Weekly structural research ยท MEX ยท Healthcare

REGN Stage Analysis

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close MXN 13,697.36Tenure NewBenchmark ^MXX
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Upward Expansion ยท Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: moderate and contracting.
Direction 52โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 56/100directional strength
Maturity 65/100lifecycle context
Confidence 56/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation
Price acceptance +33.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -3.9%MXN 14,251.96 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0213,697.3612,409.3811.01100Upward Expansion5256
2026-09-2513,464.1712,412.438.680Rotation Up6566
2026-09-1813,464.1712,413.6111.9051Rotation Up4059
2026-09-1113,793.3212,406.5914.12324Rotation Up4280
2026-09-0414,288.7812,396.2017.050Rotation Up6186
2026-08-2814,010.0012,369.3114.180Rotation Up5183
2026-08-2114,158.6612,354.2415.320Rotation Up6086
2026-08-1413,652.8112,334.2113.8517Rotation Up5764
2026-08-0712,677.1912,331.052.000Rotation Up1739
2026-07-3112,677.2712,360.402.100Rotation Up-522
2026-07-2410,823.3012,389.76-12.070Downward Expansion-5258
2026-07-1710,823.4012,480.91-12.570Downward Expansion-6262
2026-07-1010,835.9912,572.06-12.480Downward Expansion-6566
2026-07-0310,835.9912,645.46-13.410Downward Expansion-6768
2026-06-2610,835.9912,743.82-13.760Downward Expansion-6879
2026-06-1910,520.0012,858.40-16.960Downward Expansion-8595
2026-06-1210,608.0512,961.26-16.74357Downward Expansion-8996
2026-06-0511,156.0013,012.74-10.1965Downward Expansion-7992
2026-05-2911,098.0013,045.94-13.798Downward Expansion-8895
2026-05-2210,825.0013,082.58-15.6339Rotation Down-9798
2026-05-1512,228.9413,074.20-4.580Rotation Down-4672
2026-05-0812,228.9413,026.32-7.34174Rotation Down-5480
2026-05-0111,817.9712,968.15-8.1052Rotation Down-7087
2026-04-2413,019.8712,950.81-1.101288Rotation Down-3151
2026-04-1712,798.8912,865.07-3.760Rotation Down-3055
2026-04-1012,798.8912,788.36-4.36125Rotation Down-3454
2026-04-0313,117.8512,711.65-1.930Deceleration-1133
2026-03-2713,117.8512,633.321.840Upward Expansion1837
2026-03-2013,117.8512,555.005.3919Upward Expansion3554
2026-03-1313,788.8012,484.327.720Upward Expansion8995
2026-03-0613,788.8012,380.484.61262Deceleration8676
2026-02-2713,499.8312,270.08-4.05152Deceleration5253
2026-02-2013,253.3312,173.31-6.6333Deceleration4866
2026-02-1313,481.8912,077.16-5.720Upward Expansion5054
2026-02-0613,481.8911,972.49-5.4228Upward Expansion6162
2026-01-3013,557.8811,872.68-1.150Upward Expansion6477
2026-01-2313,557.8811,762.86-2.680Upward Expansion5458
2026-01-1613,557.8811,638.66-1.850Upward Expansion6362
2026-01-0913,557.8811,515.80-1.010Upward Expansion6764
2026-01-0213,557.8811,392.931.030Upward Expansion6763
2025-12-2613,557.8811,257.17-2.040Upward Expansion6765
2025-12-1913,557.8811,122.98-0.2610Upward Expansion6767
2025-12-1213,037.9611,058.26-5.835Upward Expansion6888
2025-12-0513,786.8411,010.850.882362Upward Expansion8093
2025-11-2814,273.5010,938.473.28339Upward Expansion9598
2025-11-2113,605.8710,849.870.47443Upward Expansion9598
2025-11-1412,152.2210,781.02-11.540Upward Expansion7991
2025-11-0712,152.2210,760.62-13.8847Rotation Up8586
2025-10-3112,197.2110,740.23-13.6537Rotation Up5559
2025-10-2410,573.6110,767.21-24.0920Balance-512
2025-10-1710,792.5310,848.31-24.465Balance-811
2025-10-1010,483.6010,930.72-26.40358Rotation Up-2312
2025-10-0311,297.8111,024.54-23.752671Rotation Up1412
2025-09-2610,447.6111,121.31-30.9042Balance-3832
2025-09-1910,497.5911,252.17-30.550Balance-2824
2025-09-1210,497.5911,360.65-32.5635Balance-1319
2025-09-0510,768.1311,469.10-30.720Balance-824
2025-08-2910,768.1311,590.71-30.05301Balance-1325
2025-08-2210,997.4811,698.09-30.5057Downward Expansion-1420
2025-08-1510,673.6811,799.63-32.686052Downward Expansion-3829
2025-08-0810,476.7411,918.62-34.67629Downward Expansion-4342
2025-08-0110,596.7012,071.71-33.60322Downward Expansion-4443
2025-07-2510,368.7712,202.72-36.38251Downward Expansion-4748
2025-07-1810,341.7812,335.55-36.201317Downward Expansion-5258
2025-07-1110,487.7312,466.74-36.41128Downward Expansion-5563
2025-07-0410,263.3012,613.86-39.8956Downward Expansion-6673
2025-06-279,831.9412,794.01-42.543366Downward Expansion-6688
2025-06-209,871.9212,971.61-41.880Downward Expansion-6688
2025-06-139,871.9213,148.50-43.751860Downward Expansion-7692
2025-06-069,485.0513,342.00-47.171585Downward Expansion-9289
2025-05-309,532.0313,573.22-47.28237Downward Expansion-9577
2025-05-2311,616.4113,824.42-36.890Downward Expansion-6567
2025-05-1611,615.5314,058.60-36.800Downward Expansion-6776
2025-05-0911,615.5314,327.70-35.520Downward Expansion-6888
2025-05-0211,615.5314,594.56-34.971615Downward Expansion-7290
2025-04-2511,540.3214,857.17-36.660Downward Expansion-8494
