Weekly structural research ยท NASDAQ ยท Healthcare

GPCR Stage Analysis

Structure Therapeutics Inc. American Depositary Shares

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 25.54Tenure NewBenchmark QQQ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction -87โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 94/100directional strength
Maturity 26/100lifecycle context
Confidence 79/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -100.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -35.5%USD 39.60 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0925.5444.62-55.715872195Downward Expansion-8794
2026-10-0227.6745.56-52.119516559Downward Expansion-9091
2026-09-2535.9346.57-37.526733420Downward Expansion-7578
2026-09-1835.0047.47-37.037345703Balance-7065
2026-09-1138.6648.52-29.657017886Balance-5035
2026-09-0447.3449.57-13.954179517Balance15
2026-08-2847.3750.49-12.993143994Balance-2015
2026-08-2149.0951.85-8.713724638Balance-412
2026-08-1454.5153.23-0.303339971Balance1017
2026-08-0753.1454.37-0.712581821Balance611
2026-07-3148.0454.88-4.562234090Balance-714
2026-07-2449.1255.55-0.882643723Balance-422
2026-07-1748.4856.19-2.703310769Balance-326
2026-07-1053.3656.743.623173593Downward Expansion528
2026-07-0353.4557.206.804223521Downward Expansion-1427
2026-06-2649.7156.571.255063035Downward Expansion-4128
2026-06-1944.5156.11-12.663607200Downward Expansion-4944
2026-06-1242.9355.77-13.055365933Downward Expansion-6254
2026-06-0537.5855.56-21.733162445Downward Expansion-6979
2026-05-2939.3455.40-21.461765778Downward Expansion-6681
2026-05-2239.1955.20-19.243899110Rotation Down-7084
2026-05-1538.6954.78-19.163003087Rotation Down-4774
2026-05-0839.1054.40-18.424230857Rotation Down-5068
2026-05-0142.2154.10-7.025619121Rotation Down-4640
2026-04-2445.4953.601.954161927Rotation Down-3332
2026-04-1750.7552.9216.854077401Rotation Down-2533
2026-04-1054.5152.0134.394625186Rotation Down-2340
2026-04-0353.4850.8939.925716389Deceleration-2447
2026-03-2745.9249.8527.004839754Deceleration-1843
2026-03-2048.5948.9631.607373291Deceleration-1432
2026-03-1353.7547.9944.453557994Deceleration626
2026-03-0657.7346.8755.803966261Deceleration2727
2026-02-2762.9845.4970.523693987Deceleration3827
2026-02-2066.5543.9883.023710011Upward Expansion4738
2026-02-1370.0742.3699.003772541Upward Expansion6357
2026-02-0674.9240.66115.086556030Upward Expansion6766
2026-01-3088.4538.80154.963148849Upward Expansion7774
2026-01-2390.3736.53167.955996446Upward Expansion8681
2026-01-1688.6434.22172.308667898Upward Expansion9289
2026-01-0968.6131.99116.145344627Upward Expansion7088
2026-01-0268.1230.43124.392742989Upward Expansion7690
2025-12-2668.3428.86126.264713041Upward Expansion8689
2025-12-1964.9427.31122.417228211Upward Expansion9181
2025-12-1267.0625.96135.8631056305Upward Expansion9572
2025-12-0534.5624.5721.784965476Upward Expansion6666
2025-11-2835.8124.2727.004069907Upward Expansion7283
2025-11-2134.3223.9727.339728143Upward Expansion6884
2025-11-1436.8223.6231.936105937Upward Expansion8789
2025-11-0732.8423.1217.073878347Upward Expansion7869
2025-10-3133.3222.5614.164227745Upward Expansion8784
2025-10-2426.3921.95-9.043561106Upward Expansion6578
2025-10-1727.3821.73-4.875108499Upward Expansion6783
2025-10-1030.0721.515.545408835Upward Expansion9192
2025-10-0327.2821.21-7.425575041Rotation Up7679
2025-09-2625.0021.06-15.575353256Rotation Up4253
2025-09-1923.5821.02-22.064891204Downward Expansion3230
2025-09-1220.9121.02-30.664193601Downward Expansion-2020
2025-09-0522.0821.14-26.8211267095Downward Expansion-1417
2025-08-2919.3021.32-36.442200075Downward Expansion-4227
2025-08-2219.6121.67-36.663703063Downward Expansion-5637
2025-08-1520.1221.96-36.724751685Downward Expansion-6259
2025-08-0816.3122.19-49.236562547Downward Expansion-7878
2025-08-0117.5922.49-44.113424549Downward Expansion-7273
2025-07-2517.9422.83-45.163324951Downward Expansion-7167
2025-07-1819.2523.20-41.634769196Downward Expansion-6458
2025-07-1119.0123.49-42.473631856Balance-6550
2025-07-0420.3623.89-39.661643541Balance-5841
2025-06-2721.0824.33-37.414409218Balance-4431
2025-06-2021.7324.73-33.712621477Balance-4028
2025-06-1321.6825.12-34.974807093Balance-3825
2025-06-0621.1325.53-38.104316736Balance-3820
2025-05-3021.7626.10-36.374448250Balance-1915
2025-05-2324.5526.74-27.542304434Downward Expansion-521
2025-05-1625.1727.18-28.154044591Downward Expansion-1627
2025-05-0925.5727.66-22.703565253Downward Expansion-1525
2025-05-0227.0928.08-18.924845130Downward Expansion-2118
2025-04-2523.7428.61-27.235717280Downward Expansion-6046
2025-04-1821.7629.21-29.828674349Downward Expansion-6559
2025-04-1115.9029.88-50.424908413Downward Expansion-7987
2025-04-0415.1230.71-50.066319355Downward Expansion-8990
2025-03-2819.7731.44-42.063887643Downward Expansion-7681
2025-03-2120.9732.05-40.842206940Downward Expansion-7480
2025-03-1421.0532.68-41.284504875Downward Expansion-7781
2025-03-0722.6233.22-39.054322895Downward Expansion-7277
2025-02-2823.7533.59-38.675200276Downward Expansion-6967
2025-02-2123.7633.99-41.402718655Downward Expansion-7255
