Weekly structural research ยท TWO ยท Healthcare

6879 Stage Analysis

TCI GENE Inc.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close TWD 36.70Tenure NewBenchmark ^TWII
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Balance ยท Balance after decline

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
Direction 6โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 10/100directional strength
Maturity 12/100lifecycle context
Confidence 51/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance +33.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -30.3%TWD 52.62 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0936.7035.80-27.137066Balance610
2026-10-0234.7035.76-30.935046Downward Expansion-3620
2026-09-2535.5035.80-29.8412044Downward Expansion-2120
2026-09-1835.8035.89-29.154659Downward Expansion-2022
2026-09-1135.8035.94-28.7419686Downward Expansion-2919
2026-09-0435.5536.01-30.9510Downward Expansion-4125
2026-08-2835.5536.03-31.730Downward Expansion-5743
2026-08-2134.0036.02-34.180Downward Expansion-6369
2026-08-1434.0036.06-36.0210Downward Expansion-6472
2026-08-0734.0036.06-34.86630Balance-6569
2026-07-3134.0036.11-34.3150Balance-3751
2026-07-2434.0036.17-36.205070Balance-2530
2026-07-1734.8536.24-34.0727310Balance139
2026-07-1037.0036.32-35.0921Balance4520
2026-07-0337.0036.33-37.9923310Balance4624
2026-06-2637.0036.34-35.8615021Balance4627
2026-06-1937.0036.40-39.3545291Balance2014
2026-06-1237.0036.47-37.135275Balance1810
2026-06-0537.0036.53-39.24104Balance1810
2026-05-2936.5036.62-40.5128543Balance-147
2026-05-2236.5036.71-38.0161001Balance-118
2026-05-1536.8536.82-36.6274766Balance-912
2026-05-0836.0036.90-39.6262749Balance-2417
2026-05-0137.0037.06-34.6849911Balance-2112
2026-04-2438.0037.20-34.04129521Downward Expansion-1811
2026-04-1736.5537.33-34.0973019Downward Expansion-4737
2026-04-1034.0037.50-37.2225566Downward Expansion-6252
2026-04-0334.0037.78-32.7430726Downward Expansion-6247
2026-03-2735.6038.01-31.7546953Downward Expansion-4025
2026-03-2036.5038.19-32.0320041Downward Expansion-3116
2026-03-1335.5038.33-34.4530075Downward Expansion-3816
2026-03-0635.9038.58-35.0027308Downward Expansion-3020
2026-02-2738.2038.80-35.237211Downward Expansion-1617
2026-02-1337.3038.97-34.104021Downward Expansion-3119
2026-02-0638.0039.06-29.8366107Downward Expansion-3522
2026-01-3036.0039.13-34.7825302Downward Expansion-5845
2026-01-2335.2539.27-36.6330836Downward Expansion-6253
2026-01-1635.1539.42-36.4417240Downward Expansion-6559
2026-01-0934.1539.58-36.7417872Downward Expansion-8178
2026-01-0235.5039.78-32.9511459Downward Expansion-7474
2025-12-2635.7039.90-31.4446842Downward Expansion-7779
2025-12-1936.3040.05-28.8915356Downward Expansion-7882
2025-12-1237.2040.23-29.173247Downward Expansion-7175
2025-12-0537.2040.35-29.377705Downward Expansion-7471
2025-11-2837.2040.48-29.0817127Downward Expansion-7559
2025-11-2139.0040.64-22.913801Downward Expansion-6047
2025-11-1439.1540.82-25.764632Downward Expansion-6054
2025-11-0738.8041.05-27.7016765Downward Expansion-6457
2025-10-3139.5041.16-28.5913282Downward Expansion-5957
2025-10-2439.4041.37-27.779334Balance-5853
2025-10-1739.6041.68-27.516680Balance-5441
2025-10-1039.2042.15-29.0134445Balance-5629
2025-10-0341.0042.42-25.0527759Balance-3113
2025-09-2641.1542.72-22.0316063Balance-2711
2025-09-1942.0043.03-21.1663518Balance-136
2025-09-1241.5043.27-22.6843419Balance-2815
2025-09-0542.3043.52-19.01102048Balance-2516
2025-08-2941.1043.77-21.3212632Balance-3018
2025-08-2240.9044.06-21.0222807Balance-2013
2025-08-1540.8644.35-23.7738737Downward Expansion-1820
2025-08-0843.0144.71-19.703200Downward Expansion-918
2025-08-0142.5345.00-19.7010308Downward Expansion-3121
2025-07-2543.1545.31-19.2028086Downward Expansion-3626
2025-07-1840.0945.57-25.779981Downward Expansion-4945
2025-07-1139.9546.02-24.846923Downward Expansion-6057
2025-07-0440.2446.50-24.471403Downward Expansion-5952
2025-06-2739.8546.78-26.2018965Downward Expansion-6160
2025-06-2039.9547.08-25.053868Downward Expansion-6262
2025-06-1339.9547.29-26.0623565Downward Expansion-6451
2025-06-0639.1847.74-27.0318858Downward Expansion-7158
2025-05-3040.1448.23-25.1929452Downward Expansion-6957
2025-05-2341.8648.87-24.0310355Downward Expansion-6257
2025-05-1640.6249.40-27.7614675Downward Expansion-7371
2025-05-0941.3850.00-24.1631127Downward Expansion-7265
2025-05-0241.9650.53-23.6113583Downward Expansion-7576
2025-04-2544.3451.05-16.627419Downward Expansion-6573
2025-04-1846.0651.51-12.2033823Downward Expansion-6066
2025-04-1142.0552.08-21.0875447Downward Expansion-8156
2025-04-0445.8752.79-21.9136024Downward Expansion-7243
