Weekly structural research ยท SHH ยท Industrials

600843 Stage Analysis

Shang Gong Group Co., Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close CNY 8.18Tenure ExtendedBenchmark 000001.SS
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: moderate and contracting.
Direction 11โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 26/100directional strength
Maturity 100/100lifecycle context
Confidence 48/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation
Price acceptance +0.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -12.8%CNY 9.38 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-098.187.99-10.3356733919Downward Expansion1126
2026-10-027.588.07-18.13119702798Downward Expansion-1716
2026-09-258.378.19-11.5391751726Downward Expansion-812
2026-09-186.888.30-28.2322053794Downward Expansion-5138
2026-09-116.998.44-27.4623283874Downward Expansion-4536
2026-09-047.188.58-27.216520700Downward Expansion-4334
2026-08-287.118.71-29.045659900Downward Expansion-4638
2026-08-216.928.86-30.784630956Downward Expansion-6048
2026-08-147.139.01-29.786381200Downward Expansion-6264
2026-08-077.089.18-31.186948877Downward Expansion-6479
2026-07-316.859.37-32.207864482Downward Expansion-6482
2026-07-246.319.54-37.895705700Downward Expansion-8380
2026-07-176.459.71-36.4010673775Downward Expansion-8156
2026-07-107.369.89-32.3613065169Downward Expansion-7447
2026-07-038.7810.01-20.9916268313Downward Expansion-4534
2026-06-268.4710.10-24.0519040606Downward Expansion-6151
2026-06-197.5610.17-33.7293675989Downward Expansion-7766
2026-06-128.6310.31-23.9540960908Downward Expansion-6460
2026-06-057.5310.42-34.1110289891Downward Expansion-8377
2026-05-297.7010.57-34.0147779363Downward Expansion-8569
2026-05-228.5310.72-28.3942901560Downward Expansion-7063
2026-05-158.7110.85-27.9351671139Downward Expansion-6966
2026-05-089.0410.98-26.6731051581Downward Expansion-6669
2026-05-018.7211.07-28.6539856538Downward Expansion-7484
2026-04-248.3511.19-31.6969907099Downward Expansion-8994
2026-04-179.5611.30-21.8733433080Downward Expansion-6887
2026-04-109.4311.40-22.1623319235Downward Expansion-7088
2026-04-039.0911.52-23.4930515228Downward Expansion-8390
2026-03-279.3911.62-22.2641833878Downward Expansion-8583
2026-03-209.6911.70-21.3643982467Downward Expansion-8370
2026-03-1310.8111.76-15.9841151894Downward Expansion-6242
2026-03-0611.1611.78-14.6851985600Downward Expansion-5544
2026-02-2711.4411.78-14.0939734324Downward Expansion-5348
2026-02-1311.2111.78-15.0953798217Balance-5347
2026-02-0611.0611.79-16.8142885343Balance-5539
2026-01-3011.1111.80-17.9571124194Balance-2515
2026-01-2311.6611.79-14.6176327284Balance2815
2026-01-1611.6211.77-14.53205983668Balance2217
2026-01-0912.2211.73-10.95189942991Balance3925
2026-01-0212.5411.69-5.36147850935Balance4526
2025-12-2611.9911.64-9.51139377291Balance106
2025-12-1911.5711.63-11.64114039702Balance-1111
2025-12-1211.8511.62-10.05158317240Balance-1227
2025-12-0510.9311.61-17.9355629050Balance-2336
2025-11-2811.3711.64-15.0967566726Balance-1321
2025-11-2110.7011.63-19.7669705898Balance-2320
2025-11-1411.6711.64-16.6792953774Balance2512
2025-11-0712.0811.61-14.28103293138Balance3417
2025-10-3111.9011.57-15.15124248884Balance3821
2025-10-2412.2811.57-13.22197089736Balance4926
2025-10-1712.4911.56-9.53364958779Rotation Up5629
2025-10-1012.3911.57-11.2672201236Rotation Up4522
2025-10-0311.9111.60-14.0355127408Rotation Up4924
2025-09-2612.2411.68-10.14178230397Rotation Up2932
2025-09-1911.6511.73-14.00150877573Rotation Up2943
2025-09-1212.4011.86-9.42205403076Rotation Up3253
2025-09-0513.1011.96-2.56307040359Balance4154
2025-08-2912.1611.92-10.25207756241Balance621
2025-08-2211.8411.89-11.61148851718Balance-38
2025-08-1511.4111.87-11.6876266638Balance-1911
2025-08-0811.4411.89-9.8673269967Downward Expansion-2013
2025-08-0111.1211.86-10.3780587989Downward Expansion-3217
2025-07-2511.4511.86-8.46145656854Downward Expansion-3116
2025-07-1811.4911.95-6.14206414984Downward Expansion-3619
2025-07-1111.2712.03-6.7756550357Downward Expansion-5335
2025-07-0410.9712.14-7.7761260799Downward Expansion-5440
2025-06-2711.1412.28-4.5585819360Downward Expansion-5640
2025-06-2010.4612.43-8.2648229016Downward Expansion-6751
2025-06-1310.8712.56-4.9861952576Downward Expansion-6139
2025-06-0611.1912.62-2.1654451877Downward Expansion-4627
2025-05-3011.6412.723.5084925802Downward Expansion-4124
2025-05-2311.2512.860.53190773560Downward Expansion-4629
2025-05-1611.5612.913.0167252710Downward Expansion-5534
2025-05-0911.7112.805.65112331845Downward Expansion-5847