2025-02-1424.3934.49-41.913712583Downward Expansion-7248
2025-02-0727.4034.92-33.843681442Downward Expansion-6041
2025-01-3129.9735.47-28.604542631Downward Expansion-5946
2025-01-2428.2235.73-34.412765745Downward Expansion-6359
2025-01-1727.0636.10-36.865206880Downward Expansion-6571
2025-01-1025.2636.72-40.013111135Downward Expansion-7881
2025-01-0327.7637.48-36.452529483Downward Expansion-7274
2024-12-2729.0438.33-34.822403890Downward Expansion-7072
2024-12-2027.9038.50-37.447796471Downward Expansion-7974
2024-12-1331.2538.80-32.014363168Downward Expansion-7068
2024-12-0633.3538.97-28.284428578Downward Expansion-6064
2024-11-2933.1539.05-27.872788645Downward Expansion-6463
2024-11-2233.4139.25-28.105694109Balance-6454
2024-11-1534.1739.44-26.143878109Balance-6443
2024-11-0838.0239.51-21.783283750Balance-109
2024-11-0141.1439.56-12.013867414Balance47
2024-10-2537.5939.57-22.542520590Balance-1810
2024-10-1839.5039.74-20.394210398Balance67
2024-10-1138.3239.85-24.223178284Balance312
2024-10-0442.9939.75-15.542893044Balance5436
2024-09-2741.7539.55-18.834525083Balance1314
2024-09-2041.9239.53-18.494011207Balance37
2024-09-1340.8439.48-19.534723072Downward Expansion-2112
2024-09-0636.9539.65-22.911431675Downward Expansion-3717
2024-08-3038.1340.05-24.962303209Downward Expansion-4422
2024-08-2339.7940.24-22.282953444Downward Expansion-4728
2024-08-1637.1240.33-26.733054703Downward Expansion-5039
2024-08-0933.7740.45-29.703259245Downward Expansion-5945
2024-08-0235.88โ€”โ€”3172394Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-2638.65โ€”โ€”3698852Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-1937.44โ€”โ€”8365328Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-1243.88โ€”โ€”4628660Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-0537.77โ€”โ€”2635335Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-2839.27โ€”โ€”6728393Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-2145.57โ€”โ€”3309768Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-1448.17โ€”โ€”7075443Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-0753.07โ€”โ€”24022597Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-3134.20โ€”โ€”2127033Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-2437.06โ€”โ€”2956542Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-1736.15โ€”โ€”2550787Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-1035.82โ€”โ€”2086387Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-0339.29โ€”โ€”2544227Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-04-2638.94โ€”โ€”2574384Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-04-1936.36โ€”โ€”2004761Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-04-1239.32โ€”โ€”2704511Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-04-0541.46โ€”โ€”1629894Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-03-2942.86โ€”โ€”2869867Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-03-2242.88โ€”โ€”4988243Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-03-1535.25โ€”โ€”3261425Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-03-0836.86โ€”โ€”5708260Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-03-0141.24โ€”โ€”2983238Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-02-2340.51โ€”โ€”1184042Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-02-1645.80โ€”โ€”2329783Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-02-0949.00โ€”โ€”1814124Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-02-0243.78โ€”โ€”1935613Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-01-2642.50โ€”โ€”2109313Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-01-1940.77โ€”โ€”1810626Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-01-1245.80โ€”โ€”3415488Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-01-0542.36โ€”โ€”3061774Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-12-2940.76โ€”โ€”3126211Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-12-2235.59โ€”โ€”21966193Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-12-1559.16โ€”โ€”3788977Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-12-0861.87โ€”โ€”2832582Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-12-0159.57โ€”โ€”3477920Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-11-2451.52โ€”โ€”1440873Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-11-1753.77โ€”โ€”6225279Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-11-1054.87โ€”โ€”4193597Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-11-0369.88โ€”โ€”2756673Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-10-2768.17โ€”โ€”3658869Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-10-2067.52โ€”โ€”2978795Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
Price vs TrendBelow-42.8%
Trend directionFalling-18.7%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-35.5%
Fair Value directionMoving away-72.0%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-55.7%
Relative strength directionWeakening-59.3%
Price momentumNegative-53.1%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.33ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-87 / ยฑ100

