Weekly structural research ยท LSE ยท Industrials

JNEO Stage Analysis

Journeo plc

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close GBP 542.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^FTSE
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Upward Expansion ยท Established expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction 71โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 71/100directional strength
Maturity 35/100lifecycle context
Confidence 94/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance +100.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +59.3%GBP 340.22 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-09542.00463.7012.74179165Upward Expansion7171
2026-10-02540.00459.4713.13183379Upward Expansion7180
2026-09-25539.00457.4710.69454781Upward Expansion7380
2026-09-18542.00455.3311.37186605Upward Expansion8283
2026-09-11536.00451.2010.28866397Upward Expansion8488
2026-09-04528.00447.507.1129445Upward Expansion8591
2026-08-28505.00445.182.88222312Upward Expansion7286
2026-08-21505.00444.853.1332061Upward Expansion7687
2026-08-14505.00443.853.9857560Upward Expansion8186
2026-08-07495.00443.430.6076026Rotation Up7880
2026-07-31476.50443.67-2.7491325Rotation Up3967
2026-07-24480.00444.72-1.0075957Rotation Up4571
2026-07-17477.50445.68-0.3593153Rotation Up4870
2026-07-10480.00445.101.2336816Rotation Up4363
2026-07-03465.00444.85-3.5431598Balance3650
2026-06-26450.00445.43-4.9454084Balance620
2026-06-19440.00446.60-5.4636307Balance-612
2026-06-12440.00447.82-6.1677507Downward Expansion-1610
2026-06-05427.50449.23-7.6042221Downward Expansion-4929
2026-05-29415.00451.75-10.37124028Downward Expansion-5237
2026-05-22410.00453.33-11.63451158Downward Expansion-5432
2026-05-15405.00454.78-10.06321188Downward Expansion-4626
2026-05-08415.00458.05-7.80198501Downward Expansion-3820
2026-05-01430.00461.55-5.25170999Downward Expansion-3620
2026-04-24430.00461.62-4.97134129Downward Expansion-4127
2026-04-17425.00464.82-8.12222402Downward Expansion-5644
2026-04-10415.00465.95-9.2996959Downward Expansion-5864
2026-04-03407.50465.55-9.12268417Downward Expansion-5767
2026-03-27395.00464.47-7.41401929Rotation Down-6764
2026-03-20390.00464.30-7.77291669Rotation Down-4332
2026-03-13415.00463.97-4.83237409Rotation Down-3726
2026-02-27480.00463.723.91253702Rotation Down-1522
2026-02-20475.00460.555.49426497Rotation Down-1330
2026-02-13418.00459.18-4.59765734Upward Expansion-3346
2026-02-06425.00459.25-2.00514835Upward Expansion-3128
2026-01-30458.50457.787.45164621Upward Expansion1812
2026-01-23495.00455.4217.61413098Upward Expansion5127
2026-01-16475.00450.3812.71188582Upward Expansion4931
2026-01-09492.50445.0218.86296890Upward Expansion5348
2026-01-02502.00438.9323.99192264Upward Expansion5644
2025-12-26508.00432.0727.4735333Upward Expansion5935
2025-12-19509.00424.7728.36326394Upward Expansion5829
2025-12-12460.00416.9719.94168337Upward Expansion3519
2025-12-05472.50410.3023.84551136Upward Expansion4024
2025-11-28482.50402.5526.77183863Upward Expansion5130
2025-11-21485.00394.6330.92316413Upward Expansion5435
2025-11-14476.50387.5727.75133477Upward Expansion4532
2025-11-07482.50380.1030.62271247Upward Expansion5636
2025-10-31503.00372.4336.77432654Upward Expansion6443
2025-10-24462.50364.0827.90329667Upward Expansion5844
2025-10-17453.50357.6030.081772810Upward Expansion6048
2025-10-10503.00351.4544.21470568Upward Expansion6970
2025-10-03520.00344.0249.66579695Upward Expansion7980
2025-09-26432.00336.0528.61828203Upward Expansion6260
2025-09-19526.00331.2859.41347691Upward Expansion8879
2025-09-05459.00323.4841.44591478Deceleration8054
2025-08-29403.00317.8225.96245545Deceleration4935
2025-08-22375.00314.4216.38154784Upward Expansion4637
2025-08-15390.00310.6224.1191588Upward Expansion4943
2025-08-08380.00306.3222.36126979Upward Expansion6357
2025-08-01407.50302.9332.44440763Upward Expansion6866
2025-07-25385.00299.3325.30416927Upward Expansion6882
2025-07-18434.00295.9244.07375780Upward Expansion8895
2025-07-11420.00290.9541.51431296Upward Expansion9196
2025-06-27381.00286.3731.45167816Upward Expansion8594
2025-06-20387.50282.7234.86438121Upward Expansion9596
2025-06-13344.00278.7519.53578234Upward Expansion8887
2025-06-06314.00276.429.75307739Rotation Up7677
2025-05-30310.00274.629.37253934Rotation Up3949
2025-05-16296.00273.425.55242331Downward Expansion3032
2025-05-09289.00272.974.57280826Downward Expansion-710
2025-05-02275.00272.52-0.89229611Downward Expansion-3324
2025-04-25260.00273.27-4.31150010Downward Expansion-5636
2025-04-11240.00274.13-6.79249482Downward Expansion-7254
