Weekly structural research · NYSE · Consumer Defensive

NUS Stage Analysis

Nu Skin Enterprises Inc

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 4.74Tenure ExtendedBenchmark SPY

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction -58−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 47/100directional strength

Maturity 97/100lifecycle context

Confidence 89/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance -50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -48.8%USD 9.26 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	4.74	5.69	-42.24	2245734	Downward Expansion	-58	47
2026-10-02	4.61	5.77	-44.13	2523187	Downward Expansion	-64	52
2026-09-25	4.63	5.87	-45.07	2249012	Downward Expansion	-66	53
2026-09-18	4.58	6.00	-46.13	3126117	Downward Expansion	-71	56
2026-09-11	4.85	6.13	-44.16	2255677	Downward Expansion	-60	53
2026-09-04	4.84	6.24	-45.77	3132749	Downward Expansion	-62	57
2026-08-28	4.85	6.43	-46.59	1856834	Downward Expansion	-64	56
2026-08-21	4.68	6.62	-49.22	2615619	Downward Expansion	-74	60
2026-08-14	4.74	6.82	-50.25	4663200	Downward Expansion	-75	59
2026-08-07	5.42	7.04	-44.03	2786633	Downward Expansion	-50	49
2026-07-31	5.13	7.20	-45.79	2111559	Downward Expansion	-61	56
2026-07-24	5.02	7.35	-46.85	2432844	Downward Expansion	-69	63
2026-07-17	5.24	7.50	-45.38	3310547	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2026-07-10	5.23	7.67	-46.80	3073768	Downward Expansion	-67	66
2026-07-03	5.01	7.84	-48.92	3604910	Downward Expansion	-75	69
2026-06-26	5.28	8.00	-45.58	4544207	Downward Expansion	-70	76
2026-06-19	5.02	8.15	-49.90	4970709	Downward Expansion	-83	91
2026-06-12	5.47	8.31	-45.37	2947575	Downward Expansion	-75	90
2026-06-05	5.37	8.44	-46.45	3830830	Downward Expansion	-86	94
2026-05-29	5.79	8.56	-44.16	2556684	Downward Expansion	-80	91
2026-05-22	5.87	8.71	-43.12	3632835	Downward Expansion	-85	92
2026-05-15	6.06	8.87	-41.14	3876342	Downward Expansion	-87	86
2026-05-08	7.09	9.02	-31.39	3201026	Downward Expansion	-64	48
2026-05-01	7.12	9.12	-29.70	2054829	Downward Expansion	-57	47
2026-04-24	7.46	9.25	-25.66	1972538	Downward Expansion	-48	43
2026-04-17	7.82	9.40	-21.67	1748630	Downward Expansion	-61	54
2026-04-10	7.44	9.54	-21.98	1979105	Downward Expansion	-65	61
2026-04-03	7.33	9.68	-20.40	1846947	Downward Expansion	-67	82
2026-03-27	7.06	9.81	-20.92	2239627	Downward Expansion	-74	89
2026-03-20	7.05	9.97	-22.96	3709602	Downward Expansion	-80	91
2026-03-13	7.10	10.13	-24.07	2388695	Downward Expansion	-83	91
2026-03-06	7.55	10.27	-20.78	3537640	Downward Expansion	-82	86
2026-02-27	8.39	10.30	-13.96	2250869	Downward Expansion	-71	76
2026-02-20	8.56	10.29	-12.78	3032815	Rotation Down	-70	65
2026-02-13	8.22	10.29	-15.33	3555687	Rotation Down	-59	36
2026-02-06	10.62	10.28	8.09	2176363	Balance	23	35
2026-01-30	10.43	10.23	6.63	3085324	Balance	20	26
2026-01-23	10.87	10.17	12.29	2233616	Balance	43	31
2026-01-16	11.34	10.07	17.52	1910050	Balance	43	21
2026-01-09	10.15	9.94	5.56	1849651	Balance	-8	9
2026-01-02	9.52	9.85	1.20	1598066	Balance	-16	10
2025-12-26	9.67	9.79	1.93	1257672	Deceleration	17	12
2025-12-19	10.09	9.75	8.36	3097054	Deceleration	24	13
2025-12-12	10.43	9.64	12.72	2154733	Deceleration	23	12
2025-12-05	9.81	9.54	5.91	2123902	Deceleration	5	22
2025-11-28	9.72	9.43	5.66	1614193	Deceleration	2	20
