Weekly structural research ยท KLS ยท Consumer Defensive

5135 Stage Analysis

Sarawak Plantation Berhad

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close MYR 4.18Tenure ExtendedBenchmark ^KLSE
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Upward Expansion ยท Established expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: moderate and contracting.
Direction 65โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 57/100directional strength
Maturity 100/100lifecycle context
Confidence 90/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation
Price acceptance +83.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +65.0%MYR 2.53 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-09-254.183.9619.141839600Upward Expansion6557
2026-09-184.743.9436.72457800Upward Expansion7680
2026-09-114.733.8936.281145000Upward Expansion8180
2026-09-044.703.8535.111106500Upward Expansion8775
2026-08-284.603.8032.341364000Upward Expansion8774
2026-08-214.473.7729.2060300Upward Expansion8479
2026-08-144.353.7327.70117700Upward Expansion7590
2026-08-074.273.6925.9384900Upward Expansion6889
2026-07-314.253.6527.18130300Upward Expansion7290
2026-07-244.383.6134.10154500Upward Expansion9497
2026-07-174.303.5630.69269600Upward Expansion9593
2026-07-103.993.5125.33276300Upward Expansion8277
2026-07-033.873.4723.51158900Upward Expansion7171
2026-06-263.793.4422.8686800Upward Expansion6263
2026-06-193.773.4120.0440000Upward Expansion6146
2026-06-123.873.3826.27121200Upward Expansion7550
2026-06-053.753.3422.75135100Upward Expansion6541
2026-05-293.573.3118.57582900Upward Expansion5639
2026-05-223.663.2820.23909100Upward Expansion5946
2026-05-153.693.2520.15634400Upward Expansion6350
2026-05-083.713.2121.18943600Upward Expansion6850
2026-05-013.613.1820.66315500Upward Expansion5944
2026-04-243.723.1525.33933400Upward Expansion7451
2026-04-173.483.1120.10929900Upward Expansion6046
2026-04-103.563.0824.001650600Upward Expansion6354
2026-04-033.603.0525.971584900Upward Expansion7060
2026-03-273.553.0123.99896900Upward Expansion6759
2026-03-203.622.9826.79824200Upward Expansion7866
2026-03-133.492.9424.81815000Upward Expansion6862
2026-03-063.432.9122.31364800Upward Expansion6766
2026-02-273.512.8726.18288700Upward Expansion7870
2026-02-203.492.8423.93198600Upward Expansion8177
2026-02-133.412.8023.01173100Upward Expansion7885
2026-02-063.352.7622.17652800Upward Expansion7689
2026-01-303.412.7324.62724500Upward Expansion9296
2026-01-233.262.6921.50290300Upward Expansion8794
2026-01-163.182.6619.48816100Upward Expansion8690
2026-01-093.102.6219.07732100Upward Expansion8467
2026-01-023.032.6018.32232100Upward Expansion8159
2025-12-262.912.5713.87463500Upward Expansion7054
2025-12-192.782.5510.15380300Upward Expansion6357
2025-12-122.882.5316.53273400Upward Expansion6867
2025-12-052.922.5120.291436100Upward Expansion7980
2025-11-282.892.4920.751095200Upward Expansion8284
2025-11-212.872.4619.19322300Upward Expansion8580
2025-11-142.802.4416.64303100Upward Expansion8172
2025-11-072.822.4218.56905800Upward Expansion9074
2025-10-312.682.3914.02158400Upward Expansion6867
2025-10-242.682.3714.3268100Upward Expansion7268
2025-10-172.662.3514.58910300Upward Expansion7068
2025-10-102.732.3417.45444800Upward Expansion9582
2025-10-032.632.3112.83218800Upward Expansion8473
2025-09-262.562.3012.43223500Upward Expansion7080
2025-09-192.572.2814.2730500Upward Expansion7887
2025-09-122.582.2715.3093000Upward Expansion8690
2025-09-052.542.2515.5279900Upward Expansion8187
2025-08-292.512.2415.18266300Upward Expansion7988
2025-08-222.492.2313.44309800Upward Expansion8292
2025-08-152.502.2216.05243900Upward Expansion9296
2025-08-082.412.2114.25170400Upward Expansion8091
2025-08-012.412.2016.65651200Upward Expansion8794
2025-07-252.362.1914.57206900Upward Expansion7685
2025-07-182.352.1815.36190600Upward Expansion7981
2025-07-112.362.1815.71345900Upward Expansion8360
2025-07-042.252.179.7873700Upward Expansion4731
2025-06-272.252.1712.2970600Upward Expansion6239
2025-06-202.222.1712.82135800Upward Expansion5841
2025-06-132.232.1612.6569700Upward Expansion6263
2025-06-062.262.1615.1463100Upward Expansion6974
2025-05-302.252.1515.92110100Upward Expansion6975
2025-05-232.262.1414.93198900Upward Expansion7574
2025-05-162.232.1411.00141100Deceleration6559