2025-04-1811,540.3215,164.22-32.500Downward Expansion-9396
2025-04-1111,540.3215,519.40-30.751315Downward Expansion-9589
2025-04-0413,006.5715,890.05-22.130Downward Expansion-7570
2025-03-2813,006.5716,222.15-24.73150Downward Expansion-8372
2025-03-2113,264.8616,567.01-22.67135Downward Expansion-8371
2025-03-1413,298.4516,891.45-22.34244Downward Expansion-8571
2025-03-0714,200.8017,181.74-17.78376Downward Expansion-6465
2025-02-2814,373.4317,421.87-16.11220Downward Expansion-6665
2025-02-2113,751.9217,615.58-21.940Downward Expansion-7890
2025-02-1413,751.0417,818.55-22.58142Downward Expansion-8090
2025-02-0714,416.5018,003.05-17.059Downward Expansion-6778
2025-01-3113,989.5118,155.96-17.03573Downward Expansion-7873
2025-01-2414,043.6618,326.28-16.98372Downward Expansion-7869
2025-01-1714,243.5718,499.98-13.48446Downward Expansion-7669
2025-01-1015,069.3418,665.58-7.871165Downward Expansion-6777
2025-01-0314,527.0018,797.50-9.9133Downward Expansion-6985
2024-12-2714,353.5218,909.76-11.49525Downward Expansion-7779
2024-12-2014,277.4618,978.91-12.30390Downward Expansion-8272
2024-12-1314,901.3519,045.75-11.89230Downward Expansion-7687
2024-12-0615,667.8819,091.78-6.71535Rotation Down-6888
2024-11-2915,159.9719,112.27-6.66378Rotation Down-5383
2024-11-2215,178.5119,123.90-7.42525Rotation Down-6186
2024-11-1515,677.1219,134.92-4.22211Rotation Down-6587
2024-11-0816,421.6819,123.00-2.13493Rotation Down-5784
2024-11-0117,067.7919,101.854.391376Deceleration-5660
2024-10-2518,641.8919,059.1711.90254Deceleration-2747
2024-10-1819,688.6918,972.8515.93228Deceleration-736
2024-10-1119,621.1418,850.2417.341496Deceleration835
2024-10-0419,493.9918,729.8716.60263Upward Expansion2233
2024-09-2720,751.7318,625.8324.23567Upward Expansion5458
2024-09-2022,195.7918,479.8535.2865Upward Expansion6768
2024-09-1322,659.7818,285.7539.83138Upward Expansion6989
2024-09-0622,969.6318,073.2145.74312Upward Expansion7691
2024-08-3023,352.3517,850.3544.61576Upward Expansion9497
2024-08-2322,997.9817,614.7342.43373Upward Expansion9897
2024-08-1622,007.2617,390.9236.30397Upward Expansion9692
2024-08-0921,404.5617,200.1436.4713Upward Expansion9779
2024-08-0220,184.8317,007.7431.9474Upward Expansion9176
2024-07-2619,841.0416,856.0029.63187Upward Expansion9076
2024-07-1919,285.8716,684.6825.25931Upward Expansion7675
2024-07-1219,003.8116,522.5821.6838Upward Expansion6989
2024-07-0519,099.0516,385.0029.4970Upward Expansion7290
2024-06-2819,254.9016,204.7231.5394Upward Expansion9297
2024-06-2119,211.5116,019.2331.66514Upward Expansion99100
2024-06-1419,026.9215,838.7132.8481Upward Expansion100100
2024-06-0717,894.9215,687.3524.28408Upward Expansion9798
2024-05-3116,428.0315,573.7310.33181Deceleration8172
2024-05-2416,282.4115,490.749.320Deceleration6863
2024-05-1716,282.4115,412.605.580Deceleration6145
2024-05-1016,282.4115,373.495.59209Deceleration3132
2024-05-0315,509.0015,329.551.920Deceleration-1449
2024-04-2615,509.0015,316.080.76175Rotation Down-2051
2024-04-1915,319.6515,278.073.07308Rotation Down-2652
2024-04-1215,787.2115,246.364.940Upward Expansion3644
2024-04-0515,787.2115,199.072.2161Upward Expansion4158
2024-03-2916,052.5215,155.325.23121Upward Expansion5154
2024-03-2216,010.1715,094.726.420Upward Expansion5662
2024-03-1516,010.1715,017.087.1767Upward Expansion5863
2024-03-0816,372.6114,939.4312.290Upward Expansion7067
2024-03-0116,372.6114,849.7011.420Upward Expansion7269
2024-02-2316,372.6114,713.439.51703Upward Expansion7479
2024-02-1616,283.7214,577.168.210Upward Expansion7089
2024-02-0916,283.7214,430.228.030Upward Expansion7390
2024-02-0216,283.7214,287.426.490Upward Expansion7892
2024-01-2616,283.7214,148.859.190Upward Expansion8896
2024-01-1916,283.7214,008.3812.23250Upward Expansion9397
2024-01-1215,632.6213,914.117.750Upward Expansion8491
2024-01-0515,632.6213,822.716.75258Upward Expansion8778
2023-12-2914,701.4713,731.31-1.6891Deceleration5239
2023-12-2214,423.0113,672.91-3.63310Deceleration3822
2023-12-1514,876.4713,629.81-0.53368Deceleration4228
2023-12-0813,690.4313,583.26-4.110Deceleration-1232
2023-12-0113,690.4313,564.25-3.5262Deceleration-119
2023-11-2413,795.8213,587.52-1.2580Deceleration2630
2023-11-1714,486.2013,613.494.090Deceleration4143
2023-11-1014,486.2013,616.446.99193Deceleration4738
2023-11-0313,938.2513,631.183.040Upward Expansion5047
2023-10-2713,938.2513,654.687.69162Upward Expansion6665
2023-10-2015,109.2013,678.1918.27110Rotation Up8394
2023-10-1314,964.1013,666.1414.49180Rotation Up5784
Price vs TrendAbove+10.4%
Trend directionRising+0.2%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-3.9%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+20.4%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+11.0%
Relative strength directionImproving+24.4%
Price momentumPositive+4.4%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.31ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

