Weekly structural research · NYSE · Basic Materials

CC Stage Analysis

Chemours Co

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 13.61Tenure DevelopingBenchmark SPY

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction -75−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 83/100directional strength

Maturity 38/100lifecycle context

Confidence 96/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance -100.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -25.9%USD 18.37 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	13.61	19.08	-27.34	10829977	Downward Expansion	-75	83
2026-10-02	13.71	19.21	-26.05	9867072	Downward Expansion	-77	83
2026-09-25	14.46	19.30	-22.56	8156832	Downward Expansion	-71	80
2026-09-18	14.34	19.42	-22.52	11356471	Downward Expansion	-76	78
2026-09-11	15.03	19.51	-19.29	6800488	Downward Expansion	-71	73
2026-09-04	15.30	19.69	-18.83	8900071	Downward Expansion	-70	71
2026-08-28	15.62	19.78	-17.31	7030508	Downward Expansion	-68	73
2026-08-21	15.97	19.76	-15.28	8621006	Rotation Down	-67	74
2026-08-14	15.85	19.74	-17.25	17822107	Rotation Down	-43	66
2026-08-07	15.66	19.73	-18.24	24105342	Rotation Down	-48	68
2026-07-31	16.52	19.68	-10.65	9796496	Rotation Down	-44	63
2026-07-24	17.13	19.54	-6.08	9414944	Rotation Down	-32	57
2026-07-17	17.42	19.36	-4.91	12091375	Deceleration	-31	46
2026-07-10	17.71	19.17	-4.68	13171059	Deceleration	-13	22
2026-07-03	19.01	19.01	3.83	11528338	Deceleration	-2	10
2026-06-26	20.74	18.80	16.19	19175480	Deceleration	15	13
2026-06-19	21.77	18.53	19.97	9078118	Deceleration	29	19
2026-06-12	22.00	18.17	23.46	9696600	Deceleration	30	22
2026-06-05	20.50	17.83	16.77	10315405	Deceleration	33	24
2026-05-29	22.16	17.56	24.01	8420546	Upward Expansion	40	25
2026-05-22	21.37	17.26	22.56	14579265	Upward Expansion	49	41
2026-05-15	23.13	17.00	35.04	15179185	Upward Expansion	64	57
2026-05-08	22.95	16.66	35.72	24380808	Upward Expansion	66	72
2026-05-01	27.63	16.30	68.87	10960430	Upward Expansion	86	92
2026-04-24	26.51	15.91	65.92	12597489	Upward Expansion	87	91
2026-04-17	23.09	15.54	47.21	9238876	Upward Expansion	76	84
2026-04-10	22.62	15.33	52.24	13869221	Upward Expansion	77	79
2026-04-03	21.47	15.13	51.34	11677620	Upward Expansion	76	60
2026-03-27	21.52	14.92	58.60	15511032	Upward Expansion	79	50
2026-03-20	17.63	14.71	28.18	24544692	Upward Expansion	49	33
2026-03-13	17.50	14.63	25.25	17106428	Upward Expansion	58	39
2026-03-06	16.35	14.52	15.36	16678589	Upward Expansion	60	50
2026-02-27	18.17	14.38	25.71	18000082	Upward Expansion	66	76
2026-02-20	16.89	14.15	16.48	23836469	Upward Expansion	64	75
2026-02-13	20.35	14.05	41.53	19739244	Upward Expansion	92	92
2026-02-06	18.16	13.81	25.09	18583092	Rotation Up	78	82
2026-01-30	14.86	13.65	1.87	13519069	Rotation Up	22	50
2026-01-23	15.62	13.58	6.59	11182953	Balance	33	49
2026-01-16	15.48	13.44	4.46	18429270	Balance	30	26
2026-01-09	14.18	13.28	-5.41	14115178	Deceleration	-18	11
2026-01-02	12.15	13.16	-18.32	7767747	Deceleration	-49	28
2025-12-26	11.99	13.12	-20.88	6221403	Deceleration	-17	15
2025-12-19	11.72	13.05	-22.24	13299237	Rotation Down	-30	18
2025-12-12	12.84	13.00	-15.57	11330795	Rotation Down	-24	20
2025-12-05	12.59	12.93	-18.49	10777277	Rotation Down	-20	29
2025-11-28	12.68	12.87	-18.68	10175248	Rotation Down	-22	41
