Weekly structural research · MEX · Technology

AMSN Stage Analysis

Amadeus IT Group, S.A.

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close MXN 971.37Tenure ExtendedBenchmark ^MXX

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction -61−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 65/100directional strength

Maturity 100/100lifecycle context

Confidence 74/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance +0.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -23.4%MXN 1,267.97 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	971.37	1,013.23	-15.66	0	Downward Expansion	-61	65
2026-09-18	971.37	1,014.52	-14.44	0	Downward Expansion	-63	86
2026-09-11	971.37	1,015.81	-16.09	0	Downward Expansion	-65	87
2026-09-04	971.37	1,017.10	-18.18	0	Downward Expansion	-66	88
2026-08-28	971.37	1,027.78	-19.86	0	Downward Expansion	-67	89
2026-08-21	971.37	1,038.46	-21.12	0	Downward Expansion	-69	88
2026-08-14	971.37	1,049.14	-20.43	0	Downward Expansion	-76	92
2026-08-07	971.37	1,059.82	-24.34	0	Downward Expansion	-87	95
2026-07-31	971.37	1,071.80	-25.27	0	Downward Expansion	-95	98
2026-07-24	971.37	1,083.78	-25.59	0	Downward Expansion	-96	98
2026-07-17	1,021.72	1,095.76	-22.97	0	Downward Expansion	-63	57
2026-07-10	1,021.72	1,106.06	-23.72	0	Downward Expansion	-60	45
2026-07-03	1,021.72	1,116.36	-25.24	0	Downward Expansion	-56	38
2026-06-26	1,059.09	1,126.66	-23.41	0	Downward Expansion	-18	21
2026-06-19	1,059.19	1,143.30	-24.62	0	Downward Expansion	-20	32
2026-06-12	1,059.01	1,159.94	-25.62	0	Downward Expansion	-31	33
2026-06-05	1,059.14	1,176.58	-24.26	0	Downward Expansion	-42	48
2026-05-29	1,079.37	1,193.22	-26.17	313	Downward Expansion	-58	62
2026-05-22	1,021.93	1,209.19	-30.44	0	Downward Expansion	-69	89
2026-05-15	1,021.93	1,227.07	-30.69	0	Downward Expansion	-77	92
2026-05-08	1,021.93	1,244.95	-33.16	0	Downward Expansion	-59	57
2026-05-01	1,021.93	1,262.83	-31.86	0	Downward Expansion	-58	58
2026-04-24	1,022.94	1,280.71	-33.78	89	Downward Expansion	-57	59
2026-04-17	1,100.34	1,298.56	-30.04	131	Downward Expansion	-52	61
2026-04-10	1,025.45	1,313.82	-35.63	0	Downward Expansion	-63	67
2026-04-03	1,025.45	1,331.59	-36.07	69	Downward Expansion	-65	68
2026-03-27	1,010.10	1,349.35	-35.01	0	Downward Expansion	-66	88
2026-03-20	1,010.10	1,367.62	-33.20	0	Downward Expansion	-67	89
2026-03-13	1,010.10	1,385.90	-35.46	0	Downward Expansion	-69	89
2026-03-06	1,010.10	1,404.17	-37.77	0	Rotation Down	-87	95
2026-02-27	1,010.10	1,422.45	-41.99	0	Rotation Down	-94	78
2026-02-20	1,010.10	1,440.72	-42.72	0	Rotation Down	-99	80
2026-02-13	1,010.10	1,459.00	-43.32	171	Downward Expansion	-99	79
2026-02-06	1,291.75	1,477.27	-27.55	0	Downward Expansion	-70	70
2026-01-30	1,291.75	1,486.16	-24.64	0	Downward Expansion	-76	72
2026-01-23	1,291.75	1,491.74	-25.82	0	Downward Expansion	-84	74
2026-01-16	1,291.75	1,497.30	-25.18	270	Downward Expansion	-91	77
2026-01-09	1,330.72	1,502.85	-22.15	0	Downward Expansion	-67	89
2026-01-02	1,330.72	1,507.11	-20.27	0	Downward Expansion	-67	89
2025-12-26	1,330.72	1,511.37	-22.51	0	Downward Expansion	-86	95
2025-12-19	1,330.72	1,515.62	-20.93	0	Rotation Down	-95	98
2025-12-12	1,330.72	1,519.88	-22.23	0	Rotation Down	-68	89
2025-12-05	1,330.72	1,524.14	-20.95	50	Rotation Down	-57	85
