5863 TWO Week ended 14 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Taipei Star Bank · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Latest close 11.35 TWD
1.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 44.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 4.1% four-week move. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 40 out of 100
Latest Close 11.35 TWD 14 Aug 2026
1W Return 1.3% latest completed week
4W Return 4.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 23.1% 12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.12% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 44.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 4.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2212-week average 0.09

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.22Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.1% over four weeks, 5.1% over 12 weeks, and -3.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.3%
4W4.1%
12W5.1%
26W-3.0%
52W-3.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.95Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change87.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-30.45Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change4.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment-

No current sentiment snapshot is stored.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.7%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-5.2%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+1.3%Week of 14 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol1.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.6% / -1.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
14 Aug 202611.35 TWD1.3%11.24 TWD12.02 TWD0.95-30.45304.1KOff
7 Aug 202611.20 TWD-1.3%11.25 TWD12.01 TWD0.78-29.83149.0KOff
31 Jul 202611.35 TWD0.9%11.27 TWD12.01 TWD0.64-28.06588.5KOff
24 Jul 202611.25 TWD3.2%11.28 TWD12.00 TWD0.53-30.44253.7KOff
17 Jul 202610.90 TWD-0.5%11.30 TWD11.99 TWD0.51-31.91300.4KOff
10 Jul 202610.95 TWD-0.9%11.33 TWD11.98 TWD0.52-36.51242.7KOff
3 Jul 202611.05 TWD-1.3%11.36 TWD11.98 TWD0.28-38.74445.0KOff
26 Jun 202611.20 TWD1.4%11.39 TWD11.97 TWD-0.19-35.73424.8KOff
19 Jun 202611.05 TWD2.8%11.41 TWD11.96 TWD-0.63-40.01576.9KOff
12 Jun 202610.75 TWD-1.8%11.44 TWD11.95 TWD-0.99-39.49382.8KOff
5 Jun 202610.95 TWD0.9%11.47 TWD11.95 TWD-1.04-40.47356.2KOff
29 May 202610.85 TWD0.5%11.50 TWD11.94 TWD-1.09-41.43142.8KOff
22 May 202610.80 TWD0.9%11.54 TWD11.93 TWD-1.16-39.15224.4KOff
15 May 202610.70 TWD-0.9%11.57 TWD11.92 TWD-1.17-38.92259.7KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context