Weekly structural research ยท NYSE ยท Communication Services

ZIP Stage Analysis

Ziprecruiter Inc

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 4.17Tenure NewBenchmark SPY
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Deceleration ยท Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
Direction 15โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 15/100directional strength
Maturity 52/100lifecycle context
Confidence 89/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance -50.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -40.0%USD 6.94 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-094.173.507.822682336Deceleration1515
2026-10-023.553.45-7.362808349Deceleration018
2026-09-253.513.42-9.203493858Deceleration917
2026-09-183.703.37-3.993695493Deceleration2517
2026-09-113.743.32-4.073402314Upward Expansion3519
2026-09-044.223.256.365526509Upward Expansion5538
2026-08-284.423.1810.626499763Upward Expansion5950
2026-08-214.213.125.066424990Upward Expansion6151
2026-08-144.703.0714.673881022Upward Expansion7067
2026-08-075.143.0125.255500721Upward Expansion8568
2026-07-313.942.94-0.513632138Upward Expansion6043
2026-07-243.902.94-0.862300234Upward Expansion6059
2026-07-173.962.95-0.642036229Upward Expansion6567
2026-07-103.872.97-5.142262647Rotation Up6257
2026-07-033.963.01-2.562554603Rotation Up4148
2026-06-263.943.06-2.077978120Rotation Up4232
2026-06-193.053.08-26.702836078Rotation Up1517
2026-06-123.613.12-13.752631452Rotation Up3728
2026-06-053.183.14-24.623279833Rotation Up1823
2026-05-293.243.18-26.662718212Rotation Up2344
2026-05-223.153.23-29.052771551Rotation Up2342
2026-05-153.513.28-21.585511968Rotation Up3038
2026-05-083.623.31-20.135388298Downward Expansion1732
2026-05-013.093.32-30.842837819Downward Expansion-416
2026-04-242.973.35-34.043063603Downward Expansion-3119
2026-04-172.783.41-39.024910317Downward Expansion-5642
2026-04-102.003.48-55.044338633Downward Expansion-6154
2026-04-031.893.58-56.924234545Downward Expansion-6852
2026-03-271.723.68-60.316408194Downward Expansion-7449
2026-03-202.153.79-52.547936150Downward Expansion-5543
2026-03-132.833.89-39.869759104Downward Expansion-4943
2026-03-062.703.94-44.4610269514Downward Expansion-6460
2026-02-271.813.98-64.099256108Downward Expansion-7680
2026-02-202.354.05-54.434984544Downward Expansion-6885
2026-02-131.734.13-66.785670099Downward Expansion-8794
2026-02-062.114.22-61.016891447Downward Expansion-8494
2026-01-302.464.32-55.764912166Downward Expansion-8293
2026-01-232.684.41-52.525178929Downward Expansion-8490
2026-01-162.824.49-51.117275194Downward Expansion-8587
2026-01-093.264.56-44.655601763Balance-7870
2026-01-023.774.63-35.993510831Balance-6337
2025-12-264.164.71-31.084416323Balance-2918
2025-12-194.584.77-24.056349960Balance919
2025-12-125.204.80-14.673756574Balance2029
2025-12-055.364.81-13.645121747Balance59
2025-11-284.754.77-24.142189381Downward Expansion-2917
2025-11-214.224.80-31.254111138Downward Expansion-5328
2025-11-144.224.84-33.814085410Downward Expansion-4420
2025-11-074.374.88-32.655149049Downward Expansion-3918
2025-10-314.654.92-31.044489622Downward Expansion-4829
2025-10-244.734.94-30.643400186Downward Expansion-5148
2025-10-174.284.97-37.116123520Downward Expansion-5456
2025-10-103.855.03-43.574760511Balance-6853
2025-10-034.195.10-41.284225258Balance-5929
2025-09-264.615.15-35.914143553Balance-3416
2025-09-195.065.18-31.015114031Balance-2017
2025-09-124.905.25-33.474806053Downward Expansion-2723
2025-09-054.925.34-33.313289172Downward Expansion-3321
2025-08-295.005.44-33.077470735Downward Expansion-4125
2025-08-225.065.50-33.336858464Downward Expansion-5742
2025-08-154.345.57-43.4810615602Downward Expansion-6368
2025-08-083.995.65-48.276620220Downward Expansion-7274
2025-08-013.965.75-48.094900426Downward Expansion-7568
2025-07-254.585.85-42.274962277Downward Expansion-6353
2025-07-184.665.93-41.264362653Downward Expansion-6454
2025-07-114.866.01-39.112973201Downward Expansion-5951
2025-07-045.296.12-34.683556846Downward Expansion-5037
2025-06-274.966.21-38.416151322Downward Expansion-5631
2025-06-205.016.34-36.464370306Downward Expansion-4520
2025-06-135.236.48-34.523599893Downward Expansion-3820
2025-06-066.256.61-23.016831731Downward Expansion-2217
2025-05-305.976.75-26.025978832Downward Expansion-4129
2025-05-235.436.86-32.404315251Downward Expansion-5438
2025-05-165.506.98-34.147697384Downward Expansion-5742
2025-05-094.367.13-45.746808147Downward Expansion-7854
2025-05-025.517.31-32.723897540Downward Expansion-5944
2025-04-255.457.44-32.474575277Downward Expansion-6350
