Weekly structural research · NSI · Financial Services

TEAMGTY Stage Analysis

Team India Guaranty Limited

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close INR 241.45Tenure EstablishedBenchmark ^NSEI

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction -4−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 11/100directional strength

Maturity 65/100lifecycle context

Confidence 72/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +32.8%INR 181.84 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	241.45	244.51	1.40	1016	Downward Expansion	-4	11
2026-09-18	238.50	245.26	-0.78	2930	Downward Expansion	-22	19
2026-09-11	235.00	245.68	-2.26	3697	Downward Expansion	-26	21
2026-09-04	235.29	246.84	-4.19	1731	Downward Expansion	-31	22
2026-08-28	240.33	247.59	-3.42	27010	Downward Expansion	-38	22
2026-08-21	232.44	247.98	-7.12	8107	Downward Expansion	-58	52
2026-08-14	227.94	248.94	-9.58	17597	Downward Expansion	-60	53
2026-08-07	222.81	250.78	-12.72	1667	Downward Expansion	-61	57
2026-07-31	215.32	253.08	-15.50	29751	Downward Expansion	-71	61
2026-07-24	226.72	255.69	-9.04	346	Downward Expansion	-62	53
2026-07-17	222.25	257.74	-12.81	910	Downward Expansion	-69	61
2026-07-10	233.86	259.26	-7.45	1357	Downward Expansion	-60	57
2026-07-03	232.69	260.79	-7.73	204	Downward Expansion	-62	59
2026-06-26	236.00	262.27	-5.07	0	Downward Expansion	-60	56
2026-06-19	230.70	263.24	-6.51	796	Balance	-61	52
2026-06-12	241.00	264.15	-0.21	516	Balance	-55	39
2026-06-05	248.50	264.44	4.70	100	Balance	-49	25
2026-05-29	251.55	264.92	5.98	6015	Balance	-48	22
2026-05-22	256.05	265.21	7.87	89228	Balance	-44	17
2026-05-15	269.70	264.85	14.87	27264	Balance	-25	10
2026-05-08	253.40	264.26	6.51	6029	Balance	-47	22
2026-05-01	260.12	264.00	10.86	1106	Balance	-6	3
2026-04-24	259.00	263.86	11.64	5436	Balance	-4	2
2026-04-17	263.03	264.04	12.08	3321	Balance	-3	3
2026-04-10	266.80	263.03	15.86	13083	Balance	-3	2
2026-04-03	257.00	262.54	18.87	3771	Balance	-18	10
2026-03-27	253.50	262.80	17.46	24766	Balance	-3	5
2026-03-20	268.35	263.55	23.82	6649	Balance	5	4
2026-03-13	257.65	263.74	19.72	5828	Balance	-12	11
2026-03-06	258.35	264.69	14.45	6072	Balance	-11	9
2026-02-27	263.90	266.01	14.16	5911	Balance	-10	10
2026-02-20	251.10	266.00	7.62	4898	Balance	-17	16
2026-02-13	269.80	264.99	16.76	3293	Balance	2	10
2026-02-06	257.90	262.05	11.39	5794	Upward Expansion	19	15
2026-01-30	252.10	259.43	11.08	15797	Upward Expansion	20	11
2026-01-23	261.05	256.71	16.85	7276	Upward Expansion	42	23
2026-01-16	283.25	253.79	24.38	9162	Upward Expansion	55	37
2026-01-09	291.80	250.11	29.21	6425	Upward Expansion	61	45
2026-01-02	293.65	245.95	28.06	11905	Upward Expansion	65	48
2025-12-26	288.20	241.65	28.32	35031	Upward Expansion	65	46
2025-12-19	267.70	237.76	20.53	18997	Upward Expansion	53	36
2025-12-12	279.90	234.48	26.31	189273	Upward Expansion	63	40
2025-12-05	277.15	230.77	25.61	6228	Upward Expansion	65	38
2025-11-28	265.00	227.27	21.13	6799	Upward Expansion	49	32
2025-11-21	258.05	224.31	19.68	17362	Upward Expansion	43	30
2025-11-14	249.55	221.42	17.53	18270	Upward Expansion	39	28
2025-11-07	263.15	219.13	27.05	15914	Deceleration	51	36