2025-11-21	10.96	12.85	-28.13	13939348	Rotation Down	-37	53
2025-11-14	11.79	12.89	-25.29	13933502	Deceleration	-30	36
2025-11-07	12.31	12.86	-22.72	24684757	Deceleration	-5	19
2025-10-31	13.18	12.82	-19.49	10506503	Deceleration	3	20
2025-10-24	13.83	12.72	-15.63	11463578	Deceleration	22	22
2025-10-17	12.70	12.70	-21.64	17784389	Deceleration	18	19
2025-10-10	12.35	12.74	-23.22	16085415	Upward Expansion	27	21
2025-10-03	15.88	12.79	-4.80	14063403	Upward Expansion	62	54
2025-09-26	15.41	12.72	-7.17	12876661	Upward Expansion	64	69
2025-09-19	16.74	12.69	-0.32	18386782	Upward Expansion	75	81
2025-09-12	16.49	12.66	-1.09	15067231	Rotation Up	77	81
2025-09-05	15.41	12.65	-6.46	13251597	Rotation Up	41	65
2025-08-29	15.16	12.72	-8.19	11596972	Rotation Up	43	54
2025-08-22	15.13	12.82	-9.05	16898970	Balance	43	30
2025-08-15	14.39	12.94	-13.83	26942199	Balance	31	21
2025-08-08	11.93	13.08	-28.40	26854170	Balance	-7	11
2025-08-01	11.25	13.24	-31.44	19990910	Balance	-10	21
2025-07-25	13.86	13.40	-18.64	18547239	Balance	13	35
2025-07-18	13.27	13.48	-22.10	14645715	Balance	5	24
2025-07-11	13.52	13.60	-21.17	26046912	Downward Expansion	6	17
2025-07-04	12.65	13.75	-27.44	18037546	Downward Expansion	-29	18
2025-06-27	11.47	14.00	-33.90	39614828	Downward Expansion	-44	31
2025-06-20	10.50	14.31	-38.24	15349044	Downward Expansion	-60	46
2025-06-13	10.74	14.64	-37.82	16203004	Downward Expansion	-61	51
2025-06-06	10.88	14.89	-38.25	24652178	Downward Expansion	-63	55
2025-05-30	9.91	15.15	-43.72	17613379	Downward Expansion	-72	62
2025-05-23	10.08	15.38	-42.77	19030843	Downward Expansion	-73	58
2025-05-16	10.93	15.62	-40.64	22091617	Downward Expansion	-66	53
2025-05-09	10.74	15.87	-39.82	26799276	Downward Expansion	-72	58
2025-05-02	12.13	16.15	-33.60	11085442	Downward Expansion	-64	59
2025-04-25	12.01	16.36	-33.45	12459139	Downward Expansion	-67	72
2025-04-18	11.03	16.61	-37.11	7905567	Downward Expansion	-74	85
2025-04-11	10.95	16.83	-39.41	18220308	Downward Expansion	-81	88
2025-04-04	10.31	17.03	-40.66	19921154	Downward Expansion	-93	94
2025-03-28	13.32	17.24	-31.38	11259764	Downward Expansion	-74	86
2025-03-21	13.69	17.40	-31.38	38792266	Downward Expansion	-75	87
2025-03-14	13.98	17.55	-30.53	17770336	Downward Expansion	-75	85
2025-03-07	13.71	17.67	-34.31	14245367	Downward Expansion	-82	83
2025-02-28	14.51	17.78	-33.41	12870998	Downward Expansion	-78	75
2025-02-21	16.00	17.93	-27.79	8657295	Downward Expansion	-63	55
2025-02-14	16.07	18.15	-29.66	12068027	Downward Expansion	-51	24
2025-02-07	17.43	18.34	-23.56	6347129	Downward Expansion	-30	19
2025-01-31	18.13	18.52	-21.69	8984738	Downward Expansion	-27	16
2025-01-24	18.78	18.60	-20.79	5905000	Downward Expansion	-35	19
2025-01-17	18.52	18.68	-21.62	6639062	Downward Expansion	-48	51
2025-01-10	16.84	18.77	-27.52	8336912	Downward Expansion	-58	64
2025-01-03	15.94	18.96	-33.69	5294976	Balance	-69	59
2024-12-27	16.24	19.18	-33.86	4292920	Balance	-65	41
2024-12-20	16.92	19.41	-31.74	11214021	Balance	-44	17
2024-12-13	18.18	19.67	-29.09	13299148	Balance	-11	20
2024-12-06	20.05	19.96	-23.29	6751762	Balance	18	27
2024-11-29	20.76	20.18	-20.79	5009798	Balance	8	20
2024-11-22	20.56	20.30	-21.51	8368787	Downward Expansion	-1	4
2024-11-15	18.04	20.46	-30.57	6481208	Downward Expansion	-51	36
2024-11-08	18.65	20.65	-30.46	13944600	Downward Expansion	-51	36
