Weekly structural research · SHZ · Consumer Cyclical

002084 Stage Analysis

Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 5.74Tenure NewBenchmark 399001.SZ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and contracting.

Direction 63−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 58/100directional strength

Maturity 58/100lifecycle context

Confidence 75/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Widecontracting separation

Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +63.6%CNY 3.51 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	5.74	4.10	51.12	235000158	Upward Expansion	63	58
2026-09-25	6.44	4.04	65.95	440393925	Upward Expansion	77	90
2026-09-18	5.56	3.97	41.74	446067210	Upward Expansion	64	87
2026-09-11	5.40	3.92	40.43	681773717	Upward Expansion	64	87
2026-09-04	7.10	3.88	85.28	601706701	Rotation Up	94	97
2026-08-28	5.80	3.78	49.09	6724493	Rotation Up	61	75
2026-08-21	3.59	3.72	-7.92	0	Downward Expansion	-32	15
2026-08-14	3.59	3.73	-9.86	49907166	Downward Expansion	-45	26
2026-08-07	3.48	3.74	-12.83	18828355	Downward Expansion	-49	34
2026-07-31	3.49	3.76	-8.36	21235999	Downward Expansion	-48	29
2026-07-24	3.26	3.77	-16.03	14944439	Downward Expansion	-56	29
2026-07-17	3.41	3.80	-12.27	19461253	Downward Expansion	-44	23
2026-07-10	3.80	3.82	-11.48	22494454	Downward Expansion	-24	18
2026-07-03	3.62	3.84	-19.11	18247918	Downward Expansion	-45	32
2026-06-26	3.48	3.87	-23.68	16357469	Downward Expansion	-60	58
2026-06-19	3.46	3.90	-25.80	93090373	Downward Expansion	-63	70
2026-06-12	3.38	3.93	-22.96	35393363	Downward Expansion	-64	72
2026-06-05	3.28	3.95	-27.53	16131674	Downward Expansion	-74	73
2026-05-29	3.31	3.97	-28.70	80307572	Downward Expansion	-74	55
2026-05-22	3.60	4.02	-23.17	81576454	Downward Expansion	-61	32
2026-05-15	3.70	4.04	-21.43	72790073	Downward Expansion	-56	29
2026-05-08	3.87	4.06	-18.35	41182078	Downward Expansion	-50	28
2026-05-01	3.86	4.06	-16.52	61521273	Downward Expansion	-53	34
2026-04-24	3.70	4.05	-19.47	80095391	Downward Expansion	-61	60
2026-04-17	3.74	4.05	-18.79	70028093	Downward Expansion	-56	58
2026-04-10	3.81	4.05	-15.05	77086953	Downward Expansion	-54	57
2026-04-03	3.55	4.05	-15.53	101761744	Balance	-70	58
2026-03-27	3.95	4.05	-8.83	129550648	Balance	-20	19
2026-03-20	3.83	4.04	-12.29	222932477	Balance	-27	13
2026-03-13	4.29	4.03	-4.64	118535013	Balance	53	23
2026-03-06	3.98	4.01	-10.71	107212982	Balance	24	12
2026-02-27	4.13	3.99	-9.37	60895510	Balance	32	18
2026-02-13	4.07	3.98	-8.06	75310521	Balance	30	17
2026-02-06	4.22	3.96	-3.25	105195272	Balance	34	16
2026-01-30	4.10	3.94	-7.84	134969707	Balance	12	7
2026-01-23	4.11	3.92	-9.06	112641069	Balance	9	11
2026-01-16	3.83	3.90	-14.27	135146602	Balance	-0	12
2026-01-09	4.01	3.88	-9.30	129580875	Balance	9	14
2026-01-02	3.88	3.86	-8.39	57567153	Balance	6	13
2025-12-26	3.97	3.85	-6.73	122694187	Upward Expansion	26	14
2025-12-19	3.99	3.83	-2.90	155378682	Upward Expansion	34	20
2025-12-12	3.98	3.81	-4.09	342334223	Upward Expansion	49	31
2025-12-05	4.61	3.80	11.79	581142338	Upward Expansion	62	41
2025-11-28	4.53	3.76	11.40	564342784	Upward Expansion	62	36
2025-11-21	4.40	3.72	12.27	156767360	Upward Expansion	59	30
