	-60.89	2320195	Downward Expansion	-55	36
2023-10-27	0.015	0.0252	-63.86	1718913	Downward Expansion	-60	44
2023-10-20	0.015	0.0264	-65.41	10680475	Downward Expansion	-61	52

Price vs TrendBelow-47.7%

Trend directionFalling-12.4%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-41.1%

Fair Value directionMoving away-66.8%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-50.0%

Relative strength directionWeakening-36.6%

Price momentumNegative-59.6%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.20×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-78 / ±100

+12.5 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

78 /100

-14.5 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

TTT Directional State ↗ TTT Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance0

Rotation Up15

Upward Expansion16

Deceleration43

Rotation Down78

Downward Expansion94

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 19%Rotation Up 4%Upward Expansion 42%Deceleration 10%Rotation Down 4%Downward Expansion 21%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-07-24	2026-10-09	Developing	-41.7%
Rotation Down	2026-07-03	2026-07-17	New	-4.5%
Balance	2026-05-29	2026-06-26	Developing	-16.7%
Upward Expansion	2026-05-08	2026-05-22	New	-4.2%
Rotation Up	2026-04-24	2026-05-01	New	-3.6%
Balance	2026-04-03	2026-04-17	New	+37.8%
Downward Expansion	2026-02-27	2026-03-27	Developing	+11.9%
Balance	2026-02-06	2026-02-20	New	-9.3%
Downward Expansion	2025-11-28	2026-01-30	Developing	+19.0%
Balance	2025-10-31	2025-11-21	New	-28.6%
Upward Expansion	2025-10-03	2025-10-24	New	-27.8%
Balance	2025-09-19	2025-09-26	New	+1.9%
Rotation Down	2025-08-29	2025-09-12	New	-1.9%
Balance	2025-08-01	2025-08-22	New	-13.0%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing52

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution18

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^AXJO

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 100/100
Current Relative Strength: -50.04
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -59.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -56.9%
Industrials regime cohort: 68th percentile38 in cohort

Test TTT trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume2.55×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.20×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 4

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore TTT Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity AUD 0.1127falling

Slow Activity AUD 0.1742falling

Trend Reference AUD 0.2008-47.7% close margin

Current Fair Value AUD 0.1781-41.1% close margin

Structural low AUD 0.098shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +20.8%

Annualized volatility +64.0%

From structural high -67.2%

From structural low +7.1%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^AXJO	Regime survived	Read
Near term	29	-7.5%-41.8% to +85.7%	+31.0%	+55.2%	-9.0%	+82.8%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	-8.8%-53.3% to +61.1%	+30.0%	+60.0%	-10.7%	+60.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	+5.9%-60.6% to +14.3%	+60.0%	+40.0%	+4.9%	+40.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	2	-48.3%-58.3% to -38.4%	+0.0%	+100.0%	-44.2%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

TTT Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map