Weekly structural research · TWO · Consumer Defensive

2732 Stage Analysis

La Kaffa International Co., Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close TWD 63.20Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^TWII

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction -35−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 17/100directional strength

Maturity 47/100lifecycle context

Confidence 75/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance -33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -25.6%TWD 84.96 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	63.20	64.52	-31.20	103255	Downward Expansion	-35	17
2026-10-02	63.40	64.53	-30.75	99789	Downward Expansion	-37	20
2026-09-25	63.20	64.48	-31.33	152458	Downward Expansion	-39	23
2026-09-18	62.30	64.49	-32.06	104316	Downward Expansion	-47	30
2026-09-11	62.50	64.55	-31.37	89096	Downward Expansion	-56	35
2026-09-04	63.20	64.62	-32.22	17017	Downward Expansion	-55	42
2026-08-28	62.82	64.69	-33.32	10000	Downward Expansion	-60	64
2026-08-21	62.52	64.83	-33.04	10003	Downward Expansion	-61	69
2026-08-14	61.07	64.98	-36.37	33007	Downward Expansion	-75	73
2026-08-07	62.04	65.15	-34.10	14016	Downward Expansion	-66	60
2026-07-31	62.23	65.34	-33.19	19000	Balance	-64	46
2026-07-24	64.60	65.55	-32.50	12083	Balance	-37	15
2026-07-17	65.30	65.70	-31.20	53000	Balance	-30	12
2026-07-10	64.90	65.86	-36.60	146304	Balance	-34	15
2026-07-03	65.60	66.12	-38.83	140370	Balance	-32	14
2026-06-26	65.50	66.38	-36.98	225564	Balance	-46	23
2026-06-19	64.20	66.41	-41.78	135247	Balance	-53	36
2026-06-12	65.10	66.60	-39.07	407353	Balance	-44	26
2026-06-05	65.00	66.78	-41.51	263056	Balance	-37	22
2026-05-29	64.20	67.01	-42.91	317065	Balance	-41	21
2026-05-22	65.40	67.27	-39.60	140027	Balance	-31	15
2026-05-15	65.80	67.55	-38.71	226102	Balance	-26	13
2026-05-08	66.90	67.86	-39.49	408726	Balance	-11	9
2026-05-01	65.40	67.97	-37.97	96182	Balance	-20	11
2026-04-24	65.90	68.14	-38.70	290000	Balance	-16	11
2026-04-17	68.30	68.27	-34.05	301165	Downward Expansion	-11	15
2026-04-10	65.50	68.37	-35.34	152035	Downward Expansion	-31	23
2026-04-03	65.50	68.61	-30.71	126180	Downward Expansion	-35	23
2026-03-27	67.24	68.79	-30.95	222050	Downward Expansion	-43	29
2026-03-20	66.66	68.92	-33.30	270325	Downward Expansion	-60	48
2026-03-13	63.75	69.10	-36.78	289313	Downward Expansion	-66	75
2026-03-06	61.62	69.44	-40.11	181427	Downward Expansion	-86	91
2026-02-27	63.65	69.77	-42.08	166576	Downward Expansion	-75	78
2026-02-13	64.24	70.07	-39.18	102134	Downward Expansion	-73	68
2026-02-06	64.53	70.37	-36.17	166000	Downward Expansion	-74	65
2026-01-30	65.30	70.67	-36.67	215187	Downward Expansion	-73	71
2026-01-23	66.95	70.96	-35.52	254000	Downward Expansion	-64	69
2026-01-16	66.95	71.33	-35.06	157078	Downward Expansion	-67	71
2026-01-09	66.37	71.76	-33.94	209177	Downward Expansion	-72	71
2026-01-02	67.53	72.31	-31.39	95178	Downward Expansion	-63	53
2025-12-26	68.51	72.88	-29.19	70095	Downward Expansion	-58	31
2025-12-19	69.28	73.40	-26.93	124051	Downward Expansion	-53	22
2025-12-12	70.15	73.93	-28.00	183154	Downward Expansion	-51	26
2025-12-05	72.68	74.45	-25.51	155171	Downward Expansion	-43	27
2025-11-28	73.36	74.95	-24.57	394312	Downward Expansion	-47	36
2025-11-21	66.47	75.45	-29.18	207193	Downward Expansion	-83	73