2025-11-14	4.14	3.68	0.50	167138393	Upward Expansion	53	35
2025-11-07	4.00	3.65	-4.08	187984021	Upward Expansion	55	40
2025-10-31	3.95	3.67	-5.00	453981640	Upward Expansion	59	65
2025-10-24	4.85	3.66	17.57	598531545	Upward Expansion	83	79
2025-10-17	4.15	3.59	5.90	543596199	Upward Expansion	64	54
2025-10-10	4.42	3.55	7.52	120933976	Upward Expansion	80	54
2025-10-03	3.65	3.51	-12.03	34511266	Upward Expansion	46	25
2025-09-26	3.60	3.49	-11.24	89287087	Upward Expansion	51	33
2025-09-19	3.71	3.46	-7.68	195631845	Upward Expansion	52	38
2025-09-12	3.85	3.44	-3.21	328524204	Upward Expansion	66	48
2025-09-05	3.77	3.41	-2.73	242087654	Upward Expansion	61	33
2025-08-29	3.57	3.38	-8.68	114350534	Upward Expansion	39	23
2025-08-22	3.68	3.36	-1.88	110054668	Upward Expansion	60	32
2025-08-15	3.47	3.33	-3.54	79224352	Upward Expansion	51	30
2025-08-08	3.65	3.31	6.00	70854575	Upward Expansion	61	50
2025-08-01	3.52	3.28	3.66	94155402	Upward Expansion	57	57
2025-07-25	3.68	3.25	6.86	88081911	Upward Expansion	68	68
2025-07-18	3.56	3.23	6.14	85363259	Upward Expansion	57	60
2025-07-11	3.63	3.22	10.82	73727111	Deceleration	58	38
2025-07-04	3.53	3.22	10.06	78463907	Deceleration	48	20
2025-06-27	3.50	3.22	10.85	96864041	Deceleration	37	16
2025-06-20	3.23	3.22	6.52	88141770	Deceleration	29	13
2025-06-13	3.39	3.22	10.85	115094847	Deceleration	46	23
2025-06-06	3.54	3.20	15.50	78394797	Deceleration	52	28
2025-05-30	3.48	3.19	15.66	101704142	Deceleration	39	22
2025-05-23	3.38	3.17	11.63	132755245	Deceleration	35	18
2025-05-16	3.53	3.16	16.22	209549569	Deceleration	41	19
2025-05-09	3.40	3.14	12.72	174897528	Upward Expansion	37	18
2025-05-02	3.26	3.11	10.81	100972791	Upward Expansion	53	46
2025-04-25	3.28	3.11	11.55	282380553	Upward Expansion	58	66
2025-04-18	3.37	3.09	16.55	665650369	Upward Expansion	59	68
2025-04-11	4.55	3.06	57.35	582830812	Upward Expansion	91	85
2025-04-04	3.45	2.99	14.35	123817264	Balance	65	50
2025-03-28	2.90	2.95	-6.01	48159228	Balance	14	12
2025-03-21	3.09	2.94	-0.89	39290944	Balance	30	20
2025-03-14	3.09	2.93	-3.70	50654682	Balance	37	18
2025-03-07	2.97	2.92	-6.56	54371977	Balance	5	5
2025-02-28	2.91	2.90	-6.55	49782473	Balance	2	5
2025-02-21	2.90	2.89	-10.20	50091518	Deceleration	19	12
2025-02-14	2.93	2.87	-7.49	36080498	Deceleration	9	10
2025-02-07	2.93	2.85	-5.89	24271238	Deceleration	6	13
2025-01-31	2.85	2.84	-5.17	11312774	Deceleration	-14	20
2025-01-24	2.83	2.83	-7.95	53411850	Deceleration	3	21
2025-01-17	2.88	2.81	-6.09	55379443	Deceleration	17	26
2025-01-10	2.80	2.80	-6.24	113889337	Deceleration	13	20
2025-01-03	2.71	2.79	-11.02	46387066	Upward Expansion	21	13
2024-12-27	3.01	2.79	-9.04	79914368	Upward Expansion	59	43
2024-12-20	3.39	2.78	1.72	96353546	Upward Expansion	65	71
2024-12-13	3.58	2.77	6.08	85495143	Upward Expansion	78	81
2024-12-06	3.52	2.75	3.08	75985551	Upward Expansion	79	79
2024-11-29	3.38	2.73	0.09	77240193	Upward Expansion	78	75
2024-11-22	3.18	2.71	-4.81	94705301	Upward Expansion	68	55
2024-11-15	3.04	2.70	-12.16	68347377	Upward Expansion	62	56
2024-11-08	3.14	2.68	-13.21	86025892	Upward Expansion	72	61
2024-11-01	2.89	2.67	-15.32	82107200	Rotation Up	58	53
2024-10-25	3.00	2.67	-14.10	49782168	Rotation Up	41	57
