Weekly structural research ยท SET ยท Utilities

GREEN Stage Analysis

Green Resources Public Company Limited

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close THB 0.82Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^SET.BK
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Upward Expansion ยท Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: stable.
  • Activity structure: wide and contracting.
Direction 69โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 49/100directional strength
Maturity 35/100lifecycle context
Confidence 74/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Widecontracting separation
Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -3.7%THB 0.8517 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-020.820.72879.23884100Upward Expansion6949
2026-09-250.790.72172.791046300Upward Expansion5742
2026-09-180.800.71635.371449200Upward Expansion6449
2026-09-110.790.7112.205601800Upward Expansion6065
2026-09-040.780.70631.27815800Upward Expansion6377
2026-08-280.800.70134.12245800Upward Expansion7682
2026-08-210.800.69571.74133700Upward Expansion7872
2026-08-140.790.690.781270200Deceleration7447
2026-08-070.710.6853-10.2132200Deceleration3319
2026-07-310.720.6833-10.19229000Deceleration3620
2026-07-240.720.68-11.8170400Deceleration3718
2026-07-170.730.677-10.92351000Upward Expansion4626
2026-07-100.710.6737-12.96272300Upward Expansion4329
2026-07-030.700.6717-14.43183700Upward Expansion5749
2026-06-260.750.6693-4.87156600Upward Expansion6662
2026-06-190.740.6653-8.49225400Upward Expansion6142
2026-06-120.730.662-11.50144000Upward Expansion5732
2026-06-050.730.6583-11.75254500Upward Expansion5832
2026-05-290.710.656-14.272739200Upward Expansion4325
2026-05-220.680.6543-17.152305000Upward Expansion5231
2026-05-150.720.654-11.97448500Upward Expansion5946
2026-05-080.710.6523-12.981524400Upward Expansion5755
2026-05-010.710.652-13.352432900Upward Expansion6063
2026-04-240.720.6517-10.691491200Balance6567
2026-04-170.710.6513-14.13331600Balance3443
2026-04-100.710.655-16.003503600Balance3328
2026-04-030.690.6547-15.9630234800Balance-27
2026-03-270.660.6547-19.724774500Downward Expansion-3316
2026-03-200.620.657-24.36422900Downward Expansion-4938
2026-03-130.610.6613-24.83437700Downward Expansion-5536
2026-03-060.610.6667-25.40757400Downward Expansion-5526
2026-02-270.630.6723-29.46734000Downward Expansion-4821
2026-02-200.640.6767-26.781256000Downward Expansion-3517
2026-02-130.650.68-23.83263100Downward Expansion-3620
2026-02-060.630.6827-22.64309200Downward Expansion-5025
2026-01-300.630.687-21.66277800Downward Expansion-4121
2026-01-230.630.689-21.681527400Downward Expansion-4323
2026-01-160.650.6913-17.42388400Downward Expansion-4024
2026-01-090.650.6933-16.60242200Downward Expansion-4429
2026-01-020.620.698-21.3493600Downward Expansion-6037
2025-12-260.630.7053-20.68414600Downward Expansion-5836
2025-12-190.630.7123-20.80855200Downward Expansion-5836
2025-12-120.650.7197-19.001721100Downward Expansion-5534
2025-12-050.630.7273-23.24511900Downward Expansion-6148
2025-11-280.630.7353-22.83167800Downward Expansion-6247
2025-11-210.640.744-22.10258400Downward Expansion-6047
2025-11-140.620.75-25.93897700Downward Expansion-6855
2025-11-070.660.754-23.75577100Downward Expansion-6053
2025-10-310.660.757-24.661156800Downward Expansion-6254
2025-10-240.670.7597-24.281829400Downward Expansion-5852
2025-10-170.670.763-22.452279000Downward Expansion-6250
2025-10-100.700.7657-20.194210300Downward Expansion-5325
2025-10-030.700.7673-21.068702700Downward Expansion-5526
2025-09-260.710.771-19.6028566400Downward Expansion-5528
2025-09-190.820.777-8.6065571200Downward Expansion-2818
2025-09-120.700.7803-22.195541000Downward Expansion-6253
2025-09-050.690.787-21.958146300Downward Expansion-6639
2025-08-290.730.7953-15.961036800Downward Expansion-4421
2025-08-220.750.804-15.19104300Downward Expansion-3318
2025-08-150.770.8127-13.73166700Downward Expansion-3217
2025-08-080.780.82-12.93393400Downward Expansion-3620
2025-08-010.760.8277-12.63213300Downward Expansion-4126
2025-07-250.740.837-15.21266500Downward Expansion-5538
2025-07-180.730.8467-16.08175800Downward Expansion-5854
2025-07-110.760.8563-6.57124100Downward Expansion-6067
2025-07-040.690.8667-15.45633400Downward Expansion-7073
2025-06-270.700.881-11.82452500Downward Expansion-7066
2025-06-200.710.8947-9.85245100Balance-5847
2025-06-130.790.907-5.07331400Balance-4123
2025-06-060.840.9163-0.67380600Balance-1410
2025-05-300.840.9247-2.11803900Downward Expansion-1314
2025-05-230.850.9327-3.54219600Downward Expansion-2123
