Weekly structural research · TAI · Technology

6196 Stage Analysis

Marketech International Corp.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close TWD 618.00Tenure NewBenchmark ^TWII

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction 87−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 82/100directional strength

Maturity 24/100lifecycle context

Confidence 79/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance +83.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +170.9%TWD 228.15 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	618.00	461.41	28.97	8070156	Upward Expansion	87	82
2026-09-25	565.00	450.05	19.81	5397127	Upward Expansion	64	56
2026-09-18	540.00	441.26	17.03	6130515	Deceleration	53	35
2026-09-11	511.00	431.92	13.33	9408528	Deceleration	35	22
2026-09-04	516.00	423.39	13.63	8186019	Deceleration	29	19
2026-08-28	492.50	415.54	9.03	832201	Deceleration	31	19
2026-08-21	490.50	408.74	11.44	1119378	Deceleration	31	24
2026-08-14	510.00	402.21	14.70	939312	Deceleration	35	24
2026-08-07	493.50	394.30	15.46	1638778	Deceleration	39	25
2026-07-31	468.00	386.94	12.86	2897711	Upward Expansion	44	36
2026-07-24	526.00	380.38	25.82	895205	Upward Expansion	61	56
2026-07-17	542.00	371.80	33.47	2327502	Upward Expansion	63	62
2026-07-10	549.00	362.20	28.19	0	Upward Expansion	66	65
2026-07-03	588.00	351.38	34.23	10331808	Upward Expansion	81	72
2026-06-26	531.00	339.52	28.44	7150160	Upward Expansion	68	75
2026-06-19	560.24	329.08	31.14	10861543	Upward Expansion	84	91
2026-06-12	541.47	318.18	34.61	12957267	Upward Expansion	88	93
2026-06-05	497.99	308.12	22.55	9081707	Upward Expansion	84	91
2026-05-29	504.91	299.62	26.08	16686165	Upward Expansion	93	93
2026-05-22	436.73	290.22	16.30	11177727	Upward Expansion	84	87
2026-05-15	398.69	283.53	9.69	22385002	Upward Expansion	74	88
2026-05-08	405.11	278.49	10.86	17118262	Upward Expansion	83	92
2026-05-01	373.49	273.07	9.77	7095357	Upward Expansion	77	88
2026-04-24	381.40	268.58	12.57	18831347	Upward Expansion	88	87
2026-04-17	354.72	264.16	11.29	19336661	Upward Expansion	81	73
2026-04-10	321.62	261.28	5.44	15595231	Upward Expansion	69	50
2026-04-03	278.64	259.29	-0.30	5218384	Upward Expansion	48	26
2026-03-27	289.51	258.70	2.21	14508518	Upward Expansion	54	30
2026-03-20	284.57	256.79	-0.45	7315670	Deceleration	53	32
2026-03-13	272.71	254.96	-3.88	7135213	Deceleration	37	22
2026-03-06	277.16	253.08	-2.67	12127099	Deceleration	38	21
2026-02-27	301.36	250.59	0.81	13673700	Deceleration	59	31
2026-02-13	259.87	247.38	-7.94	2608926	Upward Expansion	40	23
2026-02-06	254.92	245.69	-4.17	6997972	Upward Expansion	56	38
2026-01-30	280.61	243.91	5.02	9707990	Upward Expansion	62	49
2026-01-23	288.52	240.58	9.00	16781923	Upward Expansion	69	61
2026-01-16	294.45	236.96	13.96	33899483	Upward Expansion	78	74
2026-01-09	272.71	232.79	10.27	23356462	Upward Expansion	64	72
2026-01-02	272.71	229.23	14.56	8540786	Upward Expansion	69	75
2025-12-26	271.23	225.58	17.99	12270247	Upward Expansion	70	69
2025-12-19	268.76	222.05	21.52	24972370	Deceleration	59	44
2025-12-12	253.94	218.67	13.77	11613038	Deceleration	43	18
2025-12-05	224.29	215.60	1.97	3620089	Deceleration	6	13
2025-11-28	232.20	213.27	7.36	8472273	Deceleration	15	12
2025-11-21	217.87	210.73	5.83	9336308	Deceleration	7	7