2024-10-18	2.83	2.67	-17.46	56700051	Rotation Up	19	38
2024-10-11	2.78	2.68	-17.06	92349365	Rotation Up	13	30
2024-10-04	3.01	2.69	-14.81	27597368	Downward Expansion	28	29
2024-09-27	2.78	2.68	-13.50	61328734	Downward Expansion	-17	12
2024-09-20	2.43	2.68	-11.49	26607799	Downward Expansion	-54	38
2024-09-13	2.41	2.69	-11.77	37773308	Downward Expansion	-54	23
2024-09-06	2.46	2.69	-12.04	57074802	Downward Expansion	-38	20
2024-08-30	2.51	2.70	-12.97	201450236	Downward Expansion	-31	20
2024-08-23	2.87	2.74	1.06	83106758	Downward Expansion	-8	13
2024-08-16	2.58	2.78	-11.14	31454600	Downward Expansion	-41	27
2024-08-09	2.55	2.82	-13.11	30192736	Downward Expansion	-56	39
2024-08-02	2.48	2.87	-17.39	27808578	Downward Expansion	-59	44
2024-07-26	2.37	2.92	-21.80	28853558	Downward Expansion	-69	51
2024-07-19	2.40	2.97	-23.83	36428053	Downward Expansion	-69	52
2024-07-12	2.53	3.02	-19.64	46801233	Downward Expansion	-62	58
2024-07-05	2.48	3.07	-20.08	37273976	Downward Expansion	-65	72
2024-06-28	2.45	3.12	-22.64	44787656	Downward Expansion	-71	76
2024-06-21	2.48	3.17	-23.87	27366655	Downward Expansion	-72	72
2024-06-14	2.54	3.22	-23.96	27653263	Downward Expansion	-69	55
2024-06-07	2.60	3.27	-22.54	51386383	Downward Expansion	-64	33
2024-05-31	2.83	3.32	-16.80	31636557	Downward Expansion	-37	21
2024-05-24	2.92	3.35	-14.97	44897394	Downward Expansion	-34	20
2024-05-17	3.10	3.38	-12.68	55642227	Downward Expansion	-40	24
2024-05-10	2.92	3.41	-18.04	43000711	Downward Expansion	-56	41
2024-05-03	2.81	3.44	-20.13	24010012	Downward Expansion	-56	43
2024-04-26	2.70	3.49	-22.71	55204721	Downward Expansion	-58	42
2024-04-19	2.44	3.53	-28.94	72632159	Downward Expansion	-71	46
2024-04-12	2.84	3.60	-17.12	44625428	Downward Expansion	-45	30
2024-04-05	3.08	3.64	-13.46	32507925	Downward Expansion	-39	26
2024-03-29	2.98	3.66	-15.23	78034398	Downward Expansion	-44	34
2024-03-22	3.05	3.70	-15.10	147340077	Downward Expansion	-57	44
2024-03-15	3.12	3.74	-13.95	45042409	Downward Expansion	-62	56
2024-03-08	2.73	3.78	-23.24	48531712	Downward Expansion	-66	86
2024-03-01	2.77	3.83	-23.16	73614785	Downward Expansion	-68	88
2024-02-23	2.79	3.87	-19.97	70007651	Downward Expansion	-74	90
2024-02-09	2.28	3.91	-32.92	95727012	Downward Expansion	-95	97
2024-02-02	2.87	3.96	-8.09	67769688	Downward Expansion	-91	86
2024-01-26	3.73	4.00	9.60	60876265	Downward Expansion	-67	45
2024-01-19	3.83	4.00	12.36	46223237	Balance	-59	30
2024-01-12	3.98	4.00	14.23	32210935	Balance	-46	28
2024-01-05	3.97	3.99	12.69	30270866	Balance	-46	34
2023-12-29	3.93	3.99	6.75	33113315	Balance	-20	29
2023-12-22	3.85	3.99	7.87	46331858	Balance	-29	27
2023-12-15	3.97	3.99	9.26	37707320	Balance	-2	3
2023-12-08	3.89	3.99	5.25	33565302	Balance	-10	10
2023-12-01	4.07	4.00	8.10	33911917	Balance	20	17
2023-11-24	4.07	4.00	6.90	38034974	Balance	17	12
2023-11-17	4.04	3.99	4.67	35770071	Balance	6	5
2023-11-10	3.95	4.00	2.46	44083621	Balance	-12	25
2023-11-03	3.94	4.01	3.50	33399804	Balance	-23	30
2023-10-27	3.94	4.02	4.38	36370202	Balance	-22	28
2023-10-20	3.78	4.04	2.08	28921453	Balance	-49	34
2023-10-13	3.86	4.06	-2.02	37539736	Balance	-33	17
2023-09-29	4.05	4.09	2.36	31004489	Balance	4	6
2023-09-22	4.10	4.12	3.15	47807101	Balance	7	9

