Weekly structural research ยท NASDAQ ยท Healthcare

CLLS Stage Analysis

Cellectis SA

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close USD 1.47Tenure NewBenchmark QQQ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction -83โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 83/100directional strength
Maturity 24/100lifecycle context
Confidence 81/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -16.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -44.4%USD 2.64 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-09-251.473.20-64.53442718Downward Expansion-8383
2026-09-181.533.28-62.353229368Downward Expansion-7855
2026-09-113.103.36-23.95164440Balance-1116
2026-09-043.243.38-21.1356077Downward Expansion-2021
2026-08-283.403.39-16.9867062Downward Expansion-1717
2026-08-213.403.40-16.45107355Downward Expansion-2716
2026-08-143.053.44-27.1096099Downward Expansion-5636
2026-08-072.843.47-31.66121866Downward Expansion-6054
2026-07-312.753.52-30.4845499Downward Expansion-6660
2026-07-242.843.59-28.1363533Downward Expansion-6346
2026-07-172.633.66-34.58109203Downward Expansion-7658
2026-07-102.993.71-28.5965193Downward Expansion-6348
2026-07-033.303.77-19.4391628Downward Expansion-6159
2026-06-262.833.82-29.89153031Downward Expansion-7375
2026-06-192.983.89-29.17187323Downward Expansion-6970
2026-06-123.093.95-24.28315964Downward Expansion-6664
2026-06-053.063.98-22.83337204Balance-6652
2026-05-293.523.98-14.74191740Balance-4023
2026-05-223.503.98-12.18154118Balance-3716
2026-05-153.923.980.24143762Balance-1112
2026-05-083.853.98-1.0194064Balance-818
2026-05-013.953.997.9773717Balance-1923
2026-04-243.893.978.97119229Downward Expansion-2721
2026-04-174.423.9527.74456810Downward Expansion-1510
2026-04-103.593.9211.5975759Downward Expansion-5853
2026-04-033.413.9011.82151875Rotation Down-6165
2026-03-273.083.876.23154752Rotation Down-4762
2026-03-203.343.8612.64251983Deceleration-4046
2026-03-133.423.8414.38442684Deceleration-2932
2026-03-063.563.8219.31265764Deceleration-2530
2026-02-273.883.7930.11180721Deceleration220
2026-02-203.903.7632.4549682Deceleration220
2026-02-133.733.7129.92181594Deceleration117
2026-02-063.573.6524.43272914Deceleration-316
2026-01-303.793.5831.06182662Deceleration2017
2026-01-234.423.5154.55108690Deceleration3924
2026-01-164.073.4145.04263036Upward Expansion4229
2026-01-094.413.3258.29247282Upward Expansion4634
2026-01-024.803.2278.70387689Upward Expansion6243
2025-12-264.753.1177.36262806Upward Expansion6245
2025-12-194.373.0068.90757517Upward Expansion6155
2025-12-124.682.9085.20759857Upward Expansion6474
2025-12-054.742.8087.78424205Upward Expansion6875
2025-11-285.072.69106.58617660Upward Expansion8069
2025-11-214.692.58104.56923600Upward Expansion7850
2025-11-143.902.4768.38718518Upward Expansion5534
2025-11-073.192.3939.37248194Upward Expansion4634
2025-10-313.452.3347.44191831Upward Expansion6149
2025-10-243.482.2553.01374771Upward Expansion6454
2025-10-173.982.1880.561881418Upward Expansion7360
2025-10-104.042.0990.511146825Upward Expansion8067
2025-10-033.502.0063.72851601Upward Expansion7260
2025-09-263.361.9260.72608567Upward Expansion7461
2025-09-193.441.8564.83743609Upward Expansion8362
2025-09-122.891.7942.28649657Upward Expansion6955
2025-09-052.681.7534.50208644Upward Expansion6459
2025-08-292.571.7130.14214241Upward Expansion6764
2025-08-222.851.6743.31420463Upward Expansion7389
2025-08-152.851.6442.00525546Upward Expansion8092
2025-08-082.601.5930.551115231Upward Expansion7691
2025-08-012.951.5653.551934722Upward Expansion9697
2025-07-252.521.5228.732129410Upward Expansion9488
2025-07-181.821.49-6.471918860Balance4652
2025-07-111.591.48-17.72222972Balance2926
2025-07-041.581.49-19.15226554Balance-33
2025-06-271.451.50-25.23223526Balance-3220
2025-06-201.471.52-21.60188514Balance-3021
2025-06-131.331.53-29.53275367Balance-4327
2025-06-061.411.55-26.58286685Balance-2714
2025-05-301.461.56-23.58278013Balance-710
2025-05-231.471.58-22.87195109Balance-315
2025-05-161.581.59-20.40180499Balance019
2025-05-091.581.60-16.46254203Downward Expansion-219
2025-05-021.591.61-17.55294930Downward Expansion-1121
2025-04-251.531.62-19.42243847Downward Expansion-3118
2025-04-181.451.65-19.74426380Downward Expansion-4430
2025-04-111.441.67-23.16704519Downward Expansion-5841