2025-10-31	260.00	216.60	25.56	5235	Deceleration	48	28
2025-10-24	245.40	214.13	19.36	154	Deceleration	36	22
2025-10-17	252.00	211.35	24.21	897	Deceleration	39	27
2025-10-10	245.50	208.73	24.34	454	Deceleration	38	24
2025-10-03	256.00	206.38	33.08	3384	Deceleration	40	27
2025-09-26	264.50	203.78	40.50	12702	Deceleration	44	31
2025-09-19	232.60	200.53	21.94	46977	Deceleration	44	35
2025-09-12	252.00	198.17	34.82	10419	Upward Expansion	60	53
2025-09-05	264.95	195.46	45.76	12852	Upward Expansion	64	71
2025-08-29	276.00	192.55	56.02	10860	Upward Expansion	67	87
2025-08-22	274.05	189.32	54.68	15304	Upward Expansion	68	88
2025-08-15	286.10	185.98	65.63	16731	Upward Expansion	82	93
2025-08-08	297.95	182.17	77.45	115008	Upward Expansion	93	94
2025-08-01	263.65	177.70	58.81	1691176	Upward Expansion	90	84
2025-07-25	220.88	174.29	33.67	429213	Balance	80	65
2025-07-18	181.48	172.80	10.41	37138	Balance	50	26
2025-07-11	179.39	172.98	8.99	175314	Balance	0	5
2025-07-04	170.50	172.35	2.87	22117	Balance	-28	11
2025-06-27	173.44	172.11	4.32	140614	Balance	-2	3
2025-06-20	172.87	171.19	6.52	30145	Balance	-16	9
2025-06-13	167.01	170.16	5.17	91563	Balance	-11	14
2025-06-06	164.66	169.31	3.11	22673	Balance	-13	12
2025-05-30	171.37	168.99	9.01	72361	Balance	12	10
2025-05-23	169.19	168.09	7.83	30445	Balance	12	9
2025-05-16	168.59	166.81	7.49	32595	Balance	23	13
2025-05-09	172.31	165.76	15.29	24729	Upward Expansion	33	14
2025-05-02	176.10	164.56	17.15	32618	Upward Expansion	45	24
2025-04-25	171.26	163.31	16.53	42031	Upward Expansion	48	32
2025-04-18	181.01	162.23	25.38	15734	Upward Expansion	51	35
2025-04-11	187.21	160.13	36.96	80834	Upward Expansion	59	36
2025-04-04	185.95	158.16	37.27	19556	Upward Expansion	60	30
2025-03-28	162.00	156.31	17.90	57106	Upward Expansion	31	18
2025-03-21	173.51	155.25	28.40	5920	Upward Expansion	48	26
2025-03-14	175.00	153.80	36.48	11583	Upward Expansion	40	20
2025-03-07	177.79	152.32	39.42	14342	Upward Expansion	43	20
2025-02-28	166.97	150.69	35.03	13614	Upward Expansion	36	18
2025-02-21	162.00	149.46	28.34	5169	Upward Expansion	41	24
2025-02-14	170.54	148.40	35.14	53955	Upward Expansion	54	34
2025-02-07	177.65	147.02	37.80	9685	Upward Expansion	58	38
2025-01-31	179.29	145.46	40.47	38203	Upward Expansion	61	37
2025-01-24	173.82	143.86	39.86	26142	Upward Expansion	57	33
2025-01-17	171.70	142.54	38.59	17756	Upward Expansion	58	36
2025-01-10	163.73	140.65	31.75	48274	Upward Expansion	58	49
2025-01-03	161.60	138.96	27.29	64725	Upward Expansion	61	59
2024-12-27	176.16	137.27	40.10	395254	Upward Expansion	67	70
2024-12-20	186.88	135.09	50.71	208345	Upward Expansion	80	71
2024-12-13	160.40	132.31	23.60	190882	Upward Expansion	63	45
2024-12-06	163.37	130.31	27.59	89469	Upward Expansion	70	42
2024-11-29	145.86	128.20	17.89	42120	Upward Expansion	54	39
2024-11-22	141.82	126.38	16.75	23977	Upward Expansion	53	41
2024-11-15	141.57	124.62	19.40	63099	Upward Expansion	54	40
2024-11-08	155.15	123.01	28.65	178951	Upward Expansion	72	52
2024-11-01	144.32	121.13	20.13	87847	Upward Expansion	61	34
2024-10-25	130.66	119.59	10.22	63851	Upward Expansion	49	30