2025-05-0210.9812.671.7447537300Rotation Down-6264
2025-04-2511.0812.593.10135326320Rotation Down-3657
2025-04-1810.8312.482.2462319816Rotation Down-4057
2025-04-1110.8012.364.05121248900Balance-4034
2025-04-0411.8712.2411.7184041812Balance717
2025-03-2812.1012.0914.6974365722Balance1410
2025-03-2112.8911.9322.8889218775Upward Expansion4221
2025-03-1413.3211.7626.36138511683Upward Expansion5146
2025-03-0714.1411.6037.94191143595Upward Expansion5357
2025-02-2813.7011.4038.10391539544Upward Expansion4144
2025-02-2115.4911.2256.10536390785Deceleration5651
2025-02-1415.4410.9260.36430916591Deceleration5126
2025-02-0712.1010.6330.12111927300Deceleration612
2025-01-3111.0110.4522.0519637042Deceleration117
2025-01-2411.3610.3127.14153295769Deceleration618
2025-01-1711.9210.1735.44206129625Deceleration2220
2025-01-1010.7310.0626.30152020448Deceleration2019
2025-01-0310.899.9827.81166126305Upward Expansion3320
2024-12-2714.299.8560.12276554949Upward Expansion5742
2024-12-2013.789.6458.52193834014Upward Expansion6048
2024-12-1314.769.4771.26349524083Upward Expansion6356
2024-12-0615.089.2577.61551845083Upward Expansion6959
2024-11-2915.578.9891.30572991582Upward Expansion7870
2024-11-2214.558.6585.95396356065Upward Expansion7488
2024-11-1512.478.3659.54313204909Upward Expansion6687
2024-11-0814.268.1378.66590883392Upward Expansion8293
2024-11-0115.937.86114.58455487642Upward Expansion9594
2024-10-2512.557.5272.04522951227Upward Expansion8880
2024-10-188.457.3119.26261696404Balance5442
2024-10-117.747.2311.53243033188Balance4225
2024-10-048.547.1419.2482441206Balance5626
2024-09-277.957.0120.75230948751Balance3315
2024-09-207.026.9021.1183338136Balance1714
2024-09-137.176.8126.05206296107Balance2613
2024-09-067.466.7029.20191464859Upward Expansion4624
2024-08-307.376.6025.39262047235Upward Expansion4837
2024-08-237.846.5433.84430617478Upward Expansion5049
2024-08-168.386.4543.27411212449Deceleration5541
2024-08-098.106.3640.96477496317Deceleration5026
2024-08-028.416.2845.76436048124Deceleration4419
2024-07-266.626.1816.65161799830Deceleration2119
2024-07-196.616.1513.47261661732Deceleration2721
2024-07-126.746.1316.63175184569Upward Expansion3519
2024-07-056.676.0916.83150372105Upward Expansion4228
2024-06-287.376.0728.91271777239Upward Expansion5637
2024-06-218.406.0246.63394700440Upward Expansion6647
2024-06-148.355.9445.85358464094Upward Expansion6957
2024-06-077.075.8624.14286090821Upward Expansion6269
2024-05-317.965.8239.14441113000Upward Expansion6477
2024-05-248.845.7455.87561953916Upward Expansion8281
2024-05-178.175.6243.11537235471Upward Expansion8269
2024-05-106.915.5322.35382789368Balance7038
2024-05-035.605.501.4960869619Balance1213
2024-04-265.785.505.68141906895Rotation Up1618
2024-04-195.775.506.74194197979Rotation Up1828
2024-04-126.005.4913.12272278110Rotation Up2231
2024-04-055.885.489.58256339754Rotation Up2030
2024-03-296.185.4616.59271651428Downward Expansion1825
2024-03-226.135.4415.95377160589Downward Expansion-812
2024-03-155.055.41-4.14283296927Downward Expansion-5638
2024-03-084.495.43-14.5938615502Downward Expansion-6374
2024-03-014.535.46-13.4671280195Downward Expansion-6579
2024-02-234.465.50-14.3055427330Downward Expansion-6880
2024-02-093.935.54-20.8781951809Downward Expansion-9087
2024-02-024.395.60-7.51119059617Rotation Down-8675
2024-01-265.595.6410.6077017578Rotation Down-1828
2024-01-195.165.645.4338063101Balance-3843
2024-01-125.555.6511.7431373100Balance-1718
2024-01-055.665.6412.5421794858Upward Expansion2214
2023-12-295.685.6311.6628710902Upward Expansion2817
2023-12-225.635.6213.3634737989Upward Expansion3115
2023-12-155.905.6118.0754547922Upward Expansion5737
2023-12-085.715.5813.7138288801Upward Expansion5856
2023-12-015.965.5616.6158117323Upward Expansion6165
2023-11-246.045.5318.2155002982Upward Expansion6664
2023-11-175.945.4916.2058109471Upward Expansion6051
2023-11-105.905.4616.39126355581Upward Expansion5828
2023-11-035.725.4313.5731481463Upward Expansion3819
2023-10-275.585.4111.6621802100Upward Expansion3013
2023-10-205.405.409.7326814512Upward Expansion2514
2023-10-135.475.397.7232229200Upward Expansion4939
2023-09-295.845.3814.4123640343Upward Expansion6563
Price vs TrendAbove+2.4%
Trend directionFalling-14.7%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-12.8%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+7.6%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-10.3%
Relative strength directionImproving+22.0%
Price momentumNegative-13.3%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.98ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