2025-11-28	1,558.34	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2025-11-21	1,558.34	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2025-11-14	1,558.34	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2025-11-07	1,558.34	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2025-10-31	1,558.34	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2025-10-24	1,558.34	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2025-10-17	1,558.34	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2025-10-10	1,558.34	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2025-10-03	1,558.34	1,513.81	-6.68	0	Deceleration	56	61
2025-09-26	1,558.34	1,513.50	-7.23	0	Deceleration	56	63
2025-09-19	1,558.34	1,513.19	-5.62	0	Deceleration	57	64
2025-09-12	1,558.34	1,509.72	-6.60	0	Deceleration	57	65
2025-09-05	1,558.34	1,506.25	-4.64	0	Upward Expansion	63	67
2025-08-29	1,558.34	1,502.79	-1.64	0	Upward Expansion	65	68
2025-08-22	1,558.34	1,499.32	-2.27	0	Upward Expansion	66	76
2025-08-15	1,558.34	1,495.86	-0.51	0	Upward Expansion	67	89
2025-08-08	1,558.34	1,489.77	0.21	0	Upward Expansion	67	89
2025-08-01	1,558.34	1,483.67	2.54	0	Upward Expansion	86	95
2025-07-25	1,558.34	1,477.57	2.07	0	Upward Expansion	95	98
2025-07-18	1,558.34	1,471.47	4.27	0	Deceleration	86	95
2025-07-11	1,558.34	1,465.37	4.04	232	Deceleration	73	68
2025-07-04	1,459.31	1,459.26	-4.54	0	Deceleration	-19	33
2025-06-27	1,458.42	1,456.46	-3.47	0	Deceleration	3	32
2025-06-20	1,458.42	1,453.69	-1.37	0	Deceleration	1	53
2025-06-13	1,458.42	1,450.92	-3.17	0	Deceleration	-0	57
2025-06-06	1,458.42	1,448.15	-4.04	0	Deceleration	-7	62
2025-05-30	1,458.42	1,445.38	-3.52	0	Deceleration	-10	66
2025-05-23	1,458.42	1,442.61	-4.22	0	Deceleration	-7	39
2025-05-16	1,458.42	1,439.84	-3.27	0	Deceleration	-7	42
2025-05-09	1,458.42	1,437.07	-0.49	0	Deceleration	-4	43
2025-05-02	1,458.42	1,434.30	1.38	0	Deceleration	7	46
2025-04-25	1,458.42	1,431.53	0.32	0	Deceleration	21	50
2025-04-18	1,458.42	1,428.76	7.91	0	Upward Expansion	40	34
2025-04-11	1,458.42	1,425.98	11.89	1896	Upward Expansion	55	60
2025-04-04	1,548.91	1,423.21	19.88	0	Upward Expansion	67	69
2025-03-28	1,548.91	1,412.50	17.11	0	Upward Expansion	67	89
2025-03-21	1,548.91	1,401.79	19.25	0	Rotation Up	80	73
2025-03-14	1,548.91	1,391.07	20.72	0	Rotation Up	93	78
2025-03-07	1,548.91	1,380.36	20.68	0	Rotation Up	98	79
2025-02-28	1,548.91	1,369.65	22.59	295	Upward Expansion	99	80
2025-02-21	1,454.37	1,358.94	12.80	0	Upward Expansion	69	89
2025-02-14	1,454.37	1,351.37	12.62	0	Upward Expansion	87	75
2025-02-07	1,454.37	1,343.81	15.85	0	Upward Expansion	97	99
2025-01-31	1,454.37	1,336.25	20.13	0	Upward Expansion	96	99
2025-01-24	1,454.37	1,328.04	20.54	389	Upward Expansion	95	98
2025-01-17	1,375.80	1,319.80	17.96	0	Deceleration	93	98
2025-01-10	1,375.30	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2025-01-03	1,375.30	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-12-27	1,375.30	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-12-20	1,375.30	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-12-13	1,375.30	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-12-06	1,375.30	1,285.11	18.26	0	Deceleration	57	63
2024-11-29	1,375.30	1,274.80	22.39	0	Deceleration	57	64
2024-11-22	1,375.30	1,264.49	21.48	0	Deceleration	57	65
2024-11-15	1,375.30	1,254.17	22.14	0	Deceleration	57	65
2024-11-08	1,375.30	1,242.04	19.64	0	Upward Expansion	63	67