-36.7 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

94 /100

+59.5 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance17
Rotation Up8
Upward Expansion22
Deceleration37
Rotation Down88
Downward Expansion100

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 ยท 114 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 24%Rotation Up 2%Upward Expansion 18%Deceleration 5%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 46%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-09-252026-10-09New-28.9%
Balance2026-07-172026-09-18Developing-27.8%
Downward Expansion2026-05-292026-07-10Developing+35.6%
Rotation Down2026-04-102026-05-22Developing-28.1%
Deceleration2026-02-272026-04-03Developing-15.1%
Upward Expansion2025-10-102026-02-20Established+121.3%
Rotation Up2025-09-262025-10-03New+9.1%
Downward Expansion2025-07-182025-09-19Developing+22.5%
Balance2025-05-302025-07-11Developing-12.6%
Downward Expansion2024-11-292025-05-23Established-25.9%
Balance2024-09-202024-11-22Developing-20.3%
Downward Expansion2024-08-092024-09-13Developing+20.9%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing49
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution21
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
99/100
Current Relative Strength
-55.71
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
-53.1%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-76.1%
Healthcare regime cohort
62th percentile286 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.33ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.33ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 4

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity USD 30.32falling
Slow Activity USD 43.06falling
Trend Reference USD 44.62-42.8% close margin
Current Fair Value USD 39.60-35.5% close margin
Structural low USD 25.09shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +22.7%
Annualized volatility +64.0%
From structural high -73.1%
From structural low +1.8%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs QQQ Regime survived Read
Near term14+3.8%-15.8% to +43.8%+57.1%+42.9%+1.8%+71.4%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate5+12.6%-28.4% to +42.2%+60.0%+40.0%-1.7%+20.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended3-18.9%-40.5% to +359.4%+33.3%+66.7%-35.3%+66.7%Too little matched history
Full cycle2+87.1%-51.7% to +225.8%+50.0%+50.0%+59.8%+50.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context