2025-11-14	69.86	76.17	-28.80	94147	Downward Expansion	-66	44
2025-11-07	70.54	76.70	-29.30	137285	Downward Expansion	-53	30
2025-10-31	71.90	77.13	-30.02	169179	Downward Expansion	-37	23
2025-10-24	72.00	77.59	-28.72	107168	Downward Expansion	-38	21
2025-10-17	73.74	78.10	-26.94	135000	Downward Expansion	-41	26
2025-10-10	75.01	78.61	-26.26	584080	Downward Expansion	-48	38
2025-10-03	70.25	79.09	-30.13	96424	Downward Expansion	-67	59
2025-09-26	70.35	79.86	-27.42	156443	Downward Expansion	-67	56
2025-09-19	69.86	80.56	-28.47	212118	Downward Expansion	-74	60
2025-09-12	71.22	81.29	-27.37	163034	Downward Expansion	-66	57
2025-09-05	72.68	81.92	-23.53	175968	Downward Expansion	-63	57
2025-08-29	70.95	82.51	-25.05	121382	Downward Expansion	-71	64
2025-08-22	71.33	83.07	-23.65	239364	Downward Expansion	-72	66
2025-08-15	72.00	83.68	-25.17	169307	Downward Expansion	-72	77
2025-08-08	74.00	84.30	-22.57	196106	Downward Expansion	-67	81
2025-08-01	71.43	84.95	-23.83	122850	Downward Expansion	-77	90
2025-07-25	72.66	85.74	-22.71	104091	Downward Expansion	-75	90
2025-07-18	73.33	86.49	-22.43	97278	Downward Expansion	-76	90
2025-07-11	73.52	87.26	-20.45	75070	Downward Expansion	-81	89
2025-07-04	73.90	88.00	-19.75	160543	Downward Expansion	-81	77
2025-06-27	77.99	88.74	-15.83	90300	Downward Expansion	-73	64
2025-06-20	79.89	89.38	-12.05	97202	Downward Expansion	-70	57
2025-06-13	83.03	89.84	-9.05	149466	Downward Expansion	-60	47
2025-06-06	84.46	90.17	-6.10	199200	Downward Expansion	-55	39
2025-05-30	84.27	90.50	-5.34	112067	Downward Expansion	-55	32
2025-05-23	85.03	90.88	-6.24	67030	Downward Expansion	-53	27
2025-05-16	85.69	91.24	-6.81	311055	Downward Expansion	-41	20
2025-05-09	87.79	91.57	-0.92	333111	Downward Expansion	-37	20
2025-05-02	88.36	91.91	-0.25	164120	Downward Expansion	-51	32
2025-04-25	88.17	92.24	3.59	245242	Downward Expansion	-57	41
2025-04-18	85.79	92.46	2.94	491974	Downward Expansion	-61	61
2025-04-11	83.22	92.74	-1.20	1307876	Downward Expansion	-73	66
2025-04-04	85.69	93.10	-7.29	229047	Downward Expansion	-74	71
2025-03-28	87.30	93.48	-7.53	259350	Downward Expansion	-69	50
2025-03-21	89.25	93.68	-8.71	105202	Downward Expansion	-49	28
2025-03-14	89.15	93.81	-8.56	209223	Downward Expansion	-47	23
2025-03-07	93.41	93.86	-7.42	220473	Downward Expansion	-32	18
2025-02-28	91.47	93.85	-11.94	129097	Downward Expansion	-43	30
2025-02-21	91.74	93.90	-14.99	256083	Downward Expansion	-57	44
2025-02-14	90.08	93.96	-15.13	170070	Downward Expansion	-62	70
2025-02-07	90.26	94.27	-16.92	302547	Downward Expansion	-64	74
2025-01-24	88.04	94.69	-19.93	260000	Downward Expansion	-81	80
2025-01-17	89.34	95.05	-18.35	268000	Downward Expansion	-76	71
2025-01-10	90.73	95.43	-17.48	358000	Balance	-69	55
2025-01-03	93.41	95.73	-15.55	137000	Balance	-43	24
2024-12-27	95.26	95.98	-16.02	97000	Balance	-16	7
2024-12-20	95.26	96.20	-13.78	481000	Balance	-15	9
2024-12-13	96.18	96.55	-15.41	244000	Balance	-9	11
2024-12-06	95.72	96.91	-16.99	128000	Balance	-16	9
2024-11-29	96.18	97.38	-13.73	163000	Balance	-18	11
2024-11-22	97.11	97.89	-15.85	268756	Balance	-26	19
2024-11-15	93.87	98.27	-18.58	221000	Balance	-43	37
2024-11-08	92.94	98.51	-22.74	415000	Balance	-47	35
2024-11-01	94.33	99.05	-19.53	249000	Balance	-37	21
2024-10-25	95.72	99.73	-20.85	120000	Balance	-17	9
2024-10-18	95.72	100.34	-21.78	278000	Balance	-16	13
