Weekly structural research ยท NASDAQ ยท Communication Services

TULP Stage Analysis

Bloomia Holdings, Inc.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close USD 2.70Tenure EstablishedBenchmark QQQ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction -77โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 62/100directional strength
Maturity 46/100lifecycle context
Confidence 88/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -50.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -38.2%USD 4.37 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-022.703.69-39.0130982Downward Expansion-7762
2026-09-253.003.73-32.7018669Downward Expansion-7037
2026-09-183.743.76-14.585574Downward Expansion-3017
2026-09-113.403.77-22.353631Downward Expansion-5633
2026-09-043.473.79-22.172468Downward Expansion-5230
2026-08-283.403.84-24.673065Downward Expansion-5836
2026-08-213.463.90-24.162875Downward Expansion-5742
2026-08-143.613.91-23.815438Downward Expansion-5435
2026-08-073.413.91-28.0812465Downward Expansion-6250
2026-07-313.273.91-28.3932976Downward Expansion-7358
2026-07-243.823.92-16.9210021Downward Expansion-5238
2026-07-173.533.90-25.1912366Downward Expansion-6357
2026-07-103.503.90-29.6715277Downward Expansion-6643
2026-07-033.753.90-24.1015368Balance-2422
2026-06-263.683.89-25.5026703Balance-2938
2026-06-193.993.90-23.7415893Balance-1723
2026-06-123.763.88-27.0017471Balance-2433
2026-06-053.553.88-30.2323080Balance-3030
2026-05-293.853.91-28.6616968Balance1812
2026-05-224.213.92-20.8239743Balance4327
2026-05-153.903.94-26.5825139Balance1811
2026-05-084.083.98-24.0411049Balance-07
2026-05-013.924.01-23.4420969Balance-3627
2026-04-243.894.03-23.2416069Balance-3619
2026-04-173.884.07-22.2911252Balance-3415
2026-04-103.854.11-18.669457Balance-3514
2026-04-033.984.15-12.655815Balance-3012
2026-03-274.104.21-6.906937Balance-2815
2026-03-204.024.25-11.824216Balance-3221
2026-03-133.964.29-14.9447159Balance-3121
2026-03-063.864.33-18.2139028Balance-3118
2026-02-273.874.37-19.2913115Balance-1511
2026-02-204.054.41-16.0433469Balance-321
2026-02-134.204.44-12.19104568Balance1526
2026-02-064.804.47-1.00256602Balance621
2026-01-305.254.476.15312753Downward Expansion011
2026-01-233.734.45-24.621056403Downward Expansion-4127
2026-01-163.524.49-29.08628966Downward Expansion-5639
2026-01-093.524.54-30.1328893Downward Expansion-6047
2026-01-023.534.58-29.0128540Downward Expansion-6355
2025-12-263.404.64-33.3397444Downward Expansion-6760
2025-12-193.374.70-33.7088299Downward Expansion-6965
2025-12-123.404.76-33.37879498Downward Expansion-7070
2025-12-053.674.80-29.8422081Downward Expansion-6774
2025-11-283.774.81-27.6530005Downward Expansion-6570
2025-11-213.604.81-27.9634976Balance-7272
2025-11-143.704.82-28.5840823Balance-4658
2025-11-074.554.83-12.49340493Balance-2537
2025-10-314.094.80-23.6912562Balance-3440
2025-10-244.694.79-11.096756Balance210
2025-10-175.044.76-2.239397Balance1510
2025-10-105.014.71-0.155534Balance2515
2025-10-034.724.67-7.778157Balance1914
2025-09-265.104.641.214733Upward Expansion3618
2025-09-195.034.60-0.4334685Upward Expansion5029
2025-09-124.914.57-0.4716651Upward Expansion5434
2025-09-055.724.5418.1430960Upward Expansion7159
2025-08-295.514.4915.1942218Upward Expansion6746
2025-08-225.124.446.9712474Upward Expansion5534
2025-08-155.154.426.7412446Upward Expansion5633
2025-08-085.064.405.5116520Upward Expansion5331
2025-08-015.004.387.8422110Deceleration5129
2025-07-255.084.367.0626598Deceleration4426
2025-07-184.984.365.8527388Deceleration4024
2025-07-114.794.352.9316181Deceleration3924
2025-07-044.874.344.2327230Upward Expansion4329
2025-06-274.864.325.4612634Upward Expansion5742
2025-06-204.914.3110.6910665Upward Expansion6264
2025-06-134.824.289.0631412Upward Expansion6477
2025-06-065.204.2516.7872147Rotation Up7181
2025-05-305.394.1923.1112179Rotation Up5773
2025-05-235.164.1419.6893612Rotation Up4555
2025-05-164.484.081.0684585Balance2721
2025-05-093.864.05-7.6710507Balance-3216
2025-05-023.964.03-6.448821Balance-3317
2025-04-253.914.01-5.6419705Rotation Down-1112
2025-04-183.824.00-3.2743172Rotation Down-2521
2025-04-113.873.99-5.5412280Rotation Down-2933
2025-04-043.703.99-4.213569Rotation Down-3445