Price vs TrendAbove+39.9%

Trend directionRising+8.7%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+63.6%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+58.9%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+51.1%

Relative strength directionImproving+70.2%

Price momentumPositive+61.7%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.64×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

63 / ±100

-31.3 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

58 /100

-39.0 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

002084 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance25

Rotation Up66

Upward Expansion81

Deceleration71

Rotation Down13

Downward Expansion10

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 23%Rotation Up 4%Upward Expansion 27%Deceleration 10%Downward Expansion 36%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-09-11	2026-10-02	New	+6.3%
Rotation Up	2026-08-28	2026-09-04	New	+22.4%
Downward Expansion	2026-04-10	2026-08-21	Established	-5.8%
Balance	2026-01-02	2026-04-03	Established	-8.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-07-18	2025-12-26	Established	+11.5%
Deceleration	2025-05-16	2025-07-11	Developing	+2.8%
Upward Expansion	2025-04-11	2025-05-09	Developing	-25.3%
Balance	2025-02-28	2025-04-04	Developing	+18.6%
Deceleration	2025-01-10	2025-02-21	Developing	+3.6%
Upward Expansion	2024-11-08	2025-01-03	Developing	-13.7%
Rotation Up	2024-10-11	2024-11-01	New	+4.0%
Downward Expansion	2024-01-26	2024-10-04	Extended	-19.4%
Balance	2023-08-18	2024-01-19	Established	-4.9%
Rotation Up	2023-08-04	2023-08-11	New	-10.1%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing30

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution40

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2C · Late advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 399001.SZ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 94/100
Current Relative Strength: 51.12
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +61.7%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +65.2%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 50th percentile28 in cohort

Test 002084 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.62×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.64×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 002084 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity CNY 5.94rising

Slow Activity CNY 4.42rising

Trend Reference CNY 4.10+39.9% close margin

Current Fair Value CNY 3.51+63.6% close margin

Structural low CNY 3.16shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +14.2%

Annualized volatility +91.1%

From structural high -24.0%

From structural low +81.6%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs 399001.SZ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	16	+0.8%-34.6% to +15.2%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-3.8%	+68.8%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	6	-7.2%-32.6% to +16.6%	+16.7%	+16.7%	-15.1%	+33.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	+0.4%-36.8% to +17.6%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-19.2%	+50.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	-7.9%-43.2% to +27.4%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-12.3%	+50.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

002084 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map