2024-10-11	95.72	100.97	-20.18	184000	Balance	-18	13
2024-10-04	98.03	101.66	-16.49	204000	Downward Expansion	-29	16
2024-09-27	98.03	102.13	-18.85	438000	Downward Expansion	-35	20
2024-09-20	94.79	102.67	-19.73	111000	Downward Expansion	-39	25
2024-09-13	94.33	103.38	-19.18	203000	Downward Expansion	-42	29
2024-09-06	93.87	103.81	-18.89	333000	Downward Expansion	-47	34
2024-08-30	97.09	104.39	-19.80	582000	Downward Expansion	-58	44
2024-08-23	93.47	104.93	-22.99	135000	Downward Expansion	-63	55
2024-08-16	93.02	105.70	-24.65	259000	Downward Expansion	-65	72
2024-08-09	90.76	106.44	-24.09	970000	Downward Expansion	-75	82
2024-08-02	93.02	107.25	-23.54	479000	Downward Expansion	-74	81
2024-07-26	93.02	107.90	-25.93	349000	Downward Expansion	-79	76
2024-07-19	93.47	108.32	-28.69	947000	Downward Expansion	-81	58
2024-07-12	99.34	108.63	-28.28	984000	Downward Expansion	-64	44
2024-07-05	102.96	108.78	-25.38	1210000	Downward Expansion	-61	54
2024-06-28	98.89	108.83	-27.57	448000	Downward Expansion	-70	74
2024-06-21	100.70	108.96	-27.97	557000	Downward Expansion	-66	74
2024-06-14	99.79	108.99	-27.21	411000	Rotation Down	-72	74
2024-06-07	100.70	109.17	-25.44	1026000	Rotation Down	-42	55
2024-05-31	102.05	109.11	-23.09	685000	Balance	-38	37
2024-05-24	105.66	108.96	-22.94	576000	Balance	-19	13
2024-05-17	107.02	108.48	-21.81	734000	Balance	-14	10
2024-05-10	109.73	107.90	-18.76	596000	Balance	9	14
2024-05-03	111.54	107.37	-17.02	492000	Balance	8	17
2024-04-26	108.37	106.92	-19.72	666000	Balance	10	17
2024-04-19	101.15	106.67	-23.64	934000	Balance	-7	14
2024-04-12	109.28	106.61	-23.15	1249000	Upward Expansion	31	16
2024-04-05	114.70	106.46	-18.66	478000	Upward Expansion	51	30
2024-03-29	113.84	106.12	-19.89	530000	Upward Expansion	50	28
2024-03-22	114.72	105.93	-19.90	705000	Upward Expansion	52	31
2024-03-15	116.48	105.74	-17.23	5018000	Deceleration	58	35
2024-03-08	112.09	105.42	-21.45	2777000	Deceleration	39	24
2024-03-01	114.28	105.56	-17.06	785000	Deceleration	45	27
2024-02-23	116.04	105.79	-16.31	3155000	Rotation Up	53	30
2024-02-16	107.25	105.95	-22.01	799000	Rotation Up	44	29
2024-02-09	111.21	106.45	-17.42	160000	Rotation Up	32	41
2024-02-02	113.40	107.11	-15.94	2071000	Rotation Up	36	57
2024-01-26	116.48	107.82	-13.60	1536000	Rotation Up	43	63
2024-01-19	115.16	108.81	-13.42	2342062	Rotation Up	34	53
2024-01-12	115.16	109.85	-12.97	2207000	Balance	37	41
2024-01-05	112.53	111.16	-15.13	3365000	Balance	14	20
2023-12-29	105.49	112.56	-22.46	947000	Balance	-7	12
2023-12-22	102.86	114.40	-23.26	1014000	Balance	-17	16
2023-12-15	103.73	115.96	-23.21	881000	Downward Expansion	-19	18
2023-12-08	104.61	117.55	-21.62	1927000	Downward Expansion	-29	26
2023-12-01	102.86	119.21	-23.33	1043000	Downward Expansion	-35	28
2023-11-24	101.54	121.28	-23.77	1654000	Downward Expansion	-41	30
2023-11-17	105.05	122.71	-20.96	2784000	Downward Expansion	-49	46
2023-11-10	98.90	123.89	-23.30	1608000	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2023-11-03	97.58	125.49	-23.63	2766000	Downward Expansion	-67	66
2023-10-27	91.43	127.11	-26.89	458000	Downward Expansion	-75	88
2023-10-20	89.67	129.17	-29.81	841000	Downward Expansion	-86	92
2023-10-13	93.62	131.12	-28.53	569000	Downward Expansion	-83	87
2023-10-06	98.02	132.70	-24.48	480000	Downward Expansion	-77	77