2025-03-283.754.00-13.554316Rotation Down-2243
2025-03-213.654.01-18.7510401Rotation Down-3046
2025-03-143.764.02-17.0212512Rotation Down-2538
2025-03-073.814.03-19.0510958Balance-2332
2025-02-283.954.05-19.5134705Balance-1620
2025-02-214.124.05-19.424267Balance1015
2025-02-143.914.06-25.5437761Balance1215
2025-02-074.114.08-19.9310433Balance2516
2025-01-314.214.09-18.2152765Upward Expansion3317
2025-01-244.334.10-17.5517815Upward Expansion3922
2025-01-174.604.12-11.626594Upward Expansion5233
2025-01-104.414.09-13.2632916Rotation Up5644
2025-01-034.684.10-10.4325511Rotation Up3244
2024-12-274.844.11-8.6124634Rotation Up4054
2024-12-204.924.13-6.5237737Rotation Up3753
2024-12-134.244.15-21.4920830Rotation Up1832
2024-12-064.464.19-17.5342355Balance2428
2024-11-294.504.23-14.60108531Balance414
2024-11-224.134.28-21.5089565Downward Expansion-2113
2024-11-153.694.35-29.1232101Downward Expansion-3621
2024-11-083.604.43-33.8427803Downward Expansion-4026
2024-11-013.664.53-29.839640Downward Expansion-5334
2024-10-253.434.62-36.0332400Downward Expansion-5842
2024-10-183.504.70-35.5132212Downward Expansion-6047
2024-10-113.484.78-36.69105247Downward Expansion-6263
2024-10-043.214.87-41.5348152Downward Expansion-7572
2024-09-273.574.94-35.7130280Downward Expansion-6758
2024-09-203.544.98-36.4256449Downward Expansion-7048
2024-09-133.855.01-30.7432887Downward Expansion-6142
2024-09-064.005.03-24.6595251Downward Expansion-5941
2024-08-304.125.04-27.6080455Downward Expansion-5842
2024-08-234.005.06-31.1538829Downward Expansion-6852
2024-08-163.975.08-31.5067922Downward Expansion-7152
2024-08-094.495.11-19.3140738Downward Expansion-5947
2024-08-024.005.11-28.9717398Downward Expansion-7563
2024-07-264.435.13-25.024523Rotation Down-6248
2024-07-194.435.14-28.155792Rotation Down-3440
2024-07-124.475.14-31.573065Rotation Down-3661
2024-07-054.505.16-32.291627Rotation Down-2862
2024-06-284.755.17-27.2224412Rotation Down-2962
2024-06-213.815.17-42.5640119Rotation Down-5673
2024-06-144.595.20-31.9419586Deceleration-4448
2024-06-075.255.21-20.7510675Deceleration-219
2024-05-315.405.20-17.2811850Deceleration1824
2024-05-245.435.19-19.2612042Deceleration2623
2024-05-175.425.18-19.3820403Deceleration3521
2024-05-105.555.17-16.7510319Upward Expansion4531
2024-05-036.005.16-10.2010212Upward Expansion6149
2024-04-266.295.13-5.925994Upward Expansion6558
2024-04-196.115.09-5.684255Upward Expansion6673
2024-04-126.575.07-4.9417543Upward Expansion8188
2024-04-056.395.04-8.9342922Rotation Up8490
2024-03-295.965.02-16.5623125Rotation Up4774
2024-03-225.785.02-20.4117838Rotation Up4563
2024-03-156.154.99-13.8482933Rotation Up4342
2024-03-085.354.98-27.1434890Balance35
2024-03-014.855.05-36.36395647Downward Expansion-4632
2024-02-234.315.14-43.5113373Downward Expansion-6450
2024-02-164.395.25-42.997020Downward Expansion-6241
2024-02-094.295.37-46.3243740Downward Expansion-6939
2024-02-024.795.47-40.2625306Downward Expansion-4127
2024-01-264.755.56-41.1414776Downward Expansion-5638
2024-01-194.755.65-41.8818582Downward Expansion-5946
2024-01-124.635.75-43.037104Downward Expansion-6353
2024-01-054.575.87-42.879739Downward Expansion-6753
2023-12-294.615.96-45.1155901Downward Expansion-6955
2023-12-224.526.06-46.9750338Downward Expansion-7761
2023-12-155.156.16-40.0964999Downward Expansion-6472
2023-12-084.636.24-45.3536366Downward Expansion-7487
2023-12-014.736.37-44.8336781Downward Expansion-7386
2023-11-244.726.46-45.7021773Downward Expansion-7173
2023-11-174.926.52-43.7625796Downward Expansion-6555
2023-11-104.916.59-43.3345541Downward Expansion-6545
2023-11-035.116.67-39.8021719Downward Expansion-6142
2023-10-275.076.74-36.8319183Downward Expansion-6345
2023-10-205.226.81-37.0230395Downward Expansion-6245
2023-10-135.206.88-39.4027463Downward Expansion-6246
Price vs TrendBelow-26.8%
Trend directionFalling-5.8%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-38.2%
Fair Value directionMoving away-19.6%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-39.0%
Relative strength directionWeakening-14.9%
Price momentumNegative-32.2%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.45ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-77 / ยฑ100