11 / ยฑ100

+56.1 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

26 /100

-9.8 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance44
Rotation Up46
Upward Expansion34
Deceleration45
Rotation Down19
Downward Expansion47

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 22%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 26%Deceleration 8%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 35%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-02-272026-10-09Extended-28.5%
Balance2025-10-242026-02-13Established-8.7%
Rotation Up2025-09-122025-10-17Developing+0.7%
Balance2025-08-152025-09-05New+14.8%
Downward Expansion2025-05-092025-08-08Established-2.3%
Rotation Down2025-04-182025-05-02New+1.4%
Balance2025-03-282025-04-11New-10.7%
Upward Expansion2025-02-282025-03-21New-5.9%
Deceleration2025-01-102025-02-21Developing+44.4%
Upward Expansion2024-10-252025-01-03Developing-13.2%
Balance2024-09-132024-10-18Developing+17.9%
Upward Expansion2024-08-232024-09-06New-4.8%
Deceleration2024-07-192024-08-16Developing+26.7%
Upward Expansion2024-05-172024-07-12Developing-17.5%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing71
Stage 2 ยท Advancing15
Stage 3 ยท Distribution13
Stage 4 ยท Declining85

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4C ยท Repair watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
39/100
Current Relative Strength
-10.33
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-13.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-8.9%
Industrials regime cohort
3th percentile314 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.86ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.98ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 7.81rising
Slow Activity CNY 7.59falling
Trend Reference CNY 7.99+2.4% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 9.38-12.8% close margin
Structural low CNY 6.26shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +6.6%
Annualized volatility +62.9%
From structural high -41.8%
From structural low +30.7%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 000001.SS Regime survived Read
Near term19+1.4%-17.9% to +28.5%+57.9%+42.1%-1.0%+78.9%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate8-1.9%-32.7% to +107.8%+25.0%+75.0%-4.6%+50.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended5+3.2%-37.8% to +113.1%+60.0%+40.0%-0.6%+20.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3-0.2%-25.6% to +292.7%+33.3%+66.7%-0.9%+33.3%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context