2025-05-092.212.1312.34109300Deceleration5134
2025-05-022.212.1213.10281200Deceleration4017
2025-04-252.132.1112.2266500Deceleration-1413
2025-04-182.122.1012.38100700Deceleration-1011
2025-04-112.042.1012.12783400Deceleration-1215
2025-04-042.122.0912.6733600Deceleration86
2025-03-282.152.0914.28188000Deceleration1512
2025-03-212.132.0813.81163700Deceleration717
2025-03-142.102.0712.23199100Upward Expansion516
2025-03-072.102.0610.02197100Upward Expansion149
2025-02-282.102.058.36231900Upward Expansion3119
2025-02-212.132.049.43349800Upward Expansion5031
2025-02-142.242.0314.87316100Deceleration6540
2025-02-072.162.0211.5056000Deceleration4225
2025-01-312.182.0115.1744900Deceleration4527
2025-01-242.142.0012.3579300Deceleration3926
2025-01-172.121.9911.64329200Deceleration4028
2025-01-102.141.9810.78684000Upward Expansion4331
2025-01-032.191.9711.49489900Upward Expansion6143
2024-12-272.161.9610.44478400Upward Expansion5848
2024-12-202.101.959.81481800Upward Expansion6259
2024-12-132.191.9413.57406100Upward Expansion6570
2024-12-062.251.9316.852234500Upward Expansion8579
2024-11-292.271.9219.423191100Upward Expansion9282
2024-11-222.011.906.37250300Upward Expansion6466
2024-11-152.051.908.551234800Upward Expansion7078
2024-11-082.081.898.09784300Upward Expansion8383
2024-11-012.041.897.12153300Upward Expansion7776
2024-10-252.011.884.94267100Upward Expansion7368
2024-10-181.961.880.60114100Upward Expansion6262
2024-10-111.991.873.15878300Upward Expansion7664
2024-10-041.931.870.28224000Upward Expansion6248
2024-09-271.931.86-1.61145900Upward Expansion6450
2024-09-201.891.86-4.3973100Upward Expansion5147
2024-09-131.901.86-3.09127700Upward Expansion5449
2024-09-061.911.86-2.81504300Balance5844
2024-08-301.911.85-4.36310400Balance5633
2024-08-231.881.85-3.31267800Balance4016
2024-08-161.841.85-4.98564600Balance2211
2024-08-091.861.85-2.095861400Balance4518
2024-08-021.861.85-3.051921100Balance4218
2024-07-261.851.85-4.213224100Balance4024
2024-07-191.871.84-4.39621000Balance5031
2024-07-121.861.84-3.9756700Balance4527
2024-07-051.881.84-2.70114000Balance5126
2024-06-281.841.83-3.81145000Balance2411
2024-06-211.861.83-2.56157100Balance3515
2024-06-141.851.83-4.08115900Balance219
2024-06-071.851.83-5.24135500Balance2511
2024-05-311.841.82-4.56143800Balance2412
2024-05-241.851.82-5.60360800Upward Expansion2815
2024-05-171.851.82-5.13187300Upward Expansion3115
2024-05-101.851.81-4.71212300Upward Expansion3519
2024-05-031.831.81-5.0765900Upward Expansion4929
2024-04-261.861.80-2.4980900Upward Expansion5444
2024-04-191.891.800.56201000Upward Expansion6253
2024-04-121.891.790.31171100Upward Expansion6548
2024-04-051.861.79-1.29212700Deceleration5637
2024-03-291.851.79-0.57177600Deceleration5533
2024-03-221.821.78-2.82234800Deceleration3620
2024-03-151.851.78-2.22253900Deceleration5327
2024-03-081.851.78-1.03308900Deceleration4825
2024-03-011.781.78-5.01595200Upward Expansion3118
2024-02-231.831.78-3.07707700Upward Expansion5637
2024-02-161.841.78-1.6386900Upward Expansion6157
2024-02-091.831.77-0.7092700Upward Expansion6165
2024-02-021.841.77-0.48295800Upward Expansion6470
2024-01-261.851.771.17200800Upward Expansion7571
2024-01-191.831.761.23169400Upward Expansion6851
2024-01-121.811.750.35459700Upward Expansion6334
2024-01-051.781.75-1.49216300Upward Expansion3922
2023-12-291.781.750.75116800Upward Expansion5130
2023-12-221.771.750.42372300Upward Expansion5547
2023-12-151.791.740.921097000Upward Expansion5862
2023-12-081.791.742.40505000Upward Expansion5961
2023-12-011.801.741.92715600Balance6255
2023-11-241.791.741.7064900Balance4731
2023-11-171.791.741.31109700Balance4420
2023-11-101.731.73-0.88141500Balance-1216
2023-11-031.741.74-0.7282200Balance-1522
2023-10-271.711.74-1.6339600Balance-2230
2023-10-201.721.74-1.0679200Balance-1620
2023-10-131.721.74-1.1951000Balance-1717
2023-10-061.741.741.7781100Upward Expansion2113
Price vs TrendAbove+5.6%
Trend directionRising+11.3%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+65.0%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+1.3%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+19.1%
Relative strength directionWeakening-3.7%
Price momentumPositive+17.7%
Volume balanceDemand-led2.64ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