2025-04-041.151.70-34.94630135Downward Expansion-7163
2025-03-281.271.74-36.24550086Downward Expansion-6260
2025-03-211.301.77-37.191287782Downward Expansion-6267
2025-03-141.241.81-40.7214492553Downward Expansion-7067
2025-03-071.261.84-42.32344904Downward Expansion-7263
2025-02-281.291.86-43.45777126Downward Expansion-7256
2025-02-211.531.89-36.16534449Downward Expansion-5736
2025-02-141.551.92-37.72311233Downward Expansion-5534
2025-02-071.531.93-37.74656108Downward Expansion-5837
2025-01-311.611.95-35.49451995Downward Expansion-5331
2025-01-241.671.97-35.021077691Downward Expansion-5232
2025-01-171.481.97-42.431081550Downward Expansion-6852
2025-01-101.851.99-26.991561378Downward Expansion-5653
2025-01-031.682.00-36.201608123Downward Expansion-5967
2024-12-271.412.03-47.57249018Downward Expansion-8072
2024-12-201.642.07-39.56321378Downward Expansion-6636
2024-12-131.762.11-37.83208597Downward Expansion-4923
2024-12-062.002.15-29.98287198Downward Expansion-3418
2024-11-292.102.19-25.08348224Downward Expansion-3625
2024-11-221.872.22-33.63360845Downward Expansion-6046
2024-11-151.872.24-33.28530999Downward Expansion-6259
2024-11-081.772.26-39.80547317Downward Expansion-7172
2024-11-011.802.29-36.12385491Downward Expansion-7273
2024-10-251.862.32-35.92397179Downward Expansion-7073
2024-10-181.902.35-34.26156370Downward Expansion-6766
2024-10-112.012.37-30.20109159Downward Expansion-5955
2024-10-041.892.39-33.36182970Balance-5843
2024-09-272.182.41-23.09107130Balance-3117
2024-09-202.262.42-19.6959340Balance-1613
2024-09-132.252.44-18.78100927Balance-1617
2024-09-062.242.47-14.3270299Downward Expansion-2919
2024-08-302.402.49-13.44116563Downward Expansion-2917
2024-08-232.372.51-15.28227866Downward Expansion-3925
2024-08-162.082.53-24.77179402Downward Expansion-4531
2024-08-092.082.55-21.05117436Deceleration-4634
2024-08-022.092.58-20.57234043Downward Expansion-4836
2024-07-262.302.61-15.371010021Downward Expansion-5641
2024-07-192.032.63-27.40111500Downward Expansion-6269
2024-07-122.092.68-29.00177109Downward Expansion-6477
2024-07-052.042.72-31.27112940Downward Expansion-6680
2024-06-281.872.75-35.05266803Downward Expansion-7982
2024-06-211.892.79-34.70469690Balance-7973
2024-06-142.252.82-22.38356537Balance-6643
2024-06-072.572.85-8.5476795Balance-3816
2024-05-312.712.84-0.9267468Balance512
2024-05-242.822.851.59141960Balance1221
2024-05-172.992.799.49111469Balance2526
2024-05-103.062.7315.03833607Balance3621
2024-05-032.992.6714.66425946Balance118
2024-04-262.512.62-2.63348093Deceleration-2818
2024-04-192.552.592.99159920Deceleration16
2024-04-122.692.562.82188783Deceleration69
2024-04-052.682.531.83159562Deceleration214
2024-03-292.652.50-0.16115084Deceleration-124
2024-03-222.502.48-6.34103734Deceleration-728
2024-03-152.542.46-2.30133716Deceleration-117
2024-03-082.592.44-1.64237934Deceleration412
2024-03-012.652.41-1.18308472Deceleration1813
2024-02-232.832.397.25257828Deceleration3725
2024-02-162.892.3710.66152685Deceleration4029
2024-02-093.062.3615.14160329Deceleration4428
2024-02-022.952.3412.78147344Deceleration3723
2024-01-262.972.3114.44233581Deceleration3721
2024-01-192.692.273.16177737Upward Expansion4126
2024-01-122.892.2412.40338034Upward Expansion4940
2024-01-053.002.2218.02234641Upward Expansion6252
2023-12-293.082.1816.33439895Upward Expansion6556
2023-12-223.492.1532.08911129Upward Expansion8178
2023-12-153.202.0922.64594638Upward Expansion7684
2023-12-082.972.0417.81663789Upward Expansion7084
2023-12-013.042.0021.16983925Upward Expansion7386
2023-11-242.911.9616.211066603Rotation Up7465
2023-11-172.931.9317.784051275Rotation Up5352
2023-11-102.511.892.844328296Rotation Up2126
2023-11-032.861.8820.02106065339Rotation Up-89
2023-10-271.011.85-55.10481212Downward Expansion-8995
2023-10-201.211.88-48.47213721Downward Expansion-8283
2023-10-131.381.91-43.80141419Downward Expansion-7370
2023-10-061.451.92-41.81877727Downward Expansion-7064
Price vs TrendBelow-54.0%
Trend directionFalling-12.5%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-44.4%
Fair Value directionMoving away-54.4%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-64.5%
Relative strength directionWeakening-34.6%
Price momentumNegative-52.3%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.11ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-83 / ยฑ100

