๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ Taiwan ยท Industry Week Ending: 2 October 2026

Banks - Regional

For the week ending 02 October 2026, Banks - Regional declined 1.75% with 1 advancing, 17 declining, and 1 unchanged constituents.

Index level
2,327.69
Index points ยท base 1,000
Weekly return
-1.75%
Measured companies
19
19 in the index universe
Weekly breadth
1 up / 17 down
1 unchanged
Weekly peer rank
4 of 5
Universe country-listed ยท Equity onlyPrice basis Adjusted weekly closeConstruction Capped equal-weight returns ยท Weekly rebuild
Explore Financial Services โ†’

156 completed weeks

Banks - Regional price and trend

Current architecture Upward Expansion 16 completed weeks in this state
Trend acceptance 13.8% Index versus Trend Line
Persistence 100% Positive across every horizon
Participation 5% 1 advancing, 17 declining
Index Value Trend Line Fair Value Activity Lines Constructive Transition Defensive

Weekly index closes and the Trend Line. Dashed grey shows the latest Fair Value reference; it is not a historical forecast. Enable the other overlays for more detail.

Investor positioning lens

Is the evidence ready for capital?

A rules-based technical classification using trend, breadth, persistence, relative strength and path quality.

Current posture Build exposure selectively

The evidence is constructive, but security selection and entry discipline still matter.

69 technical evidence
out of 100
Evidence balance

Five-pillar map

Selective
Trend
90
Breadth
30
Persistence
98
Relative
34
Risk quality
95
What supports the view
  • The index remains above a constructive Trend gate.
  • Constituent trends show positive multi-horizon persistence.
What restrains conviction
  • Breadth remains too narrow or inconsistent for a high-conviction position.
  • The group is not yet delivering dependable relative outperformance.
  • The index is extended well above current Fair Value, increasing chase risk.
  • Positive contribution is concentrated in a small leadership cohort.

This is a weekly research classification, not personal investment advice. Sentiment is reported as an independent confirmation layer and does not alter the technical score.

Trend state and durability

Architecture, persistence and constituent regimes

The index path is tested against the underlying security-level trend evidence.

Index architecture Upward Expansion

The activity fan is positively ordered above a rising Trend Line with price accepted above it.

State age16 weeks
Trend gateUp
Fan width9.08%
Fast versus slow change0.82 pts
Above 83% Below 0%
Six completed weeks of price acceptance relative to the full Activity Line fan.
Index persistence

Positive across every horizon

100% agreement

The 13, 26, 39 and 52-week trends all point upward, giving the advance broad horizon agreement.

13-week
9.9%
26-week
25.7%
39-week
27.6%
52-week
33.7%
Regime age104 weeks 52-week flips0 52-week boundary1740.78
Constituent trend persistence

Is the index move broadly durable?

100% coverage
Coherent positive68%
Coherent negative0%
Average horizon agreement91%
Positive horizon share88%
Weakening positives4
Repairing negatives1

19 constituents measured as of 2 Oct 2026. Median trend age is 62 weeks.

Custom stage map

Where constituents sit in the cycle

100% coverage
Stage 1 ยท Basing0%0 securities
Stage 2 ยท Advancing42%8 securities
Stage 3 ยท Distribution58%11 securities
Stage 4 ยท Declining0%0 securities
Re-acceleration watch0 Transition watch0 Relative strength leaders16% Fair Value repairs0

Measured as of 2 Oct 2026. Stages summarize price, Activity Line architecture, Fair Value position and relative evidence.

Architecture breadth

How market energy is distributed

75/100 mean confidence
Upward expansion
95% 18
Rotation up
0% 0
Deceleration
5% 1
Balance
0% 0
Rotation down
0% 0
Downward expansion
0% 0
Unresolved
0% 0

Architecture breadth shows the distribution of expanding, rotating, balancing and contracting securities. It is diagnostic context and is not added as a second vote in the positioning score.

Capital rotation

Performance relative to Financial Services

Improving
Relative index 13-week relative trend Starting level
Rotation dashboard Improving

The relative index starts at 100. Above 100 means this group has outperformed Financial Services since the first plotted date; below 100 means it has lagged. A rising line can show relative improvement even when both markets are falling.

Relative index97.1
13-week trend97.0
4-week trend change1.50%
Weekly peer rank4 of 5
1 week
-1.0 pts relative
4 weeks
0.2 pts relative
13 weeks
2.9 pts relative
26 weeks
-3.0 pts relative
52 weeks
-5.0 pts relative

Market internals

Participation, dispersion and path risk

Equal-weight index evidence with constituent-level breadth and dispersion.

Breadth

Participation quality

Narrow
Advancing
1
Declining
17
Unchanged
1
4-week average 45%
13-week average 55%
Risk and persistence

Path quality

52-week lens
Annualised weekly volatility13.4%
Drawdown from 52-week high-3.7%
Positive weeks, last 1354%
Current directional run2 weeks
Turnover versus 13-week norm75%
Breadth impulse-53.5 pts
Cross-section

Return distribution

19 measured

Weekly returns across measured companies. Bars are scaled to the largest group; percentages show each groupโ€™s share.

Q1 -2.6% Median -1.9% Q3 -1.2%
Average winner2.4%
Average loser-2.1%
Dispersion1.4 pts
Top-five upside share100%
Top-five capital share62%
Capital data coverage100%

Dispersion describes how far constituent outcomes are spreading apart. Capital concentration is contextual only; the index itself is equal weighted.