65 / ยฑ100

-22.0 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

57 /100

-16.9 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance11
Rotation Up58
Upward Expansion85
Deceleration66
Rotation Down26
Downward Expansion9

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 15%Upward Expansion 73%Deceleration 12%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Upward Expansion2025-05-232026-09-25Extended+84.7%
Deceleration2025-03-212025-05-16Developing+4.8%
Upward Expansion2025-02-212025-03-14New-1.7%
Deceleration2025-01-172025-02-14Developing+5.7%
Upward Expansion2024-09-132025-01-10Established+12.9%
Balance2024-05-312024-09-06Established+3.7%
Upward Expansion2024-04-122024-05-24Developing-2.2%
Deceleration2024-03-082024-04-05Developing+0.5%
Upward Expansion2023-12-082024-03-01Established-0.5%
Balance2023-10-132023-12-01Developing+4.3%
Upward Expansion2023-09-012023-10-06Developing-2.3%
Rotation Up2023-08-112023-08-25New+2.4%
Balance2023-07-282023-08-04New+1.4%
Downward Expansion2023-06-162023-07-21Developing+4.9%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing16
Stage 2 ยท Advancing100
Stage 3 ยท Distribution61
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2B ยท Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^KLSE

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
98/100
Current Relative Strength
19.14
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
+17.7%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+20.1%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort
77th percentile30 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume3.80ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume2.64ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity MYR 4.54rising
Slow Activity MYR 4.17rising
Trend Reference MYR 3.96+5.6% close margin
Current Fair Value MYR 2.53+65.0% close margin
Structural low MYR 3.44shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +5.1%
Annualized volatility +27.1%
From structural high -14.0%
From structural low +64.2%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^KLSE Regime survived Read
Near term43+1.4%-22.8% to +14.1%+58.1%+58.1%+1.9%+79.1%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate15+6.1%-13.2% to +32.2%+73.3%+73.3%+9.1%+66.7%Usable descriptive sample
Extended9+10.5%-31.8% to +37.2%+77.8%+77.8%+17.3%+66.7%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4+10.9%-6.5% to +63.6%+75.0%+75.0%+8.4%+50.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context