2024-11-01	16.79	20.84	-34.96	8067229	Downward Expansion	-66	43
2024-10-25	17.26	21.11	-34.75	7673280	Downward Expansion	-49	28
2024-10-18	18.52	21.35	-31.34	7085094	Downward Expansion	-34	22
2024-10-11	19.20	21.58	-28.85	6351632	Downward Expansion	-38	22
2024-10-04	18.44	21.78	-31.49	6849230	Downward Expansion	-44	32
2024-09-27	19.53	21.96	-27.98	8576673	Downward Expansion	-48	41
2024-09-20	17.62	21.95	-35.31	6828210	Downward Expansion	-62	55
2024-09-13	16.91	22.26	-37.86	7761726	Downward Expansion	-68	66
2024-09-06	16.46	22.56	-37.97	5814752	Downward Expansion	-76	80
2024-08-30	18.32	22.93	-34.74	4853094	Downward Expansion	-64	79
2024-08-23	18.19	23.25	-35.99	4468917	Downward Expansion	-64	80
2024-08-16	17.57	23.60	-38.12	5803939	Downward Expansion	-74	79
2024-08-09	16.85	23.90	-39.13	12115137	Downward Expansion	-84	67
2024-08-02	19.10	24.26	-31.96	9768333	Downward Expansion	-74	44
2024-07-26	22.62	24.58	-22.28	5277642	Downward Expansion	-45	32
2024-07-19	21.83	24.78	-26.42	4814996	Downward Expansion	-59	45
2024-07-12	22.79	25.02	-25.70	5635184	Downward Expansion	-63	66
2024-07-05	20.56	25.19	-33.20	3920434	Downward Expansion	-75	81
2024-06-28	20.99	25.39	-31.45	7359463	Downward Expansion	-75	78
2024-06-21	21.30	25.59	-31.33	6385624	Downward Expansion	-72	73
2024-06-14	22.67	25.69	-27.22	10108354	Downward Expansion	-61	63
2024-06-07	22.48	25.76	-27.36	6922825	Balance	-65	53
2024-05-31	23.08	25.75	-25.11	4684409	Balance	-46	20
2024-05-24	24.71	25.76	-20.87	4228457	Balance	-20	13
2024-05-17	26.87	25.64	-14.39	4746837	Balance	10	12
2024-05-10	26.64	25.50	-14.08	5970960	Balance	5	4
2024-05-03	24.50	25.39	-19.83	8474847	Balance	-11	9
2024-04-26	25.19	25.36	-17.52	4921167	Balance	-9	8
2024-04-19	23.89	25.37	-20.05	5599100	Balance	-14	12
2024-04-12	24.41	25.48	-21.15	4566613	Balance	-9	7
2024-04-05	24.91	25.63	-21.16	10133828	Balance	1	4
2024-03-29	24.21	25.77	-24.41	11179106	Balance	-21	16
2024-03-22	25.69	26.02	-20.02	7369128	Downward Expansion	-25	37
2024-03-15	25.02	26.15	-20.75	8510835	Downward Expansion	-45	48
2024-03-08	23.82	26.29	-25.00	16764190	Downward Expansion	-43	45
2024-03-01	19.16	26.53	-40.31	36053815	Downward Expansion	-67	48
2024-02-23	27.18	27.00	-15.65	4030288	Balance	3	7
2024-02-16	25.71	27.19	-19.46	10911774	Balance	-5	6
2024-02-09	27.51	27.49	-14.77	4057691	Balance	12	10
2024-02-02	28.02	27.72	-12.53	4674352	Rotation Up	6	9
2024-01-26	28.61	27.89	-10.00	6663132	Rotation Up	23	18
2024-01-19	26.71	28.05	-15.56	3716037	Rotation Up	-0	14
2024-01-12	27.60	28.16	-12.25	3823902	Rotation Up	22	42
2024-01-05	28.60	28.26	-7.86	5771632	Rotation Up	26	37
2023-12-29	28.83	28.26	-8.90	3105477	Rotation Up	11	32
2023-12-22	29.06	28.31	-8.16	6265254	Downward Expansion	14	30
2023-12-15	27.83	28.20	-11.53	8075449	Downward Expansion	-10	23
2023-12-08	26.42	28.16	-14.30	4433728	Downward Expansion	-30	31
2023-12-01	27.13	28.13	-12.03	8243605	Downward Expansion	-37	25
2023-11-24	24.11	28.10	-21.42	3214920	Downward Expansion	-50	44
2023-11-17	24.94	28.16	-18.37	8234479	Downward Expansion	-64	59
2023-11-10	22.12	28.17	-26.34	5063586	Downward Expansion	-71	82
2023-11-03	23.26	28.31	-22.04	7529890	Downward Expansion	-68	86
2023-10-27	21.36	28.39	-24.62	7578770	Rotation Down	-84	94
2023-10-20	22.63	28.56	-22.43	4988999	Rotation Down	-55	83