2025-04-185.517.57-29.584224060Downward Expansion-6353
2025-04-115.467.71-32.176651934Downward Expansion-6856
2025-04-045.217.85-32.635673635Downward Expansion-7761
2025-03-285.787.98-33.004427068Downward Expansion-6876
2025-03-215.918.11-33.486283851Downward Expansion-6782
2025-03-145.968.22-33.594068794Downward Expansion-6880
2025-03-075.768.31-38.194966411Downward Expansion-7977
2025-02-285.608.38-42.755654696Downward Expansion-8150
2025-02-216.968.47-30.801622203Downward Expansion-5131
2025-02-147.658.54-26.362334935Downward Expansion-4329
2025-02-078.038.57-22.992994223Downward Expansion-4837
2025-01-316.888.59-35.291898170Downward Expansion-6452
2025-01-246.998.66-36.141541142Downward Expansion-6563
2025-01-176.908.73-37.191531901Downward Expansion-6775
2025-01-106.768.79-37.881601892Downward Expansion-7482
2025-01-036.958.88-38.541195173Downward Expansion-7582
2024-12-277.098.96-38.751191330Downward Expansion-7881
2024-12-207.139.06-39.063176515Downward Expansion-8277
2024-12-138.049.15-33.732406301Balance-5757
2024-12-068.159.21-34.272697595Balance-3930
2024-11-298.869.26-29.012099654Balance-65
2024-11-229.099.31-27.331750392Balance-64
2024-11-159.119.35-26.842769237Balance-13
2024-11-0810.499.40-18.432722527Balance3823
2024-11-019.229.42-25.532186777Balance55
2024-10-259.169.49-27.761729408Balance-17
2024-10-189.849.57-23.781481000Balance2017
2024-10-119.799.63-24.091611666Balance113
2024-10-049.629.69-25.081858573Balance-212
2024-09-279.299.79-28.162153347Balance-713
2024-09-209.619.90-26.033638292Balance-416
2024-09-139.8010.01-24.312882381Downward Expansion-115
2024-09-069.1110.16-27.841993743Downward Expansion-3021
2024-08-309.5510.34-28.502307575Downward Expansion-3523
2024-08-239.3310.50-30.893092409Downward Expansion-4737
2024-08-168.5910.69-36.552835558Downward Expansion-6150
2024-08-097.7910.88-41.194598165Downward Expansion-8062
2024-08-028.3611.10-37.981947734Downward Expansion-7155
2024-07-269.1311.28-34.932320476Downward Expansion-6455
2024-07-198.4811.44-41.091873046Downward Expansion-7465
2024-07-128.6711.63-42.002158190Downward Expansion-7366
2024-07-058.7911.81-41.741253937Downward Expansion-7367
2024-06-289.0911.96-39.683145187Downward Expansion-7066
2024-06-218.7912.11-42.663018981Downward Expansion-8269
2024-06-149.4512.24-38.912220749Downward Expansion-7372
2024-06-079.4012.34-39.072885510Downward Expansion-7776
2024-05-3110.1112.42-34.512420697Downward Expansion-6777
2024-05-249.8812.48-37.042778343Downward Expansion-6984
2024-05-179.8912.49-37.773472445Downward Expansion-7182
2024-05-109.5912.52-39.423995430Downward Expansion-8186
2024-05-0310.3312.56-34.292945685Downward Expansion-7383
2024-04-2610.3612.61-34.611482521Rotation Down-7781
2024-04-1910.5212.66-32.712217726Rotation Down-5268
2024-04-1211.1912.73-31.551828349Rotation Down-4361
2024-04-0511.1412.86-33.701876306Rotation Down-4868
2024-03-2911.4912.99-32.961506631Rotation Down-3663
2024-03-2211.8313.11-31.432199864Rotation Down-3260
2024-03-1511.5413.26-32.263346213Rotation Up-4045
2024-03-0812.4613.42-27.552702455Rotation Up-3533
2024-03-0112.6813.55-27.084179805Rotation Up-1919
2024-02-2312.9613.72-25.533366501Rotation Up-48
2024-02-1614.3813.89-16.873982404Rotation Up3130
2024-02-0914.5814.01-17.403143931Rotation Up3435
2024-02-0214.1514.14-19.852314900Rotation Up2231
2024-01-2615.0114.27-14.902052001Downward Expansion3842
2024-01-1914.4914.36-17.743027438Downward Expansion1230
2024-01-1214.2414.43-18.922562127Downward Expansion940
2024-01-0513.8114.50-20.522318589Downward Expansion125
2023-12-2913.9014.57-21.811387102Downward Expansion027
2023-12-2214.1914.65-20.492427992Downward Expansion830
2023-12-1513.9814.70-21.473088679Downward Expansion-423
2023-12-0813.4714.76-23.072656144Downward Expansion-2932
2023-12-0113.5214.81-23.083602262Downward Expansion-3732
2023-11-2412.8014.93-27.002015907Downward Expansion-4435
2023-11-1712.4615.07-28.773173742Downward Expansion-5252
2023-11-1011.7715.24-31.664374575Downward Expansion-6668
2023-11-0311.7515.44-31.423651825Downward Expansion-6779
2023-10-2710.3315.58-36.652657003Downward Expansion-7891
2023-10-2010.6215.77-37.123440905Downward Expansion-7992
Price vs TrendAbove+19.3%
Trend directionRising+18.8%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-40.0%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+10.8%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+7.8%
Relative strength directionImproving+13.0%
Price momentumPositive+108.5%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.81ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