2025-11-21	9.79	9.31	10.73	2383580	Deceleration	3	20
2025-11-14	9.40	9.17	4.75	2750113	Deceleration	-2	18
2025-11-07	8.91	9.03	-0.33	3101215	Deceleration	-6	14
2025-10-31	10.47	8.93	15.71	1961588	Deceleration	32	24
2025-10-24	10.77	8.79	20.61	1458112	Deceleration	37	25
2025-10-17	10.44	8.67	20.26	1928980	Deceleration	42	27
2025-10-10	10.05	8.57	18.70	2427168	Upward Expansion	47	37
2025-10-03	11.11	8.49	28.94	2554156	Upward Expansion	62	53
2025-09-26	11.96	8.38	41.61	5212018	Upward Expansion	69	61
2025-09-19	11.81	8.23	40.68	2875294	Upward Expansion	70	83
2025-09-12	11.76	8.08	43.10	2294211	Upward Expansion	71	89
2025-09-05	11.22	7.93	39.74	2150100	Upward Expansion	67	88
2025-08-29	11.89	7.76	49.24	2475945	Upward Expansion	85	94
2025-08-22	11.79	7.57	48.69	3286544	Upward Expansion	89	89
2025-08-15	11.24	7.40	42.40	4402421	Upward Expansion	88	67
2025-08-08	8.68	7.25	11.19	3367747	Upward Expansion	62	38
2025-08-01	7.97	7.16	3.92	2049325	Upward Expansion	57	39
2025-07-25	8.51	7.13	7.10	2279178	Upward Expansion	61	60
2025-07-18	8.11	7.06	2.76	2248005	Upward Expansion	60	64
2025-07-11	8.99	7.01	13.88	2366919	Upward Expansion	77	72
2025-07-04	8.67	6.94	8.96	2183000	Upward Expansion	75	52
2025-06-27	7.86	6.90	-0.26	2750538	Upward Expansion	61	43
2025-06-20	7.50	6.87	-2.36	2491856	Upward Expansion	57	55
2025-06-13	7.35	6.84	-5.82	2142634	Upward Expansion	58	58
2025-06-06	7.71	6.84	-2.93	2606020	Balance	61	60
2025-05-30	8.39	6.79	5.72	3430094	Balance	66	47
2025-05-23	7.01	6.71	-11.37	2203400	Balance	2	14
2025-05-16	7.32	6.67	-11.27	3194026	Rotation Down	-17	9
2025-05-09	6.60	6.63	-17.10	3785425	Rotation Down	-55	44
2025-05-02	5.98	6.61	-26.55	2758371	Rotation Down	-33	55
2025-04-25	5.57	6.61	-30.69	2764204	Rotation Down	-38	57
2025-04-18	5.29	6.66	-32.30	3095968	Balance	-36	38
2025-04-11	6.01	6.70	-25.56	4553814	Balance	-12	19
2025-04-04	6.22	6.75	-19.82	2108606	Balance	16	10
2025-03-28	6.97	6.79	-19.34	2792572	Rotation Up	51	34
2025-03-21	7.44	6.84	-16.44	4501313	Rotation Up	57	57
2025-03-14	7.84	6.91	-12.53	3201661	Rotation Up	34	51
2025-03-07	7.67	6.96	-17.39	3075971	Balance	31	34
2025-02-28	7.65	7.02	-21.20	3929068	Balance	30	22
2025-02-21	7.28	7.10	-26.61	4245718	Balance	-6	5
2025-02-14	7.24	7.20	-29.11	6359994	Downward Expansion	-21	11
2025-02-07	6.03	7.28	-41.00	2145722	Downward Expansion	-55	32
2025-01-31	6.27	7.40	-40.33	2257386	Downward Expansion	-53	31
2025-01-24	6.60	7.54	-39.49	2185977	Downward Expansion	-35	21
2025-01-17	6.71	7.65	-39.04	3085356	Downward Expansion	-37	25
2025-01-10	5.96	7.82	-45.61	3720613	Downward Expansion	-56	37
2025-01-03	7.21	8.01	-37.08	5118401	Downward Expansion	-32	23
2024-12-27	6.48	8.19	-45.20	2128774	Downward Expansion	-46	30
2024-12-20	6.32	8.39	-47.56	5840313	Downward Expansion	-40	23
2024-12-13	7.17	8.59	-43.08	2564907	Downward Expansion	-31	23
2024-12-06	7.18	8.78	-44.72	2941649	Downward Expansion	-33	28
2024-11-29	6.99	8.96	-46.90	3788554	Downward Expansion	-40	28
2024-11-22	6.86	9.11	-48.42	4240842	Downward Expansion	-46	40
2024-11-15	7.20	9.27	-46.08	4964541	Downward Expansion	-52	53
2024-11-08	6.22	9.44	-55.30	4327876	Downward Expansion	-65	64
2024-11-01	6.02	9.61	-55.57	3576601	Downward Expansion	-68	79
2024-10-25	5.85	9.80	-58.37	3697105	Downward Expansion	-74	84
2024-10-18	6.01	10.04	-58.66	3440049	Downward Expansion	-74	87