2025-11-14	233.19	208.52	9.79	5616718	Deceleration	23	13
2025-11-07	239.61	205.66	12.45	6792417	Deceleration	34	18
2025-10-31	243.07	202.31	12.33	6523213	Deceleration	37	22
2025-10-24	222.81	199.47	6.19	5066526	Deceleration	36	22
2025-10-17	236.15	197.22	14.00	10000965	Deceleration	42	31
2025-10-10	247.51	194.60	20.16	3481276	Upward Expansion	46	39
2025-10-03	242.57	191.50	20.96	4999446	Upward Expansion	60	50
2025-09-26	238.62	188.82	25.35	5806247	Upward Expansion	64	60
2025-09-19	249.00	185.84	31.75	8714128	Upward Expansion	67	67
2025-09-12	268.26	182.54	43.64	11426830	Upward Expansion	81	84
2025-09-05	261.84	178.40	47.34	12466568	Upward Expansion	83	84
2025-08-29	260.85	174.44	49.94	10564189	Upward Expansion	91	80
2025-08-22	232.20	170.51	37.62	9560588	Upward Expansion	81	71
2025-08-15	229.73	167.52	34.18	16030848	Upward Expansion	86	73
2025-08-08	216.39	164.60	29.14	15781780	Upward Expansion	81	86
2025-08-01	202.56	162.11	24.78	5426245	Upward Expansion	68	88
2025-07-25	205.03	160.12	27.43	11358648	Upward Expansion	78	91
2025-07-18	208.98	157.88	30.64	21034064	Upward Expansion	91	95
2025-07-11	201.57	155.59	30.38	13965311	Upward Expansion	92	92
2025-07-04	180.80	153.65	18.65	7222257	Upward Expansion	74	71
2025-06-27	179.85	152.31	18.26	11139442	Upward Expansion	77	64
2025-06-20	169.32	151.12	14.51	7626902	Upward Expansion	65	54
2025-06-13	165.97	150.30	12.42	3636581	Upward Expansion	62	61
2025-06-06	163.11	149.58	12.79	4885686	Upward Expansion	59	62
2025-05-30	165.50	149.06	16.40	5458948	Upward Expansion	64	60
2025-05-23	167.41	148.50	16.44	13628781	Upward Expansion	67	58
2025-05-16	161.67	147.89	11.76	6190454	Upward Expansion	58	39
2025-05-09	154.50	147.40	11.69	4337373	Upward Expansion	38	19
2025-05-02	155.93	147.02	13.45	3607661	Upward Expansion	36	20
2025-04-25	151.63	146.67	15.49	4946996	Upward Expansion	29	17
2025-04-18	147.32	146.46	15.09	5787742	Upward Expansion	29	16
2025-04-11	139.19	146.44	7.97	7016631	Upward Expansion	20	13
2025-04-04	157.84	146.51	12.09	4308195	Upward Expansion	63	45
2025-03-28	155.45	146.25	8.83	3870288	Upward Expansion	62	66
2025-03-21	157.37	145.98	7.12	4717928	Upward Expansion	68	72
2025-03-14	154.50	145.52	6.27	11047491	Upward Expansion	63	70
2025-03-07	162.15	144.90	8.45	37524118	Balance	85	77
2025-02-28	149.23	144.16	-2.40	1921204	Balance	33	39
2025-02-21	150.19	144.00	-4.94	4138318	Balance	28	23
2025-02-14	143.97	143.89	-7.07	1891565	Balance	-23	12
2025-02-07	143.02	144.32	-9.27	1004860	Balance	-29	13
2025-01-24	143.02	145.00	-9.79	353297	Downward Expansion	-32	14
2025-01-17	142.54	145.45	-8.99	1726372	Downward Expansion	-35	16
2025-01-10	142.06	145.76	-9.13	1431833	Downward Expansion	-47	26
2025-01-03	141.58	146.07	-9.36	1081245	Downward Expansion	-51	34
2024-12-27	143.02	146.35	-10.18	3074501	Downward Expansion	-53	41
2024-12-20	137.75	146.32	-10.82	2425825	Downward Expansion	-67	60
2024-12-13	140.15	146.54	-11.49	948012	Balance	-61	52
2024-12-06	143.49	146.70	-10.29	1585634	Balance	-50	41
2024-11-29	140.62	146.71	-8.61	2286213	Balance	-56	39
2024-11-22	143.97	146.96	-9.26	1983518	Balance	-36	21
2024-11-15	144.93	146.99	-8.24	3386192	Balance	-29	13
2024-11-08	144.45	146.91	-11.90	3475861	Balance	-20	11
2024-11-01	147.32	147.41	-7.41	1390652	Balance	7	9