2025-05-160.880.9403-2.18206700Downward Expansion-2426
2025-05-090.870.9467-4.85159900Downward Expansion-3525
2025-05-020.890.9543-1.97635600Downward Expansion-4330
2025-04-250.820.9637-6.69184800Downward Expansion-6454
2025-04-180.740.9717-15.4512200Downward Expansion-7166
2025-04-110.750.9813-12.95255400Downward Expansion-6971
2025-04-040.740.9907-14.06354500Downward Expansion-7589
2025-03-280.771.00-14.56176600Downward Expansion-7189
2025-03-210.751.01-17.83239000Downward Expansion-8493
2025-03-140.751.02-17.15927100Downward Expansion-9194
2025-03-070.811.03-13.071259800Downward Expansion-8788
2025-02-280.891.03-4.49448400Downward Expansion-7581
2025-02-210.921.04-4.36968600Downward Expansion-7076
2025-02-140.901.04-8.27375300Downward Expansion-8279
2025-02-070.941.05-5.02472900Downward Expansion-7770
2025-01-310.991.05-2.88931800Downward Expansion-6356
2025-01-241.011.06-4.13536400Downward Expansion-5855
2025-01-170.991.06-5.48626600Downward Expansion-6862
2025-01-101.011.07-5.48707800Balance-5251
2025-01-031.041.07-3.56318600Balance-4132
2024-12-271.031.07-5.07346900Balance-4225
2024-12-201.021.08-2.901479700Balance-3314
2024-12-131.071.08-2.322033400Balance1511
2024-12-061.121.091.401363100Balance2722
2024-11-291.111.092.841015700Balance-35
2024-11-221.081.09-0.611035900Balance-2311
2024-11-151.071.09-0.694493100Balance-2210
2024-11-081.091.090.283080600Balance-179
2024-11-011.081.090.04984100Balance-1010
2024-10-251.081.090.721039000Balance1220
2024-10-181.071.09-1.364009900Balance1220
2024-10-111.101.093.206497600Balance1220
2024-10-041.171.0912.3015605700Balance113
2024-09-271.061.082.003547200Balance-3417
2024-09-201.031.07-0.660Deceleration-1215
2024-09-131.031.071.572345400Deceleration-1416
2024-09-061.041.072.601048400Downward Expansion-2624
2024-08-301.021.085.983194700Downward Expansion-3146
2024-08-231.031.087.793291200Downward Expansion-5962
2024-08-160.991.098.13748300Balance-5664
2024-08-090.971.097.003571300Balance-3447
2024-08-021.031.0912.861701800Balance-2222
2024-07-261.061.0817.302749400Balance56
2024-07-191.111.0722.694608500Balance2912
2024-07-121.121.0523.031716400Balance3014
2024-07-051.131.0426.949714100Balance3115
2024-06-281.131.0329.033358000Upward Expansion3417
2024-06-211.111.0127.322880000Upward Expansion3719
2024-06-141.121.0029.5272477600Upward Expansion5131
2024-06-071.160.98732.3118579000Upward Expansion5544
2024-05-311.150.971330.785372800Upward Expansion5852
2024-05-241.220.956737.6716265100Upward Expansion6656
2024-05-171.210.93935.6672042600Upward Expansion6756
2024-05-101.140.924729.6247345300Deceleration5839
2024-05-031.090.913724.78120886800Deceleration5334
2024-04-261.120.904329.5924273100Deceleration5736
2024-04-191.060.896725.660Deceleration4926
2024-04-121.060.891320.1532048800Deceleration4625
2024-04-051.010.88816.3911902300Deceleration4528
2024-03-291.080.88724.31128381800Deceleration4926
2024-03-221.020.882317.3214133000Deceleration3118
2024-03-151.170.880734.1173092800Deceleration4627
2024-03-080.860.8703-0.915206300Deceleration2324
2024-03-010.850.8697-0.934069700Upward Expansion3524
2024-02-230.990.871312.6229582600Upward Expansion6251
2024-02-161.030.868318.2523125100Upward Expansion6781
2024-02-091.270.867745.8831791900Rotation Up8193
2024-02-021.230.85542.6737458300Rotation Up5782
2024-01-261.250.84347.55167370000Rotation Up5471
2024-01-191.010.829718.837102800Rotation Up4643
2024-01-120.870.82430.196715900Downward Expansion-611
2024-01-050.730.829-17.001086300Downward Expansion-4334
2023-12-290.700.838-20.22672200Downward Expansion-5038
2023-12-220.730.8477-16.69435000Downward Expansion-4434
2023-12-150.720.8573-17.43637400Downward Expansion-4738
2023-12-080.730.867-16.14898400Downward Expansion-5947
2023-12-010.730.8767-16.54115200Downward Expansion-6257
2023-11-240.720.8873-19.141409700Downward Expansion-6572
2023-11-170.700.8993-22.86390800Downward Expansion-6776
2023-11-100.690.9133-23.10284000Downward Expansion-7380
2023-11-030.710.928-23.13447000Downward Expansion-7276
2023-10-270.690.942-24.24900400Downward Expansion-8178
2023-10-200.780.9583-15.80132500Downward Expansion-6665
2023-10-130.810.9713-16.53455600Balance-5852
Price vs TrendAbove+12.5%
Trend directionRising+7.2%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-3.7%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+15.2%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+9.2%
Relative strength directionImproving+23.7%
Price momentumPositive+18.8%
Volume balanceDemand-led5.07ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