2024-10-11	5.96	10.22	-59.71	4526376	Downward Expansion	-80	91
2024-10-04	6.03	10.44	-59.61	3558888	Downward Expansion	-84	92
2024-09-27	6.99	10.63	-54.13	6349270	Downward Expansion	-73	89
2024-09-20	6.71	10.80	-56.80	19082763	Downward Expansion	-85	92
2024-09-13	7.27	10.97	-53.77	6696736	Downward Expansion	-84	88
2024-09-06	7.60	11.15	-50.97	3146559	Downward Expansion	-85	80
2024-08-30	8.48	11.45	-48.71	3146044	Downward Expansion	-77	63
2024-08-23	9.44	11.73	-44.04	3046820	Downward Expansion	-65	52
2024-08-16	9.24	12.00	-45.60	4338227	Downward Expansion	-72	55
2024-08-09	9.50	12.23	-43.03	4026542	Downward Expansion	-71	57
2024-08-02	10.25	12.48	-39.80	2820791	Downward Expansion	-63	55
2024-07-26	10.12	12.72	-43.01	2551407	Downward Expansion	-66	77
2024-07-19	9.57	12.99	-47.81	2756564	Downward Expansion	-78	87
2024-07-12	9.81	13.27	-48.71	3278820	Downward Expansion	-79	85
2024-07-05	10.37	13.55	-46.55	2666222	Downward Expansion	-75	80
2024-06-28	9.95	13.76	-49.02	6317897	Downward Expansion	-82	68
2024-06-21	11.74	13.97	-41.43	8450397	Downward Expansion	-48	33
2024-06-14	11.72	14.12	-42.53	2822968	Downward Expansion	-39	26
2024-06-07	12.49	14.28	-39.21	2816693	Downward Expansion	-33	20
2024-05-31	12.60	14.36	-39.44	2684593	Downward Expansion	-36	23
2024-05-24	12.44	14.49	-41.86	2579114	Downward Expansion	-41	29
2024-05-17	12.82	14.64	-41.49	3541876	Downward Expansion	-46	36
2024-05-10	12.42	14.81	-43.81	3962628	Downward Expansion	-57	41
2024-05-03	11.66	14.95	-47.63	2549178	Downward Expansion	-62	51
2024-04-26	11.56	15.15	-49.14	2466771	Downward Expansion	-67	54
2024-04-19	12.22	15.41	-46.27	3180154	Downward Expansion	-60	50
2024-04-12	11.32	15.72	-53.06	2572686	Downward Expansion	-73	60
2024-04-05	11.76	16.07	-53.21	2343797	Downward Expansion	-70	59
2024-03-29	12.99	16.39	-50.08	2067354	Downward Expansion	-64	59
2024-03-22	11.56	16.68	-56.48	3250842	Downward Expansion	-74	87
2024-03-15	12.45	17.02	-53.25	8115303	Downward Expansion	-68	88
2024-03-08	11.97	17.34	-56.11	3541041	Downward Expansion	-75	91
2024-03-01	11.87	17.69	-57.60	3803603	Downward Expansion	-84	93
2024-02-23	11.82	18.08	-58.41	4368563	Downward Expansion	-91	89
2024-02-16	12.80	18.59	-55.28	7667426	Downward Expansion	-88	72
2024-02-09	16.46	19.02	-44.02	3428573	Downward Expansion	-50	35
2024-02-02	16.98	19.35	-42.58	3800486	Downward Expansion	-41	31
2024-01-26	17.54	19.70	-41.00	2794583	Deceleration	-39	29
2024-01-19	16.25	20.11	-45.77	2317308	Downward Expansion	-53	34
2024-01-12	16.94	20.53	-43.84	2356252	Downward Expansion	-40	22
2024-01-05	17.42	20.97	-42.20	2637561	Downward Expansion	-31	23
2023-12-29	18.16	21.43	-41.77	1733563	Downward Expansion	-34	25
2023-12-22	18.08	21.86	-42.82	2684594	Downward Expansion	-39	29
2023-12-15	18.09	22.29	-43.23	7067783	Downward Expansion	-46	42
2023-12-08	16.59	22.76	-47.53	2135934	Downward Expansion	-61	58
2023-12-01	16.42	23.31	-48.72	2248113	Downward Expansion	-64	64
2023-11-24	16.15	23.91	-49.93	1740833	Downward Expansion	-66	66
2023-11-17	16.45	24.54	-49.18	3034531	Downward Expansion	-68	67
2023-11-10	15.10	25.22	-52.90	2728561	Downward Expansion	-86	74
2023-11-03	16.44	25.92	-48.72	4314191	Downward Expansion	-78	80
2023-10-27	16.89	26.57	-44.85	2362502	Downward Expansion	-77	89
2023-10-20	17.83	27.17	-43.96	3326522	Downward Expansion	-70	85