2025-03-2848.7453.42-19.1127449Downward Expansion-4625
2025-03-2153.5253.97-14.53113893Downward Expansion-1914
2025-03-1447.2154.37-24.5324229Downward Expansion-7549
2025-03-0750.1755.01-22.8431480Downward Expansion-5537
2025-02-2850.5655.77-24.7943019Downward Expansion-5943
2025-02-2149.0356.41-30.096913Downward Expansion-6458
2025-02-1449.1257.13-29.161190Downward Expansion-6347
2025-02-0749.7057.95-30.403407Downward Expansion-6046
2025-01-2449.7058.76-31.537Downward Expansion-6244
2025-01-1749.7059.63-31.461257Downward Expansion-6243
2025-01-1051.7060.40-29.391510Downward Expansion-4436
2025-01-0351.7061.20-30.001008Downward Expansion-4536
2024-12-2751.8061.99-31.919729Downward Expansion-4634
2024-12-2050.9462.79-31.639005Downward Expansion-5546
2024-12-1353.5263.63-30.6783041Downward Expansion-6254
2024-12-0654.4864.29-30.7555582Downward Expansion-6767
2024-11-2948.6565.00-36.4037019Downward Expansion-7389
2024-11-2248.7465.90-38.8831359Downward Expansion-8193
2024-11-1546.4566.81-42.1145949Downward Expansion-9495
2024-11-0853.4267.69-36.5824453Downward Expansion-8379
2024-11-0153.8168.39-34.7915570Downward Expansion-8469
2024-10-2559.2569.10-30.8316813Downward Expansion-6563
2024-10-1857.7269.68-33.7211335Downward Expansion-6973
2024-10-1158.7870.34-31.6022590Downward Expansion-6884
2024-10-0457.1570.92-32.5963554Downward Expansion-8190
2024-09-2757.6371.55-34.4355796Downward Expansion-8691
2024-09-2058.1172.21-32.8021434Downward Expansion-9191
2024-09-1363.0872.94-26.652378Downward Expansion-7584
2024-09-0663.3673.39-26.0513912Downward Expansion-7789
2024-08-3064.9974.02-27.827536Downward Expansion-7589
2024-08-2365.2774.49-27.981543Downward Expansion-7885
2024-08-1665.2775.06-29.428277Downward Expansion-8485
2024-08-0966.4275.68-25.9835449Downward Expansion-8479
2024-08-0272.9276.05-20.3514004Downward Expansion-5963
2024-07-2669.7876.28-26.335103Downward Expansion-7772
2024-07-1970.7376.58-28.5119459Downward Expansion-7254
2024-07-1273.8476.86-29.365252Downward Expansion-5437
2024-07-0574.0376.95-28.6311619Downward Expansion-5129
2024-06-2875.7277.17-26.0826612Downward Expansion-4424
2024-06-2172.6177.30-30.4713259Downward Expansion-6433
2024-06-1475.7277.50-25.817120Downward Expansion-3215
2024-06-0775.4477.59-24.6317451Downward Expansion-3621
2024-05-3176.0177.66-22.4128208Downward Expansion-3621
2024-05-2475.9177.76-24.8017812Downward Expansion-4024
2024-05-1773.3777.69-27.1449880Downward Expansion-6234
2024-05-1075.9177.85-23.6344585Downward Expansion-5231
2024-05-0375.4478.20-23.7715340Downward Expansion-5644
2024-04-2676.2078.52-23.4647264Downward Expansion-5752
2024-04-1972.8078.80-25.649467Downward Expansion-7163
2024-04-1274.5079.21-29.3236208Downward Expansion-6242
2024-04-0575.1679.69-28.2513059Balance-6042
2024-03-2976.6780.14-27.582627Balance-5342
2024-03-2277.3380.56-27.6119904Balance-5245
2024-03-1576.3880.96-27.3817972Balance-5345
2024-03-0875.9181.20-29.0748789Balance-5739
2024-03-0177.3381.85-25.428673Balance-3922
2024-02-2379.9782.68-23.6125163Balance-2815
2024-02-1676.8683.13-26.2634395Balance-4018
2024-02-0982.1483.64-19.767154Balance-811
2024-02-0279.2183.66-23.1210437Balance-1912
2024-01-2682.3284.04-20.5228514Balance-1110
2024-01-1983.6584.43-18.6397841Balance-2211
2024-01-1277.8084.76-24.3115947Downward Expansion-5026
2024-01-0579.6885.42-23.3217053Downward Expansion-3724
2023-12-2978.7486.08-26.703522Downward Expansion-3926
2023-12-2279.3187.03-25.6328011Downward Expansion-4027
2023-12-1576.3887.92-29.4560331Downward Expansion-5234
2023-12-0880.7289.01-25.1511425Downward Expansion-4231
2023-12-0179.68โ€”โ€”22954Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-11-2478.46โ€”โ€”19634Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-11-1778.55โ€”โ€”8924Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-11-1077.33โ€”โ€”6916Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-11-0379.12โ€”โ€”30971Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-10-2773.78โ€”โ€”52077Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-10-2078.29โ€”โ€”30066Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-10-1386.21โ€”โ€”28261Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2023-10-0685.01โ€”โ€”4153Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
Price vs TrendAbove+2.5%
Trend directionFalling-0.9%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-30.3%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+5.0%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-27.1%
Relative strength directionImproving+8.0%
Price momentumPositive+7.9%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.54ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