2024-10-25	148.76	147.69	-9.04	1972847	Balance	-9	8
2024-10-18	149.23	147.75	-9.60	4304221	Balance	-19	9
2024-10-11	146.84	147.73	-9.11	1598115	Balance	-31	14
2024-10-04	143.02	147.59	-9.44	717518	Balance	-46	20
2024-09-27	145.41	147.62	-10.35	1315813	Balance	-31	16
2024-09-20	145.41	147.65	-8.02	1139525	Balance	-30	14
2024-09-13	146.84	147.71	-5.68	1515731	Balance	-31	15
2024-09-06	141.10	147.81	-8.22	2183408	Balance	-44	19
2024-08-30	150.19	147.55	-6.22	1787764	Rotation Down	-12	13
2024-08-23	147.32	146.99	-7.75	2914533	Rotation Down	-27	34
2024-08-16	143.49	146.59	-11.12	2392449	Rotation Down	-30	34
2024-08-09	135.84	146.26	-12.73	3966540	Balance	-35	37
2024-08-02	140.15	146.10	-11.02	3601042	Balance	0	16
2024-07-26	144.45	145.72	-10.68	2308160	Upward Expansion	21	16
2024-07-19	146.84	145.23	-12.52	7365581	Upward Expansion	49	49
2024-07-12	156.89	144.43	-10.80	6280100	Upward Expansion	61	68
2024-07-05	163.35	143.34	-5.92	7642659	Upward Expansion	77	72
2024-06-28	156.43	141.95	-7.99	8434100	Deceleration	63	54
2024-06-21	151.81	140.86	-11.70	5562375	Deceleration	44	30
2024-06-14	151.35	139.95	-9.28	5151908	Deceleration	42	22
2024-06-07	149.97	139.06	-7.63	4832020	Deceleration	28	13
2024-05-31	142.12	138.15	-9.72	3320136	Deceleration	12	11
2024-05-24	144.43	137.54	-9.98	4414026	Deceleration	29	15
2024-05-17	144.89	136.83	-8.47	3824664	Deceleration	31	18
2024-05-10	143.97	136.21	-6.70	3592382	Deceleration	33	20
2024-05-03	148.12	135.77	-2.29	2735854	Upward Expansion	41	25
2024-04-26	144.89	135.09	-3.45	5247312	Upward Expansion	55	36
2024-04-19	142.58	134.51	-2.14	11901441	Upward Expansion	59	45
2024-04-12	159.19	133.94	2.87	22302431	Upward Expansion	76	65
2024-04-05	155.96	132.94	2.82	16791511	Upward Expansion	76	56
2024-03-29	150.43	131.94	-0.59	10360378	Upward Expansion	70	52
2024-03-22	148.58	131.11	-1.50	6425661	Upward Expansion	70	52
2024-03-15	142.58	130.29	-2.89	6696864	Upward Expansion	61	53
2024-03-08	143.97	129.79	-2.45	12415467	Upward Expansion	65	76
2024-03-01	146.27	129.31	3.51	12385015	Upward Expansion	72	81
2024-02-23	147.20	129.02	4.50	18552024	Upward Expansion	83	86
2024-02-16	149.97	128.74	8.23	16560635	Upward Expansion	93	88
2024-02-09	133.35	127.80	-0.85	753037	Upward Expansion	64	71
2024-02-02	133.35	127.63	-0.61	7789423	Rotation Up	65	73
2024-01-26	135.20	127.35	1.13	9418960	Rotation Up	47	66
2024-01-19	133.82	127.02	1.97	11119153	Rotation Up	38	52
2024-01-12	131.05	126.89	0.93	9953079	Balance	26	31
2024-01-05	128.74	126.85	-0.87	5269349	Balance	-11	16
2023-12-29	129.66	126.62	-2.47	6403738	Downward Expansion	-13	8
2023-12-22	122.74	126.18	-5.93	2223403	Downward Expansion	-54	38
2023-12-15	124.13	125.97	-5.37	3175424	Balance	-50	29
2023-12-08	121.82	125.63	-5.68	3844042	Balance	-33	28
2023-12-01	123.66	125.30	-4.60	2454199	Balance	-26	27
2023-11-24	124.59	125.03	-3.08	3685848	Balance	-25	33
2023-11-17	124.59	124.71	-2.58	2027352	Balance	-16	34
2023-11-10	122.74	124.38	-0.91	1703616	Balance	-20	30
2023-11-03	123.66	124.24	1.02	2397950	Balance	5	12
2023-10-27	123.20	124.11	3.18	1764641	Balance	5	4
2023-10-20	126.43	123.94	4.14	1860664	Balance	32	16
2023-10-13	130.59	123.70	5.62	1994227	Balance	41	20
2023-10-06	127.82	123.07	5.17	2262394	Balance	32	16
2023-09-29	127.36	122.66	6.02	1950520	Balance	21	11