15 / ยฑ100

-20.0 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

15 /100

-4.2 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance51
Rotation Up22
Upward Expansion43
Deceleration82
Rotation Down40
Downward Expansion37

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 15%Rotation Up 10%Upward Expansion 6%Deceleration 3%Rotation Down 4%Downward Expansion 63%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Deceleration2026-09-182026-10-09New+12.7%
Upward Expansion2026-07-172026-09-11Developing-5.6%
Rotation Up2026-05-152026-07-10Developing+10.3%
Downward Expansion2026-01-162026-05-08Established+28.4%
Balance2025-12-052026-01-09Developing-39.2%
Downward Expansion2025-10-172025-11-28Developing+11.0%
Balance2025-09-192025-10-10New-23.9%
Downward Expansion2024-12-202025-09-12Extended-31.3%
Balance2024-09-202024-12-13Established-16.3%
Downward Expansion2024-05-032024-09-13Established-5.1%
Rotation Down2024-03-222024-04-26Developing-12.4%
Rotation Up2024-02-022024-03-15Developing-18.4%
Downward Expansion2023-09-292024-01-26Established+25.2%
Balance2023-08-182023-09-22Developing-22.3%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing51
Stage 2 ยท Advancing44
Stage 3 ยท Distribution19
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 1 ยท Stage 1B ยท Basing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus SPY

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
72/100
Current Relative Strength
7.82
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+108.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+93.6%
Communication Services regime cohort
86th percentile14 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.70ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.81ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity USD 3.78falling
Slow Activity USD 3.84rising
Trend Reference USD 3.50+19.3% close margin
Current Fair Value USD 6.94-40.0% close margin
Structural low USD 1.98shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +16.1%
Annualized volatility +87.5%
From structural high -25.7%
From structural low +152.7%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs SPY Regime survived Read
Near term2+4.8%-10.5% to +20.1%+50.0%+50.0%+1.1%+0.0%Too little matched history
Intermediate1+11.8%+11.8% to +11.8%+100.0%+100.0%-1.3%+0.0%Too little matched history
Extended1+2.7%+2.7% to +2.7%+100.0%+100.0%-11.8%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle1-21.2%-21.2% to -21.2%+0.0%+0.0%-53.9%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context