2024-10-18	137.12	118.24	13.27	95118	Upward Expansion	54	42
2024-10-11	136.51	116.75	13.10	109341	Upward Expansion	53	31
2024-10-04	138.34	115.24	15.19	270854	Upward Expansion	56	31
2024-09-27	139.04	113.99	11.53	299417	Upward Expansion	60	29
2024-09-20	117.87	112.99	-3.37	62587	Upward Expansion	29	15
2024-09-13	128.20	113.02	7.48	46822	Upward Expansion	41	26
2024-09-06	130.44	112.99	12.40	16008	Deceleration	52	31
2024-08-30	130.09	112.52	11.22	39354	Deceleration	42	28
2024-08-23	130.08	111.94	13.81	48882	Deceleration	52	34
2024-08-16	130.66	111.39	16.72	58084	Upward Expansion	55	36
2024-08-09	128.90	111.03	17.01	273052	Upward Expansion	55	39
2024-08-02	130.00	111.26	17.52	42107	Upward Expansion	59	48
2024-07-26	130.16	111.48	18.34	82425	Rotation Up	63	58
2024-07-19	129.10	111.63	20.07	112111	Rotation Up	39	67
2024-07-12	130.86	112.32	23.15	48461	Rotation Up	46	72
2024-07-05	131.38	110.69	25.95	81829	Rotation Up	45	70
2024-06-28	134.33	108.71	31.93	349233	Rotation Up	54	70
2024-06-21	115.00	106.68	16.78	14393	Rotation Up	31	46
2024-06-14	113.00	105.30	15.88	14743	Rotation Up	30	36
2024-06-07	110.90	103.98	15.57	19865	Rotation Up	34	35
2024-05-31	110.70	102.72	20.25	9944	Deceleration	25	28
2024-05-24	103.55	101.49	11.37	12403	Deceleration	-5	13
2024-05-17	100.35	100.42	11.06	10833	Deceleration	-18	22
2024-05-10	100.00	99.46	13.55	23726	Deceleration	-21	27
2024-05-03	91.25	98.57	2.37	3532	Deceleration	-36	35
2024-04-26	89.00	97.82	0.55	3864	Rotation Down	-33	32
2024-04-19	93.20	97.23	7.03	1304	Rotation Down	-28	37
2024-04-12	98.95	96.25	12.26	4746	Rotation Down	-23	50
2024-04-05	98.15	95.14	12.07	13944	Rotation Down	-25	56
2024-03-29	90.00	94.15	4.29	15387	Deceleration	-33	57
2024-03-22	92.50	93.46	8.96	2885	Deceleration	-9	30
2024-03-15	91.35	92.30	8.72	11220	Deceleration	-4	15
2024-03-08	100.80	91.33	18.26	5839	Deceleration	29	16
2024-03-01	108.85	89.86	29.68	389	Deceleration	40	27
2024-02-23	119.00	88.08	44.15	2853	Deceleration	43	32
2024-02-16	127.15	85.99	57.48	30758	Deceleration	50	34
2024-02-09	116.45	83.63	48.37	29047	Upward Expansion	44	32
2024-02-02	112.65	81.60	45.13	17617	Upward Expansion	50	45
2024-01-26	113.55	79.72	51.68	26786	Upward Expansion	65	60
2024-01-19	119.75	77.83	60.24	58141	Upward Expansion	68	83
2024-01-12	135.95	75.77	82.36	61272	Upward Expansion	71	90
2024-01-05	136.40	73.10	87.90	128587	Upward Expansion	82	93
2023-12-29	134.80	70.40	89.06	72649	Upward Expansion	92	96
2023-12-22	149.75	67.79	117.91	1341847	Upward Expansion	96	93
2023-12-15	81.95	64.67	21.74	209919	Upward Expansion	72	45
2023-12-08	71.90	63.74	9.72	45688	Upward Expansion	54	32
2023-12-01	73.60	63.25	16.28	134924	Upward Expansion	56	36
2023-11-24	73.60	62.69	19.25	137838	Upward Expansion	56	36
2023-11-17	73.30	62.12	19.45	95636	Upward Expansion	57	36
2023-11-10	73.30	61.60	21.97	235837	Upward Expansion	58	37
2023-11-03	73.70	61.03	24.41	654592	Upward Expansion	61	41
2023-10-27	71.25	60.36	22.09	268321	Upward Expansion	57	40
2023-10-20	71.75	59.62	20.63	73225	Upward Expansion	61	50
2023-10-13	73.30	58.81	22.73	309989	Upward Expansion	67	45
2023-10-06	68.75	57.97	16.31	217569	Upward Expansion	59	40