Price vs TrendBelow-16.7%

Trend directionFalling-21.0%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-48.8%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+2.2%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-42.2%

Relative strength directionImproving+4.6%

Price momentumNegative-36.3%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.91×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-58 / ±100

+2.0 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

47 /100

-5.7 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

NUS Directional State ↗ NUS Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance19

Rotation Up25

Upward Expansion7

Deceleration57

Rotation Down49

Downward Expansion78

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 10%Rotation Up 2%Upward Expansion 12%Deceleration 8%Rotation Down 4%Downward Expansion 65%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-02-27	2026-10-09	Extended	-43.5%
Rotation Down	2026-02-13	2026-02-20	New	+4.2%
Balance	2026-01-02	2026-02-06	Developing	+11.6%
Deceleration	2025-10-17	2025-12-26	Developing	-7.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-06-13	2025-10-10	Established	+36.8%
Balance	2025-05-23	2025-06-06	New	+10.0%
Rotation Down	2025-04-25	2025-05-16	New	+31.4%
Balance	2025-04-04	2025-04-18	New	-14.9%
Rotation Up	2025-03-14	2025-03-28	New	-11.1%
Balance	2025-02-21	2025-03-07	New	+5.4%
Downward Expansion	2024-02-02	2025-02-14	Extended	-57.4%
Deceleration	2024-01-26	2024-01-26	New	+0.0%
Downward Expansion	2023-06-02	2024-01-19	Extended	-47.8%
Balance	2023-05-05	2023-05-26	New	-10.1%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing69

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution1

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus SPY

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 87/100
Current Relative Strength: -42.24
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -36.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -51.2%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 33th percentile36 in cohort

Test NUS trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.74×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.91×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore NUS Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 4.67falling

Slow Activity USD 5.17falling

Trend Reference USD 5.69-16.7% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 9.26-48.8% close margin

Structural low USD 4.44shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +8.5%

Annualized volatility +38.6%

From structural high -58.7%

From structural low +6.9%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs SPY	Regime survived	Read
Near term	40	-2.6%-28.9% to +27.2%	+35.0%	+65.0%	-5.4%	+92.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	12	-16.9%-32.7% to +22.4%	+33.3%	+66.7%	-21.4%	+75.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	7	-23.3%-47.3% to +20.0%	+42.9%	+57.1%	-39.0%	+57.1%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	-20.3%-68.5% to +76.1%	+25.0%	+75.0%	-21.8%	+75.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

NUS Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map