2024-11-01	1,375.30	1,230.04	23.15	0	Upward Expansion	65	68
2024-10-25	1,375.30	1,218.64	21.08	0	Upward Expansion	66	68
2024-10-18	1,375.30	1,207.24	18.75	0	Upward Expansion	67	89
2024-10-11	1,375.30	1,195.85	20.60	0	Upward Expansion	67	89
2024-10-04	1,375.30	1,190.07	20.54	0	Upward Expansion	84	74
2024-09-27	1,375.30	1,184.29	20.58	0	Upward Expansion	95	78
2024-09-20	1,375.30	1,178.51	22.42	0	Upward Expansion	95	78
2024-09-13	1,375.30	1,172.73	23.21	255	Upward Expansion	93	78
2024-09-06	1,227.52	1,166.95	12.33	0	Upward Expansion	63	87
2024-08-30	1,227.52	1,166.10	8.59	0	Upward Expansion	65	88
2024-08-23	1,227.52	1,165.24	7.51	0	Upward Expansion	66	88
2024-08-16	1,227.52	1,164.39	6.40	0	Upward Expansion	67	89
2024-08-09	1,227.52	1,163.54	8.52	0	Upward Expansion	68	87
2024-08-02	1,227.52	1,162.17	10.29	0	Upward Expansion	71	89
2024-07-26	1,227.52	1,162.04	9.21	0	Rotation Up	76	91
2024-07-19	1,227.52	1,161.90	7.51	0	Rotation Up	52	62
2024-07-12	1,227.52	1,161.77	4.98	1415	Rotation Up	58	84
2024-07-05	1,208.03	1,161.63	8.40	0	Rotation Up	33	75
2024-06-28	1,207.23	1,161.53	8.09	0	Rotation Up	33	76
2024-06-21	1,207.23	1,160.75	7.28	0	Rotation Up	36	77
2024-06-14	1,207.23	1,155.83	8.35	0	Rotation Up	35	74
2024-06-07	1,207.23	1,150.90	6.80	0	Rotation Up	42	59
2024-05-31	1,207.23	1,145.98	2.47	1600	Rotation Up	48	57
2024-05-24	1,191.32	1,141.06	0.51	0	Rotation Up	28	46
2024-05-17	1,191.32	1,136.66	-3.47	1412	Rotation Up	-5	32
2024-05-10	1,065.90	1,132.27	-14.03	0	Downward Expansion	-56	62
2024-05-03	1,065.90	1,133.42	-13.49	0	Downward Expansion	-67	68
2024-04-26	1,065.90	1,134.57	-14.85	795	Rotation Down	-69	89
2024-04-19	1,011.31	1,135.71	-16.68	2737	Rotation Down	-57	85
2024-04-12	1,015.34	1,141.39	-17.71	3470	Rotation Down	-66	88
2024-04-05	1,033.35	1,146.94	-18.70	0	Rotation Down	-57	84
2024-03-29	1,033.35	1,151.88	-17.96	0	Rotation Down	-58	74
2024-03-22	1,033.35	1,156.83	-17.12	1800	Rotation Down	-55	71
2024-03-15	1,201.92	1,161.77	-3.26	0	Upward Expansion	61	84
2024-03-08	1,201.92	1,161.10	-1.08	0	Upward Expansion	60	82
2024-03-01	1,201.92	1,160.55	-2.19	0	Deceleration	50	76
2024-02-23	1,201.92	1,160.50	-3.99	0	Deceleration	46	44
2024-02-16	1,201.92	1,162.01	-4.72	0	Deceleration	46	47
2024-02-09	1,201.92	1,163.51	-5.10	0	Deceleration	48	50
2024-02-02	1,201.92	1,165.22	-6.77	0	Rotation Up	22	38
2024-01-26	1,201.92	1,166.91	-4.60	0	Rotation Up	26	47
2024-01-19	1,201.92	1,169.61	-2.23	270	Rotation Up	39	56
2024-01-12	1,186.56	1,171.96	-3.72	1017	Rotation Up	32	72
2024-01-05	1,223.47	1,174.83	-1.71	0	Rotation Up	36	78
2023-12-29	1,223.47	1,176.64	-3.69	0	Rotation Up	41	79
2023-12-22	1,223.47	1,178.45	-3.54	0	Rotation Up	50	63
2023-12-15	1,223.47	1,180.27	-3.12	205	Rotation Up	36	57
2023-12-08	1,204.94	1,181.64	0.29	451	Rotation Up	7	39
2023-12-01	1,183.83	1,183.21	-0.39	1075	Rotation Up	-20	38
2023-11-24	1,059.54	1,185.49	-9.06	0	Downward Expansion	-67	89
2023-11-17	1,059.54	1,191.90	-8.51	0	Downward Expansion	-69	89
2023-11-10	1,059.54	1,197.30	-5.84	0	Downward Expansion	-77	92
2023-11-03	1,059.54	1,200.79	-5.68	0	Downward Expansion	-86	95
2023-10-27	1,059.54	1,204.27	-1.10	0	Downward Expansion	-90	97
2023-10-20	1,059.54	1,207.75	0.51	900	Downward Expansion	-96	99
2023-10-13	1,100.33	1,211.23	2.19	0	Downward Expansion	-91	97
2023-10-06	1,100.33	1,213.35	1.70	0	Downward Expansion	-97	99