52 / ยฑ100

-8.5 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

56 /100

-30.3 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance34
Rotation Up44
Upward Expansion70
Deceleration68
Rotation Down28
Downward Expansion22

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 5%Rotation Up 10%Upward Expansion 34%Deceleration 14%Rotation Down 9%Downward Expansion 30%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Upward Expansion2026-10-022026-10-02New+0.0%
Rotation Up2026-07-312026-09-25Developing+6.2%
Downward Expansion2026-05-292026-07-24Developing-2.5%
Rotation Down2026-04-102026-05-22Developing-15.4%
Deceleration2026-04-032026-04-03New+0.0%
Upward Expansion2026-03-132026-03-27New-4.9%
Deceleration2026-02-202026-03-06New+4.0%
Upward Expansion2025-11-142026-02-13Established+10.9%
Rotation Up2025-10-312025-11-07New-0.4%
Balance2025-10-172025-10-24New-2.0%
Rotation Up2025-10-032025-10-10New-7.2%
Balance2025-08-292025-09-26Developing-3.0%
Downward Expansion2024-12-132025-08-22Extended-26.2%
Rotation Down2024-11-082024-12-06Developing-4.6%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing66
Stage 2 ยท Advancing80
Stage 3 ยท Distribution46
Stage 4 ยท Declining20

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2A ยท Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^MXX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
67/100
Current Relative Strength
11.01
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+4.4%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+11.8%
Healthcare regime cohort
4th percentile24 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume2.08ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.31ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+37.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity MXN 13,640.76falling
Slow Activity MXN 12,560.23rising
Trend Reference MXN 12,409.38+10.4% close margin
Current Fair Value MXN 14,251.96-3.9% close margin
Structural low MXN 10,520.00shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +2.8%
Annualized volatility +36.0%
From structural high -4.1%
From structural low +30.7%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^MXX Regime survived Read
Near term26-0.0%-14.3% to +15.7%+50.0%+50.0%+0.6%+65.4%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate10-6.0%-31.8% to +28.4%+40.0%+40.0%-4.1%+30.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended6-0.7%-12.4% to +12.4%+50.0%+50.0%-7.6%+16.7%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3+5.4%+1.6% to +33.7%+100.0%+100.0%+9.8%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context