Price vs TrendBelow-1.3%

Trend directionFalling-5.1%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+32.8%

Fair Value directionMoving away-8.0%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+1.4%

Relative strength directionImproving+6.5%

Price momentumNegative-4.8%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.65×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-4 / ±100

+33.1 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

11 /100

-11.8 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

TEAMGTY Directional State ↗ TEAMGTY Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance57

Rotation Up37

Upward Expansion30

Deceleration43

Rotation Down17

Downward Expansion45

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 19%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 49%Deceleration 15%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 9%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-06-26	2026-09-25	Established	+2.3%
Balance	2026-02-13	2026-06-19	Established	-14.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-11-14	2026-02-06	Established	+3.3%
Deceleration	2025-09-19	2025-11-07	Developing	+13.1%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-01	2025-09-12	Developing	-4.4%
Balance	2025-05-16	2025-07-25	Developing	+31.0%
Upward Expansion	2024-09-13	2025-05-09	Extended	+34.4%
Deceleration	2024-08-23	2024-09-06	New	+0.3%
Upward Expansion	2024-08-02	2024-08-16	New	+0.5%
Rotation Up	2024-06-07	2024-07-26	Developing	+17.4%
Deceleration	2024-05-03	2024-05-31	Developing	+21.3%
Rotation Down	2024-04-05	2024-04-26	New	-9.3%
Deceleration	2024-02-16	2024-03-29	Developing	-29.2%
Upward Expansion	2023-08-25	2024-02-09	Established	+101.3%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing42

Stage 2 · Advancing29

Stage 3 · Distribution51

Stage 4 · Declining71

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^NSEI

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 69/100
Current Relative Strength: 1.40
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -4.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -6.2%
Financial Services regime cohort: 3th percentile61 in cohort

Test TEAMGTY trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.09×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.65×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore TEAMGTY Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity INR 238.48rising

Slow Activity INR 238.06falling

Trend Reference INR 244.51-1.3% close margin

Current Fair Value INR 181.84+32.8% close margin

Structural low INR 215.31shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +5.5%

Annualized volatility +21.4%

From structural high -27.4%

From structural low +12.1%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^NSEI	Regime survived	Read
Near term	7	+4.8%-3.9% to +22.3%	+85.7%	+14.3%	+7.4%	+71.4%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	3	+24.2%+2.3% to +26.6%	+100.0%	+0.0%	+18.1%	+33.3%	Too little matched history
Extended	2	+32.2%+28.0% to +36.3%	+100.0%	+0.0%	+19.5%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	1	+44.4%+44.4% to +44.4%	+100.0%	+0.0%	+22.6%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

TEAMGTY Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map