-66.1 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

83 /100

+66.8 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance21
Rotation Up14
Upward Expansion23
Deceleration31
Rotation Down76
Downward Expansion89

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 19%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 22%Deceleration 15%Rotation Down 1%Downward Expansion 40%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-09-182026-09-25New-3.9%
Balance2026-09-112026-09-11New+0.0%
Downward Expansion2026-06-122026-09-04Established+4.9%
Balance2026-05-012026-06-05Developing-22.5%
Downward Expansion2026-04-102026-04-24New+8.4%
Rotation Down2026-03-272026-04-03New+10.7%
Deceleration2026-01-232026-03-20Developing-24.4%
Upward Expansion2025-07-252026-01-16Established+61.5%
Balance2025-05-162025-07-18Developing+15.2%
Downward Expansion2024-10-112025-05-09Extended-21.4%
Balance2024-09-132024-10-04New-15.8%
Downward Expansion2024-08-162024-09-06New+7.4%
Deceleration2024-08-092024-08-09New+0.0%
Downward Expansion2024-06-282024-08-02Developing+11.8%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing50
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution20
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
100/100
Current Relative Strength
-64.53
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
-52.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-84.6%
Healthcare regime cohort
56th percentile247 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.44ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.11ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity USD 2.18falling
Slow Activity USD 2.98falling
Trend Reference USD 3.20-54.0% close margin
Current Fair Value USD 2.64-44.4% close margin
Structural low USD 1.25shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +36.6%
Annualized volatility +115.7%
From structural high -73.2%
From structural low +17.6%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs QQQ Regime survived Read
Near term40-3.8%-28.1% to +97.2%+35.0%+65.0%-4.3%+82.5%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate15-15.3%-43.4% to +106.9%+33.3%+66.7%-13.2%+80.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended7-24.6%-63.7% to +49.2%+42.9%+57.1%-34.0%+71.4%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4-25.4%-82.3% to +1.5%+25.0%+75.0%-44.2%+75.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context