Price vs TrendBelow-2.0%

Trend directionFalling-1.3%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-25.6%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+1.6%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-31.2%

Relative strength directionImproving+5.4%

Price momentumNegative-3.5%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.91×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-35 / ±100

+21.3 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

17 /100

-17.7 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

2732 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance44

Rotation Up24

Upward Expansion18

Deceleration45

Rotation Down30

Downward Expansion56

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 26%Rotation Up 4%Upward Expansion 3%Deceleration 2%Rotation Down 1%Downward Expansion 65%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-08-07	2026-10-09	Developing	+1.9%
Balance	2026-04-24	2026-07-31	Established	-5.6%
Downward Expansion	2025-01-17	2026-04-17	Extended	-23.5%
Balance	2024-10-11	2025-01-10	Established	-5.2%
Downward Expansion	2024-06-21	2024-10-04	Established	-2.6%
Rotation Down	2024-06-07	2024-06-14	New	-0.9%
Balance	2024-04-19	2024-05-31	Developing	+0.9%
Upward Expansion	2024-03-22	2024-04-12	New	-4.7%
Deceleration	2024-03-01	2024-03-15	New	+1.9%
Rotation Up	2024-01-19	2024-02-23	Developing	+0.8%
Balance	2023-12-22	2024-01-12	New	+12.0%
Downward Expansion	2023-08-25	2023-12-15	Established	-4.8%
Rotation Down	2023-07-28	2023-08-18	New	-11.7%
Balance	2023-07-07	2023-07-21	New	-9.2%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing83

Stage 2 · Advancing17

Stage 3 · Distribution31

Stage 4 · Declining83

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 87/100
Current Relative Strength: -31.20
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -3.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -42.7%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 11th percentile37 in cohort

Test 2732 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.88×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.91×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 2732 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity TWD 63.09rising

Slow Activity TWD 63.73falling

Trend Reference TWD 64.52-2.0% close margin

Current Fair Value TWD 84.96-25.6% close margin

Structural low TWD 60.78shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +2.9%

Annualized volatility +12.5%

From structural high -19.0%

From structural low +4.9%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^TWII	Regime survived	Read
Near term	34	-1.3%-11.5% to +17.2%	+41.2%	+58.8%	-3.9%	+88.2%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	12	-1.8%-17.6% to +14.3%	+25.0%	+75.0%	-2.4%	+66.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	7	-5.4%-18.7% to +6.5%	+28.6%	+71.4%	-8.2%	+42.9%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	-12.6%-24.1% to -0.7%	+0.0%	+100.0%	-41.1%	+75.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

2732 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map