2025-04-04245.00275.15-6.07199116Downward Expansion-6951
2025-03-28273.00275.82-2.78391397Rotation Down-5856
2025-03-21252.50274.15-10.28288322Rotation Down-3959
2025-03-14252.50273.35-10.6079397Rotation Down-4054
2025-03-07252.50272.67-11.52195862Balance-3136
2025-02-28268.00272.62-7.84203261Balance312
2025-02-21269.00272.02-6.15253377Balance1610
2025-02-14280.00271.32-3.32222611Upward Expansion4522
2025-02-07281.00270.30-2.78167378Upward Expansion4733
2025-01-31289.00269.920.15198071Upward Expansion5048
2025-01-24292.00269.273.20555221Upward Expansion5238
2025-01-17289.00268.622.54384268Upward Expansion4921
2025-01-03301.00268.4510.89417630Upward Expansion5123
2024-12-27261.00267.50-2.5458754Upward Expansion1610
2024-12-20261.00267.57-1.60157283Upward Expansion2515
2024-12-13278.50267.122.50136348Upward Expansion5346
2024-11-29299.50266.3510.72283690Upward Expansion6758
2024-11-22282.50265.475.27217559Balance5136
2024-11-15285.00265.259.28175492Balance5127
2024-11-08282.50264.088.91112590Balance4020
2024-11-01271.50262.973.94472422Balance2815
2024-10-25268.50262.382.42134483Balance2915
2024-10-18274.00261.903.59241566Balance3316
2024-10-11260.00261.07-0.04207499Upward Expansion3318
2024-10-04274.00261.935.38121846Upward Expansion5547
2024-09-27282.50262.508.66139655Rotation Up5960
2024-09-13275.50262.457.28446375Rotation Up3145
2024-09-06297.50262.3717.83261434Rotation Up3841
2024-08-16286.00261.4812.33256829Downward Expansion1923
2024-08-09270.50260.828.75302580Downward Expansion-2013
2024-08-02265.00260.777.021691288Downward Expansion-4642
2024-07-26223.00260.70-10.61215086Downward Expansion-7778
2024-07-19228.50261.77-6.691134993Downward Expansion-7673
2024-07-12232.00260.88-5.98515440Balance-7469
2024-07-05251.00259.822.76318635Balance-2838
2024-06-28250.00258.623.43327678Balance-2726
2024-06-21248.00257.422.25298866Deceleration-1816
2024-06-14249.50256.184.53333002Deceleration147
2024-05-31269.50255.1311.83699399Deceleration4936
2024-05-24269.50253.0812.00872702Deceleration4939
2024-05-17272.50251.0012.61230834Deceleration4835
2024-05-10284.00248.2017.95218920Deceleration5930
2024-05-03272.50245.0317.17152916Deceleration4117
2024-04-26263.00242.1015.07198568Deceleration3115
2024-04-19247.50239.5812.67192254Deceleration2517
2024-04-05255.50237.5817.16619938Deceleration3622
2024-03-29273.00235.4825.84555512Deceleration5529
2024-03-22276.00232.7029.20303394Deceleration4823
2024-03-15250.00229.5021.60243056Deceleration2724
2024-03-08249.00227.2723.62322399Deceleration3027
2024-03-01254.00225.0527.23343574Deceleration3924
2024-02-23254.00222.6228.28276712Upward Expansion4837
2024-02-09249.00220.3229.43319011Upward Expansion6454
2024-02-02286.00217.8749.89226340Upward Expansion7276
2024-01-26291.00214.0254.87252675Upward Expansion8386
2024-01-19281.00209.7555.83230736Upward Expansion7886
2024-01-12273.00205.8850.82161578Upward Expansion7388
2024-01-05271.00202.4350.91192962Upward Expansion7289
2023-12-29266.00199.1249.8674330Upward Expansion7390
2023-12-22269.00196.1254.67131149Upward Expansion8591
2023-12-08263.00192.7756.43507838Upward Expansion8772
2023-12-01255.00189.9754.58595777Upward Expansion8756
2023-11-17202.00187.3724.74190244Upward Expansion4531
2023-11-10200.00186.4326.94210164Upward Expansion6044
2023-11-03215.00185.2536.7792903Upward Expansion6865
2023-10-27214.00183.2240.17129349Upward Expansion6975
2023-10-20211.00180.7237.81174931Upward Expansion6878
2023-10-13218.00178.3540.23372045Upward Expansion8281
2023-10-06208.00175.7037.21316050Upward Expansion7767
2023-09-22207.00173.1534.54263462Upward Expansion7950
2023-09-15188.50170.9023.2658898Upward Expansion5535
2023-09-08189.00168.9028.5679752Upward Expansion5737
2023-09-01184.50166.8726.9061828Upward Expansion5642
2023-08-25187.50165.3032.4385168Upward Expansion6052
2023-08-18187.50163.5335.14187767Upward Expansion6150
2023-08-11192.50160.8735.21175781Upward Expansion7560
2023-08-04189.50158.0333.68614041Upward Expansion7354
2023-07-28180.00155.4826.2274367Upward Expansion6153
2023-07-21183.00153.2830.0089450Upward Expansion6671
2023-07-14182.50151.0234.9093046Upward Expansion6768
2023-07-07181.00148.4738.3325689Upward Expansion6654
2023-06-23185.00146.1338.70188813Deceleration7248
Price vs TrendAbove+16.9%
Trend directionRising+4.5%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+59.3%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+5.3%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+12.7%
Relative strength directionImproving+11.5%
Price momentumPositive+30.6%
Volume balanceDemand-led2.59ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