6 / ยฑ100

+34.7 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

10 /100

-8.7 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance57
Rotation Up37
Upward Expansion30
Deceleration40
Rotation Down20
Downward Expansion47

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-10-09 ยท 147 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 26%Downward Expansion 74%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Balance2026-10-092026-10-09New+0.0%
Downward Expansion2026-08-142026-10-02Developing+2.1%
Balance2026-05-012026-08-07Established-8.1%
Downward Expansion2025-10-312026-04-24Established-3.8%
Balance2025-08-222025-10-24Developing-3.7%
Downward Expansion2024-04-122025-08-15Extended-45.2%
Balance2024-01-192024-04-05Developing-10.1%
Downward Expansion2023-12-082024-01-12Developing-3.6%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing78
Stage 2 ยท Advancing38
Stage 3 ยท Distribution38
Stage 4 ยท Declining62

Legacy result: Stage 1 ยท Stage 1B ยท Basing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
9/100
Current Relative Strength
-27.13
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+7.9%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-31.3%
Healthcare regime cohort
14th percentile42 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.71ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.54ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity TWD 35.75rising
Slow Activity TWD 35.61falling
Trend Reference TWD 35.80+2.5% close margin
Current Fair Value TWD 52.62-30.3% close margin
Structural low TWD 32.45shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +3.5%
Annualized volatility +19.4%
From structural high -10.6%
From structural low +13.1%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^TWII Regime survived Read
Near term10-1.2%-8.1% to +2.7%+20.0%+20.0%-6.2%+70.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate3-8.1%-13.0% to -4.7%+0.0%+0.0%-18.9%+33.3%Too little matched history
Extended2-11.0%-15.4% to -6.6%+0.0%+0.0%-50.2%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle2-26.8%-40.6% to -13.1%+0.0%+0.0%-89.8%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context