-24.8 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

62 /100

+31.9 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance16
Rotation Up16
Upward Expansion14
Deceleration37
Rotation Down67
Downward Expansion85

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 26%Rotation Up 8%Upward Expansion 13%Deceleration 6%Rotation Down 8%Downward Expansion 39%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-07-102026-10-02Established-22.9%
Balance2026-02-062026-07-03Established-21.9%
Downward Expansion2025-11-282026-01-30Developing+39.3%
Balance2025-10-032025-11-21Developing-23.7%
Upward Expansion2025-08-082025-09-26Developing+0.9%
Deceleration2025-07-112025-08-01New+4.4%
Upward Expansion2025-06-132025-07-04New+1.0%
Rotation Up2025-05-232025-06-06New+0.8%
Balance2025-05-022025-05-16New+13.1%
Rotation Down2025-03-142025-04-25Developing+4.0%
Balance2025-02-072025-03-07Developing-7.3%
Upward Expansion2025-01-172025-01-31New-8.5%
Rotation Up2024-12-132025-01-10Developing+4.0%
Balance2024-11-292024-12-06New-0.9%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing51
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution22
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
97/100
Current Relative Strength
-39.01
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
-32.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-60.3%
Communication Services regime cohort
18th percentile66 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.99ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.45ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity USD 3.13falling
Slow Activity USD 3.54falling
Trend Reference USD 3.69-26.8% close margin
Current Fair Value USD 4.37-38.2% close margin
Structural low USD 2.34shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +15.9%
Annualized volatility +53.8%
From structural high -51.2%
From structural low +15.4%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs QQQ Regime survived Read
Near term26+0.5%-22.5% to +125.1%+50.0%+50.0%-1.2%+76.9%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate9+15.0%-8.8% to +63.9%+66.7%+33.3%+7.7%+33.3%Usable descriptive sample
Extended7-7.2%-19.4% to +92.9%+42.9%+57.1%-17.3%+57.1%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4-12.7%-43.1% to +55.4%+25.0%+75.0%-36.7%+75.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context