69 / ยฑ100

+6.5 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

49 /100

-27.6 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance14
Rotation Up57
Upward Expansion77
Deceleration68
Rotation Down19
Downward Expansion6

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 20%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 19%Deceleration 10%Downward Expansion 49%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Upward Expansion2026-08-212026-10-02Developing+2.5%
Deceleration2026-07-242026-08-14New+9.7%
Upward Expansion2026-05-012026-07-17Developing+2.8%
Balance2026-04-032026-04-24New+4.3%
Downward Expansion2025-06-272026-03-27Extended-5.7%
Balance2025-06-062025-06-20New-15.5%
Downward Expansion2025-01-172025-05-30Established-15.2%
Balance2024-09-272025-01-10Established-4.7%
Deceleration2024-09-132024-09-20New+0.0%
Downward Expansion2024-08-232024-09-06New+1.0%
Balance2024-07-052024-08-16Developing-12.4%
Upward Expansion2024-05-172024-06-28Developing-6.6%
Deceleration2024-03-082024-05-10Developing+32.6%
Upward Expansion2024-02-162024-03-01New-17.5%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing43
Stage 2 ยท Advancing100
Stage 3 ยท Distribution29
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2A ยท Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^SET.BK

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
93/100
Current Relative Strength
9.23
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+18.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+10.8%
Utilities regime cohort
25th percentile12 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.96ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume5.07ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationStable

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity THB 0.8013rising
Slow Activity THB 0.7529rising
Trend Reference THB 0.7287+12.5% close margin
Current Fair Value THB 0.8517-3.7% close margin
Structural low THB 0.68shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +5.2%
Annualized volatility +23.1%
From structural high -9.9%
From structural low +43.9%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^SET.BK Regime survived Read
Near term12+0.0%-12.6% to +15.1%+33.3%+33.3%+0.2%+58.3%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate5+1.4%-21.6% to +17.5%+60.0%+60.0%-7.4%+40.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended2-7.9%-11.9% to -3.9%+0.0%+0.0%-8.3%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle2-22.4%-32.2% to -12.6%+0.0%+0.0%-18.5%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context