Price vs TrendBelow-4.1%

Trend directionFalling-7.5%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-23.4%

Fair Value directionMoving away-5.8%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-15.7%

Relative strength directionImproving+7.7%

Price momentumNegative-3.8%

Volume balanceSupply-led×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-61 / ±100

+6.0 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

65 /100

-23.4 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

AMSN Directional State ↗ AMSN Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance31

Rotation Up30

Upward Expansion12

Deceleration60

Rotation Down44

Downward Expansion72

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 143 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Rotation Up 17%Upward Expansion 24%Deceleration 18%Rotation Down 8%Downward Expansion 33%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-03-13	2026-09-25	Extended	-3.8%
Rotation Down	2026-02-20	2026-03-06	New	+0.0%
Downward Expansion	2025-12-26	2026-02-13	Developing	-24.1%
Rotation Down	2025-12-05	2025-12-19	New	+0.0%
Deceleration	2025-09-12	2025-10-03	New	+0.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-07-25	2025-09-05	Developing	+0.0%
Deceleration	2025-04-25	2025-07-18	Established	+6.9%
Upward Expansion	2025-03-28	2025-04-18	New	-5.8%
Rotation Up	2025-03-07	2025-03-21	New	+0.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-01-24	2025-02-28	Developing	+6.5%
Deceleration	2024-11-15	2025-01-17	Developing	+0.0%
Upward Expansion	2024-08-02	2024-11-08	Established	+12.0%
Rotation Up	2024-05-17	2024-07-26	Developing	+3.0%
Downward Expansion	2024-05-03	2024-05-10	New	+0.0%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing65

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution15

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^MXX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 84/100
Current Relative Strength: -15.66
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -3.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -1.3%
Technology regime cohort: 37th percentile19 in cohort

Test AMSN trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.00×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore AMSN Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity MXN 971.37stable

Slow Activity MXN 1,001.77falling

Trend Reference MXN 1,013.23-4.1% close margin

Current Fair Value MXN 1,267.97-23.4% close margin

Structural low MXN 971.37shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +0.7%

Annualized volatility +18.8%

From structural high -37.7%

From structural low +0.0%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^MXX	Regime survived	Read
Near term	22	-0.1%-21.8% to +13.3%	+31.8%	+50.0%	-1.4%	+81.8%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	8	-1.7%-24.1% to +15.4%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-2.2%	+62.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	-6.1%-24.6% to +29.0%	+40.0%	+60.0%	-8.5%	+40.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	2	+8.2%-8.6% to +25.0%	+50.0%	+50.0%	+4.9%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

AMSN Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map