Price vs TrendBelow-28.7%

Trend directionFalling-3.0%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-25.9%

Fair Value directionMoving away-16.7%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-27.3%

Relative strength directionWeakening-22.7%

Price momentumNegative-39.8%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.31×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-75 / ±100

-3.3 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

83 /100

+10.1 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

CC Directional State ↗ CC Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance0

Rotation Up22

Upward Expansion20

Deceleration38

Rotation Down69

Downward Expansion98

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 18%Rotation Up 7%Upward Expansion 13%Deceleration 10%Rotation Down 8%Downward Expansion 45%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-08-28	2026-10-09	Developing	-12.9%
Rotation Down	2026-07-24	2026-08-21	Developing	-6.7%
Deceleration	2026-06-05	2026-07-17	Developing	-15.0%
Upward Expansion	2026-02-13	2026-05-29	Established	+8.9%
Rotation Up	2026-01-30	2026-02-06	New	+22.2%
Balance	2026-01-16	2026-01-23	New	+0.9%
Deceleration	2025-12-26	2026-01-09	New	+18.3%
Rotation Down	2025-11-21	2025-12-19	Developing	+7.0%
Deceleration	2025-10-17	2025-11-14	Developing	-7.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-09-19	2025-10-10	New	-26.2%
Rotation Up	2025-08-29	2025-09-12	New	+8.8%
Balance	2025-07-18	2025-08-22	Developing	+14.0%
Downward Expansion	2025-01-10	2025-07-11	Extended	-19.7%
Balance	2024-11-29	2025-01-03	Developing	-23.2%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing51

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution31

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus SPY

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 99/100
Current Relative Strength: -27.34
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -39.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -54.7%
Basic Materials regime cohort: 89th percentile46 in cohort

Test CC trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.96×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.31×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore CC Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 14.00falling

Slow Activity USD 17.30falling

Trend Reference USD 19.08-28.7% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 18.37-25.9% close margin

Structural low USD 13.14shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +10.3%

Annualized volatility +42.6%

From structural high -52.3%

From structural low +31.5%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs SPY	Regime survived	Read
Near term	22	+5.4%-26.1% to +26.4%	+68.2%	+31.8%	+1.2%	+68.2%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	+18.6%-35.0% to +55.4%	+70.0%	+30.0%	+6.3%	+30.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	+5.1%-19.8% to +20.0%	+66.7%	+33.3%	-10.1%	+16.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	-18.3%-27.8% to +5.4%	+25.0%	+75.0%	-32.4%	+50.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

CC Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map