Momentum cycle

30-week price change

Index price change over 30 weeks, or the available history if shorter. Green above zero; red below.

Breadth cycle

Net participation

Advancers less decliners as a percentage of measured constituents.

Within the same sector

Where are returns broadly supported?

Compare the weekly result with the share of companies advancing.

โ†‘ Companies advancing ยท 50% marks half of measured companies

Mixed beneath declinesBroad gainsBroad declinesNarrow gains 12345

โˆ’2.0%Weekly index return ยท zero at centre+2.0%

Compare return with participationHover or focus a marker for the full reading. Select it to open the report.

Markers show weekly return rank. Hover or focus for the name. Fine lines connect separated markers to their actual positions. Up, down and unchanged companies all count in participation.

Rank / IndustryWeekly returnAdvancing shareUp / downCompaniesWeek ending
1Capital MarketsFinancial Services-0.22%40%6 / 7152 Oct 2026
2Insurance - Property & CasualtyFinancial Services-0.79%33%1 / 232 Oct 2026
3Insurance - LifeFinancial Services-0.91%60%3 / 252 Oct 2026
4Banks - RegionalFinancial Services-1.75%5%1 / 17192 Oct 2026
5Credit ServicesFinancial Services-2.02%0%0 / 442 Oct 2026

Taiwan ยท Weekly return relationships

Which markets move together?

Compare sectors and industries within Taiwan over the same 52-week window. Strong positive relationships can mean that apparently different holdings share the same risk.

Sectors ยท average pair correlation0.52

Closest: Technology and Industrials (0.94; 51 weeks).

11 indexes ยท 55 qualifying pairs
Industries ยท average pair correlation0.37

Closest: Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment & Materials (0.94; 51 weeks).

87 indexes ยท 3741 qualifying pairs

Pearson correlation of weekly percentage returns through 2 Oct 2026: +1 means moving together, 0 little linear relationship, โˆ’1 moving in opposite directions. Requires 39 matching observations for the 52-week comparison and 10 for the recent 13 weeks. Missing weeks are excluded, not filled with zero. Constant series have no defined correlation. These are local-currency, capped equal-weight indexes; sectors and their component industries overlap. A lower correlation does not establish a hedge.

Sector correlations compare broad business groups. Industry correlations reveal closer links within and across sectors. The selectors retain all qualified groups; the matrix shows the ten largest by company coverage.

News and narrative

Does company news confirm the market tape?

Open Sentiment Intelligence
Sentiment evidence is still developing

Qualified company-level news coverage is not yet broad enough to influence the group view.

0 qualified records across 19 measured constituents.

Leadership tape

Leaders, laggards and contribution shape

Latest completed week, ranked on uncapped constituent returns.

Constituent ledger

Industry constituents

All 19 measured constituents, ranked by latest weekly return.

Rank Ticker Company Exchange Market cap Close Index contribution Return
1 1718 China Man-Made Fiber Corporation TAI 14.12B 10.75 0.13 pts
2.38%
2 5876 The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank, Ltd. TAI 241.27B 48.95 0.00 pts
0.00%
3 2801 Chang Hwa Commercial Bank, Ltd. TAI 334.67B 27.60 -0.03 pts
-0.54%
4 2884 E.SUN Financial Holding Company, Ltd. TAI 771.38B 45.35 -0.03 pts
-0.55%
5 5880 Taiwan Cooperative Financial Holding Co., Ltd. TAI 429.95B 26.15 -0.06 pts
-1.13%
6 2836 Bank of Kaohsiung Co., Ltd. TAI 22.58B 12.00 -0.06 pts
-1.23%
7 2812 Taichung Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. TAI 123.04B 18.75 -0.07 pts
-1.32%
8 2886 Mega Financial Holding Co., Ltd. TAI 737.96B 48.85 -0.08 pts
-1.51%
9 2891 CTBC Financial Holding Co., Ltd. TAI 1.38T 67.30 -0.09 pts
-1.75%
10 2849 EnTie Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. TAI 31.32B 15.35 -0.10 pts
-1.92%
11 2880 Hua Nan Financial Holdings Co., Ltd. TAI 643.77B 44.85 -0.10 pts
-1.97%
12 2834 Taiwan Business Bank, Ltd. TAI 186.13B 17.45 -0.12 pts
-2.24%
13 2892 First Financial Holding Co., Ltd. TAI 573.74B 38.55 -0.13 pts
-2.41%
14 2890 SinoPac Financial Holdings Company Limited TAI 665.20B 44.05 -0.13 pts
-2.44%
15 2838 Union Bank of Taiwan TAI 97.92B 20.40 -0.15 pts
-2.86%
16 2845 Far Eastern International Bank Ltd. TAI 65.73B 12.90 -0.16 pts
-3.01%
17 5863 Taipei Star Bank TWO 3.76B 11.00 -0.16 pts
-3.08%
18 2897 O-Bank Co., Ltd. TAI 31.02B 10.70 -0.17 pts
-3.17%
19 2887 TS Financial Holding Co., Ltd. TAI 1.08T 40.55 -0.24 pts
-4.59%

The index uses capped equal-weight weekly constituent returns. The ledger shows uncapped security returns so outliers remain visible for research.

Evidence context