71 / ยฑ100

-13.7 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

71 /100

-17.0 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance1
Rotation Up69
Upward Expansion92
Deceleration48
Rotation Down22
Downward Expansion14

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-06-23 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 10%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 53%Deceleration 12%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 14%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Upward Expansion2026-08-142026-10-09Developing+7.3%
Rotation Up2026-07-102026-08-07Developing+3.1%
Balance2026-06-192026-07-03New+5.7%
Downward Expansion2026-04-032026-06-12Developing+8.0%
Rotation Down2026-02-202026-03-27Developing-16.8%
Upward Expansion2025-09-192026-02-13Established-20.5%
Deceleration2025-08-292025-09-05New+13.9%
Upward Expansion2025-06-132025-08-22Developing+9.0%
Rotation Up2025-05-302025-06-06New+1.3%
Downward Expansion2025-04-042025-05-16Developing+20.8%
Rotation Down2025-03-142025-03-28New+8.1%
Balance2025-02-212025-03-07New-6.1%
Upward Expansion2024-11-292025-02-14Developing-6.5%
Balance2024-10-182024-11-22Developing+3.1%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing18
Stage 2 ยท Advancing100
Stage 3 ยท Distribution58
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2B ยท Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^FTSE

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
95/100
Current Relative Strength
12.74
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+30.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+31.1%
Industrials regime cohort
82th percentile51 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.21ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume2.59ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity GBP 540.47rising
Slow Activity GBP 490.40rising
Trend Reference GBP 463.70+16.9% close margin
Current Fair Value GBP 340.22+59.3% close margin
Structural low GBP 387.18shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +3.5%
Annualized volatility +13.2%
From structural high -3.2%
From structural low +50.6%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^FTSE Regime survived Read
Near term31+1.1%-13.8% to +34.9%+58.1%+58.1%+1.0%+80.6%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate10+7.4%-19.8% to +37.5%+70.0%+70.0%+8.2%+60.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended6+30.2%-8.5% to +47.7%+66.7%+66.7%+24.1%+50.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3+70.6%+27.8% to +72.3%+100.0%+100.0%+47.2%+100.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context