Price vs TrendAbove+33.9%

Trend directionRising+21.3%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+170.9%

Fair Value directionMoving away-30.5%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+29.0%

Relative strength directionWeakening-5.3%

Price momentumPositive+121.8%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.87×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

87 / ±100

+58.1 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

82 /100

+63.1 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

6196 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance19

Rotation Up81

Upward Expansion93

Deceleration42

Rotation Down10

Downward Expansion17

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 23%Rotation Up 2%Upward Expansion 49%Deceleration 19%Rotation Down 2%Downward Expansion 5%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-09-25	2026-10-02	New	+9.4%
Deceleration	2026-08-07	2026-09-18	Developing	+9.4%
Upward Expansion	2026-03-27	2026-07-31	Established	+61.7%
Deceleration	2026-02-27	2026-03-20	New	-5.6%
Upward Expansion	2025-12-26	2026-02-13	Developing	-4.2%
Deceleration	2025-10-17	2025-12-19	Developing	+13.8%
Upward Expansion	2025-03-14	2025-10-10	Extended	+60.2%
Balance	2025-02-07	2025-03-07	Developing	+13.4%
Downward Expansion	2024-12-20	2025-01-24	Developing	+3.8%
Balance	2024-09-06	2024-12-13	Established	-0.7%
Rotation Down	2024-08-16	2024-08-30	New	+4.7%
Balance	2024-08-02	2024-08-09	New	-3.1%
Upward Expansion	2024-07-05	2024-07-26	New	-11.6%
Deceleration	2024-05-10	2024-06-28	Developing	+8.7%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing0

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution77

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2C · Late advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 96/100
Current Relative Strength: 28.97
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +121.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +73.0%
Technology regime cohort: 89th percentile180 in cohort

Test 6196 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.28×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.87×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+37.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 6196 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity TWD 567.20rising

Slow Activity TWD 507.79rising

Trend Reference TWD 461.41+33.9% close margin

Current Fair Value TWD 228.15+170.9% close margin

Structural low TWD 274.69shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +6.7%

Annualized volatility +46.8%

From structural high -0.2%

From structural low +186.2%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^TWII	Regime survived	Read
Near term	34	+3.3%-14.2% to +31.7%	+61.8%	+61.8%	+1.3%	+76.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	13	+7.4%-12.4% to +111.0%	+84.6%	+84.6%	+1.4%	+61.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	7	+19.7%+1.9% to +95.2%	+100.0%	+100.0%	+0.8%	+42.9%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+16.0%+8.0% to +84.2%	+100.0%	+100.0%	+14.2%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

6196 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map